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NVIDIA Is it still a buy after its Earnings release?NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) delivered stronger-than-expected second-quarter earnings on Wednesday, but its data center revenue came in slightly below forecasts as U.S. restrictions on H20 chip sales to China weighed on results. The result was a 3.1% fall on the company's stock in after-hours trading following the report. The obvious question is this: Is it still a buy? The answer can be given by purely looking at the technicals. Based on the bigger picture, the stock's 5-month pattern remains a Channel Up since the April 07 bottom, and in fact the recent dip on August 20 was a Higher Low exactly on the pattern's bottom and almost on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been intact since May 06. Given also the fact that the 1D CCI rebounded with aggression after marginally breaking below its oversold level (-100.00), similar to April 21, we expect NVIDIA to resume the bullish trend and extend this new Bullish Leg. Since the last three Bullish Legs have all increased by a little more than +20%, we expect the price to easily reach our $200.00 long-term Target, before the next technical correction occurs. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by TradingShot
2
NVDA is Near it's TopHello I am the Cafe Trader. Today we’re looking at NVDA. This is the first time I’ve shared a Fibonacci study with you. The way I’ve mapped it is simple — start from the beginning of the bull run, and anchor it to the 61.8% retracement of the pullback. From this we can calculate where tops are typically found. (I stumbled upon this method trading with another trader who only used Fib's. I pointed this out to him, and we both got quiet...) As of now, NVDA Is nearing the top of a channel, and close to the top of our FIB Extension. This is where rallies tend to stall, and the reaction here will determine if this becomes a temporary pause or a full reversal (unlikely). Red Scenario If we get rejection in this zone, NVDA could pull back into the demand area around 164–170. That’s the level where I’d expect buyers to step back in. Longer term, I see NVDA as still bullish, but needing to cool down in the short term. Adding at 164 can be an aggressive way to continue to stack your long term. Thanks for reading, as always Happy Trading! @thecafetrader
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by thecafetrader
Nvda volume spike at top?Bearish argument: Volume spike at the top on the daily No daily reversal seen as of Monday Sept 1st Daily bearish divergence Monthly indecision candle TP: Last week's low Daily RSI 30 Daily bullish divergence 160 gap Last year's high Bullish arguments: High volume on Friday's dump on QQQ Need to monitor for QQQ daily reversal Conclusion: Probable chance of continued dump on NVDA. Most likely price target is NVDA or when QQQ reaches last week's low as it coincides with a previous high volume spike level.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by traderxchart
NVDA: A Stoic Approach to a Losing Trade (The Second Breath)As we just discussed, a loss is not a failure; it's information. This trade on NVDA is a perfect, real-time application of that Stoic and Douglas-inspired philosophy. The first attempt was stopped out for a small "paper cut" loss. The Stoics teach us to focus only on what we can control. We couldn't control the price hitting our first stop, but we can absolutely control our reaction. Our reaction is not one of frustration, but of calm acceptance. We take the information the market gave us, remain balanced, and execute the next step of our plan. The New Trade Plan This second attempt is an action taken with more wisdom and an even better potential reward. Style: Long / Re-Entry Entry: Limit Order at $167.75 Stop Loss: A tight, strategically placed stop at $162.25 (3.28% risk) Target: $192.50 Risk/Reward Ratio: Approximately 1 : 4.5 The #limitlessTrader's Mindset The first trade was simply an exhale. This second trade is the next breath, taken with more clarity and from a place of balance. This is the process. Just shine. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It is for educational and informational purposes only. Please conduct your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by TheTradingDoct0r
