GOLD: Profit-Taking Risk in Gold as Geopolitical Tensions EaseGOLD: Profit-Taking Risk in Gold as Geopolitical Tensions Ease
Yesterday in Davos:
U.S. President Donald Trump abruptly stepped back on Wednesday from threats to impose tariffs as leverage to seize Greenland, ruled out the use of force and suggested a deal was in sight to end a dispute over the Danish territory that risked the deepest rupture in transatlantic relations in decades.
It is likely that the euphoria to push gold to 5000 has faded after the new comments made by Trump.
It is possible that ARRI will experience a sell-off from profit-taking, given that the main catalyst for the bullish move is no longer there.
We could see gold make a downward correction to 4780 and 4730.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Trend Analysis
GOLD - Pullback before growth after Asian momentum FX:XAUUSD is correcting after hitting a historic high ($4,900), due to the de-escalation of tensions between the US and the EU. Profit-taking is observed, but the trend remains bullish...
Fundamental background:
- Trump has cooled down: tariffs are temporarily suspended, as is the forceful seizure of Greenland. Negotiations are likely to continue. The market reacted quite aggressively to yesterday's “swings” led by Trump.
Today, data on PCE inflation and US GDP for the third quarter will be released, which may provide new momentum.
Further dynamics will depend on inflation data: weak indicators may renew interest in defensive assets, while strong ones may increase pressure.
Resistance levels: 4838, 4850, 4880
Support levels: 4813, 4800, 4777
Technically, after the Asian momentum, gold may form a correction of 50% of the total movement. I consider the 4813-4800 area (liquidity area) to be a zone of interest. And as zones of interest at the top, I consider the 4850 area — the liquidity pool.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Reversal Entry Detected )⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm
The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance.
It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic.
Technical Reasons
/ Direction — LONG / Reversal 4819 Area
☄️Bullish momentum confirmed through strong candle body.
☄️Structure shifted with higher-low near key demand base.
☄️Volume expanding confirms order-flow alignment upward.
☄️Buyers reclaimed imbalance with sustained clean break.
☄️Algorithm detects rising momentum under low liquidity.
⚙️ Hanzo Alpha Trading Protocol
The Alpha Candle defines the day’s real control zone — the first battle of momentum.
From this origin, the Volume Window reveals where the next precision strike begins.
⚙️ Hanzo Volume Window / Map
Window tracked from 10:30 — mapping true market behavior.
POC alignment exposes institutional bias and breakout potential zones.
⚙️ Hanzo Delta Window / Pulse
Delta window monitors real buying vs. selling power behind each move.
Tracks volume aggression to expose who controls the candle — buyers or sellers.
When Delta aligns with Volume Map, momentum becomes undeniable.
EURUSD Rejection From Resistance, 1.1630 Support in FocusHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on EURUSD (4H) based on the current chart structure. EURUSD previously traded within a well-defined bullish channel, supported by a rising trend line and a sequence of higher highs and higher lows. This structure confirmed strong buyer control after price reversed from the broader base and pushed higher with momentum. During this bullish phase, price broke above a key Seller Zone around 1.1680–1.1700, confirming bullish continuation and acceptance above former resistance. The market then extended higher before momentum started to fade near the upper boundary of the channel, where price clearly turned around, signaling exhaustion from buyers. Following the top, EURUSD transitioned into a corrective phase, breaking below the ascending structure and forming a descending channel. This shift marked a short-term change in market control, with sellers gaining strength. Price respected the descending resistance line, producing lower highs and confirming bearish pressure. Several corrective pullbacks occurred, but each rally failed below the Resistance Level near 1.1700, reinforcing this area as a strong supply zone. Fake breakouts and quick rejections from this zone further highlight active selling interest. Currently, EURUSD has broken below the descending resistance line and is trading beneath the Seller Zone, suggesting that recent upside moves are corrective rather than impulsive. Price is now moving toward the Buyer Zone / Support Level around 1.1630–1.1600, which previously acted as a key demand area and structural reaction zone. This level is marked as TP1, where buyers may attempt to slow or pause the decline. My scenario: as long as EURUSD remains below the 1.1680–1.1700 Resistance Level and continues to respect the broader bearish structure, the downside bias remains valid. I expect price to continue lower toward the 1.1630–1.1600 Support Level (TP1). A clean breakdown and acceptance below this zone would open the door for a deeper bearish continuation. However, a strong bullish reaction and acceptance back above resistance would invalidate the bearish scenario and suggest a possible return to consolidation or trend recovery. For now, market structure favors sellers while price trades below resistance. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Gold 30-Min — Volume Buy Reversal Triggered⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm
The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance.
