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SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

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Turnaround Tuesday? ✅ Morning Levels + Setup (Tues, Aug 20) Could be, Monday gave us the setup. I’m watching building permits at 8:30. If those come in hot, it’s a signal housing’s holding up → stronger consumer → rate hike odds perk up → possible dollar spike → pressure on QQQ. VIX is still asleep at 14.98, but if that creeps over 16.50, tone changes fast. Complacency’s real ,use it. SPY levels I care about today: 646.40 = upside line in the sand 642.50 = support to hold 638 / 632 = where I’d aim puts if things unwind Not overthinking it, waiting for price to confirm.
AMEX:SPY
by davekclinton76
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for August 19, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for August 19, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines Global markets tread water ahead of Jackson Hole. Asian equities slipped while European futures edged up on signs of diplomatic progress in the Russia–Ukraine crisis, as markets await Fed Chair Powell’s keynote. AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX still anchored to central-bank risk tone. Jackson Hole in focus. Investors are positioning for signals of a dovish tilt or rate cut cues in Powell’s speech later this week—data releases are in the shadow of event risk. Home Depot earnings loom. Retail heavyweight Home Depot reports today; strong results could buoy equities, while a miss would fan caution on consumer resilience. 💼 Key Market Developments Meta and Palo Alto highlight tech divergences. Meta shares slipped 2.3% on AI-leaning costs and metaverse skepticism, while Palo Alto surged 5% with robust Q4 and 2026 outlook—creating bifurcated leadership in tech. Stagflation & AI risk lurk. Analysts warn of stagflation threats and fading AI momentum as catalysts for a broader pullback—S&P 500 still up ~10% YTD, but vulnerable. ⏱ Key Data Releases & Events (ET) 📅 Tuesday, August 19, 2025 Canada Inflation Rate (July): Expected 2.0% y/y — a minor but global inflation cue U.S. Building Permits (July): Forecast ~1.39M — housing sector signpost ahead of Powell’s speech Corporate Highlight: Home Depot (HD) earnings — earnings and commentary on inflation, tariffs, demand dynamics ⚠ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #JacksonHole #Fed #SPY #SPX #HD #HomeDepot #JacksonHole #inflation #earnings #tech #AI #SP500
AMEX:SPY
by TrendTao
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for August 18–22, 2025🔮 Weekly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for August 18–22, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🏔️ Jackson Hole (Thu–Sat): Chair Powell headlines the Kansas City Fed symposium—path-of-rates + growth vs. inflation = front-page risk for AMEX:SPY SP:SPX TVC:DXY $TLT. 📝 FOMC Minutes (Wed): Deeper read on July meeting dissents and tariff/inflation views—rate-cut odds in play. 🛒 Retail Heavyweights: Earnings updates from NYSE:WMT NYSE:HD NYSE:TGT NYSE:LOW NASDAQ:ROST = real-time consumer pulse for AMEX:XRT and broader risk tone. 🏠 Housing Check: Starts/Permits + Existing Home Sales frame construction demand and affordability; watch AMEX:XHB and long rates. 📊 Key Data Releases & Events (ET) 📊 📅 Tue, Aug 19 • Housing Starts & Building Permits (8:30 AM) 📅 Wed, Aug 20 • FOMC Minutes (July meeting) (2:00 PM) 📅 Thu, Aug 21 • Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM) • Philly Fed Manufacturing Index (8:30 AM) • S&P Global Flash PMIs (Mfg/Services) (9:45 AM) • Existing Home Sales (Jul) (10:00 AM) • Conference Board Leading Index (10:00 AM) • Jackson Hole Symposium begins (all day; speeches through Sat) 📅 Fri, Aug 22 • No major U.S. releases (focus: Jackson Hole headlines + positioning) ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #Fed #FOMC #JacksonHole #housing #PMI #retailsales #SPY #SPX #DXY #TLT #XHB #XRT
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
