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WTI Crude Nears Yearly LowsOver the past three trading sessions, WTI crude has fallen by more than 3.5%, as bearish sentiment has regained control of the market. Uncertainty over global oil demand has heightened investor caution, particularly amid the escalation of trade tensions between the United States and China, which has reignited fears of a slowdown in global trade. This scenario could directly impact the consumption of energy products such as oil, leading to a further decline in demand in the short term. As this atmosphere of concern persists, selling pressure is likely to continue strengthening in the coming sessions.
Strong Bearish Bias
Persistent selling pressure has reinforced the downward trendline that has remained in place throughout 2025, with no significant bullish corrections indicating a potential structural shift in market strength in the short term. As a result, the bearish bias continues to dominate, consolidating the market’s downward trajectory. As the price approaches key support levels, it will be crucial to determine whether current selling pressure remains a decisive force in upcoming price movements.
RSI
The RSI line continues to fall below the neutral 50 level, signaling that bearish momentum remains dominant on average over the past 14 sessions. However, it’s worth noting that the price is approaching a key support area, while the RSI nears the 30 level, considered the oversold zone. This could suggest a potential imbalance in market forces and open the door to short-term technical rebounds in the sessions ahead.
MACD
The MACD histogram remains below the neutral line (0), confirming that the short-term moving averages continue to show bearish momentum. If this pattern persists, it could result in stronger selling pressure extending into the medium term.
Key Levels to Watch:
$66 – Major Resistance: Aligns with the 200-period moving average. A bullish move reaching this level could trigger a temporary buying bias and challenge the prevailing downtrend line.
$62 – Near-Term Resistance: Corresponds to the 50-period moving average. If the price stabilizes around this area, it could lead to a neutral sentiment and a period of sideways consolidation in the short term.
$57 – Critical Support: Represents the lowest price levels of the year for WTI. A break below this level could intensify bearish pressure, although it may also serve as a support barrier, allowing for short-term technical corrections to the upside.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
USOIL – Short Setup Forming at 4H Supply ZoneAfter a strong bullish recovery from the $56.00 demand zone, WTI Crude Oil has now reached a key 4H supply area (61.80–62.60).
This zone aligns with previous structural resistance and an unmitigated imbalance, making it a potential reversal point.
The recent impulsive rally could now face profit-taking or seller re-entry, especially after such a sharp single-leg move.
📉 Technical Breakdown
Supply Zone: 61.80–62.60, aligning with a previous major breakdown area.
Liquidity Context: Price may have swept buy-side liquidity above short-term highs to fill the imbalance and tap into supply.
Momentum Shift: Bullish momentum appears to be slowing; watch for bearish rejection candles or break of minor structure to confirm entry.
Market Structure: The overall 4H structure remains bearish, so this move could be a retracement leg within a broader downtrend.
💡 Trade Plan
Entry Zone: 61.80 – 62.50 (inside 4H supply area)
Stop-Loss: Above 62.60 (structure invalidation)
Take-Profit Targets:
🎯 TP1: 59.00 (intraday support)
🎯 TP2: 56.00 (major demand zone)
🧠 Bias & Outlook
Bearish short-term, expecting rejection from 4H supply and potential continuation to the downside.
A clean break and close above 62.60 would invalidate this setup and suggest further bullish continuation.
🧩 Summary
WTI is testing a high-probability supply zone after an extended bullish impulse.
Signs of exhaustion and liquidity sweep hint at a potential short opportunity targeting 59.00–56.00.
Waiting for confirmation before entry provides the safest positioning.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only — not financial advice. Trade at your own risk and confirm setups with your personal strategy.
USOIL: Uptrend strengthens after multiple support tests
* Trend: assessed using at least three trend indicators, with market structure as the primary guide.
** Weak or Reversal Signals: Assessed based on one of our criteria for trend reversal signals.
*** Support/Resistance: Selected from multiple factors – static (Swing High, Swing Low, etc.), dynamic (EMA, MA, etc.), psychological (Fibonacci, RSI, etc.) – and determined based on the trader’s discretion.
