Get started
US Crude Oil CFDUS Crude Oil CFDUS Crude Oil CFD

US Crude Oil CFD

No trades
See on Supercharts
OverviewNewsIdeasMindsSeasonals

Trade ideas

WTI Crude Oil Short Setup: Retest of Flipped ResistanceHello TradingView Community, This post outlines a potential short trade setup for WTI Light Crude Oil (XTIUSD) on the 15-minute timeframe. Technical Analysis: The chart highlights a key horizontal price level at approximately $63.50. This level previously acted as a solid support base, holding the price up on multiple occasions. We have recently witnessed a clear breakdown below this support, indicating a shift in momentum to the bearish side. The price is now consolidating just below this broken structure, potentially setting up for a retest. This is a classic "support-turned-resistance" scenario. The expectation is that this level will now act as a ceiling, rejecting the price and leading to a continuation of the downtrend. Trade Setup: The short position tool on the chart visualizes a potential trade plan based on this bearish outlook: Entry: Approximately $63.50 (at the retest of the new resistance). Stop Loss: $64.82 (placed above the resistance zone to invalidate the idea if the price reclaims the level). Take Profit: $58.36 (targeting a new potential swing low). This setup provides a structured plan with a clear risk-to-reward ratio for a potential move lower. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and discussion purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading commodities involves significant risk. Please conduct your own research and manage your risk appropriately before making any trading decisions.
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDShort
by professionaltrading70018
5
USOIL: Sideways-to-lower in a tight bandThis is my previous analysis — feel free to take a look for reference. 1. Institutional Forecast Updates IEA (Sep 15, 2025): WTI targets $64.2/bbl for 2025 and $47.8/bb l for 2026 Brent targets $68/bbl for 2025 and $51/bb l for 2026 Goldman Sach (Jul 14, 2025): WTI targets $63/bbl for H2 2025 and $52/bbl for 2026 Brent targets $64/bbl for H2 2025 and $56/bbl for 2026 J.P. Morgan (May 16, 2025): Brent targets $64/bbl for H2 2025 and $56/bbl for 2026 www.rigzone.com www.reuters.com www.jpmorgan.com 2. Key Drivers & Risks 📉 Supply OPEC+ unwinding cuts of 2.2 mb/d (2024–2025), plus +137 kb/d starting October 2025. Global supply reached 106.9 mb/d in Aug 2025; projected to rise by +2.7 mb/d to 105.8 mb/d in 2025. U.S. output hit a record 13.2–13.4 mb/d (2024–2025) Brazil, Guyana, and Canada are key contributors to non-OPEC+ growth. U.S. shale breakeven costs: ~$62–68/bbl. New offshore projects breakeven at ~$47/bbl. OECD inventories in July 2025: 2,848 million barrels; 58.1 days of forward cover. ✳️ Demand Global oil demand in 2024: ~103 mb/d (~193 EJ) 2025 demand growth of only +0.7 mb/d (weakest since 2009, excluding 2020). OPEC projects demand growth of +1.3 mb/d in 2025 and +1.4 mb/d in 2026. Consumption structure: transport accounts for ~two-thirds of oil demand; >90% of transport energy comes from oil. Petrochemicals (naphtha, LPG) remain a key driver of incremental demand. 🛑 Politics & Geopolitics Escalating Middle East tensions: growing risks in the Strait of Hormuz and Red Sea. Kurdistan–Turkey pipeline (~0.23 mb/d) subject to recurring disruptions. Venezuela: Chevron faces restrictions on U.S. exports. OPEC+ often produces ~0.5 mb/d below quota due to capacity limits. Long-term trend: EV adoption and emission policies structurally weaken demand growth. ✅ Overall View: Overall, governments both want to bring oil prices down to support their economies and also tend to protect oil companies, since prices are currently low relative to many firms’ breakeven levels. Prices are likely to edge gradually lower within a narrow range of $70–$50, and it is important to closely monitor factors that could trigger supply–demand shocks. 3. Technical Analysis * Trend: assessed using at least three trend indicators, with market structure as the primary guide. ** Weak or Reversal Signals: Assessed based on one of our criteria for trend reversal signals. *** Support/Resistance: Selected from multiple factors – static (Swing High, Swing Low, etc.), dynamic (EMA, MA, etc.), psychological (Fibonacci, RSI, etc.) – and determined based on the trader’s discretion. **** Our advice takes into account all factors, including both fundamental and technical analysis. It is not intended as a profit target. We hope it can serve as a reference to help you trade more effectively. This advice is for informational purposes only and we assume no responsibility for any trading results based on it. Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨
FX:USOILLong
by ZuperView
USOIL: Waiting for resistance rejection & buying at support zonePlease refer to my previous higher-timeframe analyses to better follow my current outlook on USOIL. * Trend: assessed using at least three trend indicators, with market structure as the primary guide. ** Weak or Reversal Signals: Assessed based on one of our criteria for trend reversal signals. *** Support/Resistance: Selected from multiple factors – static (Swing High, Swing Low, etc.), dynamic (EMA, MA, etc.), psychological (Fibonacci, RSI, etc.) – and determined based on the trader’s discretion. **** Our advice takes into account all factors, including both fundamental and technical analysis. It is not intended as a profit target. We hope it can serve as a reference to help you trade more effectively. This advice is for informational purposes only and we assume no responsibility for any trading results based on it. Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨
TVC:USOILLong
by ZuperView
Crude oil opens a path to $60Crude oil is in play after testing the $65 technical resistnace, and reverting back to the downtrend. Having shown a large distribution day, crude oil might reverse back to the downtrend with reaching a fair price of $60, which is a fair price pointed by eia.gov for Q4, 2025. Yesterday's proposal of the US president Donald Trump about deescalation in Gaza was approved by Israeli prime minister Netanyahu. That is a move towards decreasing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, though the situation may be far from the resolution. Anyways, Crude oil futures have reacted with the decline, confirming weak sentiment and overall bearish context. One may consider a trend-following trade with a potential target of $60. Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own research and never forget to manage your risk!
