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WTI crude oil Wave Analysis – 8 October 2025
- WTI crude oil reversed from round support level 60.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 64.00
WTI crude oil recently reversed up from the support zone surrounding the round support level 60.00 (which has been reversing the price from the middle of May).
The upward reversal from the support level 60.00 created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Hammer.
Given the strength of the nearby support level 60.00 and the oversold daily Stochastic, WTI crude oil can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 64.00.
WTI Crude oversold bounce back capped at 6430 The WTI Crude Oil is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the resistance, suggesting a further selling pressure within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 6430, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 6430 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 6200, followed by 6070 and 6000 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 6540 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 6650, then 6830.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless WTI Crude breaks and holds above 6430. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USOIL SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 62.52
Target Level: 60.15
Stop Loss: 64.10
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 7h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USOIL: False Breakout and Potential ReversalUSOIL: False Breakout and Potential Reversal
USOIL recently made a false breakout below the support area near 61.40, which suggests that sellers failed to push the price lower.
This false breakout often signals a possible bullish reversal if buyers maintain control.
Currently, the price is trading just above the support zone and seems to be building momentum for a potential rebound.
If the bullish scenario continues, the next targets to watch are:
63.40
65.00
As long as the price remains above 61.40, the bullish outlook stays valid.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Market Analysis: WTI Crude Oil StrugglesMarket Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Struggles
Crude oil is recovering and might rise toward the $63.20 resistance zone.
Important Takeaways for WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis Today
- WTI Crude oil is recovering losses and trading above $61.20.
- There is a short-term rising channel in place with support at $61.20 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD.
WTI Crude Oil Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil, the price found support near $60.25 against the US Dollar. The price formed a base and started a recovery wave above $60.80 and the 50-hour simple moving average.
The bulls were able to push the price above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $66.16 swing high to the $60.26 swing low. The hourly RSI is above the 60 level, but the price is struggling near $62.00.
The next hurdle could be $63.20 and the 50% Fib retracement. A clear move above $63.20 could send the price toward $63.90. Any more gains might open the doors for a test of $64.75.
Conversely, the price might start a fresh decline from $62.00. Immediate support sits near $61.20 and the 50-hour simple moving average. There is also a short-term rising channel in place at $61.20. The key breakdown zone on the WTI crude oil chart might be $60.25.
If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $58.40. Any more losses might encourage the bears for a push toward $55.00.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Today Lets Trade on Crude - Oil
If market Break above - level of 6.515 on - 4 Hours Chart" then can buy entry
your target profit will be - 64.631
........................................................
If market Goes bellow 61.707 then we can expect will fall down -
will formed Bearish Flag Pattern
target profit - 59.036
HI Retail Trader.
Check Below Chart
This subject to Educational Purpose"
Please Do your own Analyzation and Use Proper Risk - Money management
And Trade"
Smart Money Concept
Follow My Channel 🔥🔥🔥
USOIL H4 | Bullish Reversal Forming at Key Support LevelUSOIL is reacting off the buy entry, which is an overlap support and could potentially rise from this level to the take profit.
Buy entry is at 61.72, which his an overlap support.
Stop loss is at 60.40, which is a pullback support.
Take profit is at 63.78, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USCRUDEOIL - Up ChannelHi Traders,
We are following the price in the "Up Channel". I am not a wave trader but i do understand the concept. the ABC are just for drawing purposes not the exact science of it.
With that said, lets BUY CMCMARKETS:USCRUDEOIL
Price Action:
Price is moving within a clear ascending channel
Good Luck
Study, Study, Study Lorenzo Tarati
Crude Oil: Bullish Momentum Builds Above $62.13FenzoFx—Crude Oil tapped into the liquidity below the equal lows at $62.13. However, the cumulative volume profile did not form new lower lows. This means the market could be bullish, at least in the short term.
Therefore, we expect Oil to rise higher. The immediate resistance is at $62.74. From a technical perspective, the price could target the bearish FVG with resistance at $64.84 if bulls close and stabilize the price above $62.74.
USOILPrice was holding a strong support zone from where it took four clear rejections in the past.
Recently, the price broke below this support and is now forming an inverse Head and Shoulders pattern.
A Buy Stop will be placed above the neckline breakout, with the Stop Loss just below the neckline.
If the pattern plays out, it could indicate a potential bullish reversal from this zone.
us oilHI GUYS,
correction on us oil price action patterns as we move to RT DAILY STRUCTURE.
previously i posted double top(DT) as entries on RT WEEKLY AND DAILY. however us-oil sells on head and shoulder pattern indicated as light blue and buys on DB indicated as orange .
Rsi or macd or any other oscillators will always show a divergence as second confirmation on entries.
NOTE . WITH PATTERN PRICE . We always have 5 confirmations on entries.
*script direction of any trend on monthly and 12month.
*script direction on weekly, daily to h4 RT.
