$NVDA The Vanguard Coils-Gathers Fuel for its Next AscentTraders, when the General pauses, we look to the Vanguard for clues. NASDAQ:NVDA has been a quintessential market leader, a rocket ship charting a course through clear skies. Its current price action is a critical piece of the puzzle for where the entire market may be headed next.
The Technical Landscape
The strength in this chart is undeniable. It is the definition of a stock in a powerful uptrend.
Relative Strength: NASDAQ:NVDA has consistently outperformed the broader market, making it a key barometer of risk appetite.
Current Pattern: The rocket ship is refueling. Price is consolidating in an exceptionally tight and orderly pattern right below the $182 resistance level. Critically, volume has been declining during this coil—a classic sign that sellers are scarce and the next move is likely to be upward.
Key Support: The launchpad for this consolidation is the support level around $170 . This area must hold for the immediate bullish structure to remain intact.
The Philosophy
Strength begets strength. In the market, this is a fundamental truth. To bet against an asset displaying such clear and persistent power is a low-probability endeavor. The current coil is not a topping pattern; it's a continuation pattern in waiting. It's the moment of calm before the engines reignite.
While the broader market takes a breath, leaders like NASDAQ:NVDA often complete their rest cycle first. How this pattern resolves will provide a powerful clue about the market's true intentions. We do not predict; we observe and align ourselves with demonstrated power.
An Illustrative Setup
The trade thesis is born from this powerful consolidation:
The Bullish Trigger: A confirmed breakout above $182 on increased volume is the signal that the refueling is complete and the next leg of the ascent has begun.
The Warning Signal: A failure to hold the $170 support would indicate a temporary mechanical issue, suggesting a deeper pullback is required before the journey can continue.
Watch the leader. It will often show the way.
Remember to just shine!
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It is for educational and informational purposes only. Please conduct your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
NVDA trade ideas
NVDA eyes on $183.72 again: Golden Genesis Fib about to Break? NVDA looks ready for a break out to new highs.
Beating against the Golden Genesis at $183.72
Looking for a Break-n-Run, maybe no retest even.
$195.01 is first target and should be quick.
$201.51 is next target maybe after a dip.
$177.82 is high support for bulls to hold.
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Previous analysis that gave EXACT Shorts from this Fib:
Hit BOOST and FOLLOW for more such PRECISE and TIMELY charts.
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NVIDIA to $900? That’s what an AI debate tool just told meSo I stumbled on this AI tool named "AI Debate" that analyzes stocks.
At first, I tried Apple and Microsoft — the results were solid, very thorough, but nothing shocking.
Then I plugged in NVIDIA.
And the “AI experts” came back saying that at current levels, there’s still a 4–5x upside. From around $180 to a target above $900.
My jaw dropped. Honestly, it feels unbelievable.
But here’s the thing: I kinda trust this more than random human “gurus” with agendas. At least the AI is pulling fundamentals, technicals, sentiment, and laying it out objectively — no one is pumping their own bags.
Can I try buying some NVDA?
Or can you break down where the AI analysis might be flawed?
Below is the evidence:
Analysis log:
AI Warren Buffett:
NVIDIA is a remarkable company with outstanding profitability and growth—its return on equity is over 115%, net margins exceed 50%, and revenue is growing at a blistering pace. The business is financially sound, with a strong balance sheet and ample free cash flow. If you look at the numbers alone, it’s easy to see why so many investors are excited. However, as I’ve often said, 'Price is what you pay, value is what you get.' At a P/E of 58 and a price-to-book over 50, you’re paying a very steep price for future growth. This is a classic case where the business is excellent, but the stock may be ahead of itself. If growth slows even a little, the stock could face a sharp correction. I generally avoid technology companies outside my circle of competence, but NVIDIA’s dominance in AI chips gives it a real, though possibly temporary, moat. For investors with a high risk tolerance and a long-term horizon, it may be worth a small position, but I would insist on a significant margin of safety. My target price is based on a discounted cash flow approach, assuming continued strong growth but building in a 25% margin of safety. The 12-month target price range is $650 (conservative) to $800 (reasonable), with $900 as an optimistic scenario if growth persists. At current prices, caution is warranted—sometimes the best thing to do is wait for a better pitch.
