RSO trade ideas
$ROST can gap up todayEarnings trading strategy signal.
The US off-price retail apparel and home fashion stores operator Ross Stores has been increasing sales (from $11.04 bln in 2015 to $14.98 in 2019) and EPS (earnings per share: from 2.24 to 4.3) for 4 years straight.
The last two of four published $ROST ratings from analyst companies were good, one was neutral.
So the price is more predetermined to rise than fall.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for EPS is $1.26, (+5% year-over-year change), for revenue — $4.37 billion (+6.4% from the year-ago quarter) — finance.yahoo.com
Previous earnings report beats EPS and revenue estimates.
I suppose this earnings report will also be with such a pleasant surprise.
Also, confident EPS and sales growth are positive factors, which can cause today`s gap up.
So we hypothesize that $ROST is ready for the next gap up after publishing earnings report today after market close.
The last three days show the bearish market probably ends.
So we can long stocks before earnings again.
Due to strategy, the buy long can be from the price 10 minutes before market close.
It is too risky to buy now due to huge ATR.
target profit — +$5 per share;
stop-loss — -$5 per share.
Risk/reward is 1:1, but correct strategy implementation implies more than 60% of profit trades.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
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Ross Stores valued fair to rich$ROST shows a tremendously steady upward trend over the last 6 years.
Currently trading more to the upper end of the trend channel.
Also my dividend-radar shows that there is no "value" to be had here.
Currently for me only a hold and if it moves to the 120-126 area within the next 3 months I will shed some of my position.
In the opposite direction it will be more interesting to accumulate if the price range between $90 to $80 is hit. This would imply a drop of roughly 30%
Ross stores on verge of breakout about $113BREAKOUT ENTRY LEVEL $113
STOP LOSS $110
PRICE TARGET $123
Average analysts price target $110
Average analysts recommendation OVERWEIGHT
Short interest 1.3%
P/E ratio 24
Company profile
Ross Stores, Inc. engages in the operation of off-price retail apparel and home accessories stores. Its products include branded and designer apparel, accessories, footwear, and home fashions through the Dress for Less and dd's DISCOUNTS brands. The company was founded by Stuart G. Moldaw in 1957 and is headquartered in Dublin, CA.
ROST t.a. & set upROST price is showing signs of an overall uptrend pattern long term, consistently making higher highs and higher lows. Price also trades above the SMA200, indicating potential bullish movement.
Price seems to react best with EMA/SMA levels on the 4 hr chart. Price just broke above EMA10, and SMA100 today, also the last candle stick formed a Long Bullish Candle, as well as extremely oversold RSI levels @30. Strong convergence of combined signals now indicating bullish momentum likely to continue.
A good swing trade entry might be: only if price breaks above AND closes above both the EMA10 and SMA50 (4 hour chart) around or above 107.84 level by end of day close
A stop could be set: 106.74 @ -1%
Exit could be: 110 area @ +3%
Risk/Reward ratio favorable @ 3:1
Mar 15 - ROSTROST 15-Mar-19
IV:45.2, IVR: 100% (Elevated)
+0.20D Long 1 Call: 100 Strike @ $0.83
-0.32D Short 1 Call: 97.5 Strike @ $1.53
-0.06D Long 1 Put: 80 Strike @ $0.28
+0.10D Short 1 Put: 82.5 Strike @ $0.45
-0.08D Credit: $0.88
PCR: 45:55
Highest Call OI @ 100, 97.5 and 95
indicating high volume of naked calls or bear call spreads.
will ROST experience another bungee jumping ?This is a risky trade as earning is around the corner. However, MACD indicates that it is about to drop. Maybe the put spread is a good choice to limit the risk, but it will also limit the potential profit if another bungee jumping is coming. stop loss is 95 and 1st target is 90.
Examine the Stock, Leave the Jewelry, ROSTLooking for short term bullish action here. The gap upward is a good sign. Just be cautious, as Ross has had a very bullish year. Also, don't buy jewelry there, as some of it was found to contain, or be entirely composed of Cadmium.
www.ceh.org
Say it with me: Princesses don't wear Cadmium.