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Economic Cycles

Cycles are long term fluctuating activities with 4 distinct periods: improvement, prosperity, recession, and depression. These periods may assume different names, but the basic concepts remains the same. In the improvement phase we turn from depression to prosperity. We typically see rising economic activities, increased production and investment and a rise in income and employment. In the prosperity phase we typically see rising interest rates, inflation, overall economic optimism, economic activity and high income.

In the recession phase we turn from prosperity to depression. We typically see falling demands, decline in income, low economic confidence and falling stock markets. In the depression phase we typically see a decline in consumption and demand, falling interest rates, deflation, economic pessimism and low income. Cycles can be used to find the best stocks to invest in, based on what kind of sectors and companies perform better in which period, e.g. cyclical stocks in the improvement phase and defensive stocks during the recession phase.
AzorAhai06 AzorAhai06 BTCUSD, 120, Long ,
BTCUSD:  Bitcoin Case for Re-Accumulation BTCUSD BTC XBT
94 0 5
BTCUSD, 120 Long
Bitcoin Case for Re-Accumulation BTCUSD BTC XBT

I was horribly wrong on the last schematic, so I'm trying to move much slower with this one. I'm making a case for accumulation because I have not seen a sign of weakness yet. The bottom of the trading range is holding pretty well.

JoeyycC JoeyycC AUDUSD, 1W, Long ,
AUDUSD: Long Aussie Dollar
35 0 4
AUDUSD, 1W Long
Long Aussie Dollar

Target near .81 flat. Will likely hold for several weeks if it holds the bottom cloud around .7650.

darobsta darobsta BLX, W,
BLX: Bitcoin : another long term view
83 1 1
BLX, W
Bitcoin : another long term view

In my last idea I tried to superimpose the previous bubble's double peak - as this is popular "bull porn" and worth considering I thought. However, I couldn't quite shake the feeling that 20k is just as likely to be the top of the mysterious channel that we all stare as while configuring lambos. To me, its a smidge more convincing than my previous idea, and the ...

mezase mezase NANOBTC, 1D, Long ,
NANOBTC: NANO getting ready
116 0 1
NANOBTC, 1D Long
NANO getting ready

Volume has been slowly increasing these last couple days, just following the alt pump cycle. As long as $Bitcoin doesn't get dumped it should be good.

Justinwjolly Justinwjolly XAUUSD, 1W, Long ,
XAUUSD: Gold breakout
73 0 1
XAUUSD, 1W Long
Gold breakout

-5 year bottoming cycle nearing completion -Cannot take credit for this idea, highlighted to me by trading legend Peter Brandt in his Factor service Appears to be breaking out but lines are a bit arbitrary Putting out a small line of 30 basis points

DRKHORS DRKHORS XAUUSD, 1D, Long ,
XAUUSD: Updated Close-Up BTC-Gold comparison. $9K incoming!
1214 2 11
XAUUSD, 1D Long
Updated Close-Up BTC-Gold comparison. $9K incoming!

BITSTAMP:BTCUSD I know I have some big fans out there of my Gold and BTC trend comparison idea. There's a reason why... it's working! I've reduced the BTC chart to the hourly vs Gold on the daily and narrowed the charts to a smaller time frame for a closer look, where even smaller candlestick patterns are playing out freakishly similar. If you take a look at my ...

Lzr Lzr LUNBTC, 1D, Long ,
LUNBTC: Lunyr longterm good profit ratio.
135 0 3
LUNBTC, 1D Long
Lunyr longterm good profit ratio.

Text is in the chart!

CRYPTOCOOKBOOK CRYPTOCOOKBOOK ETHUSD, D, Long ,
ETHUSD: ETH Cycle for 2018
202 0 3
ETHUSD, D Long
ETH Cycle for 2018

I think we'll see ETH repeat a similar cycle to last year. I think it'll bounce between these levels of support and resistance with $1000 USD playing a major role. Later this year I think it'll reach an ATH and shoot for around $3k.

darobsta darobsta BLX, W, Short ,
BLX: Bitcoin : Will we repeat option A, or B?
737 2 14
BLX, W Short
Bitcoin : Will we repeat option A, or B?