AI Peter Lynch:
When you look at NVIDIA, you’re staring at a company that’s firing on all cylinders—profitability, growth, and financial health are all top-notch. I mean, a 115% ROE and net margins over 50%? That’s the kind of stuff you dream about as an investor. Revenue is up nearly 70% year-over-year, and earnings are still growing at a healthy clip. The balance sheet is rock solid, with a current ratio of 3.46 and manageable debt. If you’re looking for a company with a great story, just look around: AI, gaming, data centers—NVIDIA’s chips are everywhere, and if my kids are talking about it, you know it’s mainstream. But here’s the rub: the valuation is sky-high. A P/E of 58, P/B over 50, and P/S close to 30? That’s a lot of future growth baked into the price. The PEG ratio is well above 1, so you’re not getting a bargain here. This isn’t the kind of stock you buy for a quick double; you’re betting on NVIDIA becoming even more dominant in the years ahead. The technicals are still bullish, but momentum is cooling off, and the social buzz is pretty quiet—maybe folks are waiting to see if the next earnings report justifies the price. So, is this a ten-bagger from here? Probably not, given the current valuation. But if you’re a growth investor with a strong stomach for volatility, NVIDIA’s fundamentals make it a compelling long-term hold. Just don’t expect a smooth ride, and be ready for some bumps if the market decides the price is too rich. Target Price Logic: With a forward EPS estimate of around $20 and a more reasonable growth-adjusted P/E of 40 (still a premium, but justified by leadership in AI and data centers), the 12-month target price comes to about $800. That’s factoring in continued strong growth, but not assuming another explosive year like the last one. If growth slows or the market re-rates tech stocks, downside risk is real.
AI Cathie Wood:
NVIDIA is the quintessential example of a company at the forefront of disruptive innovation, driving the AI revolution and transforming industries from data centers to autonomous vehicles. Its GPU and AI accelerator technologies are not only powering exponential growth in cloud computing and generative AI, but also expanding the total addressable market (TAM) into trillion-dollar territory as enterprises and governments race to adopt AI infrastructure. The company's fundamentals are outstanding: ROE at 115.5%, net margin at 51.7%, and revenue growth of 69.2% YoY signal a rare combination of profitability and hypergrowth. NVIDIA's R&D intensity and relentless innovation pipeline have created a technological moat that is widening as AI adoption accelerates globally. Over a 5-10 year horizon, we see NVIDIA capturing a disproportionate share of the expanding AI and accelerated computing markets, with potential for TAM expansion as new applications emerge. However, the current valuation is extremely rich (P/E 58, P/S 29.5), reflecting high expectations and introducing volatility risk if growth decelerates. While short-term technicals and muted sentiment suggest caution, the long-term exponential growth trajectory remains intact. Our 12-month target price is derived from a forward EV/Revenue multiple of 30x on projected FY2026 revenues, reflecting continued AI adoption and market leadership, but we emphasize the need for risk management given the premium pricing.
Hello trader, for tomorrow, February 9, 2025.NVDA: Bullish entry at 176.00. Possible profit-taking at 180.00. If there is no rejection at 180.00, for a next bullish entry, we should wait for a breakout of the double top at 184.00, taking a new bullish entry at 186.00.
For the bearish entry: 172.00/170.00. This last one could act as a rebound zone because it would form a double bottom. Use the VWAP indicator for your stops.
Nvda volume spike at top?Bearish argument:
Volume spike at the top on the daily
No daily reversal seen as of Monday Sept 1st
Daily bearish divergence
Monthly indecision candle
TP: Last week's low
Daily RSI 30
Daily bullish divergence
160 gap
Last year's high
Bullish arguments:
High volume on Friday's dump on QQQ
Need to monitor for QQQ daily reversal
Conclusion: Probable chance of continued dump on NVDA.