It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic.
Technical Reasons
/ Direction — LONG / Reversal 4760 Area
☄️Bullish momentum confirmed through strong candle body.
☄️Structure shifted with higher-low near key demand base.
☄️Volume expanding confirms order-flow alignment upward.
☄️Buyers reclaimed imbalance with sustained clean break.
☄️Algorithm detects rising momentum under low liquidity.
⚙️ Hanzo Alpha Trading Protocol
The Alpha Candle defines the day’s real control zone — the first battle of momentum.
From this origin, the Volume Window reveals where the next precision strike begins.
⚙️ Hanzo Volume Window / Map
Window tracked from 10:30 — mapping true market behavior.
POC alignment exposes institutional bias and breakout potential zones.
⚙️ Hanzo Delta Window / Pulse
Delta window monitors real buying vs. selling power behind each move.
Tracks volume aggression to expose who controls the candle — buyers or sellers.
When Delta aligns with Volume Map, momentum becomes undeniable.
Trend Doesn’t Cancel Corrections (And the Herd Always Pays)Yesterday, I made a call that sounded “wrong” to most retail traders.
✅ Silver will fill the gap.
✅ Gold will drop into the 4750 zone.
Both happened.
Not because I’m a prophet.
But because markets don’t work like retail emotions want them to work.
Even in a strong bullish trend, corrections are not a surprise — they’re a requirement.
And the trader who understands that simple fact will outperform the trader who only understands “up or down”.
1) A Trend Is Not a Straight Line — It’s a Negotiation
Retail traders love clean narratives:
- “Gold is bullish, so it must go up.”
- “Silver is strong, so dips are impossible.”
- “If news is positive, price must pump.”
But a real trend is not a straight line.
A trend is a sequence of impulses and corrections.
And every correction exists for a purpose:
- to rebalance positioning
- to shake out weak hands
- to refill liquidity
- to reset the market’s ability to continue
In other words:
Corrections are not “against the trend.”
They are the trend’s fuel.
If you’re only prepared for continuation, you’re not trading a trend…
You’re worshipping it.
2) The Herd Always Thinks in One Direction (Because It Feels Safe)
Here’s one of the most dangerous illusions in trading:
When everyone agrees, it feels like certainty.
But in markets, mass agreement usually means something else: the trade is already crowded.
That’s when you start seeing the same comments everywhere:
- “Gold only goes up 🚀”
- “This is the breakout!”
- “Buy every dip!”
- “No more pullbacks, strong fundamentals!”
And that’s exactly the moment you should pause.
Not because the crowd is always wrong…
…but because when everyone is positioned the same way, the market has a problem:
✅ too many stops in one place
✅ too many emotions in one direction
✅ too little liquidity for continuation
✅ too many people chasing the “obvious move”
That’s where the correction becomes not only likely… but necessary.
3) Even If You Don’t Fade the Herd… At Least Don’t Join It Late
Let’s be clear:
You don’t need to be the hero who always sells the top or buys the bottom.
Sometimes the highest-IQ decision is simply: Stay out.
Because most traders don’t lose money by being wrong…
They lose money by being late.
They enter after:
- the breakout is old news
- the move is extended
- the risk is huge
- the stop placement is obvious
- the crowd is fully committed
So the market does what markets always do: it punishes certainty.
That’s how bullish trends still produce brutal red candles.
Not because the trend is broken…
…but because positioning needs to be cleaned.
4) The Market Isn’t “Against You” — It’s Against Predictability
Retail wants predictability.
Smart money wants liquidity.
And retail provides liquidity in the most predictable way possible:
- buying after too many green candles
- selling after too many red candles
- placing stops in obvious locations
- reacting emotionally to headlines
This is why the “herd trade” is so profitable for the other side.
Not because smart money is magical.
But because retail behavior is repetitive.
