Lets Start a RIOT (part 2)Gooood old RIOT.
So back in late September, and early October 2024 I began positioning myself in RIOT and set a target of 6-12 month at around 45$. Although i am up 79% and will soon be able to take advantage of long-term capital gains tax. RIOT has not performed as well as I thought it would.
The miner leveraged BTC strategy from last cycle has not worked out, difficult business model, and macroeconomic issues plus competition from ETFs has made it difficult for miners overall. Other miners have been able to capitalize on AI and data centers, and it seems like RIOT along with MARA have been left behind but i think things can quickly turn around here.
Despite the pessimism RIOT looks like its in a really good spot as we are seeing a technical breakout along with optimism in 2-3 rate cuts for the remained of the year. I also don't believe the BTC top is in yet and think a final leg can help push RIOT up.
Ill be planning to offload my position little by little sometime within these last 3 moths of 2025 depending on how things go. At a market cap of only 6.50 B a 2x from here is certainly NOT unreasonable. Therefore, I'm readjusting my target from 45$ to around 35$ by EOY.
Good luck
Trade ideas
RIOT/ 15m🔍  Zoomed-In Structure of Minute Wave v (Circled) 
 NASDAQ:RIOT  is expected to gain up to 15% on the final advance of Wave (v). A push toward the  17.88  level is anticipated to complete the Minute Wave v (circled) structure in the next session —  potentially marking the extreme high of the current impulsive sequence.
 
#CryptoStocks #RIOT #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BitcoinMining #BTCUSD 
 NASDAQ:RIOT   CRYPTOCAP:BTC   BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   IG:BITCOIN
RIOT / 3hNASDAQ:RIOT   📊 Technical Update 
Riot Platforms Inc.📈 has reached the projected target at 17.11, completing the extension of Minute Wave v (circled) and pushing its fifth wave beyond initial expectations. 
 The stock has now gained over 40% in September, sustaining the bullish trend that began in early August — as anticipated.  (See the analysis posted on August 12, pinned to @ElliottChart profile on X.)
However, with the stock now approaching a key resistance zone, emerging signs of momentum exhaustion suggest a potential pause — as price searches for an extreme high that could mark the end of the current advance and signal a reversal. 
 The final target for this surge is projected at 🎯 18.00. 
#CryptoStocks #RIOT #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BitcoinMining #BTCUSD
 NASDAQ:RIOT   CRYPTOCAP:BTC   BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   IG:BITCOIN
RIOT: Can it complete the sequence?RIOT has woken up in the last few days and finished an exciting rally to create another higher high above July high, even above Nov 2024 high. This can be the total move to finish a complete 5 waves sequence since April low. But from geometry perspective, putting another high would make things neat and clean. The initial move down is in 5 waves. So, we should expect a bounce tomorrow before another leg down. I am keeping a close eye on 1 hour RSI. I want to see a bullish divergence forming in 1 hour and then in 4 hour to have a high probability of starting the final fifth wave to complete minute degree wave 1. BTC as well should get severe resistance at around 118k area and go down again to finish up wave 4. Should expect some turmoil at the end of September into early October before the yearend rally starts. For RIOT that means, hopefully hitting $18 target and then hopefully keeping the retrace above $10. Only then we can set some new targets for $30-$40 along with some good news on their expansion projects as tailwind coupled with overall crypto rally into Q1 of next year. Right now, need to see $14.5 - $15 hold. If it doesn't hold, then will assume minute degree 1 is complete and wave 2 in progress. In that case, $10 will be the next level to hold. Not shorting at this time. Only long when given the chance.
RIOT / 3hNASDAQ:RIOT  📊 Technical Update 
 RIOT  has surged  33%  this week, slightly surpassing the projected key target at  16.17 —potentially signaling a peak or the completion of the final wave within the current structure.
📈 Wave Analysis 
The final advance in impulsive Minute Wave v (circled) appears to have completed at 16.83, likely marking the termination point of Minor Wave 5, which now exhibits a mature structure and signs of exhaustion within the broader  Leading Expanding Diagonal  in Intermediate Wave (1).
This structure sets the stage for a correction of equal degree, as Intermediate Wave (2) begins—presenting potential re-entry setups aligned with the broader bullish primary trend.
