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Profit Blueprint on XNG/USD! Is This the Bullish Energy Move?😎 Steal the Show with XNG/USD: The "Thief" Day Trade Blueprint! 🚨 Asset: XNG/USD (Natural Gas CFD) - Energies MarketVibe: A cheeky, calculated heist to snag profits with a slick Ichimoku breakout strategy! 💰 📜 The Master Plan: Ichimoku Kijun Line Breakout 🎯 Confirmed Bull Trend: The price has broken above the Ichimoku Kijun-Sen line, signaling a bullish move in the Natural Gas CFD market. This breakout is our green light to execute the "Thief Strategy" with precision! 🕵️‍♂️ Entry: The Thief’s Layered Approach 🔍 How It Works: The "Thief Strategy" uses a layering method with multiple buy limit orders to scale into the trade safely, protecting your capital while maximizing profit potential. No fear, just finesse! 😎 Buy Limit Layers: 🥉 2.960 🥈 2.980 🥇 3.000 🏆 3.020 💡 Pro Tip: Add more layers based on your risk appetite and account size for extra flexibility! Alternative Entry: If you prefer a single entry, jump in at the current market price after the Kijun-Sen breakout confirmation. Your call, Thief OG! 😏 🛑 Stop Loss: Protect Your Loot! 🚨 Thief Stop Loss: Set at 2.900, just below the breakout level to guard against reversals. Customize It: Adjust your stop loss based on your risk tolerance and strategy. This is your heist—own it! Note: Dear Thief OG’s (Ladies & Gentlemen), I’m not dictating your stop loss. Manage your risk and keep your profits safe! 💪 🎯 Target: Escape Before the Trap! 🏃‍♂️ Profit Target: Aim for 3.150, where strong resistance, overbought conditions, and a potential trap await. Cash out before the "police" (market reversal) catch you! Note: You’re the mastermind here. Take profits at your own discretion—don’t let me cap your gains! 💸 🔗 Correlation & Related Markets to Watch Natural Gas (XNG/USD) often correlates or reacts with: ICMARKETS:XBRUSD (Crude Oil Brent) – Energy sector movements can impact gas demand. FOREXCOM:USOIL (Crude Oil WTI) – Supply/demand shocks in oil can spill into gas pricing. OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold) – Inflation hedge & safe-haven flows can influence energy sentiment indirectly. TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index) – A stronger/weaker dollar impacts commodity pricing. SP:SPX (S&P 500 Index) – Risk-on/risk-off sentiment across markets. Keeping an eye on these pairs helps confirm energy market momentum and macro sentiment. Key Correlation Point: Natural Gas prices often lead or lag other energy markets due to supply/demand dynamics and seasonal factors. Confirm your trade with cross-asset analysis for a sharper edge! 📊 🧠 Why This Setup Rocks Ichimoku Precision: The Kijun-Sen breakout is a reliable signal for short-term bullish momentum. Layered Entry Safety: The Thief Strategy’s multiple limit orders spread risk and allow scaling without overcommitting. Risk Management: Clear stop loss and target levels keep your heist disciplined and profitable. Market Context: Energy markets are volatile, but this setup leverages technical confirmation to ride the wave. 🌊 ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #ThiefStrategy #XNGUSD #NaturalGas #Ichimoku #DayTrading #EnergyMarkets #TradingView
ICMARKETS:XNGUSDLong
by The-Thief
1
GAS: FROM TRADING SMALL TO A NEW "GOLDEN AGE"?Despite the extremely nuanced wave count on the lower timeframes, we managed to sit on our hands when the market was unclear and only take selective, high-probability opportunities where they presented themselves. Overall, my base case scenario is that after some minor moves early in the week (TIP: NatGas often continues the previous week's trend into Monday-Tuesday), we'll see a powerful breakout to the upside. A move down is certainly possible, but we're not factoring it into our plan for now. We'll only shift our focus if the indicators start screamingly loudly about it. The big picture is painting a very optimistic scenario for gas. It looks like after one more downcycle, the commodity could be poised for a new "golden era" – or at least a very strong year. The global context is worth a separate deep dive. Right now, many LNG buyers worldwide are signing contracts linked to the US Henry Hub benchmark. It's quite plausible that US gas will become more expensive than oil-indexed gas (the standard in the Middle East, Asia, and for Russian LNG contracts). Like and comment if you find this topic interesting! If there's enough engagement, I'll put together a dedicated article on this, as I work in the LNG industry myself and this is a subject close to my heart.
