NVIDIA shows signs of a potential breakout.If NVIDIA breaks above $180, we should analyze the candlesticks at $183 and prepare for a move toward $190.
NVDAN trade ideas
NVDA LIVE 27 AUG 2025This is my analysis for NVDA . i am not touching it all. I have discussed my reasons as per data. If you have any doubts, feel free to DM me
NOTE: AVOIDING NVDA
NVDA DOWN?MVP SYSTEM
Update to prior post.
Today = earnings
The RTY and YM recently faked out to the downside. The NQ also broke down from the upward rsi trend. Is it also a fake out?
The NVDA chart looks like an obvious short - which gives me pause; is it another fake out?
I don’t have a position in NVDA, but I do use it as a proxy for NQ and the market overall.
I can see it pushing above the high and then dropping, regardless of the earnings report.
NVDA Daily Chart NVIDIA NASDAQ:NVDA continues to respect its long-term ascending channel (green zone), with price currently trading at $179.81 (+1.02%). After the recent pullback toward the mid-channel, buyers stepped back in, defending key moving averages and reclaiming short-term momentum.
- Support Levels
$177.25 (recent breakout zone, now first line of support)
$170.96 (gap-fill + mid-channel support)
$167.33 (critical higher-low level)
Below this, $164.65 and $154.14 are major swing supports.
- Resistance Levels:
$180.51 (near-term resistance; previous high rejection area)
Break and hold above $181.91 could open the path toward $188–$190.
- Momentum (RSI 58.44):
RSI has cooled off from overbought conditions in July.
Currently trending higher but not yet extended, leaving room for continuation.
*Bullish Scenario: A daily close above $181.91 would confirm breakout continuation, targeting $188–$190 near channel resistance.
*Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold $177.25 risks a pullback toward $171–167, where trend support and buyers are likely to step in.
Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor. The information shared here is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed financial professional before making investment decisions.
NVIDIA Trend ForecastFollowing Nvidia’s upward move within the blue channel, there appeared to be a period of liquidity accumulation, marked by a pullback into the purple box. Within this range, two instances — highlighted in the yellow circles — suggest possible order gathering or liquidity collection.
The price has now broken out of the purple box, and if positive news emerges, it will likely continue its upward move toward the $200 level. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — it is solely my personal opinion. If the news develops as I anticipate, the trend will probably continue in the direction indicated by the red arrow.
NVDA Wave Analysis – 25 August 2025- NVDA reversed from the support area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 183.45
NVDA recently reversed with the daily Hammer from the support area between the pivotal support level 170.00, lower daily Bollinger Band and the support trendline of the daily Up Channel from May.
This support area was strengthened by the 50% Fibonacci correction of the previous sharp upward impulse from the start of July.
Given the strong daily uptrend, NVDA can be expected rise to the next resistance level 183.45 (which stopped the earlier impulse wave i).
NVIDIA new possible down trend An analysis of Nvidia's price action shows it trading within a four-month-long ascending channel. The price has recently broken below the channel's support line and has since retraced to a key Fibonacci level. This price action, combined with bearish indicators from the MACD and RSI on the daily and weekly charts, presents a technical case for a potential trend reversal.
NVIDIA shows signs of a potential breakout.If NVIDIA breaks above $180, we should analyze the candlesticks at $183 and prepare for a move toward $190.
The 4 Steps That Triggered NVDA BUY - "I spotted a red bar "NVIDIA (NVDA) BUY Setup Using the Short Squeeze Mindset 💻📈
NVIDIA continues to dominate the AI revolution, but trading it isn’t always easy. Pullbacks shake out weak hands, while volatility tricks retail traders into shorting.
That’s why you need the Short Squeeze Mindset.
NVDA is Setting Up for a BUY 🚀
👉 On the Daily Chart, NVDA printed a green bar 🟩, confirming bullish trend strength.
👉 On the 4H Chart, I spotted a red bar 🟥, which tempts shorts to enter — but they’re stepping into a trap.
👉 And here’s the extra confirmation: Balance of Power (BOP) = 0.7+ on the Daily.
This tells us institutions are firmly in control — demand outweighs supply, and bears are just adding fuel to the fire.
The 4 Steps That Triggered NASDAQ:NVDA BUY 🎯
1️⃣ Rocket Booster Strategy
Find big trending stocks → NVDA is leading the AI/tech sector.
Daily green 🟩 confirms trend strength.