And anything repetitive becomes exploitable.
5) “Trading Is Zero-Sum” — So Ask the One Question That Matters
Here is the part most traders avoid because it kills their fantasy: Trading is a zero-sum game (especially in leveraged derivatives).
Meaning: If you win, someone else loses.
Now ask yourself: If all retail is bullish… who is left to buy?
And more importantly: If everyone is bullish, who is the liquidity?
Because it’s never “smart money”.
Smart money isn’t the one buying the last breakout candle at maximum risk.
Retail is.
So if all retail is bullish and fully committed… then the real question becomes:
✅ who is trapped?
✅ who owns their stops?
✅ who will panic first?
And once you think this way, the market becomes clearer.
Not easier.
But clearer.
The Real Lesson: Trends Are Easy — Positioning Is Hard
Anyone can say:
“Gold is bullish.”
That’s not analysis.
That’s a weather report.
The real skill is knowing when:
- the bullish trend needs a correction
- the “obvious continuation” becomes the trap
- the herd has overloaded one side
- patience becomes the edge
Because the market rewards:
✅ timing
✅ discipline
✅ structure
✅ emotional neutrality
Not crowd confidence.
Final Thought
When you see everyone on the same side… don’t blindly fight them.
But most of all, don’t blindly join them.
Do the professional thing: pause, reassess, and respect the correction inside the trend.
Because in the end…
Smart money doesn’t need to outsmart everyone.
It only needs retail to behave like retail.
And retail never disappoints.
✅ Stay sharp.
✅ Stay patient.
✅ Stay out when it’s crowded.
That alone puts you ahead of 90% of traders.
Best Of Luck!
Mihai Iacob
Gold (XAUUSD) – Technical Analysis | Market StructureFrom a technical standpoint, gold continues to trade within a structurally sound bullish environment. Price action maintains a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows, indicating that the broader upward structure remains intact.
Recent pullbacks have been controlled and shallow, suggesting consolidation rather than trend exhaustion. Instead of aggressive selling, the market shows signs of balance during retracements, with buyers stepping in at higher levels. This behavior is typical of a healthy trend where participation remains supportive.
At this stage, price is approaching a key area of technical interest, where demand was previously active. Such zones often act as decision points, as the market temporarily slows down to reassess the balance between buyers and sellers. A sustained hold above this area would keep the bullish structure valid and allow price to continue respecting the broader trend.
On the upside, the 4,870 USD region stands out as a notable technical reference, aligned with prior structural interaction. This level represents an area where price may react, rather than a guaranteed objective.
From a risk perspective, the current structure would only be challenged by a decisive break below the established support zone. Until such a development occurs, downside moves are best viewed as part of a broader consolidation process rather than a trend reversal.
Overall, gold remains technically supported, with price behavior favoring continuation as long as key structural levels continue to hold.
EURUSD is showing early signs of bullish reversalEURUSD Price respected a descending channel for a long time, making lower highs and lower lows. Recently, strong bullish momentum pushed price out of the lower side of the channel, signalling possible trend reversal or at least a corrective upside move.
Current price is consolidating around 1.1700, which is acting as a key decision zone. This area is now support after the breakout If price holds above 1.1680 – 1.1700, a pullback and continuation higher is likely.
Tecnically Price after breaking the descending channel. As long as price holds above support, buying pressure may push the pair toward 1.1750 and 1.1800 levels.”
You may find more details in the chart,
Trade wisely best of luck buddies.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis thanks for supporting.