OANDA:NATGASUSD
by Energeia_Charta
Natural Gas Bearish News TodayNatural Gas crumbled off the inventory report this morning. Natural gas inventories came in at 90B vs 80B consensus. This larger than expected build shows a weaker demand for Nat Gas during this seasonal period. Key things to consider: 1. EU moves to accelerate ban on Russian LNG. 2. New Israel–Egypt pipeline coming online 3. China continues to import from Arctic LNG‑2 despite sanctions 4. Japan’s JERA in talks to buy U.S. shale gas assets 5. Gas storage in Germany & winter supply concerns 6. Western Canada storage nearly full; supply glut 7. Canadian production at record levels, but prices very low
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
by Trading-Capital
Natural Gas fell on bearish EIA data and cooler forecastsNatural Gas fell on bearish EIA data and cooler forecasts October natural gas tumbled on August 18 after the EIA reported a larger-than-expected 90 bcf storage build, pushing inventories more than 200 bcf above the five-year average. XNGUSD remains under pressure from core fundamentals including supply-demand balances, weather trends, geopolitics, macro conditions, and competing fuel prices. Further downside came as forecasts showed fewer cooling degree days over the next two weeks. Analysts warned the market is running out of time for late-summer heat to tighten balances, with October often bringing cooling demand offset by weaker heating needs. Losses accelerated on August 18 as late-September forecasts turned cooler, reducing air-conditioning demand. Meanwhile, near-record U.S. output and elevated rig activity continue to weigh on prices.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by ProfessorSingapore
NATAG! - MOVE INCOMING!🚨 NATGAS – The Calm Before the Pop? 🚨 Alright traders, let’s break this beast down 👇 🕰 Weekly View Price just rejected hard from the 3.4 – 3.8 supply zone and has been sliding since. Now we’re parked on the 2.6 – 2.7 liquidity trendline. This is the decision point — bounce or flush into the 2.0s. 📉 Daily Structure The Elliott Wave count lines up: Wave (1) topped near 5.0 Wave (2) retraced cleanly Wave (3) rallied to 4.2 Wave (4) dragged us back to support Now the big question → do we get a Wave (5) relief rally back into 3.2 – 3.4 supply? 👀 ⏱ 4H Breakdown On the lower timeframe, price is coiling tight. Liquidity is building, stops are stacked, and it looks like a bear trap setup. A bullish push here could rip into overhead supply before the bigger trend resumes. 🎯 Trade Plan Entry Zone: 2.6 – 2.7 support TP1: 3.2 TP2: 3.4 – 3.5 SL: Below 2.45 (don’t hang around if it breaks) This isn’t a macro reversal — just a counter-trend bounce play. Quick in, quick out. ⚡ What do you think?
PEPPERSTONE:NATGASLong
by jamesibartram
1
U.S. Natural Gas rises, but outlook mixedU.S. Natural Gas rises, but outlook mixed U.S. natural gas futures climbed about 2% to an eight-week high on August 17, supported by lower daily output and stronger demand forecasts for the next two weeks. However, October contracts retreated from a one-week high on Wednesday, settling slightly lower as traders anticipated a larger-than-average build in EIA inventories. Prices initially spiked midweek on forecasts for late-summer heat across much of the U.S., which is expected to drive up power-sector demand for air conditioning and slow inventory accumulation ahead of the winter heating season. Atmospheric G2 projected above-normal temperatures for September 22–26, with warmer conditions extending into the north-central U.S. from September 27–October 1. On the supply side, higher U.S. production remains a headwind. The EIA last week raised its 2025 output forecast by 0.2% to 106.63 bcf/day, near record highs, with active natural gas rigs recently hitting a two-year peak.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASShort
by ProfessorSingapore
Weather vs. Supply: Nat-Gas prices rallyWeather vs. Supply: Nat-Gas prices rally Natural gas prices surged in mid-October, driven primarily by forecasts for hotter-than-average US weather, which was expected to boost demand for cooling and electricity generation. Supporting this bullish sentiment, data showed US electricity output had increased year-over-year. However, these gains were tempered by bearish fundamentals. US natural gas storage levels rose more than expected and remained above the five-year average, indicating ample supply. Furthermore, the number of active gas rigs held steady, remaining below their recent peak, while European gas storage levels were also below their seasonal average.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by ProfessorSingapore
Natural gas starts week higher on demand outlookNatural gas starts week higher on demand outlook U.S. natural gas climbed to $3.2, supported by forecasts for above-normal temperatures later this month and steady LNG feedgas flows. Demand is expected to stay light for the next six days but rise in mid-September as heat returns. Prices also gained on supply concerns amid Kinder Morgan pipeline repairs and the anticipated full restart of Freeport LNG. Forecasts for warmer weather across the eastern and southern U.S. added further support. Despite strong production near record highs, storage remains 2.2% below last year but 5.6% above the five-year average.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by ProfessorSingapore
Natural Gas: Ambiguous Wave 4, Key Scenarios for Next WeekNatural Gas could have already completed its 4th wave, or it might extend further. The rally from the low of wave 3 is particularly challenging to count. I spent an hour on it but still couldn't find a clear and reliable wave interpretation. However, given the low probability of correctly counting any single wave and the highly subjective and variable nature of this method, it's not the most critical thing. What is important is to focus on the confluence of patterns and wave counts across different timeframes, avoid going against the momentum indicators, and always factor in key reversal points. It's based on these reversal points that I've built out my approximate scenarios for the start of next week.
OANDA:NATGASUSD
by Energeia_Charta
LNG in Week 36: Wind Generation Exacerbates Gas Storage SurplusCurrent prices vs. price spread 10 days before expiration by month since 2010 The NGV25 near contract is trading around the median figure but showing high volatility. The next contract, NGX25, as well as the winter 2026 contracts, show moderate contango, but their prices remain within the interquantile range.  Current forward curve vs. 2020-2025 The forward curve shape remains stable and is approaching the configuration of the curves for the same calendar day in 2023 and 2024. This is particularly evident for contracts with delivery dates three years or more in the future. The differences in the short dated contracts are still significant.  Current inventory and forecast for next week compared to 2019-2024 For week 35 (Aug. 25-31), storage inventories are forecast to increase by +68 BCF. Fill rates are consistently above the median for the past five years. Injection rates remain positive due to high production and low consumption, mitigating shortage risks ahead of the withdrawal season.  Weekly HDD+CDD total from current NOAA data and forecast for the next two weeks comparing 1994-2024 In the continent as a whole, in the 36th week of this year, the weather in terms of HDD+CDD is significantly below the average for the last 30 years of observations. In the next week, week 37, HDD+CDD is also forecast to be well below average, leading to lower demand for AC power and increasing downward pressure on prices. Explanation of the chart: candles represent quantiles for 30 years from 1994 to 2024. Red dots 2024, green 2025, blue prediction 2025   Weekly HDD+CDD total from current NOAA data and forecast for the next two weeks compared to 1994-2024 by region The projections for the major regions are consistent with the general trend: HDD+CDD rates are below the average of the last 30 years of observations.  Weekly cumulative supply/demand differentials compared to 2014-2024 The supply-demand balance has narrowed below the decade average. Production has been generally declining and is projected to keep declining. Imports from Canada, exports to Mexico, and LNG supply remain stable, however. Electricity demand has declined due to seasonal factors and warmer weather, while industrial sector demand remains at average levels. Meanwhile, wind generation increased for this period between 2024 and 2025 by a factor of 4, according to MISO grid operator, from 58,487 Mwh in 2024 to 239,952 Mwh in 2025. According to PJM grid operator the metric rose by a factor of 2 from 3,312 Mwh in 2024 to 70,070 Mwh in 2025, respectively. This compensated some of the gas consumed, thereby exacerbating the gas storage surplus. So we are now heading for a 150 unit surplus relative to the 5 year median. Importantly, without lowering the production, new risks are emerging pointing to entering the zone of new considerable gas storage excess capacities, thus putting additional downward price pressure. Seasonally, September is considered one of the quietest months, when air conditioning is not so active and heating is not yet on. Thus, before the start of the pumping season storages accumulate enough surplus volumes. With the data we have now, there is every reason to expect the start of the season to be 200+ surplus, relative to the average.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
by igorisaev
U.S. Natural Gas holds near 4-week highU.S. Natural Gas holds near 4-week high as storage builds match forecasts U.S. natural gas stayed near a four-week high Thursday after EIA data showed inventories rose by 55 Bcf to 3,272 Bcf for the week ending Aug. 29, in line with expectations. Stocks remain 2.2% below last year but 5.6% above the five-year average, signaling ample supply despite record LNG exports and strong demand. Higher production, with dry gas output at 107.1 Bcf/day, continues to pressure prices, while weather forecasts calling for warmer temperatures in mid-September may support short-term demand. LNG flows hit 15 Bcf/day, near record highs, as U.S. exports remain strong amid European and Asian demand.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
by ProfessorSingapore