Labor Market vs. Inflation Risks: What Traders Should WatchCME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:ES1! CME_MINI:MNQ1! CME_MINI:MES1! CBOT_MINI:YM1! CBOT:ZN1! CBOT:ZB1! ECONOMICS:USNFP The stock market is currently holding near all-time highs. Today, the BLS (Bureau of Labor Statistics) report, which includes the NFP (non-farm payrolls), will be released at 7:30 am CT. Market participants are closely watching the non-farm payrolls, with the forecast at 75K, as well as any prior revisions to earlier NFP numbers. The unemployment rate is expected at 4.3%, a slight increase of 0.1%. Looking ahead, upcoming key events include inflation data and the September FOMC rate decision: • Aug PPI (Sep 10): A gauge of upstream price pressures. Hot numbers would signal renewed inflation risks. • Aug CPI & Core CPI (Sep 11): Critical headline data. A softer print would support the dovish case. • Fed Decision (Sep 17): This meeting comes after the Aug NFP data release (Sep 5). While there is broad optimism and euphoria in the market, we remain cautious based on our analysis of major futures indexes. Traders should be mindful of signals that could point to a pullback. Our reasoning: Markets are currently pricing in two 25 bps cuts for the September and October FOMC meetings, which would bring the target rate down to 3.75%–4.00%. Additionally, markets are now pricing in four 25 bps cuts in 2026. Prior to the Jackson Hole meeting and recent Fed-related developments, expectations were for three cuts in 2025 and two cuts in 2026. Does this imply that the effective tariff rate is benign? Is inflation expected to fall, or does this suggest that the Fed is willing to tolerate average inflation in the 2.5%–3.0% range? The upcoming Fed meeting is likely to emphasize risks to the labor market, while downplaying inflation risks, highlighting the tradeoff within the Fed’s dual mandate. Other considerations: Seasonal and cyclical flows also suggest that equity indexes tend to underperform in September and October on average. Risk-Monitoring Framework: Signs of a Pullback Given the deteriorating macro backdrop, further steepening of the yield curve, persistently high long-end yields, and the heavy concentration of stock market capitalization in the Mag 9 stocks, it is critical to monitor: 1. Rates & Yield Curve • 2s10s & 5s30s steepening: Excess steepening with long-end yields above 4.5% would tighten financial conditions. • SOFR futures spreads: Divergence vs. FOMC guidance can signal rate-path misalignment. 2. Labor Market Signals • NFP revisions: Downward revisions of >50K would reinforce labor weakness. • Unemployment rate: Sustained above 4.3% could mark a turning point for the Fed’s labor mandate. 3. Inflation Data • PPI upside surprises: A risk that supply-side shocks re-ignite inflationary pressures. • CPI/Core CPI stickiness: Core >3.1% YoY would challenge the market’s dovish pricing. 4. Equity Market Internals • Mag 9 leadership: Watch for relative weakness in NVDA, AAPL, MSFT, AMZN, META, TSLA, GOOG, AVGO, and BRK.A. • Breadth indicators: Advance/decline line and % of S&P 500 above 200-day MA. Narrowing breadth = fragility. • Volatility (VIX): A spike above 20 would indicate stress returning to equity risk sentiment. 5. Cross-Asset Indicators • Credit spreads (IG & HY): Widening signals stress in funding markets. • USD & Commodities: Rising USD and higher energy prices would tighten global liquidity. Conclusion While optimism remains strong, we caution that macro deterioration, yield curve dynamics, and concentrated equity leadership create fragility. Pullback risks rise if: • NFP disappoints sharply, • inflation re-accelerates, or • outperformance in the Mag 9 begins to roll over. Traders should monitor these risk indicators closely, as they often precede market drawdowns in September–October.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by EdgeClear