XAUUSD Ascending Channel Holds, Upside Toward $4,950Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on XAUUSD (1H) based on the current chart structure. Gold is trading within a well-defined bullish structure, supported by a rising price channel formed after a clear shift in market control from sellers to buyers. Earlier on the chart, price respected the ascending support line, creating higher lows and confirming sustained buying pressure. This gradual advance led to a consolidation phase, where price formed a clear range, reflecting temporary balance before continuation. Following the range, XAUUSD broke out to the upside, confirming trend continuation. This breakout was supported by a clean impulse move and acceptance above the former range high. After the breakout, price successfully retested the Buyer Zone around 4,820, which aligns with the prior resistance turned support and the lower boundary of the bullish channel. This area is acting as a strong demand zone, where buyers are actively defending the structure. Currently, price is moving higher within the ascending channel and approaching a key Resistance Level and Seller Zone near 4,950. This zone represents a major upside objective and a potential area for profit-taking or seller reaction. The bullish momentum remains intact as long as price holds above the Buyer Zone and respects the rising support line. My scenario: as long as XAUUSD stays above the 4,820 Buyer Zone, the bullish structure remains valid. Continued strength could drive price toward the 4,950 resistance level (TP1). A clean breakout and acceptance above this seller zone would open the door for further upside continuation. However, a decisive rejection from resistance could lead to a corrective pullback toward the Buyer Zone. A breakdown below support would weaken the bullish bias and signal a deeper correction. For now, the market structure favors buyers while price remains supported within the ascending channel. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to 50% Fibo 4933.Colleagues, the price continues its upward movement in wave “5” of the higher order (red wave), and a major correction is already quite close, but we need to understand where the upward momentum will end.
I believe that the price will renew its maximum and rise to the 50% Fibonacci extension level to the 4933 area, which will mark the end of the middle wave “5” and the higher wave “5”.
It is possible that wave “4” will be renewed, but I do not believe that the correction will be deep.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
XAUUSD(GOLD): Price is likely to be heading towards $4950! Gold corrected after reaching a record high of $4880. We anticipated further drops but recent geopolitical tensions have disrupted the natural price trend. Consequently, there’s a strong chance the price will move towards the $5000 area.
We’ve set up two entries – one riskier and one safer – so choose the one that suits you best. If you have any questions, feel free to ask in the comments. Your support means a lot.
Thanks,
Team SetupsFX_
XAUUSD: Holds $4,770 Support With Upside Potential Toward $4,890Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current XAUUSD setup.
Market Analysis
Gold is trading within a well-defined bullish structure, supported by a clear ascending channel that reflects sustained buyer control. Earlier in the move, price respected the lower boundary of the channel and formed a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, confirming strong bullish momentum. During the advance, XAUUSD entered a consolidation range, signaling a temporary pause and accumulation before continuation. This range eventually resolved to the upside, reinforcing the prevailing bullish trend. After the breakout, price experienced a brief corrective move, including a fake breakout to the downside, which was quickly absorbed by buyers. This false break further validated underlying demand and led to a strong impulsive move higher back into the channel. Most recently, Gold broke above a key intraday resistance and successfully retested the former resistance as support near the 4,770 Support Zone, confirming acceptance above this level.
Currently, XAUUSD is trading above support and pushing toward the upper boundary of the ascending channel. Price is approaching a major Resistance Zone around 4,880–4,890, which aligns with the channel high and represents a critical reaction area where profit-taking or short-term selling pressure may appear.
My Scenario & Strategy
My primary scenario remains bullish as long as XAUUSD holds above the 4,770 support zone and continues to respect the ascending channel structure. A sustained move and acceptance above the 4,890 resistance would confirm continuation toward higher levels within the channel.
However, rejection from the resistance zone could lead to a short-term consolidation or a corrective pullback toward the 4,770 support area before the next attempt higher. A clear breakdown and acceptance below support would weaken the bullish bias and signal a deeper correction. For now, market structure and momentum favor buyers while price remains supported above key levels.
That’s the setup I’m tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on Gold?
Gold has made a strong bullish move and successfully broken above the upper boundary of the ascending channel, currently trading above the channel structure. At these levels, a corrective move is expected.
Primary scenario:
Price may correct at least toward the broken channel top to complete a pullback, followed by a continuation of the bullish trend toward higher targets.
Alternative scenario:
Considering the existing price gap and a key support zone around 4650, a deeper correction toward this area is also possible. From there, price could regain bullish momentum and resume its upward move.
As long as price remains above the highlighted support zone, the overall market structure stays bullish, and pullbacks may be viewed as continuation opportunities.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Lingrid | GOLD Approaching Most Significant Level in HistoryOANDA:XAUUSD perfectly played out my previous trading idea . The market is pressing into the upper boundary of its long-term ascending channel as price nears the psychological 5,000 zone, an area that aligns with major historical resistance. It continues to respect its rising channel structure, with price trading above the key 4,800 support after a strong impulsive advance. Despite proximity to the psychological 5,000 level, downside attempts remain shallow. This pause looks more like absorption than distribution.
