Pepperstone

Pepperstone Broker

As we look at what is an incredible level of event risk in the week ahead – we can take our vision out slightly further, where the RBA meeting on 7 Feb could be lively. In the lead-up AUD exposures will be impacted by risk and sentiment in markets, where the tone will predominantly be driven by the reaction to the FOMC meeting (2 Feb 06:00 AEDT), as well as...

Pepperstone Broker

A tough day for the equity bears or those positioned short risk – but why we’ve seen such upbeat risk flow is the subject of debate – for me, the idea of not overthinking things is advantageous - always trying to justify a move doesn’t offer much edge when trading – it’s about extracting the most out of a trade (if on the right side of the move), but reacting and...

Pepperstone Broker

With the weakness in the USD - where the DXY holds the potential to crack the consolidation lows and EURUSD looks to break the 1.0875 and 1.0750 range - married with the grind lower in US real rates (lower pane) - we’re seeing new cycle highs in gold. A range break in the DXY would certainly be helpful in the quest to push price to $2000, which is the big...

Pepperstone Broker

As detailed in the BoJ meeting preview yesterday, the market is on edge for significant movement – case in point, USDJPY 1-day implied volatility (vol) currently sits at 49% - for context, this equates to a 279-pip move (higher or lower) on the day (with a 68% level of confidence), where the market feels fairly confident the upside should be contained into...

Pepperstone Broker

It’s been many years since Bank of Japan (BoJ) meetings posed significant risks for traders, but this Wednesday’s BoJ meeting holds the potential for significant volatility in USDJPY, as well as the JPY crosses, and JPN225. The risk manager The job of the trader is to manage risk, as well as achieving correct position sizing for every trade. So, when I look at...

Pepperstone Broker

Having returned from three weeks of annual leave with a renewed focus, it feels like the transitioning market expectations and positioning from a hard-landing economic scenario to one that is less bad one still has legs, and the positive risk sentiment should hold for now, although we must be prepared to react to changes in sentiment and price. The drivers; EU Nat...