All Eyes on NVIDIA Earnings – Will AI Boom or Bust?👀 All Eyes on NVIDIA Earnings – Will AI Boom or Bust? 🎯 Hey guys, Kiri here – the FX Professor. NVIDIA is at a crucial technical resistance around 182.85 . At the same time, the S&P 500 is already pumped above 6433 — showing strength, for now . So, what happens next? 🧠 Let’s break it down: • NVIDIA = The AI barometer 📊 • S&P = Already reacting positively 📈 • Crypto = Waiting in line 🪙 🤖 Earnings Scenarios: 1️⃣ Normal earnings: Market holds — NVIDIA may stay sideways. Risk-on sentiment stays intact. 2️⃣ Good (even slightly good) earnings: Likely breakout above 182.85. S&P 500 could push higher. Crypto benefits — especially AI-related coins. 3️⃣ Bad earnings: 🚨 Be very, very careful. Could trigger a rotation out of AI, bring in “overvaluation” FUD. Combine that with weak GPT-5 reviews? We might see a sharp correction. Remember: Earnings don’t obey technical setups. This is a fundamental catalyst — and anything can happen. Toss a coin, roll the dice — it’s that kind of game. 📍 My Position: I'm bullish until NVIDIA earnings drop . But I’m not blind — the popcorn is ready 🍿 and I’m watching every tick. The chart shows the key levels – support, parabola, re-entry zones, and risk-reward scenarios. Stay sharp. This one matters. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be a HUMAN and as an AI-dev let me tell you this: AI will NEVER be able to come close to Human power: no feelings, no thinking, no intuition, no soul. YOU, my fellow human are the biggest strongest piece of Code. You are the best blockchain, your kids, your work, your hobbies, your pets and your Wisdom are the best Altcoins. Remember to live with Love and respect for yourself and for others.🌟🤝📈
NASDAQ:NVDA
by FX_Professor
4
Nvida Earnings Next, Can Cryptos Stabilize? Cryptocurrencies stabilized a bit in the last 24 hours while stocks also rebounded yesterday during the US session, but the dollar is still moving sideways. Maybe there will be a bit of slow day ahead, till NVIDA earnings are released. Data will be announced today, after the US close, when we’ll get Nvidia earnings, which should also be important for the crypto space. And if results beat expectations—or in other words if the market moves higher after hours—then cryptos could also do well. Looking at Nvidia’s wave count, price could be eyeing new highs after a bounce from 170 support, so maybe a minor fourth wave has finished and we could even see a gap higher after earnings, with potential resistance around the 200 round figure. If earnings disappoint and price gaps lower, I would still see this as a higher-degree corrective wave four retracement, and maybe some opportunities later on to fill the gap. Key support to watch is around 150, the previous high. So even if there’s some downside, as long as any drop it’s not too deep, I still view this stock as bullish within an unfinished impulse, and whenever Nvidia is ready to print new highs, that’s when cryptos could also stabilize. Grega
NASDAQ:NVDA
by ew-forecast
NVDA - Critical Point right now! Back to 150 OR we make new high📊 NVDA – Multi-Timeframe Outlook 🔎 Monthly (1M) Strong bullish structure with clear Elliott Wave progression (1)-(3) unfolding. Current candle shows retracement after a parabolic push, but higher timeframe structure remains intact. Target level stands at 200 USD, aligning with Wave (3) completion zone. 🕰 Weekly (1W) NVDA completed Wave (3) near 184, now pulling back into a local support zone ~160 – 165. Structure suggests a corrective Wave (4) before potential continuation higher. As long as support holds, expectation remains for a Wave (5) push towards 200+. ⏱ Daily (1D) Price coiling inside a corrective a-b-c structure under trendline resistance. Demand/support zone ~170 – 172 is acting as the base. Break above 184 resistance confirms bullish continuation, while loss of support opens risk towards 152 (deeper retrace). ⏳ 8H Clear retracement into demand after Wave (3) high. Price holding trendline support + demand confluence. If buyers step in, expect a rally into Wave (5) targeting 190 – 200. Breakdown of demand would shift momentum bearish short-term. 🎯 Trade Plan Bias: Bullish continuation (Wave 5 setup) Entry Zone: 170 – 175 (demand/support) Targets: 184 (short-term), 200 (medium-term) Invalidation: Break & close below 160 support
NASDAQ:NVDA
by jamesibartram