* price patterns ,
* candle close
* and divergence on any oscillator indicators as shown in all the idea charts i post.
We also look at ranging markets and also identify market manipulation on certain levels of interest. NEWS as the BIG MANIPULATION which speeds up the market in any direction of interest and at times makes false breaks on certain levels of interest this leads to a confusion of most traders as they tend to think that market has changed direction.
News can also manipulate both script direction of weekly and daily , h4 RT . forming higher highs and lower highs as a supper uptrend Be it bearish trend or bullish trend. but if u can track down the price patterns u will always get a clean move.
WTI OIL Megaphone bottomed but 4H MA50 gives the signal.WTI Oil (USOIL) has been trading within a Megaphone pattern since the August 18 Low and last Thursday made its latest Lower Low. The 4H RSI instantly rebounded along with the price, after turning oversold (<30.00).
This is technically the start of the pattern's new Bullish Leg. The last one confirmed its start after the price broke above the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). If it does again, we will take it as a buy signal, targeting the 1.618 Fibonacci at $64.45.
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USDWTI – HTF Multi-Confluence Analysis Near 1Y Low | OCT 2025We are approaching a multi-layer confluence support on oil that aligns several HTF analysis factors and potential seasonal and geopolitical considerations .
This area represents a robust multi-confluence support zone — likely near a yearly low — offering a compelling blend of technical support and long-term positioning.
For reference, the USDWTI (ICE) has been used as the feed provides a reliable, continuous spot-price series for modern WTI crude — ideal for EMAs, pivots and near-term technical structure . Many retail-broker CFD feeds cover only limited history, which can be insufficient for HTF analysis .
Full USDWTI chart analysis:
🔎 Key Technical Levels on the Confluence Zone
1. Daily Pivot: 61.60
2. Weekly S1: 60.25
3. Monthly S1: 61.54
4. Monthly S2: 60.39
5. Yearly S2: 61.11
Primary Confluence Zone: 60.25 - 61.60 (≈ 2.15 % range)
• Sub-clusters: 60.25 - 60.39 (lower) and 61.54 - 61.60 (upper)
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📊 Momentum & Structure
6. Monthly MACD histogram turning upward → early buyer pressure on HTF
7. 1W EMA-20 ≈ 64.18 – needs to be reclaimed for any sustained long-term reversal
8. Fear on weekly timeframe at 35.46
9. Daily chop zone: 61.07 - 61.55*
10. Weekly chop zone: 62.93 - 63.93*
11. Monthly chop zone: 64.95 - 67.39*
12. Yearly chop zone: 72.19 - 97.77*
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Seasonal / Macro Notes
13. Energy sector often benefits from Q4–winter demand (heating-fuel season).
OPEC+ meeting cycle in Nov–Dec: any production cuts would reinforce technical support.
14. Geopolitical risk often rises year-end; since Aug 2025 , capital has rotated into gold and defence stocks , reflecting risk-hedge positioning.
15. Long term high R-R setup if managed with proper sizing — approx. 17 % potential draw-down vs ~ 58.9 % projected upside **.
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💡 Context
Crude typically shows mild seasonal firming from Oct → early winter on heating demand and OPEC policy, though this can be offset by high inventories, a mild winter, or weak macro growth.
The content in this analysis highlights a high-probability zone (60.25 - 61.60) where multiple confluences align, useful for observation and study .
This is not a buy or sell signal. These observations are for market-study purposes only and should not be interpreted as trade instructions.
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⚠️ Risk Note:
It is recommended not to overleverage your positions. Overexposure is the main killer of portfolios. Position sizing directly impacts mental clarity: excessive size can cloud judgment and trigger emotional reactions , while appropriate sizing supports composure and disciplined execution. It is better to collect steady breadcrumbs than to risk giving away your capital.
Trading risk can be managed but never eliminated.
❗️ Disclaimer:
This content is provided for educational purposes only . It does not constitute financial, legal, tax, or investment advice. The author does not provide trading signals, portfolio management, or any services regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority.
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*Chop-zone ranges manually calculated from personally-developed formula.
**Analysis is educational and values represent an approximate scenario, not a trade signal or trade advice.
OIL BEARISH FAKEOUT LOOK TO BUYOur analysis is based on a multi-timeframe top-down approach and fundamental analysis.
Based on our assessment, the price is expected to return to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis may change at any time without notice and is solely intended to assist traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no obligation to act on it, nor should you.
Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
USOIL H4 | Bullish ReversalUSOIL is reacting off the buy entry, whichis a pullback support and could rise from this level to the take profit.
Buy entry is at 61.98, whichis a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 60.47, which swing low support.
Take profit is at 63.08, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Could we see a bullish reversal?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 38.2% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 61.69
1st Support: 60.62
1st Resistance: 63.09
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.






















