ALARUM TECHNOLOGIES LTD Trade Ideas — TASE:ALAR

Alarum Technologies: Speculative high-risk high-reward setup Technicals Trend : While the daily chart is unmistakingly in a downtrend, the weekly looks more like a massive correction. However the uptrend that began in early 2023 has clearly been broken. Price Action : Last week showed some bullishness, with a bounce from the 2020 shoulder support level and and a break above the falling wedge on the daily. Altogether the move hasn't been very decisive though and it faded with a reversal bar on friday. However ALAR hasnt fallen back below wedge support. Momentum, Volatility and Volume have all been below average reflecting lingering interest in the stock. Company Overview Alarum Technologies Ltd. operates in the webscraping/data collection niche, primarily through its subsidiary, NetNut. The company provides IP proxy network (IPPN) services, enabling businesses to scrape and collect web data securely. Recent expansion efforts focus on the growing AI-driven data collection and labeling market, with products like the Website Unblocker and an upcoming AI Data Collector designed to automate and enhance data retrieval. Current Situation Q3 2024 Revenue of $7.2M, hitting the high end of guidance (+6.6% YoY) with NetNut contributing 97% of revenue. Adjusted EBITDA of $1.4M, exceeding guidance but down YoY due to infrastructure investments. Strong cash position of $24M and only 1.6M in debt. Secured a Fortune 200 client, with potential for traffic (and revenue) to triple within 6-12 months. Usage-based revenue model introduces short-term revenue volatility, while gross margins declined (73.6% vs. 79.4% YoY) due to network investments. Short-Term Outlook Q4 2024 Guidance: Estimated revenue of $7.5M (±3%) with EBITDA of $1.3M-$1.7M. Near-Term Catalysts: Further Fortune 200 client expansion, adoption of Website Unblocker, and new AI Data Collector launch. Potential Risks: Revenue fluctuation due to usage-based pricing, competitive pressure and reliance on short-term client contracts. Conclusion ALAR presents a high-risk, high-reward trade setup, with catalysts for upside momentum but also operational risks that could weigh on stock price movements in the coming months. The ongoing AI technology democratization, high operating leverage and a 1.5x EV/Sales valuation make me favor the upside whith a strict risk management recommended.

ALAR- Super entry ALAR- Super entry -Uptrend structure confirms. -Key level support. -Demand zone support. -Logic volume together with candles (VSA). -Quasimodo pattern. -Inversed HnS pattern. . Let's wait n see. More plans at US STOCKS- WALL STREET DREAM

10/10/24 - $alar - worth a small punt at $9.5/shr 10/10/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:ALAR worth a small punt at $9.5/shr - one of these names where the lemmings all jumped with their favorite influencer said "jump" - was it worth 10x sales? no. i watched this thing climb and climb and climb. i also so it get slammed, lower and lower and lower. - is this a good product? i'm sure it's fine - the growth looks decent and they're getting opex flex. - CEO doesn't seem to be a nut (listened to 30' of him) - good net cash, co generates cash, it's still growing, cyber is the right "zip code", good gross margins - valuation of 1.5x sales (enterprise value so ex cash d00ds) seems pretty cheap - looks like downside is probably limited (though i say this half jokingly given the chart--i still think u could see 25-30% lower) but the upside is likely much more than 25-30% in the 1-2Y context. am i wed to this? no. but seems like the chart has found some bottoming action and the plebs have moved on to their space lasers and salad bots... so V comes in and starts to turn over the rocks. - 50 bps starter. small enough to care, not small enough to care, but willing to do more work and grow it and report back. anyone have a better sense than my armchair observation and meme position? V

1100% gainer dropped 20% overnight and 40% off its high.Bit of news came out about new competition for ALAR but thats a pretty steep drop for a stock that has been announcing record profits. One to watch for the more speculative investors out there.

Mid-week check-in 6/13/2024 Talking about my mistakes, observations, following rules, being systematic vs discretionary and just generally whatever comes to my mind. I do ramble a lot

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ALARUM TECHNOLOGIES LTD

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