SPY Technical Analysis! SELL! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the SPY next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 643.45 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market. Goal - 636.56 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AMEX:SPYShort
by AnabelSignals
1
SP500 ETF: Fibonacci MappingAs you may know, Williams Fractals indicator identifies potential reversal points by marking a high (or low) surrounded by two lower highs (or higher lows) on each side, forming a five-bar pattern that signals possible turning points in price. Unfortunately, the simplicity of such indicator provides just tiny perspective, undermining broad implication of the concept. Before I begin diving into processing geometric narrative of emerging price via fibonacci channels, I want to explain how I interpret fractals. When I use the term "fractal", I'm not just talking about the points alone. Market continuously corrects itself, so analyzing it by price alone can bring more confusion than help. The object of observation shouldn't be limited to quantifying just by a single property. Chaos by default requires awareness from both price and time aspects. The easiest way to root it in my vision was through realization that price is a function of trading time intervals. Its activity can be described as cyclical progression, as if it is wired by multiple "springs" of different tensions. Classic TA patterns known to literally anyone are great for anticipating a move in surface level forecasts. Since my line of work focuses on prediction over forecasts, it requires deeper structural awareness behind complex oscillations. Let's observe the way selloff scales from ATH and how it impacts fractal hierarchy. The first corrective bullish wave can be explained as a reaction to initial impulsive bearish wave. The bigger scale drop from ATH to a lower point explains why the corrective bullish wave looks the way it is. And so on: In fractals, scaling laws describe how key properties change with size, typically following power-law relationships that reflect the structure’s self-similarity, where a characteristic scales with the size raised to an exponent. To build a probabilistic model, we must keep in mind how the smaller bits make up bigger scale picture. ATH, established bottom and angle of progression defined by pullback highs, all those points have structural weight. Since psychology of masses that shapes price dynamics is governed by mathematical sequences found in nature, it's fair to use Fibonacci Channels to map the geometry of interconnectedness. Similarly, all of those points can be referred by another fibonacci channel with opposite direction. From my perspective, traditional TA patterns reflect just phases of cycle, this is why I unify those fragments into broader scalable shapes. This distinctive branch of Fractal Analysis allows to track systematic aspects of market behavior and explains how a pattern replicates itself in rhythmic continuity.
AMEX:SPY
by fract
7
These ETFs Printed$$ During the Q1 Tariffs Crash!!!📉 **These ETFs Print$$ When the Market Panics** 💰 While most investors were panicking during the **Q1 Trump's tariffs-induced dump**, savvy traders were riding these **inverse & volatility ETFs** all the way up. 💥 🚨 **Top Crash-Performers:** 1. **UVIX** – +159% ⚠️ 2. **SOXS** – +145.6% 🧨 3. **VIXL** – +136.8% 📈 4. **UVXY** – +114.9% 🌀 5. **LABD** – +82.7% 6. **NVDQ** – +78.9% 7. **SQQQ** – +79.4% Meanwhile, SPY was getting nuked. If you were long tech, you felt it. But if you were positioned in these **crash-mode ETFs**, you were **printing green in a sea of red**. 🧠 **Crash Alpha is Real — If You’re Ready** Here’s how real traders rotate: 🔁 March: Load volatility & inverse ETFs 📈 April: Rotate into high beta recovery plays (ROBN, ETHU, etc.) 💰 Strategy: **Don’t marry bias — marry price action.** 💡 *Crash-mode ETFs are not just protection — they're a profit weapon.* 🔥 **“You don’t need to predict the market — just be prepared when it moves.”** – Mark Minervini
AMEX:SPY
by DubaiTradersHub