NVDA - Watch the show, until the Sh** hits the FanThe expected “end of hype” around Nvidia stems from its current inability to forecast H20 chip sales to China, forced production halts, and growing political friction—despite its strong financial performance elsewhere. The tension between U.S. export policy and China’s technological self-reliance is creating real operational and strategic obstacles for Nvidia. In this weekly chart we still have an upward projection. Nonetheless do we all know what a Game NVDA is playing by selling to its one companies. The air is thin, very thin up there. And after the Earnings Report we all know how the books are pimped. A breach of the CIB line would make me go "hmmm....", and starting to look for a short. Until then, just relax and watch the show.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Tr8dingN3rd
Nvidia Earnings Preview: The Guidance GauntletNvidia reports after the bell on Wednesday, and once again the market is treating it less like an earnings call and more like a policy event. At a $4.4 trillion valuation and with eight straight beat-and-raise quarters behind it, expectations are sky high. The numbers themselves are unlikely to surprise. What really matters is how management handles guidance on China, Blackwell shipments, and the durability of AI demand. Numbers Matter, Guidance Matters More Consensus sits around $48 billion in revenue and $1.02 earnings-per-share (EPS), implying year-on-year growth above 50%. Those are extraordinary figures for a mega-cap, but the bar has been set by Nvidia itself. The market already expect another blockbuster quarter, which is why the stock has gained nearly 25% this year. Guidance is where the tension lies. China remains the key swing factor after months of shifting regulation. Licensing restrictions on H20 chips forced Nvidia into a $4.5 billion charge earlier this year, and the new 15% revenue skim on exports has made the picture even messier. Most analysts expect management to keep guidance conservative, excluding China for now while pointing to compliant new products such as the rumoured B30. A lack of clarity here could rattle confidence. Beyond China, hyperscaler demand is the second focal point. Around 90% of Nvidia’s sales now come from data centres, leaving the company reliant on just a handful of customers. With Microsoft, Google, Amazon and Meta collectively spending over $300 billion on capex this year, the opportunity is huge, but even small shifts in timing could dent results. Concentration risk at this scale is something the Street won’t ignore. The Blackwell ramp rounds out the story. Nvidia needs to prove that hype has turned into hardware. Investors want detail on system-level shipments, lead times, and throughput for NVL72 racks. If management can show that execution is running smoothly while margins hold steady in the low 70s, belief in Nvidia’s ability to sustain its dominance will strengthen. If not, even a strong top line could be overshadowed by doubts about delivery. Range in Focus Nvidia’s relentless uptrend has paused in recent weeks, with prices consolidating sideways. This mean reversion has pulled the stock back toward its rising 50-day moving average. The short-term support and resistance levels created by the consolidation are now strategically significant. A decisive break and close above the range could trigger the next leg higher, giving traders a clean breakout setup. Conversely, an earnings disappointment could see price break lower, with downside targets toward the confluent support zone formed by the 200-day moving average and VWAP anchored to the April lows. The range also offers clear stop placement: in the case of a bullish breakout, stops can be placed back within the range below broken resistance, while a bearish breakdown setup would favour stops just above broken support. NVDA Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 85.24% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
CAPITALCOM:NVDA
by Capitalcom
Nvidia Is Up 100%+ Since April. What Does Its Chart Say?Perhaps the most important single earnings release of this earnings season is on deck. AI-friendly chipmaker Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA will report earnings this week at a time when many of the artificial-intelligence trade's darlings have come off of their highest valuations. What does NVDA's technical and fundamental analysis say ahead of the report? Let's take a look: Nvidia's Fundamental Analysis What timing! NVDA will unveil fiscal Q2 earnings on Wednesday after the bell in what could be the market's next big thing following AI stocks' recent pullback and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's key Jackson Hole speech. Nvidia also recently got the go ahead