For JPY-weakness I think GBP/JPY still makes for a compelling argument, especially when compared to EUR/JPY. I looked at a big spot of Fibonacci resistance that came into play earlier in the week and bulls spent three days stumbling there until sellers took firmer hold today. But - now there's another major level that's in-play and that's the 193.61 level, which...
If looking for Yen-strength, EUR/JPY makes for a compelling argument especially against USD/JPY and GBP/JPY.
the pair is spending its ninth consecutive week showing resistance at the 163.00-163.38 zone and this week, bulls had an open door to run a breakout until they got caught at the 165.00 handle. That led to a strong pullback and as you can see from the...
The weekly bar for USD/JPY is taking on the shape of a gravestone doji, and if sellers can push, this could turn into a shooting star which wouldn't bode well for bulls after three consecutive weeks of gains following the failed breakdown at the 140.00 handle.
For Friday, the 145.00 level looms large as this was support a week ago and currently holds the...
WTI crude oil has posted a drop of more than 4% in recent sessions as the market digests new announcements from OPEC+. The organization stated that current economic conditions could support growth in oil demand throughout 2025 and 2026. However, it remains firm in its decision to increase production starting in May and June, with monthly increments of 411,000...
The EUR/USD has given up the mild gains made earlier in the day to almost turn flat on the session, following the release of mixed US data. With equity indices bouncing back, we have see the EUR/USD come off its highs. But strong eurozone data from earlier today meant the sellers were not rushing in to punish the pair. Still, price action is turning a little more...
Riskier asset classes are starting to wobble following the sharp rebound from April’s lows. With signs the correlation between U.S. bonds and the dollar is strengthening again, it suggests the ‘sell America’ trade may be creeping back into favour—potentially an environment where the euro outperforms higher beta currencies.
With EUR/AUD testing horizontal...
The EUR/USD sell-off took a big step forward on Monday. Before that, we had a break of a descending triangle as sellers finally took out the Fibonacci level at 1.1275. But sellers weren't able to make much ground below 1.1200 last week and the breakdown remained short-lived until sellers took control on Monday. As I wrote in the post on Monday, chasing the pair...
USD/JPY came into the week with a full head of steam, testing above the 148 level after having found support at 145 last Friday. The pullback on Tuesday was pronounced, helped along by a weak U.S. CPI report, but so far USD/JPY and USD bulls have stepped up at key spots of support. In DXY, prior neckline resistance from the inverse head and shoulders pattern has...
USD came into the week with a full head of steam as price broke out to the 102.00 level on Monday. This was pushed by a strong move in USD/JPY testing 148 and EUR/USD testing 1.1100 - but then the Tuesday CPI report came out soft and that gave bulls reason to take profits on the USD.
That pullback ran vividly into early-Wednesday trade but at that point, support...
USD/JPY extended more than 6.2% off the yearly low with price registering an intraday high at 148.65 on Monday before reversing lower. The focus now shifts back to this turn from downtrend resistance with initial support now in view.
A closer look at Japanese Yen price action shows USD/JPY trading within the confines of embedded ascending pitchfork extending off...
AUD/JPY snaps the series of higher highs and lows carried over from last week after struggling to test the March high (95.75).
In turn, AUD/JPY may continue to give back the advance from the start of the week, with a move/close below the 92.80 (50% Fibonacci extension) to 93.30 (23.6% Fibonacci extension) zone bringing the monthly low (91.42) on the...
NZD/USD gives back the rebound from earlier this week to hold below the monthly high (0.6023), and lack of momentum to hold above the 0.5900 (23.6% Fibonacci retracement) to 0.5930 (78.6% Fibonacci extension) region may push the exchange rate towards 0.5820 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement).
Next area of interest comes in around 0.5740 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement)...
GBP/JPY pulls back ahead of the January high (198.26) to halt a five-day rally, with the recent weakness in the exchange rate keeping the Relative Strength Index (RSI) below 70.
Lack of momentum to push above the 195.70 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) to 196.60 (23.6% Fibonacci extension) region may push GBP/JPY towards the weekly low (193.39), with a break/close...
The recent rally in the price of oil seems to be stalling as it struggles to extend the series of higher highs and lows carried over from last week.
In turn, crude may give back the advance from the weekly low ($61.02), with a break/close below the $59.20 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement) to $60.90 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement) zone bringing the monthly low ($55.30)...
Gold has been trending lower amid growing risk appetite with stocks surging higher.
With no big bearish catalyst in sight for stocks, the market mood is optimistic and that means the pressure on gold is growing for a drop. The big macro driver has been a thaw in US-China trade tensions. With tariff rollbacks on both sides and negotiations showing real progress,...
1.1200 is the key level to watch for traders, with price action around it likely to provide better guidance than the barrage of conflicting macro takes doing the rounds right now. If the price remains below it, establish shorts with a stop above it for protection, and vice versa if the opposite occurs.
Even with Tuesday's snapback, the edge still leans slightly...
Price marked an outside-weekly reversal off key support last week with USD/CAD rallying more than 1.9% off the lows. The advance is now testing initial resistance hurdles at 1.3962/97 - a region defined by the 52-week moving average, the 2022 swing high, and the 23.6% retracement of the yearly range.
The immediate focus is on a reaction off this mark with key...
Over the past five trading sessions, the EUR/JPY pair has climbed nearly 2% in favor of the euro, once again reaching a key resistance zone in the short term. For now, the bullish bias remains intact, driven by the weakened yen, which has lost demand in recent sessions. As a safe-haven currency, the yen has struggled to hold investor interest as trade tensions...