#CryptoStocks #RIOT #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BitcoinMining #BTCUSD
 NASDAQ:RIOT   CRYPTOCAP:BTC   BITSTAMP:BTCUSD  $BitcoinMining
RIOTThe way it's supposed to work is that after the price visits the 0-level, you buy again if and once it regains the .236 bull fib.   RIOT is breaking out of this range and entering a fresh buy zone, where many new market participants enter.   If I'm buying the .236, then I'm selling the .618 or .786 with stocks and crypto, respectively.
We also have macro inverse head and shoulder playing out, which sets up RIOT for a long bullish run into the right inverse leg.  
Good times.
RIOT Continues wave 3.NASDAQ:RIOT  is moving well in wave 3 after price completed wave 2 at the triple support -0.5 Fibonacci retracement, High Volume Node (HVN) and daily 20EMA.
Fibonacci extension targets for wave 3 are minimum $45.17, which falls in line with wave 4 retesting the High Volume Node resistance as support at $34.
Daily RSI will put in bearish divergence if we continue higher today so watch out for that. An initial rejection or consolidation at $18 HVN is expected.
Analysis invalidated below $10.5
Safe trading
#RIOT and the miners pumping = AltseasonThe Bitcoin miners have quietly entered a Bull market since April, without much attention.
This indicates that investors are looking for additional risk beyond #BTC as they prepare for an exciting Altseason.
Their reasoning might arise from the perception that Bitcoin can provide only a limited return going forward based on its current point in the cycle and the outsized returns it has already delivered over $100K+ per coin from the low 3 years ago.
As you can see, RIOT has recently broken out of an inverse head and shoulders pattern against Bitcoin dominance.
Historically, when this pattern has emerged in the previous two cycles, the logarithmic target has been achieved and even exceeded, coinciding with strong altcoin performance. 
We have much to look forward to in the upcoming months.
RIOT / 3h📊 Technical Update 
 NASDAQ:RIOT  posted a 13% gain today, bringing the total rally to 21% within the projected advance zone of Minute Wave v(circled)—as depicted in the 3H frame analyses updated since Sept. 4.
📈🎬  Wave Analysis 
Following an Expanded Flat as a pullback in Wave iv(circled), impulsive Wave (v) is unfolding—potentially extending toward the 16.17 next target.
A breakout above 📈15.34 would technically confirm the completion of Intermediate Wave (1) as a Leading Expanding Diagonal. Notably, within this expanding bullish structure, a continued parabolic surge toward higher levels remains a likely prospect—before setting the stage for an equal-degree correction in Wave (2), which could present potential re-entry setups aligned with the broader bullish primary trend.
#CryptoStocks #WULF #BTCMining #BitcoinMining #BTC 
 NASDAQ:RIOT   CRYPTOCAP:BTC   BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN
RIOT — Demand Zone Reclaim + Flag SetupRIOT broke monthly structure in 2021 and retraced deep into demand, where it found a base and showed a change of character. Since then, price has been consolidating in a flag pattern, compressing after the shift. A fair value gap was created and later mitigated, adding weight to the structure. While RIOT has been showing some decoupling from Bitcoin, the technicals alone suggest it’s worth keeping on the radar. With crypto seasonality approaching, any sector-wide strength could still spill over here, making this setup one to watch closely.
Not financial advice, just how I see it.
RIOT / 3hNASDAQ:RIOT  continues to retrace in Wave iv(circled) of Minor 5, which has been unfolding as an  Expanding Ending Diagonal  since early August.
A further decline of just  7.4%  would confirm the structure of Minor Wave 5 as the final advance, unfolding as an ending diagonal within the broader Leading Diagonal as Intermediate Wave (1).
📈🎬 After completion of the retracement in Wave iv(circled),  surging above 15.34 in Wave v(circled) of Minor Wave 5 would likely mark Intermediate Wave (1). 
#CryptoStocks #RIOT #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BitcoinMining #BTCUSD
 NASDAQ:RIOT   MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN   CRYPTOCAP:BTC   BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
RIOT Wave 3 Begun?NASDAQ:RIOT  appears to be in wave III with wave II bottoming at the High Volume Node (HVN) support and daily 200EMA.
The first target is the HVN resistance and R3 pivot at $18.67 but if the count is correct we should extend above that. RSI is sitting comfortably with room to grow.
Analysis is invalidated below wave II, $10.50.
