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SHORT | SPYAMEX:SPY SPY Daily – Bearish Setup Developing Trend Structure SPY recently printed a Higher High near 646 but failed to hold momentum. Current structure remains bullish overall, but the short-term is weakening. A break below 627 would put the Higher Low sequence at risk. EMA Context Price rejected under the 9 EMA, signaling short-term weakness. The 35 EMA around 629–630 is the first key support. The 100 EMA near 607 aligns with demand/FVG zones and represents a major inflection. Targets TP1: 633.77 TP2: 627.04 Invalidation A daily close above 646 would negate the bearish bias and re-open upside continuation. Bias Short-term bearish, expecting tests of 633.77 and 627.04. If 627 breaks, next levels are 614–607.
AMEX:SPYShort
by shkspr
SPY – No hocus-pocus – Now the witch is hunting the bullsHappy Hump-Day y'all! In the last post (see linked chart), I explained what the witch sees in the future. A possible scenario that is long overdue: the markets are letting out air. With the candles from yesterday and the day before, we have confirmation that the S&P 500 is heading south. That has consequences that not many want to see right now. The bulls will be overrun, panic selling will kick in and drive the markets into the ground even faster. The current profit target is still the Centerline, as marked with the red arrow. Whoever doesn’t cash in at least 50% of their gains now will end up in the witch’s cauldron §8-) Let’s see how this develops. The YT Video will be up tomorrow - gotta feed the witches cat §8-) May the broom be with you!
AMEX:SPYShort
by Tr8dingN3rd
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for Wednesday, August 20, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / CBOE:SPX Scenarios for Wednesday, August 20, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News Jackson Hole in focus; dollar firms. Traders lean ~84% odds of a 25bp cut in September; watch TVC:DXY vs. $SPY/ NASDAQ:TLT as Powell risk approaches. Retail baton passes from HD to LOW/TGT. After HD’s hold-guidance rally, attention shifts to Lowe’s/Target for read-throughs on DIY vs. pro spend and tariff pass-through. Risk tone jittery into minutes. Tech led a pullback Tuesday; positioning lightens ahead of Fed minutes and Jackson Hole. 📊 Key Data Releases & Events (ET) 7:00 AM — MBA Mortgage Applications (weekly). Prior: +10.9% w/w (8/13). Why it matters: housing demand pulse → rates/affordability → AMEX:XHB and growth tone. 10:30 AM — EIA Weekly Petroleum Status. Prior crude change: +3.036M bbl. Why it matters: oil balance → gasoline/diesel → inflation & AMEX:XLE path. 1:00 PM — U.S. 20-Year Treasury Auction. Typical close: 1:00 ET; also 17-week bill today. Why it matters: term-premium & risk appetite; tails/stop-throughs can shake $TLT/$TNX. 2:00 PM — FOMC Minutes (July 29–30). Watch for: depth of cut debate, tariffs → inflation, labor cooling. Why it matters: reprices path-of-rates across curve and equities. Earnings (before open): LOW, TGT, TJX, ADI (+ others). Why it matters: U.S. consumer & capex reads; category mix shifts. Lowe’s call 9:00 AM. ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #Fed #FOMCMinutes #JacksonHole #DXY #TLT #XLE #LOW #TGT #TJX #ADI
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
Turnaround Tuesday? ✅ Morning Levels + Setup (Tues, Aug 20) Could be, Monday gave us the setup. I’m watching building permits at 8:30. If those come in hot, it’s a signal housing’s holding up → stronger consumer → rate hike odds perk up → possible dollar spike → pressure on QQQ. VIX is still asleep at 14.98, but if that creeps over 16.50, tone changes fast. Complacency’s real ,use it. SPY levels I care about today: 646.40 = upside line in the sand 642.50 = support to hold 638 / 632 = where I’d aim puts if things unwind Not overthinking it, waiting for price to confirm.
