100 day MA vs 10+ daily supportsWeed is in a battle with the 100 day MA at 28.25 (formerly 28.50). We have taken 6 runs at it in the past week. The good news is every time it rejects the share price drops less and less. We now have a solid support around 27.70. I chose the 15 min chart to show you the candles. Expect WEED to come out flying. The final 45 minutes seen some major green followed by an attempt to push it down to 27.60. That was quickly bought up. When you see a green candles followed by that final candle it means the bulls are in full control.
11L trade ideas
Battle to start the morning. Bonus TA 101 on this. A nice sideways day to help with this trend. We are looking for higher highs and higher lows to get out of this down trend
To start the morning we need all hands on deck! The yellow line and yellow crosses are the 100 day MA. We have bounced off of it on the daily 5 times in the past. The good news is if this breaks it will become a support. This is at approximately 28.30. 28.50 is next however I feel if we have the 100 day MA boosting us we should be able to break it. Then its a free ride to 29.15 which is our last big resistance before this bad boy can really run.
Right now we ended in a very tight channel. The light blue line is our trendline which as you can see is pretty solid as it has held 5 times in the last 2 days. The day could be won or lost first thing. You have support at today's close 27.66 and resistance at 28.00. Whoever wins this battle should decide the day and maybe even the future. Nothing else really matters SPY Futures looks good, RSI healthy on all timeframes, Bollinger Bands looking good and Mac D is as healthy as it gets.
I think the trend wins this one but be cautious first thing if we lose the 27.66 and bounce off it. $27.00 is the more than likely the next stop.
Collision course with 100 day MAWeed is looking Really Strong today. We still had to give some blood after the SPY's poor close. Early on we had a direct correlation with the 30 min chart on the SPY. However when the day went on when the SPY went through some mini dumps we didnt even budge. When we finally broke that 26 will we took off. Tomorrow we will meet a similar wall at the 200 day MA. We tested it once and couldnt hold. We should test again. Key spot to watch first thing in the morning if we gap up or blast right through expect a green day. If we bounce expect a sideways day or maybe even a little pullback, Next big resistance is 28.50 and finally 29.00. If we break 29.00 we should rocket straight to 30.00 as there is little in the way from then on. 30.00 looks like breeze all the way to the 100 and 200 hour MA at 30.80 and 31. As long as the market stays out of the news in a negative fashion I am optimistic for another big run.
Keep an eye on that channel a break in either direction could see a big impulse move.
Broke upward trend line and fallen out of the triangle.We have officially fallen below the upward trend line and out the triangle, stopping right at the 50% Fibonacci retrace, which was to be expected. From here, there is not much left for support. We could bounce and come back into the channel, but a re-test of ~23.75 is more likely, and subsequently a re-test of the 38.2% Fib if support cannot be found there.
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Expect a good open...Bottom fishing in effectI said yesterday WEED would battle between 27 and 28 with the winner pushing it back to 29 or sending it to the 25. Losing 26 caused the whole MJ sector to dump. Looking at the hourly we closed right around a nice hourly support and also have 9 days in the past where this had touched and bounced in the past. Volume kicked in bullish big time for the first time all day with 3 minutes left. I think this is for people piling in to get a chance at a nice bottom fishing play. Should see a good open because of this. Note: We may see 25.50 then a rocket of volume as more and more jump on board for the bottom fishing play. Other than that play I dont really see anything that would make me want to hold this long term. The good news is another RSI bounce is in our near future which may finally give us the turning point WEED needs. If not and its a red day there is a whole lot of nothing until 24.15 (weak) and 22.00 (Strong) and finally the 200 day MA sitting around 20.00.
Note if this is the bottom we have been looking for then $30.00 should be back on the table in the near future. You would like to see this break 27.50 on the daily for this to be true.
Looks like we will see a decent open... Potential bottom fishingI said yesterday WEED would battle between 27 and 28 with the winner pushing it back to 29 or sending it to the 25. Losing 26 caused the whole MJ sector to dump. Looking at the hourly we closed right around a nice hourly support and also have 9 days in the past where this had touched and bounced in the past. Volume kicked in bullish big time for the first time all day with 3 minutes left. I think this is for people piling in to get a chance at a nice bottom fishing play. Should see a good open because of this. Note: We may see 25.50 then a rocket of volume as more and more jump on board for the bottom fishing play. Other than that play I dont really see anything that would make me want to hold this long term. The good news is another RSI bounce is in our near future which may finally give us the turning point WEED needs. If not and its a red day there is a whole lot of nothing until 24.15 (weak) and 22.00 (Strong) and finally the 200 day MA sitting around 20.00.
Weekend Weed StocksLooking at the Charts ACB and APH are in much worse Shape than WEED and Chron. WEED lost both its 50W and 100 day MA though. You are going to want to see it break 28 again and hold on the daily.
