The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will meet this Tuesday and is widely anticipated to deliver its first rate cut in four years amid easing inflationary pressures. I am ‘reasonably’ convinced that the central bank will reduce the Cash Rate this week, a belief based on inflation and growth data that delivered prints south of the RBA’s recent projections (released...
Following the RBNZ cutting its Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 50 basis points (bps) in November 2024, economists and investors expect another bumper 50 bp rate reduction on Wednesday this week – with an outside chance of a more minor 25 bp reduction. A 50 bp (25 bp) adjustment would bring the OCR to 3.75% (4.00%). In addition, markets are also expecting another 75...
Price action on the weekly timeframe of DOG/USD (Dogecoin versus the US dollar) recently touched gloves with an equal AB=CD support pattern at US$0.21452, a base complemented by a 1.27% Fibonacci extension ratio and a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ratio. Traders long the pair tend to take aim at the 38.2% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ratios derived from between...
Following a 12% plunge since topping out at US$0.6942 at the beginning of October 2024 – with pullbacks few and far between – the AUD/USD (Australian dollar versus the US dollar) is pencilling in what appears to be a diamond bottom pattern around US$0.6150ish (made up of a broadening formation and a possible symmetrical triangle).
What’s technically interesting...
Versus the US dollar, spot gold climbed to a fresh all-time high of US$2,817 last week, though, given current chart studies, it could be due a retracement.
The monthly timeframe is knocking on the door of resistance between US$2,923 and US$2,730 (formed by a 1.272% Fibonacci projection ratio and a 100% projection ratio, respectively). Additionally, the RSI...
The ECB (European Central Bank) continued policy normalisation today, with another 25 basis points (bps) worth of cuts across all three benchmark rates. This marks the fourth consecutive rate reduction, bringing the Deposit Facility Rate, the Refinancing Rate, and the Marginal Lending Facility Rate to 2.75%, 2.90%, and 3.15%, respectively.
Frankly, I was not...
According to the US Dollar (USD) Index, the USD finished the week on the ropes, down 1.8%. Despite the growing sense that US President Trump may not live up to the hype of his pre-inauguration statements – placing a question mark on USD upside – technical studies appear to favour bulls.
Long-Term Technicals Favour Bulls
Technically speaking, I have been...
According to technical studies on the daily chart, Bitcoin versus the US dollar (BTC/USD) is now consolidating between support from US$91,591 and US$108,396.
US$100,000 remains a widely watched barrier within the consolidation, along with the 50-day SMA at US$97,615. Despite the ranging action, BTC/USD is entrenched in a bullish trend with a clear upside bias....
Today’s inauguration is undoubtedly a big event for traders, analysts, and the global economy.
Everyone is watching.
Let’s be frank: regardless of your opinion of Donald Trump or his proposed policies, his Presidential election win over Democrat candidate Kamala Harris on 5 November 2024 was nothing short of remarkable. It was a sweeping victory, and Trump...
Capping a decisively sweeping victory on 5 November 2024 in what many called a ‘historic comeback’, Republican Donald Trump will be inaugurated as the 47th president of the United States (US) on Monday at 5:00 pm GMT (midday EST). This marks his second run for the highest office.
The ceremony is set to take place at the Capitol building. Supreme Court Chief...
While the price of Gold (XAU/USD) has been rangebound since December 2024, a possible AB=CD harmonic support zone at US$2,471 continues to call for attention. A 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ratio also complements this support at US$2,473. Investors will also likely take note of the double-top pattern around the December 2024 peak of US$2,726. The pattern’s neckline...
Since early December 2024, BTC/USD (Bitcoin versus the US dollar) has traded tentatively around US$100,000. What is interesting from a technical perspective is the formation of a potential (complex) head and shoulders top pattern (left shoulders at US$99,806 and US$104.047; head at US$108.396; possible right shoulders at US$99,887 and US$102.750). Were price...
Following an all-time high of US$0.4671 in early December 2024, Dogecoin (DOG) had printed a correction versus the US dollar (USD) and rebounded from the Ichimoku Cloud Support area. This support zone was formed following the Ichimoku’s Leading Span A (light green at US$0.3576) crossing above the Leading Span B (light orange at US$0.2965) in the final full trading...
With the daily price of spot gold (XAU/USD) again rejecting resistance from US$2,716, this unearths a possible AB=CD harmonic support zone at US$2,473. This support is also complemented by Fibonacci support from 38.2% and 61.8% retracement ratios at US$2,479 and US$2,475, respectively. In addition, a 1.272% extension ratio at US$2,488 and a clear-cut uptrend is...
Since early October, sellers have largely taken control of the NZD/USD (New Zealand versus the US dollar) and sent price to lows not seen since late 2022, with limited pullbacks seen. Overall, the currency pair is down nearly 10% from October highs.
Ichimoku Resistance Supporting Sell-On-Rally Setups
What is technically important to recognise is that the...
The November US CPI inflation report (Consumer Price Index) will be widely watched today at 1:30 pm GMT.
Headline CPI Inflation Forecast to Have Increased in November
According to Refinitiv data, headline YY (year-on-year) CPI inflation is expected to have risen to 2.7% from 2.6% in October, marking a second consecutive month of increasing price pressures. YY...
In its final interest rate decision of the year, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) announced that it would keep the Cash Rate on hold at 4.35% for a ninth consecutive meeting; no surprises there and no relief for Aussies ahead of the Christmas break as rates remain at 13-year highs. While many global central banks have kicked off their easing policy, the RBA...
BTC/USD (Bitcoin versus the US dollar) has made north of US$100,000 following a brief consolidation just beneath the number in the shape of a pennant pattern. Year to date, the major Crypto pair has risen by nearly 150%.
Following Donald Trump’s US election victory, BTC has strongly outperformed and, over the last 24 hours, received another boost on the back of...