AMEX:SPY
by davekclinton76
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for August 19, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for August 19, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines Global markets tread water ahead of Jackson Hole. Asian equities slipped while European futures edged up on signs of diplomatic progress in the Russia–Ukraine crisis, as markets await Fed Chair Powell’s keynote. AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX still anchored to central-bank risk tone. Jackson Hole in focus. Investors are positioning for signals of a dovish tilt or rate cut cues in Powell’s speech later this week—data releases are in the shadow of event risk. Home Depot earnings loom. Retail heavyweight Home Depot reports today; strong results could buoy equities, while a miss would fan caution on consumer resilience. 💼 Key Market Developments Meta and Palo Alto highlight tech divergences. Meta shares slipped 2.3% on AI-leaning costs and metaverse skepticism, while Palo Alto surged 5% with robust Q4 and 2026 outlook—creating bifurcated leadership in tech. Stagflation & AI risk lurk. Analysts warn of stagflation threats and fading AI momentum as catalysts for a broader pullback—S&P 500 still up ~10% YTD, but vulnerable. ⏱ Key Data Releases & Events (ET) 📅 Tuesday, August 19, 2025 Canada Inflation Rate (July): Expected 2.0% y/y — a minor but global inflation cue U.S. Building Permits (July): Forecast ~1.39M — housing sector signpost ahead of Powell’s speech Corporate Highlight: Home Depot (HD) earnings — earnings and commentary on inflation, tariffs, demand dynamics ⚠ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #JacksonHole #Fed #SPY #SPX #HD #HomeDepot #JacksonHole #inflation #earnings #tech #AI #SP500
AMEX:SPY
by TrendTao
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for August 18–22, 2025🔮 Weekly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for August 18–22, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🏔️ Jackson Hole (Thu–Sat): Chair Powell headlines the Kansas City Fed symposium—path-of-rates + growth vs. inflation = front-page risk for AMEX:SPY SP:SPX TVC:DXY $TLT. 📝 FOMC Minutes (Wed): Deeper read on July meeting dissents and tariff/inflation views—rate-cut odds in play. 🛒 Retail Heavyweights: Earnings updates from NYSE:WMT NYSE:HD NYSE:TGT NYSE:LOW NASDAQ:ROST = real-time consumer pulse for AMEX:XRT and broader risk tone. 🏠 Housing Check: Starts/Permits + Existing Home Sales frame construction demand and affordability; watch AMEX:XHB and long rates. 📊 Key Data Releases & Events (ET) 📊 📅 Tue, Aug 19 • Housing Starts & Building Permits (8:30 AM) 📅 Wed, Aug 20 • FOMC Minutes (July meeting) (2:00 PM) 📅 Thu, Aug 21 • Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM) • Philly Fed Manufacturing Index (8:30 AM) • S&P Global Flash PMIs (Mfg/Services) (9:45 AM) • Existing Home Sales (Jul) (10:00 AM) • Conference Board Leading Index (10:00 AM) • Jackson Hole Symposium begins (all day; speeches through Sat) 📅 Fri, Aug 22 • No major U.S. releases (focus: Jackson Hole headlines + positioning) ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #Fed #FOMC #JacksonHole #housing #PMI #retailsales #SPY #SPX #DXY #TLT #XHB #XRT
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
SPY Technical Analysis! SELL! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the SPY next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 643.45 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market. Goal - 636.56 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AMEX:SPYShort
by AnabelSignals
1
SP500 ETF: Fibonacci MappingAs you may know, Williams Fractals indicator identifies potential reversal points by marking a high (or low) surrounded by two lower highs (or higher lows) on each side, forming a five-bar pattern that signals possible turning points in price. Unfortunately, the simplicity of such indicator provides just tiny perspective, undermining broad implication of the concept. Before I begin diving into processing geometric narrative of emerging price via fibonacci channels, I want to explain how I interpret fractals. When I use the term "fractal", I'm not just talking about the points alone. Market continuously corrects itself, so analyzing it by price alone can bring more confusion than help. The object of observation shouldn't be limited to quantifying just by a single property. Chaos by default requires awareness from both price and time aspects. The easiest way to root it in my vision was through realization that price is a function of trading time intervals. Its activity can be described as cyclical progression, as if it is wired by multiple "springs" of different tensions. Classic TA patterns known to literally anyone are great for anticipating a move in surface level forecasts. Since my line of work focuses on prediction over forecasts, it requires deeper structural awareness behind complex oscillations. Let's observe the way selloff scales from ATH and how it impacts fractal hierarchy. The first corrective bullish wave can be explained as a reaction to initial impulsive bearish wave. The bigger scale drop from ATH to a lower point explains why the corrective bullish wave looks the way it is. And so on: In fractals, scaling laws describe how key properties change with size, typically following power-law relationships that reflect the structure’s self-similarity, where a characteristic scales with the size raised to an exponent. To build a probabilistic model, we must keep in mind how the smaller bits make up bigger scale picture. ATH, established bottom and angle of progression defined by pullback highs, all those points have structural weight. Since psychology of masses that shapes price dynamics is governed by mathematical sequences found in nature, it's fair to use Fibonacci Channels to map the geometry of interconnectedness. Similarly, all of those points can be referred by another fibonacci channel with opposite direction. From my perspective, traditional TA patterns reflect just phases of cycle, this is why I unify those fragments into broader scalable shapes. This distinctive branch of Fractal Analysis allows to track systematic aspects of market behavior and explains how a pattern replicates itself in rhythmic continuity.