2️⃣ Momentum Trading Style
NVDA is outperforming NASDAQ.
Strong relative strength means it’s a prime BUY candidate.
3️⃣ Short Squeeze Mindset
Daily = green 🟩
4H = red 🟥
Shorts think the pullback is safe → but daily momentum will squeeze them out.
4️⃣ Stochastic Overbought Zone
Overbought ≠ sell. In a squeeze, it confirms powerful breakout continuation.
Extra Note on BOP 🟩📊
The Balance of Power reading above 0.7 on the daily chart is rare.
It means:
Buyers are overwhelming sellers
Institutions are quietly accumulating
Breakout continuation has a high probability
This strengthens the BUY thesis for NVDA.
How To Trade NVDA BUY 🔑
📊 Step 1 – Confirm Daily Trend
Daily = green bar 🟩 + BOP > 0.7 = buyers in control.
📊 Step 2 – Watch 4H Pullback
Shorts enter on red bar 🟥 → wait for them to get trapped.
📊 Step 3 – Trigger Entry
Look for bullish engulfing or hammer on 4H.
Enter when confirmation candle breaks.
📊 Step 4 – Targets & Risk
TP1: recent daily swing high
TP2: psychological levels (e.g., $1,000)
SL: below 4H swing low
What Makes This Matters 🌍
NVDA isn’t just another stock. It’s the heartbeat of AI momentum.
When you combine the Short Squeeze Mindset with BOP > 0.7, you’re aligning with both price action and institutional order flow.
That’s the edge.
🚀 Keep this NVDA setup in focus — the squeeze is coming.
⚠️ Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Trading involves risk. Always use proper risk management and demo test your strategy.
Checking for support near 171.26
Hello, traders!
Follow me to get the latest information quickly.
Have a great day!
-------------------------------------
(NVDA 1M chart)
The basic trading strategy is to buy in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range and sell in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range.
However, if the price rises from the HA-High to DOM(60) range, a step-like uptrend is likely, while if it falls from the DOM(-60) to HA-Low range, a step-like downtrend is likely.
Therefore, the basic trading strategy should be a segmented trading strategy.
-
Looking at the current 1M chart, the HA-High to DOM(60) range is 121.80-138.23.
Therefore, if the price holds above 121.80-138.23, the step-like uptrend is likely to continue.
The left Fibonacci ratio was drawn in the first wave, and the key is whether the price can rise above 3.618 (181.85) and hold.
The right Fibonacci ratio was drawn in the second wave, and the key is whether the price can rise above 1 (198.88).
Therefore, the key question is whether the price can break above the 181.85-198.88 range.
If the price fails to rise,
1st: 152.89
2nd: 121.80-138.23
We need to check for support near the 1st and 2nd levels above.
-
(1D chart)
The HA-High ~ DOM(60) range on the 1D chart is 180.76-182.70.
Therefore, for a stepwise uptrend to begin, the price must rise above 180.76-182.70 and maintain its position.
The 171.26 level is the HA-High indicator level on the 1W chart.
Therefore, the key question is whether support is found near 171.26.
If it falls below 171.26, it is likely to decline until it meets the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
At this point, the key is whether it can find support near 152.89, the Fibonacci 3 level (157.76) to the left.
If it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart, there is a possibility of a downtrend, so you should consider a response plan.
------------------------------------------------
If this is your first time hearing this explanation, you may not understand what I'm talking about.
The important thing is that the DOM(-60) and HA-Low indicators indicate lows, while the DOM(60) and HA-High indicators indicate highs.
Therefore, buys should be made near the DOM(-60) and HA-Low indicators, and sells should be made near the DOM(60) and HA-High indicators.
To interpret charts from a long-term perspective, you need to check the positions of the DOM(-60), HA-Low, HA-High, and DOM(60) indicators on the 1M chart.
The 1W chart is interpreted from a medium- to long-term perspective, while the 1D chart is interpreted from a short-term perspective.
In the stock market, price fluctuations are often driven by issues other than the chart itself, so it's important to always be aware of volatility.
Even so, since volatility ultimately occurs after the chart is created, it's best to analyze the chart first and then examine other issues.
Otherwise, you'll likely end up creating a trading strategy that heavily reflects your own subjective opinions.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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Nvidia at a Crossroads – Support or Steeper Decline?Nvidia shares have fallen by about 6% since the company reported results on 27 August. The stock has now reached an important inflection point, trading in a range between $165 and $170, which is a major area of technical support. If this support is broken, it could see the shares slip towards $150 — a further decline of around 12% from their price of roughly $171 on 2 September.