Most likely price target is NVDA or when QQQ reaches last week's low as it coincides with a previous high volume spike level.
$NVDA big move comingWatching NASDAQ:NVDA close the month with a long legged Doji at the top is leading me to believe that some bigger news will be coming out to drop the stock to the downside. I would expect a nice discount coming for potential longer term entry.
Potentially something like China is rejecting their chips or an international market rejection or lawsuit to come into play.
NVDA - Short for ShorttermNVDA shows double resistance around $185. Price is going flat and double on resistance. Price is also far away from 200 EMA on Day TF and it must meet in near future. There will some slowness on stock movement and retracement will take it towards 200 EMA on D TF. Short term short price target of $150
Nvidia (NVDA) Shows Bearish Signs After Earnings ReleaseNvidia (NVDA) Shows Bearish Signs After Earnings Release
On Wednesday, Nvidia published a fairly strong quarterly report:
→ Revenue for the second quarter came in at $46.74 billion (record), up 56% compared with the same period last year;
→ Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) were $1.05, a 54% year-on-year increase and above analysts’ expectations of $1.01–$1.02.
However, in the Data Centre segment (closely watched by the market), results fell slightly short of Wall Street forecasts, which may suggest a slowdown in capital flows into AI infrastructure. This factor could explain why Nvidia (NVDA) underperformed the index later in the week: for instance, the S&P 500 hit a record high on Thursday, while NVDA closed lower.
Technical analysis of Nvidia (NVDA) chart
Six days ago, we:
→ Drew an upward channel (shown in blue), capturing NVDA’s price swings after the bullish surge at the end of June;
→ Highlighted the importance of support at $170 and resistance at $183.
Indeed, $183 looks like a solid barrier:
→ The numbers (1, 2, 3) mark failed attempts by the bulls to break through this resistance, giving grounds to view the chart in the context of a triple top pattern.
→ The third peak only slightly exceeds the previous highs, which resembles a bull trap and the Upthrust After Distribution (UTAD) pattern in Richard Wyckoff’s methodology, signalling the prospect of lower prices. A bearish gap the following day (shown by the red arrow) and a weak Friday close underline the bears’ aggression.
Given the above, we could assume that the bulls may try to keep the price within the channel, relying on support at its lower boundary. Yet the mentioned signals suggest that the bears are intensifying pressure. If we see only a weak rebound from the lower boundary at the start of September, the current channel could be at risk. In the event of a bearish breakout, a move down to test the $170 support could happen.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NVDA - Critical Point right now! Back to 150 OR we make new high📊 NVDA – Multi-Timeframe Outlook
🔎 Monthly (1M)
Strong bullish structure with clear Elliott Wave progression (1)-(3) unfolding.
Current candle shows retracement after a parabolic push, but higher timeframe structure remains intact.
Target level stands at 200 USD, aligning with Wave (3) completion zone.
🕰 Weekly (1W)
NVDA completed Wave (3) near 184, now pulling back into a local support zone ~160 – 165.
Structure suggests a corrective Wave (4) before potential continuation higher.
As long as support holds, expectation remains for a Wave (5) push towards 200+.
⏱ Daily (1D)
Price coiling inside a corrective a-b-c structure under trendline resistance.
Demand/support zone ~170 – 172 is acting as the base.
Break above 184 resistance confirms bullish continuation, while loss of support opens risk towards 152 (deeper retrace).
⏳ 8H
Clear retracement into demand after Wave (3) high.
Price holding trendline support + demand confluence.
If buyers step in, expect a rally into Wave (5) targeting 190 – 200.
Breakdown of demand would shift momentum bearish short-term.
🎯 Trade Plan
Bias: Bullish continuation (Wave 5 setup)
Entry Zone: 170 – 175 (demand/support)
Targets: 184 (short-term), 200 (medium-term)
Invalidation: Break & close below 160 support
Institutions & Participants in Financial Markets1. Introduction
Financial markets are the backbone of global economies. They provide a platform where individuals, corporations, and governments can raise capital, invest savings, and manage risks. Behind every transaction in the stock market, currency exchange, bond market, or commodity trading, there are participants who make the system function. Some are individuals trading with their own savings, while others are large institutions managing billions of dollars. Together, they form a complex network of buyers, sellers, intermediaries, and regulators who ensure liquidity, stability, and transparency in markets.
