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The oil market has the wind to its back as we head into the Northern Hemisphere Summer, with WTI crude having rallied 13% since the 4 June lows. The rally from $72 has seen price retrace a decent portion of the falls seen between April and June - which resulted in the market running one of the most bearish positions we’ve seen in years. Clearly, the demand side of...
The big picture on gold is that price is in wait-and-see mode, and assessing what comes next in US economic trends, Fed policy and EM central bank gold purchases. The clearly defined range of $2430 to $2285 reflects this patient stance, although, within the $145 range, there are moves being made that traders are capitalizing on. Still, I expect we’ll see these...
• Key event risks for the week ahead.
• Nvidia’s Q125 earnings, a key driver of equity markets this week.
• Fed speakers could move markets – Powell, Waller, and Jefferson in the spotlight.
• US equity markets at all-time highs – fatigued, but well-supported.
• Copper, gold, platinum, and silver are all on fire.
The key event risks for traders this week
We...
Due to report shortly after market close on 22 May (typically 06:20 AEST / 21:20 UK).
“The most important stock in the world” - That was the label given to Nvidia (NVDA) throughout February as we geared up for its highly anticipated Q424 earnings results. Where, at the time, the sheer number of articles written on the stock was incredible – when you are a...
Everyone is talking about the moves in the FTSE100, but the ASX200 is having a moment - we see solid rate of change, the index is still no where near overbought, and we see 4 days of rising range expansion. Momentum is clearly to the upside, which suggests dips should well supported and shallow - hard to be short on timeframes 4hr+ and favour this higher but a...
While we await earnings from Nvidia (on 22 May) that will be influential on future market direction, we move into the tail-end of US quarterly earnings, but also past a dovish Fed meeting, a strong US ECI report and weaker-than-expected US nonfarm payrolls and 2 hefty bouts of MoF/BoJ intervention.
Yet, despite these landmines, a gentle calm descends over...