Gear up for next Crash.!!!!! Top Performing ETFs Since the April 📈 **Top Performing ETFs Since the April Recovery** 💥 *(Post-Tariffs Crash Rebound )* After the **pre-April tariffs crash** rattled the markets, smart money rotated fast — and a new bull cycle kicked off in **early April**. While the broader market (SPY) clawed back a respectable +25%, these ETFs went **parabolic**: 🔝 **Top Gainers Since the April Recovery:** 1. **ROBN** – ⚡️+760% 2. **ETHU** – 🔥+654% 3. **RDTL** – 🚀+470% 4. **PTIR** – 🚀+379% 5. **AMDL** – +319% 6. **MAG7** – +289% 7. **CONL** – +244% 8. **ORCX** – +240% These names have ridden the waves of AI, crypto, robotics, and mega-cap tech — leaving lagging sectors in the dust. If you caught any of these runs, you’ve been **printing gains**. 🔮 **But Don’t Get Too Comfortable…** The market has a **short memory** — and parabolic moves often end with vertical drops. Inflation's still sticky, rate cuts are uncertain, and Q4 is historically volatile. 📌 **Get Ready for the the Next Crash:** * Lock in profits ✅ * Raise cash — dry powder is your edge when panic returns 💥 🧠 *"In bull markets, money is made. In bear markets, wealth is preserved."* – 🚨 **Gear up now — the next crash is a reset, not a surprise.**
AMEX:SPY
by DubaiTradersHub
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for August 15, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for August 15, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🔥 PPI Shock Keeps Cuts in Question — July producer prices +0.9% m/m (largest in ~3 yrs) with broad gains in goods & services. Rate-cut odds pared; watch front-end yields, TVC:DXY , NASDAQ:TLT , and cyclicals. 💵 Dollar Firmer, Gold Softer — The hot PPI print lifted the dollar; gold is set for a weekly dip as hopes for a big cut fade. 📊 Key Data Releases & Events (ET) 📊 📅 Friday, Aug 15 8:30 AM — Retail Sales (July); Retail Sales ex-Autos. 8:30 AM — NY Fed Empire State Manufacturing (Aug). 8:30 AM — Import & Export Price Indexes (July). 9:15 AM — Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization (July). 10:00 AM — Business Inventories (June). 10:00 AM — Univ. of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Prelim, Aug). ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #retailsales #EmpireState #industrialproduction #MichiganSentiment #SPY #SPX #DXY #TLT
AMEX:SPY
by TrendTao
1
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for August 14, 2025 🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for August 14, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 📉 CPI cooldown keeps cut odds alive — July CPI held at +0.2% m/m (2.8% y/y); Core +0.3% m/m (3.1% y/y) heading into today’s PPI. Watch $SPY/ SP:SPX vs TVC:DXY and NASDAQ:TLT for inflation momentum cues. 🤝 Tariff truce extended 90 days — U.S.–China pause now runs through Nov 10, removing near-term trade shock risk for NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:AMD NASDAQ:AAPL and other SP:SPX heavyweights. 🇨🇳 China credit contraction — July new bank loans fell for the first time in 20 years, signaling weak demand and adding a global growth headwind to the tape. 📊 Key Data Releases & Events (ET) 📊 📅 Thu, Aug 14 • 8:30 AM — Initial Jobless Claims (week ending Aug 9) • 8:30 AM — PPI (July) — Headline & Core • 2:00 PM — Richmond Fed’s Tom Barkin speaks ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #CPI #PPI #Fed #SPY #SPX #DXY #TLT
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
PRICE BROKEN ABOVE WEEKLY BOS 640 LEVEL Bullish If the market retests the BOS zone and holds it as support, we could see continuation toward new highs. I’ll be watching the 4hr demand zone to confirm buyer strength. Ideally, the weekly BOS should hold, and price should remain above the 4hr BOS support level. Bearish scenario If the BOS fails, price may pull back to the next major weekly support, with the potential for a deeper retracement. Bullish 🟢     •    Hold above 640.46 great indication for continuation (BOS zone)     •    Buyers defend 4hr demand zone (638.64–635.09)     •    Short-term target: 646.22, extended target: 650.44 Bearish 🔴     •    Break and close below 635.09 (4hr demand low)     •    Next major support: 631.68 → 620.00 zone     •    If 620 fails, deeper retracement possible toward 608.95, then 593.53