Understanding Institutions and Participants is essential because they influence how prices are discovered, how risks are shared, and how capital flows across economies. Without them, financial markets would not function efficiently.
2. Definition of Institutions & Participants
Institutions in financial markets refer to organized bodies that create, regulate, or facilitate market activities. Examples include central banks (RBI, FED), regulators (SEBI, SEC), stock exchanges (NSE, NYSE), clearing houses, and depositories. Their primary role is to ensure smooth functioning, enforce rules, and reduce risks of defaults or fraud.
Participants are entities or individuals that actively take part in financial transactions. This includes retail traders, institutional investors, corporations, governments, and intermediaries like brokers and dealers. They provide liquidity, demand, and supply for financial assets.
Together, institutions and participants form the ecosystem of financial markets, where institutions provide the structure and participants provide the activity.
3. Types of Market Participants
(a) Retail Investors
Retail investors are individual participants who invest their personal savings in stocks, mutual funds, bonds, or derivatives. They usually trade in smaller quantities compared to institutions. Retail participation has grown tremendously with the rise of mobile trading apps, discount brokers, and financial literacy campaigns.
Strengths: Flexibility, diversity of strategies, emotional conviction.
Weaknesses: Limited capital, lack of information compared to institutions, prone to herd behavior.
Example: In India, after 2020, retail investors surged on platforms like Zerodha, Upstox, and Groww, contributing significantly to stock market liquidity.
(b) Institutional Investors
These are large organizations that pool funds from clients or members and invest systematically. They include:
Mutual Funds – Manage pooled capital for retail investors.
Pension Funds – Invest long-term for retirement benefits.
Insurance Companies – Invest premiums in safe and growth-oriented assets.
Hedge Funds & Private Equity – Use complex strategies to maximize returns.
Institutions play a dominant role because of their large capital base and access to advanced research. Their actions often influence market trends and sentiments.
(c) Brokers & Sub-Brokers
Brokers act as intermediaries between investors and the stock exchange. They provide platforms, research, and execution services. Sub-brokers or franchisees work under main brokers to service clients in smaller regions.
In India, SEBI regulates brokers, requiring them to register and follow compliance rules. Discount brokers like Zerodha revolutionized the industry by reducing costs and increasing retail participation.
(d) Market Makers & Dealers
Market makers are institutions or individuals who continuously provide buy and sell quotes for securities, ensuring liquidity in the market. Dealers trade on their own account, taking positions in securities to profit from price movements.
Example: In the Forex market, banks act as market makers by offering two-way quotes (bid and ask prices).
(e) Corporates
Companies participate in markets to raise funds by issuing shares, bonds, or commercial papers. They also engage in hedging using derivatives to manage currency or interest rate risks.
For example, Reliance Industries regularly taps debt markets, while Infosys issues shares under ESOPs.
(f) Governments & Central Banks
Governments raise capital through bonds (sovereign debt) to finance infrastructure, welfare, and development. Central banks regulate money supply, set interest rates, and intervene in foreign exchange markets.
The Federal Reserve (US) sets monetary policy that affects global markets.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) manages inflation, rupee stability, and liquidity.
(g) Regulators & Exchanges
Regulators (e.g., SEBI in India, SEC in the USA) create and enforce laws to protect investors and maintain fair markets.
Exchanges (e.g., NSE, NYSE) provide the physical or electronic infrastructure where buyers and sellers meet. They ensure price transparency, equal access, and fair competition.
(h) Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) & Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs)
Global investors participate in emerging markets like India to seek growth opportunities. They bring in large capital inflows, which can boost stock indices but also increase volatility if they withdraw funds quickly.
Example: In 2020–2021, FPIs invested heavily in Indian equities, leading to record highs in Nifty and Sensex.