If support around 4,760, TVC:GOLD could rebuild momentum and attempt a renewed push toward 5,000, where a breakout may trigger trend acceleration. A successful expansion above this zone could open the path toward uncharted territory, driven by continuation flow.
➡️ Primary scenario: hold above 4,760 → continuation toward 5,000.
⚠️ Risk scenario: a decisive loss of 4,750 may shift price into a deeper corrective phase.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
BTCUSDT Short: Lower Highs, Supply Rejection & Demand in FocusHello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of BTCUSDT (2H) based on the current chart structure. Bitcoin previously traded within a broader bullish recovery phase, supported by a rising trend line that guided price higher from the lows. During this advance, BTC formed a consolidation range, reflecting accumulation before continuation. This range eventually broke to the upside, confirming buyer control and pushing price toward a major Supply Zone around 91,400. At this level, price reacted sharply, forming a clear pivot high and signaling strong seller presence. Following the rejection, BTC entered a corrective phase, trading within a short-term range near the highs before breaking down. After the breakdown, price lost the ascending demand line and confirmed a structural shift to the downside. Subsequent pullbacks failed to reclaim the broken structure, and former support acted as resistance, reinforcing bearish pressure. The move lower accelerated, bringing price back toward the broader Demand Zone near 88,600–88,700, which aligns with the long-term rising trend line and a key historical reaction area.
Currently, BTCUSDT is trading near this demand zone after a strong bearish impulse. This area is critical, as buyers may attempt to slow the decline or form a short-term base. However, until price shows a clear bullish reaction and regains broken structure, the downside risk remains.
My scenario: as long as BTCUSDT stays below the 91,400 supply zone and fails to reclaim the broken demand line, the bearish bias remains valid. I expect price to test and potentially react from the 88,700 demand area (TP1). A clean break and acceptance below this zone would open the door for a deeper correction. Conversely, a strong bullish reaction from demand followed by a reclaim of key resistance would weaken the bearish outlook and suggest a potential recovery. Manage your risk!
Pullback resistance?DAX40 (DE40) is rising towards the pivot, which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 25,044.65
1st Support: 24,501.58
1st Resistance: 25,454.88
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BTCUSDT - The battle for 90K may end in a decline BINANCE:BTCUSDT , against the backdrop of Trump's speech and various comments, caused a shake-up within the range of 87,800-90,300, but the price is consolidating below key resistance within the current downtrend...
The downtrend may continue if Bitcoin consolidates below 90K. There is a chance of this happening as there is still no fundamental support for the market. Everyone is talking about the "CLARITY Act" on cryptocurrencies, but there is no date for its signing, and there are rumors that the process may be postponed until late winter or mid-spring, leaving the market without a bullish driver.
The market is experiencing a phase of struggle for the 90K resistance zone. Bears are stubbornly resisting, forming a false breakout and consolidation below resistance. The structure could be broken if there is an impulsive breakout of the 90,500 zone and the bulls are able to keep the price above this zone, but the bears have formed a fairly strong resistance zone.
Resistance levels: 90,400, 91,400
Support levels: 87800, 85000
I do not rule out another attempt to retest the 90350 zone, but if the bears keep the price below 90K, the market will have no chance for growth. In this case, a pullback to 89K - 88K can be considered.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold at Record Highs: Testing Acceptance Above Key EMAsHello everyone,
Gold is currently experiencing one of its strongest rallies in many years, repeatedly breaking historical highs and moving into price territory the market has never traded before. However, for me, the key question at this stage is not how far gold has already risen, but whether the market is truly willing to accept this new price level.
Looking at the technical picture, an important detail stands out. On the H4 chart, gold surged aggressively from around the 4,600 area straight into the 4,880–4,900 zone in a very short period of time. Price moved away from both the EMA 34 and EMA 89 much faster than usual, with consecutive bullish candles and almost no pauses in between. More importantly, there was a clear lack of consolidation zones above. This is a classic sign of a strong impulsive rally—powerful, but carrying a familiar risk: price advancing faster than the market’s ability to absorb it.