AMEX:SPYLong
by investwithzymeerah
From FOMO to Game Over: The Witch’s Market ProphecyPolitics and market forces are cooking the soup too hot, and greed is on the menu. Investors, funds, and retail traders are ignoring the signs — and just like in the Wild West, only the weapons have changed: stocks, futures, and options. Today, we’ll peek over the witch’s shoulder to see what she sees in the chart’s shadows. The Setup This chart shows the market reaching the U-MLH (Upper Median Line Parallel) for the third time. Even this week, the greedy market is nibbling at that level, trying to chew its way higher. The question: does it break through — or break down? Scenarios (0) → Price touches the U-MLH for the third time. Historically, repeated touches can lead to either an explosive breakout or a sharp reversal. (2) → A momentum kick, driven by FOMO, could push price up to the Warning 1/4 line. This would be the bulls’ dream run. (3) → The market reaches the next pitchfork line/deviation — because that’s what markets do. After that? Only the market gods know. (4) → Price fails to reach WL1 (Warning Line 1), triggering a Hagopian. This typically signals a failed breakout and a likely pullback. Key question: Will U-MLH hold as support? If not, expect a quick test/retest from below… then it’s Game Over. (5) → In 80% of cases, the centerline gets tagged as Profit Target 1. That could be the “logical” next stop. (6) → L-MLH (Lower Median Line Parallel) — the panic zone. This is when fear takes over, selling accelerates, and the market feels like the fan just got hit. Final Word Whatever happens next, the witch doesn’t care — she’ll be riding her broom into the moonrise, leaving the rest of us to trade the chaos. #SPX500 #NASDAQ100 #TechnicalAnalysis #Pitchfork #Futures #Options #MarketOutlook #SwingTrading #FOMO
AMEX:SPY
by HowToChart
$SPY Analysis, Key Levels & Targets What a crazy day. We had a CPI in premarket today then we kept up and we took it past all-time highs to the top of the implied move to the top of the implied move on the next day so we close just under 643. I do believe that tomorrow we will be trading around 643, maybe even between 641 and 643. Thursday we have PPI and because we're in an in between day tomorrow I think we might be a little bit more flat also look at how high up that 35 EMA is within the training range (HIT GRAB THIS CHART - UNDER THE CHART NEXT TO THE 🚀)
AMEX:SPY
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for August 13, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for August 13, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 📉 CPI cooldown keeps cut odds alive — July CPI came in +0.2% m/m, +2.7% y/y; Core +0.3% m/m, +3.1% y/y, reinforcing a “disinflation but not done” vibe. Watch $SPY/ SP:SPX vs. TVC:DXY and NASDAQ:TLT as markets handicap a September cut. 🛢️ EIA sees crude sliding sub-$60 — The EIA’s August outlook projects Brent <$60 in Q4 ‘25 as supply growth outpaces demand; energy equities ( AMEX:XLE ) and $USO/$CL_F stay sensitive to this path. 🏦 Fed-speak cluster today — Three regional Feds on deck (Barkin, Bostic, Goolsbee). Any shift in tone on tariffs vs. labor softness can move the front end and equities. 📊 Key Data Releases & Events (ET) 📊 📅 Wed, Aug 13 • 7:00 AM — MBA Mortgage Applications (weekly). • 8:00 AM — Richmond Fed’s Tom Barkin speaks (Greenville Chamber). • 10:30 AM — EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report (inventories, products). • 1:00 PM — Chicago Fed’s Austan Goolsbee Q&A (12:00 CT luncheon; livestream). • 1:30 PM — Atlanta Fed’s Raphael Bostic remarks (economic outlook). • 1:00 PM — U.S. 10-Year Note Auction (Treasury) — usual mid-month supply; watch $TLT/$TNX. ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #CPI #Fed #oil #bonds #SPY #SPX #TLT #DXY #XLE
AMEX:SPY
by TrendTao