The zone between $165 and $170 has acted as a support region on a few occasions since the gap higher on 15 July. That gap, however, was filled on 22 July, and it is possible that support at $165 has now been exhausted. This would mean that a retest of $165 could lead to the shares falling to their next support level, which is at the previous highs of $150.
We have also seen a change in trend for Nvidia, with the stock now trading below a trend line that has been in place since early May. It is also trading below its 20-day moving average, which has started to turn lower. The relative strength index (RSI) confirms this change in trend, as it has also been trending lower. The RSI formed a bearish divergence in late July after climbing above 70, a point at which the RSI began making lower highs while the share price continued to make higher highs.
If the stock is able to maintain support between $165 and $170, climb back above the 20-day moving average, and, more importantly, break the downtrend in the RSI, then it is possible that Nvidia could withstand this move lower and contain its losses, with an attempt to make another push towards all-time highs.
Outside of that, the road ahead for Nvidia looks challenging.
Written by Michael J. Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management.
Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed.
No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.
The Trader's Mind: Stoic Balance and The 5 TruthsHello, fellow seekers.
Today, let's set aside the charts for a moment and talk about the single most important tool in our arsenal: our mind. A winning strategy is useless if the mind operating it is in a state of chaos. The key to consistency is not a secret indicator, but a balanced internal state.
Two of the most powerful frameworks for achieving this balance are the modern wisdom of trader Mark Douglas and the ancient philosophy of Stoicism. They are two different paths leading to the same truth.
Mark Douglas's 5 Fundamental Truths of Trading
Anything can happen.
You don't need to know what is going to happen next to make money.
There is a random distribution between wins and losses for any given set of variables that define an edge.
An edge is nothing more than an indication of a higher probability of one thing happening over another.
Every moment in the market is unique.
The Echo of Stoicism
These truths echo the teachings of Stoic philosophers like Marcus Aurelius. They teach us to accept what is outside our control (market movements) and focus only on what is within our control (our process, our risk, our mindset). This is the path to emotional flow, not suppression. It is watching the river of fear and greed flow by without being swept away by the current.
From Theory to Practice
This isn't just theory; it's the practical foundation for how we navigate the markets. In my next posts on NASDAQ:NVDA and NASDAQ:OPEN , you'll see exactly how these principles are applied in real-time to manage both a losing trade and a winning one.
Just shine.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It is for educational and informational purposes only. Please conduct your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
Institutions & Participants in Financial Markets1. Introduction
Financial markets are the backbone of global economies. They provide a platform where individuals, corporations, and governments can raise capital, invest savings, and manage risks. Behind every transaction in the stock market, currency exchange, bond market, or commodity trading, there are participants who make the system function. Some are individuals trading with their own savings, while others are large institutions managing billions of dollars. Together, they form a complex network of buyers, sellers, intermediaries, and regulators who ensure liquidity, stability, and transparency in markets.
Understanding Institutions and Participants is essential because they influence how prices are discovered, how risks are shared, and how capital flows across economies. Without them, financial markets would not function efficiently.
2. Definition of Institutions & Participants
Institutions in financial markets refer to organized bodies that create, regulate, or facilitate market activities. Examples include central banks (RBI, FED), regulators (SEBI, SEC), stock exchanges (NSE, NYSE), clearing houses, and depositories. Their primary role is to ensure smooth functioning, enforce rules, and reduce risks of defaults or fraud.
Participants are entities or individuals that actively take part in financial transactions. This includes retail traders, institutional investors, corporations, governments, and intermediaries like brokers and dealers. They provide liquidity, demand, and supply for financial assets.
Together, institutions and participants form the ecosystem of financial markets, where institutions provide the structure and participants provide the activity.
3. Types of Market Participants
(a) Retail Investors
Retail investors are individual participants who invest their personal savings in stocks, mutual funds, bonds, or derivatives. They usually trade in smaller quantities compared to institutions. Retail participation has grown tremendously with the rise of mobile trading apps, discount brokers, and financial literacy campaigns.
Strengths: Flexibility, diversity of strategies, emotional conviction.
Weaknesses: Limited capital, lack of information compared to institutions, prone to herd behavior.
