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SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

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SPY 1H + GEX Game Plan for Tue, Sep 16SPY Holding Strong Inside Rising Channel — Eyes on 662 Gamma Wall 🚀 Market Structure (1-Hour View) * Trend: SPY continues its steady rising channel advance, making higher highs and higher lows above 659.9. * Momentum: MACD is flattening with red bars hinting at minor consolidation, while Stoch RSI near oversold (~17) shows room for another push if buyers step back in. Key Levels to Watch * Resistance: 661.0 (recent high), 662–663 (strong gamma / call resistance), and 664 as next upside target. * Support: 658.3, 657.4, and deeper 652.2–650.6. GEX Read (Sep 16) * Highest positive NETGEX / Call Resistance: 662 * 2nd Call Wall: 660, 3rd Call Wall: 664. * Put walls / magnets: 657, 655, and 650. * Options sentiment: Puts dominate (~75%), IVR ~13.7, IVx ~15.4 — dealers may try to pin SPY near 660 but a squeeze over 662 can trigger hedging higher. Implication: * Base case: sideways between 657 and 662 until fresh flows. * Break and hold >662 can ignite a gamma squeeze to 664 or higher. * A close <657 shifts bias toward 652–650. Trade Scenarios 1) Bullish Breakout * Trigger: 1H close >662 with strong volume. * Entry: 662.2 on retest. * Targets: 664 → 666. * Stop: Below 659.5. * Options: 662/664 call debit spread for a quick gamma pop. 2) Range Fade * Trigger: Failure to clear 661.5–662 zone. * Entry: 661 short. * Targets: 659 → 657. * Stop: Above 662.5. * Options: 661P or 661/657 put spread for a fast pullback. 3) Breakdown * Trigger: 1H close <657 with a failed retest. * Entry: 656.8 short. * Targets: 652 → 650. * Stop: Back above 658.5. * Options: 657/652 put spread for a deeper correction. Scalping & Swing Notes * Early session watch 659.5–662 pivot for direction. * EMA/VWAP holds above 659.5 favor longs; repeated rejection favors shorts. Risk & Management * Low implied volatility makes debit spreads efficient. * Take partials at first target and trail stops aggressively. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always trade with a plan and manage risk carefully.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
3
SPY: 15 Min TF MEASURED MOVE Completion🔍 Chart Context Ticker: AMEX:SPY (S&P 500 ETF) Timeframe: 15-minute Annotations: “Measured Move Completion” (highlighted near recent highs). Old downtrend resistance line (blue). Gap zone left behind around ~$632. 🧭 Technical Read Measured Move The chart shows SPY has completed a measured move projection. Completion often signals either exhaustion (potential reversal) or momentum continuation if broken cleanly. Current candles at resistance look indecisive, hinting at possible stall. Trend Structure Price broke out above the long blue downtrend line → bullish structural shift. Now consolidating just under the 664–665 resistance band. Key Levels Immediate Resistance: 664–665 (completion zone). Support #1: 657–658 (short-term demand). Support #2: 651–652 (gap fill / major demand). 📈 Catalysts Bullish: If SPY closes above 665 with volume, it could trigger momentum buyers targeting 670+. Seasonality and potential Fed pivot optimism still supportive. Bearish: Failure at measured move completion zone increases probability of a pullback to 657 first, then 652 gap. Rising volume + rejection candles = short-term distribution. ⚖️ Outlook Base Case (55%): Consolidation under resistance before retesting 657 support. Bullish Breakout (30%): Push through 665 → upside extension to 670+. Deeper Pullback (15%): Gap magnet test at 652 if sellers dominate.
AMEX:SPYShort
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
3
SPY Daily Analysis – Sept 15, 2025📊 SPY Daily Analysis – Sept 15, 2025 SPY has completed a measured move into the premium zone. The question now: Does the correction start here, or will it extend after the next macro wave? 🔑 Key Observations: Price has pushed into a premium supply zone after a strong impulsive run. The measured move aligns with potential overextension levels, signaling exhaustion. First correction target sits around 619 (−6.3%), with further downside imbalances below. Macro structure still bullish overall, but short-term risk of correction is increasing. Volume profile shows fading momentum as we enter this zone. ⚠️ Scenarios: Correction begins here → quick retrace to 640 → 619. Macro wave extends → delayed correction, targeting higher channel resistance first. 📉 Bias: Neutral → Bearish (waiting for confirmation).