from the US government to resume exports of certain products to China, and its stock has risen more than 100% since hitting an $86.62 52-week intraday low on April 7. As I write this, analysts expect NVDA to report $1.01 of adjusted earnings per share on about $45.3 billion of revenue. That would be good for about 53% year-over-year growth from fiscal Q2 2025's $30 billion in revenue, as well as a 48.5% increase from the firm's $0.68 in adjusted EPS in the same period last year. Now, many investors would view 53% year-over-year sales growth as enormous for most companies, but that would actually represent a deceleration of y/y growth for Nvidia. That said, the "law of large numbers" argues that the pace at which Nvidia has been increasing year-over-year sales since the surge in AI-based capital-expenditure spending began in earnest is unsustainable. Still, some on Wall Street expect NVDA to stabilize sales growth in the low 50%-ish range for at least a few quarters. A number of very highly rated sell-side analysts have also increased their price targets for Nvidia heading into this week's earnings report. Cantor Fitzgerald's CJ Muse, Joseph Moore of Morgan Stanley, TD Cowen's Joshua Buchalter and John Vinh of KeyBanc have all upped their NVDA target prices in just the past few days. TipRanks rates every one of those four at either four or five stars out of a possible five. The group increased their price targets from an average of $191.25 to an average of $224 vs. the $179.81 that Nvidia closed at on Monday. Nvidia's Technical Analysis Now let's look at NVDA's year-to-date chart as of Aug. 20: We have a very complex chart to take in here. Readers will first note that a "cup-with-handle" pattern (the purple curving line at the chart's center) kicked off Nvidia's April-into-August rally. However, the stock's trend -- illustrated here by a Raff Regression model marked with orange shading -- has been broken to the downside as Nvidia approaches earnings. NVDA also appears to have tested the swing crowd at the stock's 21-day Exponential Moving Average (or "EMA," marked with a green line) and lost that fight. Next up would be the stock's 50-day Simple Moving Average, or "SMA," denoted by the blue line above. It will be very interesting to see if institutional money defends the stock at that level. Keep in mind that key Fibonacci retracement levels also exist at roughly $162 (23.6% retracement) and $147 (38.2% retracement), as denoted by the gray shaded area above. The stock's 50-day SMA is the downside pivot that could pave the way to the stock's even more important 200-day SMA (the red line above at $137.40). Meanwhile, Nvidia's upside pivot would be the stock's recent high near $184. A retake of that level in response to a well-received earnings report could make the above analysts' new target prices suddenly seem very realistic. As for the other technical indicators in the above chart, they're not looking very pretty. Nvidia's Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart's top) is sinking like a rock and is trying to hold at a neutral reading. And check out the stock's daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or "MACD," marked with black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart's bottom). The histogram of the 9-day EMA (marked with blue bars) is suddenly deeply negative. That's usually a short-term bearish signal. The 12-day EMA (the black line) has also crossed below the 26-day EMA (the gold line). That's also typically a negative signal -- but with both lines still in positive territory, it's not quite as foreboding. (Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle was long NVDA at the time of writing this column.) This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. 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NASDAQ:NVDA
by moomoo
1
