$QQQ Tomorrow’s Trading Range 10.21.25 NASDAQ:QQQ Tomorrow’s Trading Range 10.21.25
Alway’s know where your 35EMA is. It is underneath the implied move right now, which means tomorrow has a high probability of being flat or down. ATH’s are in tomorrow’s range above us, and 35EMA underneath us with that 30min 200 and also the bull ga
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QQQ: Bull Trap or Bounce Time? The $593 Line in the SandQQQ is gapping down right into a massive technical test: the $593 Gap Support.
This is not a regular drop. Our chart is showing a rare conflict:
Bullish Setup: A Hidden Bullish Divergence (HBD) is screaming for a bounce.
Bearish Risk: A loss of the low could trigger a rapid descent to the $580
QQQ No Man's LandRising wedge pattern clearly broke to the downside
The price is consolidating just below the MTD VWAP, which now acts as resistance (~$600-$601)
The lower bound of the wedge (~$596) is being tested; breaking that increases odds of a retest of $589-$590 (prior support from 11 October)
RSI (47) i
QQQ Compression CoilThe bulls trying to extend the prior double-bottom rally while bears defend the neckline of a new head & shoulders
Volume contraction is key as it means bears haven’t confirmed their pattern yet
RSI ≈ 51 is perfectly neutral; momentum flat, but not diverging yet
Stoch ≈ 82 is in showing short-t
QQQ Momentum TakeawayQQQ is carving out a constructive double-bottom reversal base
Needs a confirmed breakout above $604 to unlock $613–$619 upside
Structure supports the idea that the market is beginning to self-correct after the tariff-shock overreaction
Bullish divergence confirmed; momentum rising while price
October 20 - 24 2025
1. Macro
Due to the government shutdown inflation-indexed bond data is delayed, however what we are seeing based on data from Thursday (as shown on the white vertical line) suggests that forward inflation expectations $(US10Y+US03MY)/2-DFII10 may be reverting back to the mean, which is supported
QQQ Early Topping BehaviorShort-term momentum is stretched so watch for a potential pullback to $608 then $603 if selling follows through
1. Price vs MTD VWAP
MTD VWAP ≈ $603.7, with +1σ ≈ $611 & +2σ ≈ $613
QQQ is pressing the upper (+2σ) edge of the VWAP envelope & that’s statistically extended
Historically, price rar
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