AMEX:SPYShort
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
2
If history repeats itselfSPY continues to grind higher inside a long-term rising channel, but it’s approaching a critical decision point. We’ve already seen one 10% correction earlier this year, and the current structure suggests another possible pullback toward the rising trendline and the 0.38 FIB of the rally from April (my point “C”). Two paths are on the table: A short-term correction of ~10% before resuming higher. Or a melt-up scenario that pushes price toward the 790–800 zone (point “D”) before a larger reversal. Either way, I believe the next weeks will be decisive. Watch volume and reactions near 657–660 for clues. If support holds, bulls may still have room to run. If it breaks, we could see acceleration lower. 👉 What do you think – correction first or straight to a melt-up?
AMEX:SPYLong
by 4EX4EVER
1
$SPY (S&P 500 ETF Trust)🔍 Chart Context Ticker: AMEX:SPY (S&P 500 ETF Trust) Timeframe: 15-minute Indicators Visible: Smart Money concepts (liquidity, premium/discount zones), trend lines, volume profile, moving averages. Notable Zones: Premium (red block): Major supply zone where price rejected. Discount demand (blue blocks): Areas where buyers previously stepped in. Entry marked (yellow line): Short trade setup. 🧭 Technical Read Price Structure After a strong rally, SPY rejected from the premium zone near $661–$663. Multiple wicks show supply absorption → sellers defending that region. The chart shows a lower high forming below the red block. Volume / Liquidity Spikes in volume align with sharp rejections → signs of smart money distribution. Equilibrium zone highlighted suggests market balancing before choosing direction. Trade Setup You’ve marked “Taking this entry” just under the consolidation → short bias. Target likely at the discount demand zone ($657–$656). Risk above the supply premium block ($662–$663). 📈 Catalysts to Watch Macro: Fed rate cuts are heavily speculated, but recent strength may already be priced in. Any hawkish remarks or delayed cuts = bearish catalyst. Options Flow: If put OI clusters around 655–657 build, downside pressure will accelerate. Data Releases: CPI/PPI, jobless claims, or Fed speeches could act as volatility triggers. ⚖️ Probability Outlook Bearish short-term (next 1–3 sessions): 60% chance we test 657–656 demand. Neutral consolidation: 25% chance price chops sideways around 659 before a bigger move. Bullish invalidation: 15% chance we break above 663, targeting 665–667 liquidity.
AMEX:SPYShort
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
1
$SPY to $666-$672 before downside?AMEX:SPY continues to move higher here and with a widening ichi cloud. Because of that, I think it potentially has another move to the upside over the next week or two. I think the most likely levels from here for AMEX:SPY to find resistance are between $666-672. After that, I'd get cautious as I think there's going to be a surprise downside move that will catch many people off guard back to one of the support levels marked off on the charts. Let's see how it plays out in the coming weeks.