Example: In India, after 2020, retail investors surged on platforms like Zerodha, Upstox, and Groww, contributing significantly to stock market liquidity.
(b) Institutional Investors
These are large organizations that pool funds from clients or members and invest systematically. They include:
Mutual Funds – Manage pooled capital for retail investors.
Pension Funds – Invest long-term for retirement benefits.
Insurance Companies – Invest premiums in safe and growth-oriented assets.
Hedge Funds & Private Equity – Use complex strategies to maximize returns.
Institutions play a dominant role because of their large capital base and access to advanced research. Their actions often influence market trends and sentiments.
(c) Brokers & Sub-Brokers
Brokers act as intermediaries between investors and the stock exchange. They provide platforms, research, and execution services. Sub-brokers or franchisees work under main brokers to service clients in smaller regions.
In India, SEBI regulates brokers, requiring them to register and follow compliance rules. Discount brokers like Zerodha revolutionized the industry by reducing costs and increasing retail participation.
(d) Market Makers & Dealers
Market makers are institutions or individuals who continuously provide buy and sell quotes for securities, ensuring liquidity in the market. Dealers trade on their own account, taking positions in securities to profit from price movements.
Example: In the Forex market, banks act as market makers by offering two-way quotes (bid and ask prices).
(e) Corporates
Companies participate in markets to raise funds by issuing shares, bonds, or commercial papers. They also engage in hedging using derivatives to manage currency or interest rate risks.
For example, Reliance Industries regularly taps debt markets, while Infosys issues shares under ESOPs.
(f) Governments & Central Banks
Governments raise capital through bonds (sovereign debt) to finance infrastructure, welfare, and development. Central banks regulate money supply, set interest rates, and intervene in foreign exchange markets.
The Federal Reserve (US) sets monetary policy that affects global markets.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) manages inflation, rupee stability, and liquidity.
(g) Regulators & Exchanges
Regulators (e.g., SEBI in India, SEC in the USA) create and enforce laws to protect investors and maintain fair markets.
Exchanges (e.g., NSE, NYSE) provide the physical or electronic infrastructure where buyers and sellers meet. They ensure price transparency, equal access, and fair competition.
(h) Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) & Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs)
Global investors participate in emerging markets like India to seek growth opportunities. They bring in large capital inflows, which can boost stock indices but also increase volatility if they withdraw funds quickly.
Example: In 2020–2021, FPIs invested heavily in Indian equities, leading to record highs in Nifty and Sensex.
4. Institutions in Global & Indian Context
Stock Exchanges
Global: NYSE, NASDAQ, London Stock Exchange.
India: NSE and BSE dominate trading volumes.
Clearing Corporations & Depositories
They reduce settlement risks by ensuring that buyers get their securities and sellers receive payments.
India: NSDL, CDSL.
Global: DTCC (USA), Euroclear (Europe).
Regulators
India: SEBI, RBI, IRDAI.
Global: SEC (USA), FCA (UK), ESMA (Europe).
International Institutions
IMF & World Bank – provide financial stability and funding to nations.
Bank for International Settlements (BIS) – sets banking regulations.
5. How Participants Interact in Markets
Financial markets are divided into:
Primary Market: Where new securities are issued (IPOs, bonds). Corporates and governments raise funds here.
Secondary Market: Where existing securities are traded. Retail and institutional investors interact here.
Price Discovery happens when buyers and sellers agree on prices based on demand and supply. Institutions often lead price discovery, while retail investors follow.
Technology’s Role: Algorithmic trading, high-frequency trading, and fintech platforms have transformed participation. Machines now execute trades in microseconds, increasing liquidity but also creating flash-crash risks.
6. Case Studies & Examples
2008 Financial Crisis: Triggered by reckless lending by banks, misuse of mortgage-backed securities, and regulatory gaps. It showed the danger of unregulated institutions.
Indian Markets Post-2020: Surge in retail investors and rise of discount brokers democratized investing. FIIs also played a strong role in pushing indices to record highs.
7. Challenges & Risks
Conflicts of Interest – Brokers may mis-sell products, institutions may prioritize profits over clients.
Market Manipulation – Pump-and-dump schemes, insider trading, and algorithmic manipulation distort fairness.
Globalization Risks – Capital flight during crises (e.g., FIIs pulling funds).
Regulatory Gaps – Some instruments (like crypto) still lack clear regulations.