AMEX:SPY
by fract
7
These ETFs Printed$$ During the Q1 Tariffs Crash!!!📉 **These ETFs Print$$ When the Market Panics** 💰 While most investors were panicking during the **Q1 Trump's tariffs-induced dump**, savvy traders were riding these **inverse & volatility ETFs** all the way up. 💥 🚨 **Top Crash-Performers:** 1. **UVIX** – +159% ⚠️ 2. **SOXS** – +145.6% 🧨 3. **VIXL** – +136.8% 📈 4. **UVXY** – +114.9% 🌀 5. **LABD** – +82.7% 6. **NVDQ** – +78.9% 7. **SQQQ** – +79.4% Meanwhile, SPY was getting nuked. If you were long tech, you felt it. But if you were positioned in these **crash-mode ETFs**, you were **printing green in a sea of red**. 🧠 **Crash Alpha is Real — If You’re Ready** Here’s how real traders rotate: 🔁 March: Load volatility & inverse ETFs 📈 April: Rotate into high beta recovery plays (ROBN, ETHU, etc.) 💰 Strategy: **Don’t marry bias — marry price action.** 💡 *Crash-mode ETFs are not just protection — they're a profit weapon.* 🔥 **“You don’t need to predict the market — just be prepared when it moves.”** – Mark Minervini
AMEX:SPY
by DubaiTradersHub
Gear up for next Crash.!!!!! Top Performing ETFs Since the April 📈 **Top Performing ETFs Since the April Recovery** 💥 *(Post-Tariffs Crash Rebound )* After the **pre-April tariffs crash** rattled the markets, smart money rotated fast — and a new bull cycle kicked off in **early April**. While the broader market (SPY) clawed back a respectable +25%, these ETFs went **parabolic**: 🔝 **Top Gainers Since the April Recovery:** 1. **ROBN** – ⚡️+760% 2. **ETHU** – 🔥+654% 3. **RDTL** – 🚀+470% 4. **PTIR** – 🚀+379% 5. **AMDL** – +319% 6. **MAG7** – +289% 7. **CONL** – +244% 8. **ORCX** – +240% These names have ridden the waves of AI, crypto, robotics, and mega-cap tech — leaving lagging sectors in the dust. If you caught any of these runs, you’ve been **printing gains**. 🔮 **But Don’t Get Too Comfortable…** The market has a **short memory** — and parabolic moves often end with vertical drops. Inflation's still sticky, rate cuts are uncertain, and Q4 is historically volatile. 📌 **Get Ready for the the Next Crash:** * Lock in profits ✅ * Raise cash — dry powder is your edge when panic returns 💥 🧠 *"In bull markets, money is made. In bear markets, wealth is preserved."* – 🚨 **Gear up now — the next crash is a reset, not a surprise.**
AMEX:SPY
by DubaiTradersHub
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for August 15, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for August 15, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🔥 PPI Shock Keeps Cuts in Question — July producer prices +0.9% m/m (largest in ~3 yrs) with broad gains in goods & services. Rate-cut odds pared; watch front-end yields, TVC:DXY , NASDAQ:TLT , and cyclicals. 💵 Dollar Firmer, Gold Softer — The hot PPI print lifted the dollar; gold is set for a weekly dip as hopes for a big cut fade. 📊 Key Data Releases & Events (ET) 📊 📅 Friday, Aug 15 8:30 AM — Retail Sales (July); Retail Sales ex-Autos. 8:30 AM — NY Fed Empire State Manufacturing (Aug). 8:30 AM — Import & Export Price Indexes (July). 9:15 AM — Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization (July). 10:00 AM — Business Inventories (June). 10:00 AM — Univ. of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Prelim, Aug). ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #retailsales #EmpireState #industrialproduction #MichiganSentiment #SPY #SPX #DXY #TLT
AMEX:SPY
by TrendTao
1