**** Our advice takes into account all factors, including both fundamental and technical analysis. It is not intended as a profit target. We hope it can serve as a reference to help you trade more effectively. This advice is for informational purposes only and we assume no responsibility for any trading results based on it.
George Vann @ ZuperView
US OIL SUPPORT, RESISTANCE & TRENDLINE ANALYSISKindly check my previous levels "Perfect" Long position captured.
Go "SHORT" if it breaks 57.93 with target as 57.59 and breaking that will lead to 57.40 and further that will lead to 56.92 and the final breakout will lead to 56.42.
The 58.37 mark is acting as a strong resistance since quiet long.
Go "LONG" if it breaks 58.27 which shall lead to 58.61 and breaking that will lead to 58.95 and 59.11 and if it breaks this as well then might be a possibility of a good upside move till 60.09
WTI: Possible reversal after false breakout of 60.128Weekly range structure may define oil’s direction for the coming months — buyers defend key support, while targets above 66.769 remain in focus.
Hi traders and investors!
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) concept.
On the weekly timeframe, a sideways range has been in place since April 2023, followed by a transitional phase.
Sellers managed to push the price below the lower boundary of this range — the first breakout occurred in March 2025.
After that, buyers brought the price back inside the range and reached the 50% level of the trading zone, from where sellers resumed control and once again pushed the price below the lower boundary at 63.668.
What’s interesting here is that earlier there was a buyer’s move returning the price into the range, with its base around 60.128.
We now see a seller candle attacking this level on high volume, followed by another seller candle with even higher volume, after which the price returned above 60.128.
This behavior may signal a false breakout (manipulation) of that level.
If this interpretation holds, the next potential upside targets are:
66.769 — first target,
71.328 — second target,
78.436 — third target,
followed by 87.895 and possibly 95.501.
Key points to watch:
whether buyers defend the 60.128 level if the price pulls back,
and whether they manage to break through the range boundary at 63.668, and then 66.769
.
If buyers succeed in holding above these two levels, the buyer’s vector is likely to continue developing toward the mentioned upside targets.
Wishing you profitable trades!
USOIL: Go long on pullbacksGeopolitical risks have dominated short-term market sentiment for crude oil. Investors' concerns about the supply side have overshadowed negative factors on the demand side, driving oil prices to rise consecutively. However, the weak global economy has dimmed the long-term demand outlook, limiting the extent of oil price increases, resulting in relatively complicated overall market sentiment.
From a technical indicator perspective, momentum indicators are showing positive signals, and the MACD is trending upward. This indicates that the bullish bias is strengthening, but a fully established uptrend has not yet formed.
Overall, technical indicators point to a certain bullish tendency, though it is also necessary to monitor the price performance at key resistance levels.
In the short term, focus on the resistance range of 63.5–64.5 on the upside and the support range of 60–61 on the downside. For intraday operations, the main strategy is to go long on pullbacks, with short positions on rebounds as a supplementary approach.
💎Trading Strategy:
Buy 61.8 SL 62.4 TP 61.1
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
USOIL: Waiting for price to react to 4h resistance
* Trend: assessed using at least three trend indicators, with market structure as the primary guide.
** Weak or Reversal Signals: Assessed based on one of our criteria for trend reversal signals.
*** Support/Resistance: Selected from multiple factors – static (Swing High, Swing Low, etc.), dynamic (EMA, MA, etc.), psychological (Fibonacci, RSI, etc.) – and determined based on the trader’s discretion.
**** Our advice takes into account all factors, including both fundamental and technical analysis. It is not intended as a profit target. We hope it can serve as a reference to help you trade more effectively. This advice is for informational purposes only and we assume no responsibility for any trading results based on it.
George Vann @ ZuperView
USOIL BULLS ARE STRONG HERE|LONG
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 57.23
Target Level: 59.72
Stop Loss: 55.57
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 12h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Crude oil shows an optimistic upward trend📈The situation of crude oil is relatively optimistic, showing an upward trend, mainly affected by geopolitics and supply-demand relationships.