8. Future of Institutions & Participants
AI & Algorithmic Trading will dominate markets, with human traders playing a smaller role.
Fintech & Digital Platforms will bring more retail investors into the system.
Global Institutional Flows will decide the fate of emerging markets like India.
Sustainable Finance – ESG-focused investing and green bonds will rise.
9. Conclusion
Institutions and participants together form the lifeline of financial markets. Institutions provide the rules, infrastructure, and trust needed for smooth functioning, while participants provide liquidity, capital, and demand. Their interaction shapes prices, drives innovation, and supports economic growth.
From a small retail trader buying a single stock to a central bank moving billions in currency reserves, each participant plays a vital role in maintaining balance. The future will bring more technology-driven participation, deeper global integration, and stronger institutional oversight.
In essence, the strength of a financial market depends on the quality of its institutions and the diversity of its participants.
NVDA Under Pressure: Sellers Dominate as Volume Spikes Fail NVDA Under Pressure: Sellers Dominate as Volume Spikes Fail to Sustain Price Gains
Context – This 60‑minute NVDA chart uses the ATAI Volume Pressure Analyzer (VPA) on a 55‑bar window. The indicator plots an A→B→C structure: the blue C→B segment tracks the preceding advance and the red B→A segment the subsequent pull‑back. Up‑volume and down‑volume are calculated on a lower time frame and then aggregated into host‑time‑frame bars to expose buying and selling pressure.
Volume ranking – Within this window the indicator labels the three largest buying and selling bars (B1–B3 and S1–S3) and reports their statistics in a HUD. The most prominent bar, B1, spans H 184.46 to L 176.41 and shows 5.68 M up‑volume versus 6.69 M down‑volume, producing a –1.01 M delta. B2 (H 178.15–L 173.76) is even more bearish, with 4.03 M up‑volume and 6.52 M down‑volume (delta –2.49 M). B3 (H 177.86–L 171.20) is the only buying bar with a positive delta: 3.50 M up‑volume, 2.79 M down‑volume and a +0.71 M surplus. On the sell side, S1 and S2 coincide with B1 and B2 and mirror their negative deltas. S3 (H 182.08–L 179.10) registers 2.38 M up‑volume against 3.34 M down‑volume for a –0.96 M delta. Collectively, the pattern shows that peaks in buying volume have not yielded higher closes; sellers control all but one of the ranked bars.
Segment behaviour – The C→B rally accumulated roughly 29.89 M up‑volume versus 27.81 M down‑volume, a modest +2.07 M delta. In contrast, the B→A decline logged 40.16 M up‑volume against 43.27 M down‑volume, giving a –3.11 M deficit. The slopes of the trend lines accentuate the story: the advance has gentle positive slopes (~+11° top, +12.4° bottom), whereas the pull‑back slopes downward (–8.5° and –6.9°). Sellers have pushed prices lower more decisively than buyers previously drove them higher.
Price structure and implications – Price currently trades around 174.28 USD. Resistance sits near 178.15 (B2/S2) and 184.46 (B1/S1). As long as price remains beneath these pivot highs and subsequent B‑ranked bars fail to show a positive delta, the selling bias persists. The red dashed guide, connecting recent lows, continues to slope downward, confirming the bearish tilt. Only a flattening or reversal of this guide—coupled with a new B‑ranked bar sporting a positive delta—would hint at a shift in momentum.
Risk management – This analysis is intended for educational purposes. It illustrates how separating up‑ and down‑volume on lower time frames can reveal hidden pressures in intraday charts. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell NVDA stock. Always consult your own trading plan and risk tolerance before acting.
Trading plan for $NVDA after its earningstarting with 1/3 of my position now before its earning:
sell-to-open 165p exp this Friday
buy-to-open 160p exp 09/19
then I will trade along with the price action after its earnings.
NVDA Ready to Break Out? Targeting $200NVIDIA (NVDA) has been consolidating inside an upward wedge, and the price action is looking primed for a breakout to the upside. Based on this technical setup, I believe NVDA has the potential to push toward the $200 level. 📈
I’ll walk through the chart, key levels to watch, and why this wedge could be the launchpad for NVDA’s next big move.
👉 What do you think—will NVDA break out or fake out? Drop your thoughts below!