For that reason, gold slowing down after setting a new high is not surprising. As price approached the 4,880 area, rejection candles began to appear, followed by a mild pullback toward the 4,800 zone. Crucially, this correction has not damaged the broader bullish structure. EMA 34 remains intact, both EMAs continue to slope upward, and EMA 89 still sits below price as a backbone for the medium-term trend. This behavior suggests the market is “retesting” the strength of the uptrend rather than signaling a reversal.
At this stage, the EMA levels are becoming especially important. EMA 34 is acting as dynamic support for the short-term uptrend, while EMA 89 continues to represent the core support of the larger trend. A key support zone lies around 4,740–4,700, which closely aligns with EMA 34. As long as this area holds and there is no clear H4 close decisively below it, the market is likely completing a short-term consolidation before attempting to resume the uptrend. In that scenario, higher levels such as 4,900+—and even the psychological 5,000 USD/oz mark—remain firmly on the radar.
What do you think? Share your view!
ES Weekly Levels: Reversal Zone 6865–6875 → Target 6950/6955🔱 ES WEEKLY SNAPSHOT — EXECUTIVE SUMMARY (NEW WEEK | JAN 2026)
✨ Bull reversal setup is the focus — but weakness remains until key sell-side is reclaimed
🧲 Fresh overhead sell-side liquidity / bear FVG: 6950 plus key level 6955
📌 Context: ES gapped down at the open → signals continued weakness into the week
🧲 Bull FVG + preferred reversal zone: 6865–6875 = best area to scale into longs
🛡 Failure zone / risk-off trigger: loss of 6865–6875 opens downside to 6795 → 6790
🎯 Bull target: 6950 fresh liquidity pocket overhead
🏦 Core play: scale buys 6865–6875, manage risk if the zone fails, take profit into 6950–6955
🗳️ ES Weekly Scenarios — What’s Your Play?
Which path do you have for ES next week?
🅰️ Hold 6865–6875 → reversal works → rotation into 6925 → tag 6950
🅱️ Sweep below 6875 → reclaim 6865–6875 → squeeze into 6950–6955
🅲 Drive into 6950–6955 → rejection from sell-side → pullback toward 6925 → 6865
🅳 Break/hold below 6865–6875 → weakness confirms → downside opens to 6795 → 6790
Your key levels: 6955 / 6925 / 6865 / 6795 / 6790
Your FVGs: 6950 (bear sell-side) / 6865–6875 bull reversal
TheGrove | GBPCAD SELL | Idea Trading AnalysisGBPCAD broke down sharply from the rising channel, confirming a bearish. the impulsive sell-off invalidated prior bullish structure and pushed price below key intraday supports.
GBPCAD is moving on Resistance area..
The chart is above the support level, which has already become a reversal point twice.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity GBPCAD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad ⚜️
BTCUSDT: Breakdown Confirmed – Sellers in Control, Target to 87KHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current BTCUSDT setup.
Market Analysis
BTCUSDT previously traded within a bullish structure, supported by a well-defined ascending trend line that reflected strong buyer control. After an impulsive upward move, price formed a consolidation range near the highs, indicating a temporary balance between buyers and sellers. Eventually, BTC failed to continue higher and broke down from the range, which became the first sign of weakening bullish momentum. This was followed by a decisive break below the ascending trend line, confirming a structural shift in favor of sellers. Subsequent recovery attempts were capped by a clearly defined Resistance Zone around 90,600, where multiple breakout attempts failed, signaling strong selling pressure.
Currently, BTCUSDT is trading below the resistance zone, forming lower highs and maintaining a bearish market structure. Upward moves appear corrective rather than impulsive, reinforcing seller dominance. Below the current price, a Support Zone near 87,000 stands as the next key area where buyers may attempt to slow the decline.
My Scenario & Strategy
My primary scenario remains bearish as long as BTCUSDT stays below the 90,600 resistance zone and does not reclaim the broken trend line. Any pullbacks into resistance that show rejection may be considered potential short opportunities. The main downside target is the 87,000 support zone, where price could react or temporarily consolidate.
However, a clean break and sustained acceptance above 90,600 would invalidate the bearish bias and suggest a possible transition back into consolidation or recovery. For now, market structure and momentum clearly favor sellers.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.






