💡Geopolitical factors:
The United States has imposed sanctions on Russian oil companies, and the European Union's sanctions against Russia are also continuing. At the same time, the news that the United States intends to take military action against Venezuela has fermented, triggering market concerns about disruptions in crude oil supply and boosting oil prices.
💡Supply-demand factors:
On the one hand, OPEC announced at a new round of meetings that it would continue to increase production by 137,000 barrels, but the scale of production increase is relatively small, and the production increase capacity of some oil-producing countries is limited, which alleviates the pressure of oversupply. On the other hand, as of October 17th, the EIA crude oil inventory data decreased by 960,000 barrels, the gasoline inventory decreased by 21.05 million barrels per day, and the distillate oil inventory decreased by 1.48 million barrels per day. The decrease in inventory has provided some support for oil prices. However, the weakness of the global economy has made the long-term demand outlook bleak, which has suppressed the increase in oil prices to a certain extent.
💡Technical analysis:
From the daily line level, the daily K-line shows a trend of breaking below the previous low point and then recovering, and the weekly K-line forms a rising sun pattern, indicating that there is a possibility of continued rebound in prices in the short term. At the same time, the medium-term indicator MACD supports an upward trend, also indicating that the short-term trend is upward.
💎Trading Strategy:
Buy 60 SL 61.5 TP 59
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
Crude oil trading strategy for today.,Hope it is helpful to yoFactors That May Drive Up Crude Oil Prices (Bullish Logic)
1.Breakthrough in trade negotiations: If China and the United States reach a consensus at the summit to ease trade frictions, the global cargo transportation and economic outlook will improve, which may increase the demand for crude oil.
1.Unexpected geopolitical tensions: Although the Gaza conflict has ended, the situation between Russia and Ukraine remains unresolved. If further unrest breaks out in the Middle East or Eastern Europe, it may disrupt crude oil transportation. The market will worry about a shortage of oil supply, leading to a rise in oil prices.
1.Demand for technical rebound: Oil prices have dropped significantly from their previous highs, so a "short - term oversold rebound" may occur in the near future. Just like a ball bouncing back up after hitting the ground, some funds will take the opportunity to buy (and push up oil prices).
Crude Oil Trading Strategy for Today
usoil @buy57.50-58.00
pt:58.50-59
sl:57
USOIL H4 | Approaching Major Resistance LevelBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price rise to the sell entry which is an overlap resistance and could reverse from this levle to the take profit.
Sell entry is at 61.90, which is an overlap resistance.
Stop loss: 63.54, which is a pullbakc resistance.
Take profit is at 60.10, which is a pullback support.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
WTI Crude oversold bounce capped at 6030 resistanceThe WTI Crude Oil is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the longer term support, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 6030, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 6030 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 5747, followed by 5677 and 5606 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 6030 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 6073, then 6170.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the WTI Crude price breaks and holds above 6030. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Crude oil -DAILY- 20/10/2025Oil prices fell after a third straight weekly decline as traders reacted to easing U.S.–China trade tensions pushing WTI toward $56 a barrel amid optimism over upcoming trade talks. China’s economy slowed for a second consecutive quarter, though Beijing maintained its 5% growth target. Oil futures are heading for a third monthly loss, pressured by an expected supply surplus through 2026, according to the IEA. Trump said he plans a second meeting with Putin to discuss ending the war in Ukraine, though prior talks have achieved little. Citigroup warned that any de-escalation could push oil toward $50 a barrel. Market indicators suggest weakness, with near-term spreads narrowing and longer-term contracts shifting into bearish contango.
On the technical side, crude oil price has extended its aggressive bearish trend last week with no major signs of reversing. Apart from the extreme oversold Stochastic oscillator there are no other signs of a bullish correction. The faster 50-day simple moving average is trading below the slower 100-day simple moving average validating the overall bearish trend in the market while the Bollinger Bands are quite expanded showing that there is increased volatility in the market for crude oil hinting that there is potential for sharp moves in the upcoming sessions. Eventhough, the area of $62 is the major technical resistance level, it seems that it might need some time to retest this level. The lower band of the Bollinger Bands seems to be the first level of technical support for the price while the area of $56 might pose some support since its the multiyear low which was last tested in early May 2025.