4. Institutions in Global & Indian Context
Stock Exchanges
Global: NYSE, NASDAQ, London Stock Exchange.
India: NSE and BSE dominate trading volumes.
Clearing Corporations & Depositories
They reduce settlement risks by ensuring that buyers get their securities and sellers receive payments.
India: NSDL, CDSL.
Global: DTCC (USA), Euroclear (Europe).
Regulators
India: SEBI, RBI, IRDAI.
Global: SEC (USA), FCA (UK), ESMA (Europe).
International Institutions
IMF & World Bank – provide financial stability and funding to nations.
Bank for International Settlements (BIS) – sets banking regulations.
5. How Participants Interact in Markets
Financial markets are divided into:
Primary Market: Where new securities are issued (IPOs, bonds). Corporates and governments raise funds here.
Secondary Market: Where existing securities are traded. Retail and institutional investors interact here.
Price Discovery happens when buyers and sellers agree on prices based on demand and supply. Institutions often lead price discovery, while retail investors follow.
Technology’s Role: Algorithmic trading, high-frequency trading, and fintech platforms have transformed participation. Machines now execute trades in microseconds, increasing liquidity but also creating flash-crash risks.
6. Case Studies & Examples
2008 Financial Crisis: Triggered by reckless lending by banks, misuse of mortgage-backed securities, and regulatory gaps. It showed the danger of unregulated institutions.
Indian Markets Post-2020: Surge in retail investors and rise of discount brokers democratized investing. FIIs also played a strong role in pushing indices to record highs.
7. Challenges & Risks
Conflicts of Interest – Brokers may mis-sell products, institutions may prioritize profits over clients.
Market Manipulation – Pump-and-dump schemes, insider trading, and algorithmic manipulation distort fairness.
Globalization Risks – Capital flight during crises (e.g., FIIs pulling funds).
Regulatory Gaps – Some instruments (like crypto) still lack clear regulations.
8. Future of Institutions & Participants
AI & Algorithmic Trading will dominate markets, with human traders playing a smaller role.
Fintech & Digital Platforms will bring more retail investors into the system.
Global Institutional Flows will decide the fate of emerging markets like India.
Sustainable Finance – ESG-focused investing and green bonds will rise.
9. Conclusion
Institutions and participants together form the lifeline of financial markets. Institutions provide the rules, infrastructure, and trust needed for smooth functioning, while participants provide liquidity, capital, and demand. Their interaction shapes prices, drives innovation, and supports economic growth.
From a small retail trader buying a single stock to a central bank moving billions in currency reserves, each participant plays a vital role in maintaining balance. The future will bring more technology-driven participation, deeper global integration, and stronger institutional oversight.
In essence, the strength of a financial market depends on the quality of its institutions and the diversity of its participants.
Nvidia, possible correction?I'm not presently invested in nvidia, but present this as possible deep value entries.
Looking at elliot wave and fib levels, I would expect to see a 3-3-5 correction with a double top and bottom at either .618 $72 or .786 at $44.
After a bottom is found then expect a short accumulation period of 3 higher highs then a mark up in price.
I usually always leave out time a bias, but in this case with the upcoming fomc meeting in September, I could see this correction happening and finishing fast.
Obviously, if these deep value targets are met, I will realign my portfolio to heavy in nvidia.
NVDA IS A SELL+++ $136.25 targetNVDA tends to retrace to .5 and .618 fib on each previous correction before making another bull run. We are also on an exhausted Eliot Wave impulsive number 5 overextended. Dont get suckered into the bounces until the selling has been exhausted to the downside. It should bounce off $152.98 support before resuming lower
NVDA Under Pressure: Sellers Dominate as Volume Spikes Fail NVDA Under Pressure: Sellers Dominate as Volume Spikes Fail to Sustain Price Gains
Context – This 60‑minute NVDA chart uses the ATAI Volume Pressure Analyzer (VPA) on a 55‑bar window. The indicator plots an A→B→C structure: the blue C→B segment tracks the preceding advance and the red B→A segment the subsequent pull‑back. Up‑volume and down‑volume are calculated on a lower time frame and then aggregated into host‑time‑frame bars to expose buying and selling pressure.
