APTUSDT: short setup from daily support at 1.7416

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APTUSDT.P has approached a strong level at 1.7416. Today we are seeing a breakout attempt, but the lack of impulse suggests it might be a false break. However, we are also missing the sharp rejection (bounce) typical of a defended level. Instead, the price is "sawing" around the level. Therefore, it is prudent to either wait for a clear entry point from a newly formed local level or wait for the daily bar to close below the level and near its absolute low. Such a close would confirm price acceptance and the major players' intent to push the asset further down.

Key factors for this scenario:
  • Global & local trend alignment
  • Price void / low liquidity zone beyond level
  • Correlation with the market
  • No reaction after a false break
  • Closing near the level
  • Closing near the bar's extreme

Factors that contradict this scenario:
  • Yesterday's bar closed far from the level
  • Lack of consolidation near the level on the working lower timeframe

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