#StockMarket #Trading #DayTrading #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #OptionsTrading #StockTrader #StockTips
Past Resistance = Future Support: SPX500 and Others UpdateIt is August 21, 2025. I have entitled this video, Past Resistance = Future Support. As I purchased many stocks from the yearly lows of 2025, I anticipate, from a probabilistic perspective, that this new retracement will not last, but alas! It shall be a 3% to 5% pullback.
I investigate, from a technical perspective, the chart built on the principles and experience I have gained over the years of watching the markets: from the smallest (general) timeframes to the biggest.
Stocks have been pent up for months, coiling, building up weekly pressure. It is time to grow. Time to invest. Time to be patient over the course of one or two quarters.
Expectation:
A Halloween or Thanksgiving rally. Targets will be hit by December 2025 to January 2026.
Nvidia Shares Maintain Bearish Bias Near $170Over the past three trading sessions, Nvidia’s shares have posted a sharp decline, accumulating losses of more than 3% in the short term. For now, the emerging selling bias around the stock remains in place, as the market fears a potential overheating of the artificial intelligence industry. Added to this is the anticipation of the company’s results on August 27, which may show difficulties in revenue, mainly due to concerns that sales in China have weakened in recent months amid the intensifying trade war. Earnings per share are expected to come in around $0.94, but uncertainty remains as to whether this figure can hold given possible performance challenges. As long as this uncertainty persists, selling pressure on the stock could remain in the short term.
Uptrend Channel at Risk
Recent sessions have shown a clear shift in the bullish outlook that Nvidia had been sustaining in prior weeks. A significant bearish correction has emerged, halting the advance of the short-term uptrend channel and leading to a breakdown of its lower boundary. As long as selling pressure continues, this previous channel may lose relevance and give way to a broader bearish scenario, provided the bearish bias remains dominant.
Technical Indicators
RSI: the RSI line has begun to show a downward slope, now approaching the neutral 50 level. If it breaks below this threshold, selling momentum could become dominant in the short term, paving the way for stronger bearish pressure on the chart in the upcoming sessions.
MACD: the MACD histogram is currently moving below the 0 line, reflecting that short-term moving averages have entered a sustained bearish territory. If the histogram continues to decline, selling pressure is likely to strengthen further in the short term.
Key Levels to Watch:
$184 – Main Resistance: corresponds to the area of recent highs. A sustained recovery above this level could reactivate a bullish bias and bring back strength to the uptrend channel.
$173 – Near-Term Support: current congestion zone of recent weeks and the most immediate barrier. A sustained move below this level could trigger a stronger bearish bias in the short term.
$162 – Crucial Support: aligned with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. A decisive break below this level would confirm a bearish structural shift, opening the door to a new selling trend in the short term.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
$NVDA and the Elliott Wave Theory(Updates)This is an update of a previous publication(link below). With price above the 423% Fib. level, this means that there is overbuying. Using Elliott Wave Theory we can see that Wave 3(Green) is complete with 5 waves(shown in Blue) inside it. What should follow from this is a Flat correction for Wave 4(Green) because Wave 2(Green) was a Zigzag. The Red arrow shows price direction only and points to a Wave A(Black) as our first wave for the Zigzag. This arrow does not show precise price ending rather shows direction. For more on the same, go to:
sellers showing signs of exhaustion, potential return to support1. entry of sellers after strong uptrend
2. buyers gain intrest and push back to challange #1 sellers
3-4. establishment of a consolidation channel
5. buyers strong attempt to push up, the failure of this and the
candles after in which the genesis of the #5 candle is broken down,
shows me that buyers do not have strength right now
* i believe control might be given back to the sellers here.
* two zone based entries using chaos theory targets which currently
have a 64% follow through rate.
NVDANVDA Weekly:
The price is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, with the upper trendline acting as resistance and the lower trendline as support.
The price recently touched the upper boundary of the channel around $182–$185 and has since slightly retraced.If the price breaks above the $182–$185 resistance (upper channel boundary), we could see accelerated bullish momentum. The next potential target would be based on an extrapolation above the channel or psychological levels such as $200.
The price appears to respect the dashed midline of the channel as a dynamic support/resistance, signifying its importance in price movements.
A previous consolidation zone between $135 and $150 (highlighted by the shaded gray area) now represents a major support area. If the price declines, the stock may test this zone.
If the pullback continues, the $150–$160 range serves as a critical support zone. Breaking below this range might send the stock toward the midline of the channel or the $140 region.
NVIDIA Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 082025Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 172/61.80%
Chart time frame:B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress:C
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If you want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day