Natural Gas Market Outlook ‖ Bullish Breakout with Risk Control💎 XNG/USD Natural Gas – Thief Trader’s Money Loot Plan (Swing/Scalping) 💎 🎯 Trade Plan (Bullish Setup) Strategy: Bullish triangular moving average breakout, aligned with Fibonacci 0.382 level. Entry (Layered Style): Using multiple limit orders (Thief layering strategy). Example entries: $2.900 $2.950 $3.000 (You may add more layers depending on your risk appetite.) Stop Loss: $2.800 (Thief SL). ⚠️ Note: Adjust SL based on your own risk tolerance and strategy. Target Zone: Major seller pressure expected near $3.400 — our escape target set at $3.200. 📌 Reminder: Take profit at your own discretion — you control your loot, not me. ❓ Why This Setup? ✅ Technical Basis: Bullish triangle breakout + Fibonacci 0.382 retracement signals continuation upside. ✅ Layered Entry Advantage: Reduces risk by scaling in across levels, catching volatility without FOMO. ✅ Market Structure: Current consolidation near $2.93 provides a solid base for accumulation. ✅ Sentiment Balance: Both retail & institutional lean bullish, supporting potential breakout momentum. ✅ Macro Tailwinds: Strong LNG export growth and expected winter heating demand underpin the long thesis. This plan aligns both short-term technicals and long-term fundamentals, creating a high-probability swing/scalping opportunity. 🌟 Natural Gas (XNG/USD) Market Report - September 3, 2025 🌟 📊 Current Price Snapshot Spot Price: $2.93 per MMBtu (Henry Hub benchmark) 📉 (Holding steady after recent dips, reflecting balanced supply/demand.) 😊 Trader Sentiment Outlook Retail Traders: 55% Bullish 🟢 | 35% Bearish 🔴 | 10% Neutral ⚪ (Optimism from LNG demand + weather, but some concern on inventories.) Institutional Traders: 60% Bullish 🟢 | 30% Bearish 🔴 | 10% Neutral ⚪ (Focused on exports & production stability, while cautious on oversupply.) 📌 Overall Mood: Mildly positive — upside potential if weather demand rises. 😨 Fear & Greed Index Current Level: Neutral (Score ~50/100) ⚖️ Fear factors: Storage 5% above 5-year avg, mild summer demand. Greed drivers: LNG exports + winter demand expectations. Market vibe = balanced — neither panic selling nor euphoric buying. 📈 Fundamental & Macro Score Fundamental Score: 7/10 🟢 Strong LNG shipments (31% growth expected). Inventories manageable, production +3% YoY. Key watch: Permian & Haynesville supply shifts. Macro Score: 8/10 🟢 Rising global energy needs (AI, data centers). Autumn cooling trend boosts heating demand. Asia’s growth keeps exports flowing. 🚀 Overall Market Outlook Bias: Bullish (Long) 🟢📈 — ~60% confidence. Natural gas could push toward $3.60/MMBtu by late 2025 if balances tighten and exports expand. Winter could spark extra upside rallies ❄️🔥. 🔗 Related Pairs to Watch FXOPEN:XNGUSD NYMEX:NG1! ICMARKETS:XBRUSD (Brent Crude) FOREXCOM:USOIL (WTI Crude Oil) OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold for risk hedge) TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index – inverse correlation play) ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #XNGUSD #NaturalGas #SwingTrading #Scalping #CommodityTrading #EnergyMarkets #Fibonacci #BreakoutStrategy #LayeringStrategy #TradingViewAnalysis #ThiefTrader
ICMARKETS:XNGUSDLong
by The-Thief
XNGUSD, Accumulation to Expansion? Weekly Long Into Winter RiskI’ve initiated a long on Natural Gas from weekly structure. Price has rotated inside this area since ’23 and is now reacting at a confluence of trendline support + prior demand. The plan is to hold into Q4, when seasonality (heating demand + potential hurricane/LNG disruptions) often provides upside tailwinds. Risk is defined on the weekly chart; I’ll manage around swings and let the position work. Technicals (Weekly) • Range base reclaimed: Price is bouncing from the same 2023–2024 accumulation zone (roughly 2.5–3.0). • Multi-touch trendline support: Current candle is reacting at the rising base trendline; wicks show responsive buying. • Structure targets: First objective is a move back into mid-range supply; extension aims toward the upper band shown on the chart. Fundamentals Supporting Long Bias • Seasonality: Q4 typically brings rising Heating Degree Days across the Northern Hemisphere; winter risk premia often get priced ahead of the draw season. • LNG pull: Ongoing