You could see WEED and Cron Recover and APH and ACB and APH fall. TBH i wont trade until i get a clear signal Monday. Overall sentiment is down but SPY seems to be holding. We held up well Friday vs the declining SPY but we could be playing catchup Monday Morning.
ACB (200 day support 6.25) APH (support $10.00)
WEED
Expect a battle between 27 and 28. Winner will send it back to 30 or down to 25
CRON
Sitting on support from Tuesday. Could see it retest 7 however I feel like it might be the strongest.
SPY looking ok right now and Monday morning will tell the tale if we need to still play catchup on Friday's late dump or if we are going to head back up with it.
Tomorrows WinnerNailed ACB yesterday after seeing it Lag behind the rest in terms of recovery. I expect this out of WEED tomorrow. A gap over that 28.50 mark will see this baby run quite a bit. 29.12 could be trouble (FIB sticking point and the Previous high) but if we can get a clean close above it on the hourly I think We see 30 tomorrow. This stock is also correlating with SPY however not as strongly. The Spy is a great indicator for WEED stocks if stays healthy so will WEED.
I bought at close I am playing a Gap up to 29-29.10 and selling rebuying after I see it retest that 29 level and hold.
Good Luck!
WEED bounced off upward trend line, can it hold 200MA?After the correction and a trace all the way down to 25.34, we can see that it closed twice right on the current upward trend line and bounced. It is currently holding above, in the support and resistance channels that I have drawn on the 4H. Conviction does not look very high however, as it was looking to come back down again, but it got rejected just above the trend line. Hopefully we can close and keep it above the 200 day moving average, but a retest of the upward trend line or new support is definitely possible.
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Fool me once shame on you, fool me twice...Just like every bubble pattern that's ever come to fruition, the great Canopy and the rest of the marijuana sector are no different. This story won't end in flames, but similar to bubble patterns you've seen in bitcoin since inception, there will be ups and downs. However don't be fooled by the crowd mentality. Although these trends might be around for years, things don't go to the moon overnight. By studying and being prepared to trade these long term bubble patterns, we won't be caught by surprise at any point in our trades. Over the last year I've truly begun to embrace the cyclicality of these trends, and it's brought me tremendous success. Have confidence in the fact that these things will play out as they have with every bubble pattern in the past. We will be ready to hold through the turbulence on the way up, sell near the peaks, and profit on the volatility following the bubble runs. There will be some small action to come around the sector in the near future, but if history has anything to say about it, it looks like the sector might go to sleep until legalization in Aug. Which coincidentally coincides with the time every year when the sector bottoms and begins to heat up. Coincidence, I think not. I'll be ready to fill my bags come July and Aug, I hope you will be too.
WEED holds support at the MA50? So much sideways chop!There is a a lot of choppy sideways movement going on with WEED right now that I wasn't expecting and it invalidated the temp upward trend that looked promising.. I was really hoping that we could confirm three points, but we are now looking to hold support around the 50 day moving averages. We are still way above the 200 day moving average. We can see that it keeps getting reject at the support zone at 31.40 quite nicely, looking like we will close with green candle above support, between the current channel.
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WEED confirms 3rd point on temp uptrend.As we can see, WEED keeps tapping that new upward trend line quite nicely, leaving us with a third point of confirmation on our temporary upward trend line, indicated by dotted green. This however, brings us closer to a possible ascending wedge forming. After making a significant rally today, you can see that we touched the previously drawn resistance at 33.90, pulled back and now holding as I write this. So far we have been able to keep above our EMA200 very nicely, so will most likely close on the resistance line, let's see if we can turn it into support folks!
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Support for WEED moving up.As we can see, TSX:WEED buyer volume opened strong and we have been able to turn the previous resistance line into support, after closing 5 times above the previous line on the 4H chart. That double re-test right before this jump into the next Fibonacci zone, created some seriously heavy support and falling below that any time soon will be unlikely unless something drastic happens. We did see a bit of a dip after breaking resistance, which is usual, but right now we are just consolidating along the 61.8% retrace and holding support nicely. If we don't re-test 32.50, let's see if we can work our way up to ~34.33.
Today WEED closed at +4.20%. Not only is that hilarious, but it is a step in the right direction for sure. We tried to smoke our way past resistance, but it looks as though we couldn't quite do it, stumbling back down into the support channel. Confirmation above the MACD's on Monday will allow is to move the support up to 31.40 and possibly 31.85 if it opens bullish. That huge red shadow on the closing candle is something that we should look out for and may lead to a re-test of ~31.05, but there is some very good support as we have confirmed twice strong at that line, as you can see by my beautiful chicken scratch black circles. Hopefully it took everything the bears had to keep us blow that resistance level, and we can start to increase our positions.