TVC:USOILShort
by TraderStan
Potential bearish drop?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 64.72 1st Support: 62.67 1st Resistance: 66.82 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDShort
by IC Markets
WTI Crude Oil🔹 I’ve marked the key resistance zones. 🔹 If I see a reversal signal at any of these levels, I’ll go short. 🔹 The breakout scenario is always valid too—if a level breaks, I’ll take the trade in the direction of the market. 🚫 No bias towards numbers, levels, or analysis. ✨ The key is to flow with the market, not fight it. If you try to stand against it, the market won’t just take your money—it will crush your confidence too. 🎯 We’re only a small part of a bigger picture. Stay flexible, stay unbiased.
BLACKBULL:WTI
by ForexCSP
WTI Wave Analysis – 29 September 2025- WTI reversed from resistance level 65.25 - Likely to fall to support level 61.70 WTI crude oil recently reversed down from the the resistance area between the resistance level 65.25 (upper border of the active sideways price range from the start of August). The resistance level 65.25 was strengthened by the upper daily Bollinger Band and by the 50% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from the end of July. WTI crude oil can be expected to fall to the next support level 61.70 (lower border of the active sideways price range).
FXPRO:XTIUSDShort
by FxPro
WTI extends drop after 200 MA testAfter printing an inverted hammer off its 200-day average on Friday, we have seen a sharp slide in oil prices today. Reports that the OPEC+ plans another increase to output in November is not helping the cause, with the market already fearful over excessive supply and weak demand growth. Key support at 61.50 to 62.00 area was tested multiple times last week and it held. A break below that zone this week could be pivotal, if seen. Resistance seen at 65.00 now, then the area between 66.50-67.00 - marking the 200 day MA. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:USOIL
by FOREX.com
Supply and demand dynamics are dominating the oil marketSupply and demand dynamics are dominating the oil market Technical Analysis USOIL is consolidating within a horizontal channel between 61.50 and 66.00. The multi-period EMA is converging, indicating an accumulation phase before a breakout, in which the direction could determine the next trend. Since the preceding trend was a downtrend and the price remains within a broader descending channel, the bias is more to the downside. Therefore, any rebound near the channel's upper bound is seen as a potential opportunity. If USOIL fails to break above the horizontal channel's upper bound at 66.00, the price may reverse downwards to retest the lower bound around 61.50, with the potential to break lower towards the year's low of 55.00. However, if USOIL breaks above the upper bound of the sideways range, it could test the upper bound of the broader descending channel around 70.50. Fundamental Analysis WTI crude oil prices are influenced by a mix of rising supply and price-supporting geopolitical events. The resumption of crude exports from Iraqi Kurdistan, after a 2.5-year halt, is adding to the global supply, starting at 180,000–190,000 barrels per day (bpd) and expected to rise to around 230,000 bpd. Meanwhile, OPEC+ is considering a production increase of at least 137,000 bpd, reinforcing concerns about a year-end supply surplus. However, news of attacks on energy infrastructure in Eastern Europe and measures to restrict fuel exports spark a short-term bullish momentum and increasing volatility. Despite this, the factors truly dominating oil prices are weak demand and excess supply. Geopolitics remains an event risk with short-term, one-time effects. Therefore, prices continue to face headwinds overall. Additionally, prices may fluctuate based on upcoming weekly inventory reports and dynamic production news that could exert further pressure. Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
TVC:USOILLong
by KrisadaYoonaisil
OIL Technical & Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on a multi-timeframe top-down approach and fundamental analysis. Based on our assessment, the price is expected to return to the monthly level. DISCLAIMER: This analysis may change at any time without notice and is solely intended to assist traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no obligation to act on it, nor should you. Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
TVC:USOILShort
by Derry_Trades
1
USOIL: Breaks $64.75 — Is a retest of $66 and higher level?This is my previous analysis — feel free to take a look for reference. * Trend: assessed using at least three trend indicators, with market structure as the primary guide. ** Weak or Reversal Signals: Assessed based on one of our criteria for trend reversal signals. *** Support/Resistance: Selected from multiple factors – static (Swing High, Swing Low, etc.), dynamic (EMA, MA, etc.), psychological (Fibonacci, RSI, etc.) – and determined based on the trader’s discretion. **** Our advice takes into account all factors, including both fundamental and technical analysis. It is not intended as a profit target. We hope it can serve as a reference to help you trade more effectively. This advice is for informational purposes only and we assume no responsibility for any trading results based on it. Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨
TVC:USOILLong
by ZuperView
USOIL: Range-bound setup with upside test before downside risk * Trend: assessed using at least three trend indicators, with market structure as the primary guide. ** Weak or Reversal Signals: Assessed based on one of our criteria for trend reversal signals. *** Support/Resistance: Selected from multiple factors – static (Swing High, Swing Low, etc.), dynamic (EMA, MA, etc.), psychological (Fibonacci, RSI, etc.) – and determined based on the trader’s discretion. **** Our advice takes into account all factors, including both fundamental and technical analysis. It is not intended as a profit target. We hope it can serve as a reference to help you trade more effectively. This advice is for informational purposes only and we assume no responsibility for any trading results based on it. Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨
TVC:USOILLong
by ZuperView
3
USOIL Trading Opportunity! SELL! My dear friends, My technical analysis for USOIL is below: The market is trading on 65.18 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 64.22 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TVC:USOILShort
by AnabelSignals
1