Route A takes us to 4.9k (75% from all time high) then back up to the top of the channel, before visiting the bottom. Route B takes us down straight away to the bottom of the channel at 2.8k (86% from all time high), then it will rest and gather strength for later. Route C is all other routes, and is much more likely! ;-) Clearly, this is all just guesswork, ...

DKexer DKexer ETHUSD, 180, Long ,
ETHUSD: Could history repeat itself? ETHUSD
1066 4 15
ETHUSD, 180 Long
Could history repeat itself? ETHUSD

Some fractals I've been playing with, could also mean BTC is close to the bottom. Nice volume aswell.

filbfilb filbfilb BLX, 1W, Long ,
BLX: Fibonacci Knows When Bitcoin Muhn, Sir.
3629 7 40
BLX, 1W Long
Fibonacci Knows When Bitcoin Muhn, Sir.

Fibonacci numbers appear in everything in our lives, they are the very fabric of Math and everything around us. 'Most' Bitcoiners obsess about one thing (rightly or wrongly) and that is the price and when it will make them rich or when it will be the moon etc. In my own trading i look to the Fibonacci sequence to understand where targets may be during price ...

croganm croganm IXIC, W, Short ,
IXIC: Market Pullback in Coming, Be Careful!
815 2 9
IXIC, W Short
Market Pullback in Coming, Be Careful!

If any of you guys have seen my last post about the NASDAQ, I showed a couple retractments I thought should make us all very weary. Well, I'm here to share another interesting piece. It's obvious the normal graph of the NASDAQ has no long term support or resistance. It's impossible, too much compounding going on. However, using the log feature in order to limit ...

CharlesLeger CharlesLeger ETCXBT, 1D, Long ,
ETCXBT: ETC BTC
67 0 4
ETCXBT, 1D Long
ETC BTC

Rounded bottom + bullish divergences

stuehmer stuehmer BTMBTC, 3D,
BTMBTC: Buy In Accumulation Zone
98 3 7
BTMBTC, 3D
Buy In Accumulation Zone

Wait for price to enter buy zone. Buy once bbands tighten up. Risk 1-2% of portfolio. Don't use stop losses. Set alerts. Easy 2x-5x bagger

N3utra N3utra NVDA, 1D,
NVDA: Six Month Cycle Ending? Take the $250 Profits
155 0 4
NVDA, 1D
Six Month Cycle Ending? Take the $250 Profits

As strong and loved as the Nvidia name is, it's been caught in a familiar range all year. While everyone wants to boost the price target around $280-300, it's barely been able to crack $250 even during positive sentiment and momentum. The advantages Nvidia has don't need repeating, nor do its merits and prospects. It's an expensive stock and has always traded high ...

tarzibou tarzibou XRPEUR, 120, Long ,
XRPEUR: Le Cercle (potential of 200 % in 5 weeks)
393 0 5
XRPEUR, 120 Long
Le Cercle (potential of 200 % in 5 weeks)

This is no financial advice.

TiborVrbovsky TiborVrbovsky XRPUSD, 1D,
XRPUSD: Ripple Ready for Another Bull Run?
1291 0 17
XRPUSD, 1D
Ripple Ready for Another Bull Run?

Hey, I am back with another Idea. This time looking once again on Ripple, on my last idea on XRP you could make up to 25% profit, but this time it looks different. Ripple has broken the downtrend by reaching its support and has bounced from support and smashed the downtrend. XRP is also known for its crazy breakouts, no the breakout in december wasnt the first ...

misa1724 misa1724 BTCUSD, 1D,
BTCUSD: BTC 2014 bear fractal - another possibility
577 7 15
BTCUSD, 1D
BTC 2014 bear fractal - another possibility

This is another possibility for a bear trend. If something similar happens, we won't see next ATH until the second half of 2021

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