What Is Value at Risk, and How Do Traders Use It in Trading?
Value at Risk (VaR) is a widely used risk metric that helps traders and institutions estimate potential losses over a given timeframe. By quantifying downside risk, VaR provides a structured way to assess exposure across different assets and strategies. This article explains the VaR definition, how...
US Dollar Index (DXY) Drops to 7-Week Low Ahead of Key Inflation Data
As the US Dollar Index (DXY) chart shows, the value of the USD against a basket of other currencies has fallen below 97.30 – its lowest level since late July.
The reasons lie in market sentiment ahead of major data releases:
→ On Wednesday at 15:30 GMT+3, Producer Price Index (PPI) figures...
XAU/USD Analysis: 3 Reasons Why Gold’s Rally Might Pause
Today’s XAU/USD chart shows that gold continues to set records in September. The price has risen above $3,650 per ounce for the first time in history – one of the main drivers being expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut on Wednesday, 17 September.
Easier monetary policy is generally seen as boosting...
Canadian Dollar Falls After Labour Market Data Release
On Friday, disappointing figures showed that in August the Canadian economy lost 65,500 jobs (the forecast had been for an increase of 10,000), while the unemployment rate rose to 7.1%. This is the highest level of unemployment since May 2016, excluding the pandemic period.
It is believed that:
→ the...
Nikkei 225 Rises Following Resignation of Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba
As the chart shows, Japan’s Nikkei 225 stock index (Japan 225 on FXOpen) today approached its historic peak (B) around the 43,900 level.
Bullish sentiment was driven by political news. According to Reuters, Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba has stepped down. The leading candidate to replace...
Market Analysis: NZD/USD Rally Attempts, Will Buyers Stay in Charge?
NZD/USD is also rising and might aim for more gains above 0.5920.
Important Takeaways for NZD USD Analysis Today
- NZD/USD is consolidating gains above the 0.5880 pivot level.
- There was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance at 0.5870 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD.
...
Market Analysis: AUD/USD Rally Attempts, Will Buyers Stay in Charge?
AUD/USD started a decent increase above 0.6580.
Important Takeaways for AUD USD Analysis Today
- The Aussie Dollar started a decent increase above 0.6545 against the US Dollar.
- There was a break above a contracting triangle with resistance at 0.6530 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD.
...
Amazon (AMZN) Shares Jump Over 4%
Amazon (AMZN) shares were among the top gainers in the equity markets yesterday, rising more than 4% and closing above $235 for the first time since February 2025.
The rally was fuelled by reports that Kuiper – Amazon’s project aimed at providing internet access via a network of low-Earth orbit satellites – has signed a...
In September, the S&P 500 Index Reached a New All-Time High
September is a month that statistically has the worst reputation for the S&P 500. However, in 2025 things may be different, as today the index hit a record high, rising above 6,520 points.
Bullish sentiment is being driven by:
→ expectations of an interest rate cut in September, which is believed will...
Silver Price Retreats from a 14-Year High
As the XAG/USD chart shows, yesterday silver climbed above $41.40 per ounce. The last time silver traded at this level was in September 2011. The rise in XAG/USD was supported by gold surging to a record high, which we reported yesterday.
Furthermore, Goldman Sachs analysts have issued a gold price forecast for...
Apple (AAPL) Shares Jump to a Six-Month High
As the AAPL chart shows, yesterday the price rose above $238 – its highest level since early March.
The optimistic sentiment was fuelled by:
→ A court ruling concerning Google, which we reported on yesterday. Apple shares advanced after the court allowed Alphabet to continue paying Apple for preloading Google Search...
What Is the ARIMA Prediction Model?
ARIMA (autoregressive integrated moving average) is a statistical model used to analyse time series data, making it a popular tool in financial markets. Traders apply ARIMA to assess historical price trends and identify structured patterns in market movements. This article explains how ARIMA works, its strengths and...
Gold Price Reaches a New All-Time High
As shown on today’s XAU/USD chart, the price of gold has risen above $3,530 per ounce for the first time in history.
In 2025, the increase in gold prices has been driven by sustained central bank purchases, asset diversification, steady demand for so-called safe-haven assets amid geopolitical and trade tensions, as well as...
Alphabet (GOOGL) Stock Price Soars By Around 8% After Court Ruling
At the end of August, we reported that Alphabet (GOOGL) stock price had reached a historic high, closing above $210. But today, the price is likely to climb to a new, significantly higher level. Yesterday, in after-hours trading, it surged by roughly 8%.
Why did Alphabet (GOOGL) shares rise?...
Market Analysis: USD/CHF Targets Fresh Upside
USD/CHF is rising and might aim for a move toward 0.8100.
Important Takeaways for USD/CHF Analysis Today
- USD/CHF is showing positive signs above the 0.8020 zone.
- There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at 0.8000 on the hourly chart.
USD/CHF Technical Analysis
On the...
Market Analysis: EUR/USD Trims Gains
EUR/USD started a downside correction from 1.1740.
Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today
- The Euro struggled to clear 1.1740 and corrected gains against the US Dollar.
- There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at 1.1705 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
On...
GBP/USD Exchange Rate Tumbles
As today’s GBP/USD chart shows, the pound sterling fell by nearly 1% against the US dollar in just one hour, forming an exceptionally long bearish candle.
The sharp drop was driven by concerns over public finances and a broad sell-off in the bond market. According to Reuters, the yield on UK 30-year government bonds hit 5.69% – the...
Alibaba (BABA) Shares Soar ~13% After Earnings Report
Alibaba published its second-quarter report on Friday morning. Although the company’s gross revenue came in below analysts’ forecasts ($34.6bn vs $35.1bn), BABA’s share price surged by around 13% (to its highest level since March) as the market reacted positively to:
→ Faster growth in cloud services...