Safe trading
RIOT / 3hNASDAQ:RIOT  is retracing sharply in Wave iv(circled) within the advance of Minor Wave 5, which has been unfolding as an  Ending Expanding Diagonal  since early August. 
📈 🎬  A surge above 15.34 would likely mark Intermediate Wave (1).
 
Upon completion of Minor Wave 5, the Leading Diagonal as Wave (1) will be confirmed as a potentially bullish initiating structure within the broader Primary Uptrend — 🎬  setting the stage for a corrective retracement 📉 in Intermediate Wave (2). 
#CryptoStocks #RIOT #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BitcoinMining #BTCUSD
  NASDAQ:RIOT   CRYPTOCAP:BTC   BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN   
RIOT: messed up EW count, but making higher high and higher lowRIOT EW count hasn't been easy. The impulses are not quite clean; the corrections are too deep for comfort. But as long as price is making higher highs and higher lows, I will stay on that direction. The concern is the overlapping impulses. Either RIOT will explode with a series of wave 3s or we have a tricky count with creative fitting of waves. Until price falls below $13.59 in the next day or 2, I can't fit a diagonal count either.  I already took profit today and will hold the rest with a stop right below $13.59 and let this play out longer to see if a clearer EW count appears. Ideally, want to see price above $15.34 to somewhat confidently say we have a full 5 waves sequence.
RIOT / 4hNASDAQ:RIOT  posted a modest 1.8% gain today, maintaining its position around the midline of the projected Minor Wave 5 advance —  keeping the near-term bullish structure intact .
📈 🎬 >> In line with the bullish scenario, the structure is progressing step by step toward completing the projected initial leg of a Primary-degree uptrend.  A surge above 15.34 would technically validate the Leading Diagonal in Intermediate Wave (1) as a completed structure , potentially confirming the onset of a broader bullish trend. Based on current technical analysis, the projected advance for Minor Wave 5 stands at approximately 72%.
📉 🎬 >> Upon completion of Minor Wave 5, the leading diagonal pattern will be firmly established as a potentially bullish structure, setting the stage for a corrective retracement in Intermediate Wave (2).
#CryptoStocks #RIOT #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BitcoinMining #BTCUSD
 NASDAQ:RIOT   CRYPTOCAP:BTC  $BTCMining $BitcoinMining  BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
RIOT / 4hNASDAQ:RIOT  continued its intraday rise, albeit modestly, reaching the midline of the projected advance before closing just below it by day's end.
📈🎬 In line with the bullish scenario, the structure is progressing step by step toward completing the projected initial leg of a Primary-degree uptrend. A surge above 15.34 would technically validate the Leading Diagonal in Intermediate Wave (1) as a completed structure, potentially confirming the onset of a broader bullish trend. Based on current technical analysis,  the projected advance for Minor Wave 5 stands at approximately 72%.
 
📉🎬 >> Upon completion of Minor Wave 5, the leading diagonal pattern will be firmly established as a potentially bullish structure, setting the stage for a corrective retracement in Intermediate Wave (2).
#CryptoStocks #RIOT #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BitcoinMining #BTCUSD
 NASDAQ:RIOT   CRYPTOCAP:BTC  $BTCMining $BitcoinMining  BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
RIOT / 4hAccording to the prior analysis,  NASDAQ:RIOT  continued its advance with a 3% gain today, closing above the previous 4th Wave gap zone and near the midline of the thorough projected advance — all aligns with the outlook for continued upside in Minor Wave 5 of the leading diagonal, unfolding as the final leg of Intermediate Wave (1).
📈🎬 >> This price action adds conviction to the bullish scenario, indicating that the structure is maturing and approaching completion of the projected initial leg within a Primary degree uptrend.  A surge above 15.34 would technically mark the completion of the leading diagonal in Intermediate Wave (1) , potentially confirming the onset of a broader bullish uptrend.
🎯 The projected advance for Minor Wave 5 stands at 72% , based on current technical analysis.
📉🎬 >> Upon completion of Minor Wave 5, the leading diagonal pattern will be firmly established as a potentially bullish structure, setting the stage for a corrective retracement in Intermediate Wave (2).
#CryptoStocks #RIOT #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BitcoinMining #BTCUSD
 NASDAQ:RIOT   CRYPTOCAP:BTC  $BTCMining $BitcoinMining  BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN
$RIOT Making Moves!NASDAQ:RIOT  found support at the areas mentioned last week, the weekly pivot and 200EMA.