AMEX:SPY
by benjihyam
3
SPY: Coiling Near 660 With Key GEX Support–Swing & Scalp Sep 171-Hour Chart Technical View SPY remains inside an upward channel, but the 1-hour chart shows a slight cooling. After peaking near $662.5, price is consolidating just above $660. MACD momentum has faded and Stoch RSI is in oversold territory, signaling a pause with potential for either a bounce or a deeper retest. * Immediate Support: $659–$660 (current demand and channel midline) * Major Support: $652 and $647 (trend and high-volume zones) * Upside Zone: $662.5–$665 (channel top and key resistance) with $670 as the next major extension The 9 EMA is still above the 21 EMA, which keeps the bullish structure alive as long as $659 holds. GEX & Options Flow Gamma positioning suggests mixed but constructive flows: * Call Walls: $662.5 (strongest call resistance), $665, and $670. * Put Walls: $652 and $641 are significant downside hedges. * GEX Bias: Put gamma remains high at ~80.3%, while IVR is around 14.6 (IVx ~16.1). This signals a market braced for hedging but with moderate volatility expectations. Such a setup typically leads to contained price action unless $659 breaks decisively. Trade Thoughts & Suggestions * Swing Idea: Buy dips near $659–$660 with a stop below $652, targeting $662.5–$665 and possibly $670. * Scalp Idea: Quick bounce plays off $659 or a breakout scalp if $662.5 is reclaimed on strong volume. * Bearish Scenario: A clean break under $652 could trigger a fast slide toward $647 and $641. Quick Take SPY is consolidating after a strong run. For Sept 17, the $659–$660 zone is critical. Holding it favors another push toward $662.5–$665; losing it opens lower supports. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk before trading.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
SPY Top of RangeThe index kissed the top of it's 6-month ascending triangle range. With the big news this week for investors being what will the fed do with rates we've seen investors eagerly assume that several more cuts are baked in this year and early next. While more cuts are most certainly on the way, the real question is if the market is overly optimistic to the tune of being deaf toward any form of downside news. Will cuts lead to inflation? Will inflation cause a greater pinch on Main Street that eventually bleeds into Wall Street? Will Russia "accidentally" attack Poland? Will Trump decide to raise Tariffs on China, Mexico or Canada again? The likelihood of something in the geo-political spectrum happening is fairly high and with many leading equities already stretching their P/E to absurd heights (thank you AI) the potential upside from here is much lower than the potential downside, or at least the risk-off side. All it takes is one article from a Mag7 insider to say that they are trimming GPU purchases by 50% to curtail costs to match revenues and this turkey is goosed.
AMEX:SPYShort
by BullsNBearsEatPigs
$SPY Neutral Prediction--Traders Eye BreakoutDaily AI-powered trade ideas, SPY 0DTE plans, NLP news signals, weekly option alerts & live trading updates. Trade smarter, every day. 🚀📈 🚀 AMEX:SPY Intraday Prediction – Neutral Trend, Breakout Loading? 📊 Market Status Price: $660.77 Data Quality: ✅ Strong Timeframe: 1-Min K-Line Precision 🎯 Price Forecasts 30-Min Target → $661.18 (+0.06%) 2-Hr Target → $659.75 (-0.16%) End-of-Day → $662.85 (+0.31%) 📈 Extended Outlook Final Target: $662.85 (+0.31%) Volatility: 3.4% Range: $659.46 – $662.85 ⚖️ Trend Read Direction: NEUTRAL Confidence: 55% Bias: ⚡ Watching for breakout above $662.85 🔑 Levels That Matter Support → $659.46 Resistance → $662.85 Range Size → 0.5%
AMEX:SPYShort
by quantsignals
SPY Key Channel Test — Trade Setup for September 15* Macro backdrop: U.S. index futures are slightly softer after last week’s rally. Traders await mid-week economic data, leaving SPY in a tight overnight range. * Sector tone: Tech leadership remains firm, but some rotation into value is evident, which can create intraday swings. Technical Analysis – SPY Trend & Structure (1-Hour Chart) * Price is rising inside a well-defined ascending channel. * Friday’s session closed just under $658, showing slight consolidation at the upper band. Key Levels * Resistance: $658.3 (current channel top), $659.1 (1st Call Wall), $661–663 (next GEX layers). * Support: $657.2 (pivot / HVL zone), $655.5 (2nd Put Wall), $652.6 (3rd Put Wall). Momentum & Indicators * MACD is rolling over from highs, hinting at short-term cooling. * Stoch RSI is near oversold, leaving room for a bounce if buyers step back in. * Volume has tapered, which fits a pre-breakout or short pullback. Options/GEX Insight * GEX shows highest negative NETGEX at $657 (strong put support) and stacked call walls above $659, suggesting a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. * IVR 10.7 and IVx avg 13.1 signal low volatility, which could amplify any breakout move. Trade Scenarios for Sept 15 * Bullish Plan: * Entry: Hold above $658.3 and break $659.1. * Targets: $661 → $663. * Stop: Below $657.2. * Bearish/defensive: * Entry: Drop below $657.2 with momentum. * Targets: $655.5 → $652.6. * Stop: Above $659.1. Summary SPY enters Monday at the top of its channel. A firm break over $659 could ignite a move toward $661–663, while a slip under $657.2 opens a pullback toward the mid-$650s. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk before trading.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