Nvidia (NVDA) Upcoming Earnings ReportNvidia (NVDA) Upcoming Earnings Report Tomorrow after hours, Nvidia will release its quarterly report, attracting heightened attention given its position as: → the world’s largest company (market capitalisation of around $4.39 trillion); → a leader in the development of AI-related industries; → strong stock price performance — approximately +33% year-to-date, +108% from the yearly low. Bullish Expectations Analysts anticipate Nvidia will report revenue of around $46 billion, more than 50% higher than the same period last year. Investors are counting on confirmation of robust demand for Nvidia’s chips from tech giants such as Microsoft, Google, Amazon, and Meta, all of which continue to expand capital expenditure on data centres to power AI workloads. Further support for NVDA’s share price could come from positive news about demand for the new Blackwell chips and the resumption of sales in China following a recent agreement with the US government. Bearish Concerns Even strong results may fall short of “sky-high” optimistic expectations, potentially triggering profit-taking and a decline in Nvidia’s (NVDA) stock price. The stock trades at a high P/E multiple (price-to-earnings ratio), making it vulnerable to any negative news or even a minor miss against forecasts. The primary concern is that Nvidia’s forward guidance might point to a slowdown in AI infrastructure spending growth by its key clients. Any hint of this could negatively affect not only Nvidia’s shares but also the broader technology sector. Technical Analysis of Nvidia (NVDA) Chart NVDA’s share price remains within an upward channel (shown in blue), with the following configuration: → until mid-August, the price remained within the upper half of the channel; → in August, the price declined towards the lower boundary (point A). The $170 level appears to be a key support: → it is a round psychological level; → the low at point A looks like an aggressive test of this level, after which the price reversed upward. From a bullish perspective: → support is provided by the lower boundary of the channel; → a long bullish candlestick (2) signals persistent demand. From a bearish perspective, the $183 level looks like key resistance: NVDA’s share price slowed its advance here in early August, with repeated unsuccessful attempts to break higher. Given the above, we could assume that the bulls may attempt to push through the $183 resistance on the back of the earnings release, but to do so, Nvidia’s results and guidance must at least meet the market’s extremely optimistic expectations. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by FXOpen
2
NVDA – Decision Week Ahead $200 or $140?NVIDIA (NVDA) has been on an incredible bull run, climbing from $140 to nearly $180+ in just 2–3 months. Now, with earnings coming this week, the market is at a decision point: Will the AI leader extend its rally toward $200 🚀, or will profit-taking and cautious guidance send it back toward $150 📉? 🟢 Bullish Scenario Entry points: 170→165→160 Targets: $185 → $190 → $200+ Lose $170? I’ll wait patiently for $150–140 before sizing back in. 🔴 Bearish Scenario – Pullback to $150–140 If earnings disappoint or guidance weakens (China restrictions, slowing demand), NVDA could unwind toward prior support. Entry Points (for long re-entry after correction): $160 $150 $140 Targets on recovery: $160 → $175 → $190 📌 Disclaimer: This post reflects my personal trading plan, not financial advice. Always do your own research and use proper risk management.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Robert_V12
Nvidia (NVDA) Targets 189+ in Wave 5 CompletionNvidia (NVDA) aims to advance in wave (5), targeting $189 or higher. The rally to $185.22 completed wave (3). A pullback in wave (4) formed a zigzag Elliott Wave pattern. From wave (3), wave A dropped to $170.89. Wave B peaked at $184.48, and wave C fell to $168.01, showing an impulsive structure on the 30-minute chart below. The stock has since turned upward. It must break above $185.22, the wave (3) high, to confirm no double correction. The rally from wave (4) unfolds as a five-wave impulse, supporting a bullish bias. From the wave (4) low, wave ((i)) reached $173.53. Wave ((ii)) dipped to $171.11. The stock then climbed in wave ((iii)) to $181.91. A brief wave ((iv)) pullback ended at $178.35. Nvidia nears completion of wave ((v)), finalizing wave 1 in a higher degree. A wave 2 pullback should follow, correcting the cycle from the August 22 low. The stock will likely resume its climb afterward. As long as the $168.01 pivot holds, pullbacks should attract buyers in a 3, 7, or 11 swing, paving the way for further upside. This setup keeps Nvidia’s bullish momentum intact, provided the key support level remains unbroken.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Elliottwave-Forecast