Disclaimer: The opinions in this article are personal to the writer and do not reflect those of Exness
USOIL Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the USOIL next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 61.43
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 59.88
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
US OIL SUPPORT, RESISTANCE & TRENDLINE ANALYSISThe market is sideways kindly save your capital yall.
Go "long" if it breaks the trendline and 57.45 and aim for 57.80 and 58.14 and if it breaks 58.37 then we might see a good move upside.
Go "Short" if it breaks below 57.12 and breaking the trendline as well will lead to 56.77 and 56.43.
Good Night!!
TLDR: SELL Gold, BUY OilGold/oil ratio seems to be evolving in a band. We've had RSI divergences every time we touched the band predicting trend reversal. RSI Divergence playing out right now as we touch the seemingly relevant support.
- FX_IDC:USDWTI / FRED:WM2NS is at an all time low support level (1998, 2016, 2020)
- TVC:GOLD / FRED:WM2NS at an all time High (1983, oct 2011)
Gold/Oil ratio looks like a Big BUY to me. Enjoy \o/.
Time to Fill Up Those Tanks — WTI Reversal in PlayTime to Fill Up Those Tanks — USOIL Reversal in Play 🛢️📈
Everyone’s watching tech, AI, Bitcoin, and gold.
But let’s be real: none of that moves without oil.
We all need black energy — whether you call it crude, petroleum, or the global bloodstream of industry. And today, we’re looking at a setup that says:
“It might be time to fill those tanks — literally and financially.”
🔄 From Short to Long — Here's Why
🧠 Back in Sept 2023, I was publicly SHORT from $93 — “Why 88 is OK for Saudi Arabia” . Clean fade.
But now? We’ve hit my 3-touch support zone at ~$57 — and the structure screams reversal.
📌 1… 2… and now 3.
• Triple bottom territory
• RSI divergence
• Crude sentiment at peak despair
• Geopolitical fog + supply cut whispers
This is the part of the cycle where crude likes to rip when nobody’s looking.
🔍 Technical Breakdown
• 🟩 Demand base: $56–57 zone (strong 3-touch support)**
• 🎯 Target: $79.35 (next major resistance zone)**
• 🛑 Invalidation below $54.26 = abort the trade idea
If the reversal starts here, I expect a rally into Q1 2026 — possibly exaggerated by global supply dynamics.
🌍 Macro Lens
• OPEC still tight
• U.S. SPR not refilled
• Geopolitics = foggy at best
• Seasonal energy demand rising
• Biden vs Trump = policy shake-up incoming
Forget narratives — crude is telling its own story.
💡 Thought of the Day 💡
Everything we build, move, ship, and mine — starts with oil.
It’s not going away. It’s just waiting to be priced correctly again.
You may love AI, but it still runs on diesel in the real world.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Crude Oil Outlook: Pressure Mounts as 2025 Lows Come Into ViewCrude oil prices are tracing another plunge back to yearly lows amid mounting oversupply, weak demand, and tariff concerns. New 2025 lows may be reached in the short-term horizon, aligning with the lower boundaries of a 3-year down trending channel
From a weekly time frame perspective, crude oil is facing the lower border of a three-year descending channel extending from the 2022 highs. The $55 support currently holds as the 2025 low, but a clean break below it could extend losses toward the $49 zone, aligning with the channel’s bottom boundary — a potential area of support. If this level fails, a deeper selloff could extend toward the $37 region.
On the upside, should prices recover above the $58 mark, a bullish rebound may extend toward $60, $63, and $66, respectively. However, for a sustainable bullish outlook on crude, a breakout above both the three-year downtrend and the $70 resistance is required.
Looking closely at the daily RSI, it is nearing oversold levels last seen in April 2025, suggesting that downside momentum could be approaching exhaustion.
In line with the recent movements of U.S. indices, will we see another dip-and-rebound scenario on crude oil — not identical, but perhaps reminiscent of April 2025?
- Written by Razan Hilal, CMT






















