APT 1D Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead

☃️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well.

⏰ We’re analyzing APT on the 1-Day timeframe .

👀 On the daily timeframe for Aptos, we can see it's ranked 36 on CoinMarketCap, and its 24h trading volume is around 16% of its total market cap. This indicates heavy activity and high liquidity. APT is moving inside a triangular range, currently consolidating at the end of this triangle, with signs of a potential breakout. If it breaks and confirms above this structure, the coin could begin a price recovery after 240 days of ranging and selling pressure, pushing toward its higher resistances. The key resistance right now is at $4.7, and a confirmed breakout above this level can send it toward its next resistance zones.

🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, it was ranging inside a box between the 30–60 zone. On the 4th touch, the top of the box was broken and RSI crossed above 60. Our main RSI confirmation comes with a daily candle close above the $4.7 resistance, along with RSI stabilizing above 60, which would trigger increased volume, volatility, and even push RSI toward the overbought zone.

🕯 The size, volume, and number of recent green candles after the last touch of the maker-buyer zone have noticeably increased, with 6 bullish candles pushing the price toward the key resistance. Market participants in crypto are waiting to see the reaction here. From a time perspective, the coin spent 240 days in a descending range and completed a proper correction. Now that it's in the final squeeze phase, buying volume has increased well, and if the momentum continues, the coin could see a strong price rally.

💸 On the APTBTC pair, we can see it's at the end of the triangle and has almost pushed above its resistance with a whale candle, though volume is still relatively low. If the price stabilizes above the marked resistance on this pair and we also see rising volume on the USDT pair, a significant outperformance against Bitcoin is likely. This could attract whale attention and encourage rotation from BTC into APT.

🧠 For positioning on Aptos, entering with a reasonable risk makes sense, especially since after 240 days it's showing signs of forming a higher low and potentially a higher high. With a breakout above $4.7, the coin can continue toward its upper resistance levels.

↗️ Long Scenario: Breakout and confirmation above $4.7, with RSI stabilizing above the 60 zone as seen in the analysis, along with a confirmed breakout and support hold on the BTC pair. With increasing long volume and a completed pullback, entering on a secure higher low in multi-timeframe structure would be valid.

📉 Short Scenario (Risky): It's almost unlikely that the coin drops significantly from current levels, but if it does, losing the maker-buyer zone on both USDT and BTC pairs could trigger a deep correction with maximum selling pressure. Keep in mind, short positions in this phase of market compression breakouts are generally illogical since price reversals are very likely in these trends.

❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .