szozulya

szozulya

It looks like the SBUX is one of the first stocks from S&P500 which is ready for a severe and long-term correction. I'm not sure yet, but I do not expect SBUX can form any new major high. I'm looking to open a short position if the market gives me such opportunity... P.S. Please do not be confused. This is not pure Elliott Wave Analysis. This analysis is based...

szozulya Updated 

This is an update of my BTCUSD Idea which I posted 14 of March 2018. I expected to see a bit sharper down movement similar to what happened with ETHUSD but the market always has its own reasons. In any case, I would keep this updated scenario as the main one with an expectation to see a new low. P.S. Please do not be confused. This is not pure Elliott Wave...

szozulya

I would prefer to stay neutral or, at least, half the existing short in the current situation. I would not open any long position until I see initial waves of uptrend because I assume that there is a wave correlation between BTCUSD and ETHUSD but BTCUSD did not show new low yet. P.S. Please do not be confused. This is not pure Elliott Wave Analysis. This...

szozulya

This update contains some minor changes in markup. The initial Idea stays the same. I expect to see new low (but no lower than 9.90) which is needed for wave (((B))) to be completed. If the market crosses up the "critical point" then this scenario will be compromised. P.S. Please do not be confused. This is not pure Elliott Wave Analysis. This analysis is based...

szozulya

I think that two-year uptrend (2016-2018) is over and now the market is crafting initial waves of a downtrend. P.S. Please do not be confused. This is not pure Elliott Wave Analysis. This analysis is based on my fork of Elliot theory. The simplified concept of this fork is published here: plus.google.com

szozulya

I believe that Since today this scenario shall be treated ad the main one with a probability around 70%. P.S. Please do not be confused. This is not pure Elliott Wave Analysis. This analysis is based on my fork of Elliot theory. The simplified concept of this fork is published here: plus.google.com

szozulya

The wave 4, most probably, is not finished yet. This markup confirms my expectations regarding the end of the long-term bull market in US. P.S. Please do not be confused. This is not pure Elliott Wave Analysis. This analysis is based on my fork of Elliot theory. The simplified concept of this fork is published here: plus.google.com

szozulya

Intraday markup of SPY. The wave " [ ]" might be not finished yet. At the moment everything goes as expected... The weekly chart is published here: P.S. Please do not be confused. This is not pure Elliott Wave Analysis. This analysis is based on my fork of Elliot theory. The simplified concept of this fork is published here: plus.google.com

szozulya

The initial idea is still alive. The probability stays the same - around 50%. It will be compromised if the market crosses down "critical point B". If the market overlaps "critical point A" then the probability of this variant is going to jump significantly. The original idea is published here: P.S. Please do not be confused. This is not pure Elliott Wave...

szozulya Updated 

At the moment the probability of this variant of counting is about 50%. If "critical point" is overlapped I will treat this variant as the main one. P.S. Please do not be confused. This is not pure Elliott Wave Analysis. This analysis is based on a fork of Elliot theory which was elaborated by me about 10 years ago.

szozulya

The end of the bull market. Seems like only just one stroke left... P.S. Please do not be confused. This is not pure Elliot Wave Analysis. This analysis is based on a fork of Elliott theory which was elaborated by me about 10 years ago.