Volume ranking – Within this window the indicator labels the three largest buying and selling bars (B1–B3 and S1–S3) and reports their statistics in a HUD. The most prominent bar, B1, spans H 184.46 to L 176.41 and shows 5.68 M up‑volume versus 6.69 M down‑volume, producing a –1.01 M delta. B2 (H 178.15–L 173.76) is even more bearish, with 4.03 M up‑volume and 6.52 M down‑volume (delta –2.49 M). B3 (H 177.86–L 171.20) is the only buying bar with a positive delta: 3.50 M up‑volume, 2.79 M down‑volume and a +0.71 M surplus. On the sell side, S1 and S2 coincide with B1 and B2 and mirror their negative deltas. S3 (H 182.08–L 179.10) registers 2.38 M up‑volume against 3.34 M down‑volume for a –0.96 M delta. Collectively, the pattern shows that peaks in buying volume have not yielded higher closes; sellers control all but one of the ranked bars.
Segment behaviour – The C→B rally accumulated roughly 29.89 M up‑volume versus 27.81 M down‑volume, a modest +2.07 M delta. In contrast, the B→A decline logged 40.16 M up‑volume against 43.27 M down‑volume, giving a –3.11 M deficit. The slopes of the trend lines accentuate the story: the advance has gentle positive slopes (~+11° top, +12.4° bottom), whereas the pull‑back slopes downward (–8.5° and –6.9°). Sellers have pushed prices lower more decisively than buyers previously drove them higher.
Price structure and implications – Price currently trades around 174.28 USD. Resistance sits near 178.15 (B2/S2) and 184.46 (B1/S1). As long as price remains beneath these pivot highs and subsequent B‑ranked bars fail to show a positive delta, the selling bias persists. The red dashed guide, connecting recent lows, continues to slope downward, confirming the bearish tilt. Only a flattening or reversal of this guide—coupled with a new B‑ranked bar sporting a positive delta—would hint at a shift in momentum.
Risk management – This analysis is intended for educational purposes. It illustrates how separating up‑ and down‑volume on lower time frames can reveal hidden pressures in intraday charts. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell NVDA stock. Always consult your own trading plan and risk tolerance before acting.
I believe NVDIA will...I think NVIDIA is in a consolidation phase and we may see a pull back into the liquidity zone before its next run and I believe that this is a buying opportunity, to see let profits run. According to the Fibonacci retracement tool that we are using it was going to have a pullback. The way in which it is set up in a way where I am able to tell. It you look at my recent bitcoin publication you would see how it works. It's able to essentially tell you if the asset is going to be bearish or bullish based on its pull backs. Now I am always one for fundamental and I am still experimenting with this strategy. So, I guess we will see.
ALWAYS REMEMBER THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. I PRAY THAT YOU (THE READER) RECIEVE YOUR BLESSING WITH THIS TRADE.
NVDA TRADE AFTER EARNINGS REPPORTright after market open NVDA jumped up to $184.50 and than started to fall down. 1st it touches the VWAP and fell down again sharply to $176.40. I took a position for CALL when the price was @$171.30 for $285 per contract. I have set take profit at VWAP that is $179.70.
NVDA - Watch the show, until the Sh** hits the FanThe expected “end of hype” around Nvidia stems from its current inability to forecast H20 chip sales to China, forced production halts, and growing political friction—despite its strong financial performance elsewhere.
The tension between U.S. export policy and China’s technological self-reliance is creating real operational and strategic obstacles for Nvidia.
In this weekly chart we still have an upward projection.
Nonetheless do we all know what a Game NVDA is playing by selling to its one companies.
The air is thin, very thin up there.
And after the Earnings Report we all know how the books are pimped.
A breach of the CIB line would make me go "hmmm....", and starting to look for a short.
Until then, just relax and watch the show.