SPX – Post-cut squeeze into HTF supply (watch the rejection vs. The rate cut pop ran straight into HTF supply and stalled. Headlines were priced in; order-flow + levels are doing the steering now. Key levels (from chart) Resistance / supply: Near today’s highs (red box). If this flips to support, upside magnets are the next yellow extension lines overhead. Nearest demand (blue boxes): First pullback zone: just under the breakout wick. Deeper demand: mid-range blue box. HTF “Buyer’s Block”: large yellow line cluster labeled Buyer’s Block (major pivot if trend weakens). Liquidity markers: prior swing highs swept; equal-lows shelf sits just above the first blue box. Playbook Bull case: Clean 15–60m hold above the red box high → ride to the next yellow extensions; trail under last M5 HLs. Bear case: Rejection + M15 CHoCH back inside → first target top of nearest blue box; continuation opens deeper blue box; failure there = test of Buyer’s Block. Risk Keep risk tight: invalidate on a close back above/below your trigger level (same TF you used to enter). News is done; structure + liquidity rule the next leg. Lesson reinforced: Fundamentals set the bias; technicals time the trade. The cut was expected; the chart still had to agree.
AMEX:SPY
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Friday, Sept 19, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Friday, Sept 19, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 📉 Week-end positioning: Traders de-risk after a heavy Fed + macro week; watch flows into bonds and equities. 💬 Consumer & labor narrative: Markets digest Fed messaging alongside claims + LEI signals. 🌐 Global spillover: Europe and Asia equities feed into U.S. tone with light U.S. catalysts on deck. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) ⏰ 10:00 AM — State Employment & Unemployment (Aug) ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #Fed #Powell #labor #economy #bonds #Dollar #risk
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Wednesday, Sept 17, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Wednesday, Sept 17, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 🚩 Fed Day: All eyes on the FOMC decision + Powell press conference — this will lock in the September rate path. 📉 Positioning risk: Funds lightened up into Tuesday’s Retail Sales; volatility likely post-Fed. 💻 Tech leadership in focus: NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:MSFT , and AI plays driving AMEX:XLK flows ahead of macro. 🛢️ Crude swings: Energy price stability remains an inflation sentiment wildcard. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) ⏰ 8:30 AM — Housing Starts & Building Permits (Aug) ⏰ 10:30 AM — EIA Petroleum Status Report ⏰ 🚩 2:00 PM — FOMC Policy Decision + SEP (dot plot) ⏰ 🚩 2:30 PM — Powell Press Conference ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #FOMC #Powell #Fed #housing #energy #bonds #Dollar #megacaps
AMEX:SPY
by TrendTao
Solving Trading with Math: The Ultimate Pure Math StrategyThis video will be part 1 of using math to solve trading problems. About this video This video focuses on day trading using Algebra to determine your target price from opening breakout range. In the next tutorial, I can show you how to apply this strategy to swing trading. Overall Purpose The overall purpose is to show you the actual, real life application of pure mathmatical principles in real life, especially as it pertains to trading. If you were one of those people who said "I'll never use this math in real life applications", consider yourself corrected :P. Thanks everyone, hopefully you enjoy and find this helpful! Safe trades as always.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by Steversteves
SPY 15m Analysis – Sept 15, 2025SPY is currently at our short level, which also aligns with a gap zone. Price has respected the ascending trendline, but momentum is slowing, and we’re now watching closely for a trendline break. 🔑 Key notes: Gap + Premium zone tapped → potential reversal area. Multiple FVGs (imbalances) below at 656 → 648 → 636 that price may revisit. RSI showing bearish divergence, signaling weakening bullish momentum. First downside targets: 656 → 648 → 636 if the trendline fails. 📉 Bias: Neutral → Bearish. Confirmation needed on trend break before entering shorts.
AMEX:SPYShort
by Wavervanir_International_LLC