Wave (ii) ended at the golden pocket and High Volume node support.
Retesting the descending channel resistance upper boundary again will be the 5th test and a very high probability breakout. This would bring up the first target resistance of the wave (I) swing high and High Volume Node $20.5 followed by $40.
Weekly RSI did hit overbought but this can take months to pay play out and there is no divergence!
Analysis is invalidated below $6.33.
Safe trading
RIOT / 4hAccording to the prior analysis,  NASDAQ:RIOT   surged 12% intraday in an impulsive rise, closing with a 7.7% gain above the August consolidation zone  — further reinforcing the outlook for continued upside in Minor Wave 5 of the leading diagonal, unfolding as the final advance of Intermediate Wave (1).
📈🎬 >> This price action adds conviction to the bullish scenario, indicating that the structure is maturing and approaching completion of the projected initial leg within a Primary degree uptrend.  A surge above 15.34 would mark the completion of the leading diagonal  in Intermediate Wave (1), potentially confirming the onset of a broader bullish uptrend.
🎯The projected advance for Minor Wave 5 stands at  72% , based on current technical analysis.
📉🎬 >> Upon completion of Minor Wave 5, the leading diagonal pattern will be firmly established as a potentially bullish structure, setting the stage for a corrective retracement in Intermediate Wave (2).
#CryptoStocks #RIOT #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BitcoinMining #BTCUSD 
RIOT / 4hNASDAQ:RIOT  surged 4.7% today, closing above the  August high , and reinforcing the outlook for continued upside in Minor Wave 5 of the leading diagonal, unfolding as the final segment of Intermediate Wave (1).
This price action raises confidence in the bullish scenario, suggesting that the structure is maturing and approaching the completion of the initial leg within a broader uptrend.
🎯  Technical Target remains unchanged: 17.05
 
📉🎬 >> Upon completion of Minor Wave 5, the leading diagonal pattern will be firmly established as a potentially bullish structure, setting the stage for a corrective retracement in Intermediate Wave (2).
#CryptoStocks #RIOT #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BTCUSD
 NASDAQ:RIOT   CRYPTOCAP:BTC  $BTCMining  MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN  $BitcoinMining
RIOT / 4hNASDAQ:RIOT  opened precisely at the diagonal boundary line today and surged  11.78%  during the initial trading session. This impulsive move reinforces the case for continued upside in  Minor Wave 5  of the  leading diagonal , unfolding as the final segment of  Intermediate Wave (1) . The price action boosts confidence in the bullish scenario, suggesting the structure is maturing and nearing completion of the initial leg in a broader uptrend.
🎯  The Technical Target >> 17.05 
📉🎬 >> Upon completion of Minor Wave 5, the leading diagonal pattern will likely be confirmed with high confidence, setting the stage for an Intermediate-degree corrective retracement in Wave (2).
#CryptoStocks #RIOT #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BTCUSD
 NASDAQ:RIOT   CRYPTOCAP:BTC   BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN
RIOT: In a do or die situation again!RIOT is still trying to recover from the July 25th fall off the cliff. At the moment, the consolidation is looking rather sluggish and difficult to get a clear five moves up. The minuatte degree wave 4 is much larger than minuatte wave 2. However, minuatte wave 3 subdivision has a subminuatte wave 2 much larger than subminuatte wave 4. So, we can chalk this anomaly as an alternation of size. Right now, the focus in the last low. If $10.59 breaks down, then this wave 4 will most likely get invalidated and $15.34 will most likely be some kind of 3 wave top. It could be a leading diagonal, could be some kind of B or X wave or be a number of things. Breaking below $10.38 will be a confirmation that any hope of a wave 5 is gone. If that happens, then depending on how BTC acts for the next 3 months, we would either see a C wave up in RIOT and then a fall, or a continuation of dumpage activities back to the bottom of the channel. 
Alternatively, If RIOT and BTC can manage to keep the last low intact and somehow pull themselves out from the gutter, then we can expect RIOT to challenge the 2024 highs. If RIOT can manage to do that, then the next correction will most  On Friday I got back in with a very close stop loss at $10.5. Next week will be do or die for RIOT and BTC.






