ramp in global LNG demand + incremental U.S. export capacity tends to tighten the domestic balance on cold forecasts or unplanned outages elsewhere. • Supply discipline: Gas rig counts have lagged after the 2024 price slump; that slower supply response can tighten later-year balances if weather cooperates. • Weather & Gulf risk: Peak hurricane season can interrupt Gulf production and processing, periodically supporting price. • Europe draw season: As EU storage transitions from injection to draws, import needs rise, keeping a bid under seaborne gas. Trade Plan: • Entry: From weekly support (see chart). • Management: Trail below fresh higher lows on the daily; take partials at fib/structure levels; let a runner target the upper band if momentum broadens. What Breaks the Thesis • A persistently warm Q4, outsized storage overhang into winter, major LNG outages/delays, or a renewed surge in production that swamps demand. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by AR33_
U.S. Natural Gas Face Supply Pressures Amid Global ShiftsU.S. Natural Gas Face Supply Pressures Amid Global Shifts U.S. natural gas futures climbed above $3 per MMBtu in early September, rebounding from a nine-month low of $2.73 on August 20 as expectations of lower domestic supply gained traction. Fresh data revealed that Russian LNG exports fell over 6% year-over-year through August, boosting the U.S. share in global LNG trade as Europe and Asia sought alternative sources. This shift has intensified bidding competition for limited U.S. gas supplies, adding upward price pressure. Storage levels remain tight, with EIA data showing a 3.4% annual decline. On the demand side, ExxonMobil projects global natural gas consumption to increase over 20% in the next 25 years, driven by the transition away from coal. However, after the Labor Day weekend, U.S. futures slipped 3.5% to $2.893/MMBtu, retreating from Friday’s $3 test. Analysts note that the market is entering the low-demand shoulder season, but a sustained dip in supply could revive bullish momentum, potentially pushing prices above $3.00 later this month.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by ProfessorSingapore
Natural Gas: The Bearish Raid is On! Are You In?🌟 ATTENTION ALL BLACK MARKET TRADERS & NINJA THIEVES! 🌟 (XNG/USD Natural Gas Heist Plan - Bearish Swing/Scalping) Yo! 🐱‍👤🤑 The vault doors are creaking open on Natural Gas, and it's time for a BEARISH HEIST! Our intel suggests the big dump is coming. Police ain't around, so let's move! 🚓💨 🦹‍♂️ THE MASTER HEIST PLAN (BEARISH EDITION) Asset: XNG/USD (Natural Gas) | Trade Type: Swing / Scalping Heist Overall Bias: BEARISH 📉👊 (We're stealing on the way DOWN!) 🎯 ENTRY PROTOCOL: THE "LAYER" HEIST For the OG Thieves who understand patience and precision. We're not chasing; we're setting traps! 🎪 ENTRY: Any price level is a gift! But for the pros, we're setting MULTIPLE SELL LIMIT ORDERS to layer our entry like a true market ninja. 🧨 LAYER 1: 2.740 🧨 LAYER 2: 2.770 🧨 LAYER 3: 2.800 Pro Tip: You can add more layers based on your own capital. More layers, more loot! 💰💰💰 🚨 STOP LOSS (The Getaway Car Engine) This is where we bail if the cops show up. Don't be a hero. 🛑 THIEF S.L.: @2.950 📢 OG ANNOUNCEMENT: Dear Ladies & Gentleman of the shadow markets, adjust your SL based on your own risk appetite and strategy! Protect your capital! 🛡️ 🏁 TARGET (The Escape Route) The police barricade is set up down below. Our goal is to escape with the stolen money before we hit it! 🎯 T/P 1 (CASH OUT): @2.550 🚗💨 🚧 POLICE BARRICADE: @2.450 (Danger! Avoid this area!) 🔪 SCALPERS, LISTEN UP! 👂 If you're in and out quick, only scalp on the SHORT side. Ride those little downtrends for quick cash. Use a tight trailing stop to protect your mini-loot! 🏃‍♂️💵 ⚠️ HEIST ALERT: NEWS LOCKDOWN 🚫📰 Big news = cops everywhere! It creates chaos and volatility. To avoid getting caught: AVOID new trades during high-impact news. USE Trailing Stops to lock in profits on running heists. STAY STEALTHY. 🐱‍👤 💣 BOOST THIS IDEA! 💣 It fuels our underground network and helps us find the next perfect heist! Let's drain this market dry together! 🤑🤝❤️🎉 I'll see you in the shadows with the next score. Stay sharp! 🙈🙉🙊
ICMARKETS:XNGUSDShort
by The-Thief