NVDA Earnings Play | \$190C– Don’t Miss Out # 🚀 NVDA Earnings Play | \$190C @ 2.49 | 200–400% Target 🎯 ### 📝 Quick Take (TL;DR) * **Bias:** Moderate-Bullish (78% confidence). * **Rationale:** Fundamentals 🔥 + Options flow skewed bullish 📈 + Technicals constructive. * **Main Risk:** China export \~\$8B headwind in guidance. --- ### 🎯 Trade Idea * **Buy** NVDA **2025-08-29 \$190 Call** * 📌 Entry: \$2.49 (ask) — enter **pre-earnings close** (Aug 26 AMC). * 🛑 Stop: \$1.25 (−50%). * 🎯 Targets: * +200% → \$7.47 * +300% → \$9.96 * ⏳ Exit Rule: If neither stop/target hit, **close within 2h post-earnings open**. * ⚖️ Risk: \$249 per contract (max loss). --- ### 📊 Why This Setup? **Fundamentals (9/10)** * Revenue growth: +69% TTM 🚀 * Margins elite (gross 70%, net 52%) 💰 * Beat history: 8/8 last quarters ✅ * Balance sheet strong (cash \~\$54B). **Options Flow (8/10)** * Implied move ~~5.9% (~~\$10.5). * Call OI heavy @ \$185–\$200 (gamma cluster). * Liquidity excellent at \$190 strike (OI >64k). **Technicals (8/10)** * Price \$179.83, holding above 20/50/200 MAs. * RSI neutral (53). * Resistance: \$184.5 / \$190 / \$200. * Coiling under highs 🔄. **Macro (6/10)** * AI/data center demand = secular tailwind. * China ban risk headline. * VIX \~15 → complacency = bigger gap risk. --- ### ⚠️ Risks * Guidance may highlight China hit (\$8B) → bearish gap. * IV crush 30–50% post-print. * Gap risk may bypass stop. * Single-leg naked = high variance → **size small (≤2% portfolio).** --- ### 📌 Execution Checklist ✅ Confirm ask = 2.49 @ close. ✅ Expiry = 2025-08-29 (weekly). ✅ Size ≤ 2% acct. ✅ Close within 2h post-earnings if no trigger. --- ### 📊 TRADE JSON ```json { "instrument": "NVDA", "direction": "call", "strike": 190.0, "expiry": "2025-08-29", "confidence": 78, "entry_price": 2.49, "stop_loss": 1.245, "profit_target": 7.47, "size": 1, "entry_timing": "pre_earnings_close", "earnings_date": "2025-08-26", "earnings_time": "AMC", "expected_move": 5.9, "iv_rank": 0.75, "signal_publish_time": "2025-08-26 14:00:37 UTC-04:00" } ``` --- ### 🔖 Hashtags \#NVDA #EarningsPlay #OptionsTrading #CallOptions #StockMarket #AIStocks #Futures #SwingTrade #TradingSignals #RiskReward #OptionsFlow #SP500 #TechStocks
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by quantsignals
Nvda... where we standEarnings this week... Upside move 195-200 if they pump this but any opening near 200 should be faded .. I'm looking towards a 140 test in Sept - Oct. Weekly is really overbought , I wouldn't chase this up here.. I'm looking for a move similar to what TSM did after blow out earnings which is gap up to weekly trendline and fade Biggest red flag here is NASDAQ:SMH (Chipsector) Zoomed out you can see price is rolling over at resistance here Zoomed in and you can see , Wyckoff distribution You'll be lucky if SMH gives you one more pop but this sector and the underlying top stocks are headed for a 20-30% correction (Maybe more).. I'd stay away from the longs until Seasonality flips again around late Oct early November See the link from the NASDAQ:AVGO and NYSE:TSM .. they are already finished. NVDA IS THE FAT LADY SINGING. Eventually NVDA will retest the bottom of this channel , this move will like come with a break below 90 but first we would have to break back below 140.. So my analysis is, Nvda has room for 190-200 if it beats on earnings, if it goes red and drops below 167 it's a short back to 140's.. Either way, we will see 140
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by ContraryTrader
12
$NVDA | The Next Big Leg?NVIDIA has been a textbook case of Smart Money structure this cycle. ✅ Break of Structure (BOS) confirmed ✅ Trendline + MA confluence support at ~$177 ✅ Strong premium zone rejection near $195 ✅ Fibonacci extension eyeing $231.80 🔑 Levels to Watch: $177 = Key support (trendline + MA) $195 = Resistance zone (premium supply) $231 = Next target if bullish momentum continues 💡 Game Plan: Above $177 = Long bias toward $195 → $231 Break below $177 = Retrace toward $153 equilibrium ⚡️ Tech + AI flows remain strong; NVDA could be gearing up for another explosive move. 📢 Question to the community: 👉 Do you think NASDAQ:NVDA pushes through $195 straight to $231, or do we retest $153 first? #NVDA #TradingView #Stocks #Fibonacci #SmartMoneyConcepts #AI #Bullish
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC