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Seasonality

Seasonality is a phenomenon where price undergoes similar and predictable changes around the same period within every calendar year. These changes can happen in a specific meteorological season, growing season, quarter, month, holiday period or off-peak period. Seasonality typically happens in the commodity market. For example, there is a seasonal trend in the demand for heating oil, pushing prices higher when demand increases and lower when demand decreases. There is a seasonal trend in the supply of soybeans (related to sowing, growing and harvesting), influencing price and producing patterns along the way.

Seasonality can also be found in other markets, such as stocks, indices and Forex and there are usually fundamental reasons behind it. Finding seasonal patterns and using them to predict a trend, to filter trade ideas or to identify a tradable opportunity can give a trader an edge. Please note that individual years can vary and that seasonality itself can be subject to change. Whether it is used alone or in combination with other techniques, seasonality is a useful tool in a technical trader's toolbox.
YardleyRosette YardleyRosette BTCUSD, W,
BTCUSD: Revised Bitcoin Stance Overall: Bitcoin's last gasp for air $12K
1076 25 20
BTCUSD, W
Revised Bitcoin Stance Overall: Bitcoin's last gasp for air $12K

The Traders Dynamic Index when used properly works like a Godsend. Basing myself uniquely on patterns found in it for different time frames on Bitcoin... I find myself in the obligation of saying what will surely happen, now that I have an in-depth look into the future, have to announce... Bitcoin will see resistance between $11,000 - $13,000, or basically ...

DerekD_ DerekD_ M, 1D, Long ,
M: $M - Might be a good time to buy? Just guessing
43 0 1
M, 1D Long
$M - Might be a good time to buy? Just guessing

Even after the earnings beat I wasn't really big on the retail sector as a whole. Seeing a change in regime across large cap retailers like $TGT or $WMT where the growth & value seems like it's shifting towards the more overlooked tickers like $KSS, $M, ($JCP still getting beaten but I'll keep on watch just in case). Price crossing below 3 year (low) WMA was the ...

drlutherpierce drlutherpierce POABTC, 1D, Long ,
POABTC: bottomed out poa network
119 0 1
POABTC, 1D Long
bottomed out poa network

at least i hope it is lol

TreeTruffle TreeTruffle BTCUSD, 120,
BTCUSD: BTC's next big move!
176 1 4
BTCUSD, 120
BTC's next big move!

BTC about to make a major move. Being pushed down by the Jupiter-Uranus opposition beginning around 5/5 and ending 5/15. We could see the major pump or a leveraged, stop hunt liquidation wick before a major pump up. We have a few celestial events coming up. * 5/12 Mars enters retrograde zone - unfavorable or could be a trend reversal sign. * 5/14 New Moon ...

Brodie_MT Brodie_MT VRCBTC, 1D, Long ,
VRCBTC: The History of Vericoin
56 1 2
VRCBTC, 1D Long
The History of Vericoin

Vericoin started in 2014, essentially as a Blackcoin clone (if memory serves). The development team (Patrick Nosker, Doug Pike, and David Boehm) has been very active over the years and still all work on the project. And the price: Looking at the chart, you will see five (5) price bubbles I am calling attention to since 2014. Since then, the price has never ...

Trader_T Trader_T BTCUSD, 1D,
BTCUSD: Another multi-year BTC bear market?
341 4 5
BTCUSD, 1D
Another multi-year BTC bear market?

This graph aligns roughly with the previous BTC bubbles that were followed by multi-year bear markets, possibly indicating what we may be facing during 2018. Let's hope we're not in for a repeat! Disclaimer: Less-than-technical analysi, as always.

sysatrading sysatrading ZSX2018-ZSF2019, D, Long ,
ZSX2018-ZSF2019: #ZS_F $ZS_F #soybeans - Bull spread
15 0 1
ZSX2018-ZSF2019, D Long
#ZS_F $ZS_F #soybeans - Bull spread

Quite risky bull spread ZSX18-ZSF19, but the price is very low and there is huge potential. Enter 9,0 / SL 11,0 ($100/contract) / PT 4,0 ($250/contract)

CodeViser CodeViser BANKNIFTY, 120,
BANKNIFTY: Bank nifty call  at june 26,600
122 0 4
BANKNIFTY, 120
Bank nifty call at june 26,600

1-Bullish Divergence in hourly and 2 hour frame 2- Sited on channel support Bank Nifty is sited at a good position for the call.

Cryptohub-Academy-Zack Cryptohub-Academy-Zack BTCUSD, 1D, Short ,
BTCUSD: BTC: Spoiler, Bears win.
129 6 1
BTCUSD, 1D Short
BTC: Spoiler, Bears win.

... for now. As part of our forecast, I noticed something within all the barts all the TK's all the MA's all the garbage, there's a pretty peculiar reverse cup'n handle in plain site. Take a quick look at BTCUSDSHORTS and tell me that isn't a cup n handle. Now take a look at this TA. Victor, domp eeet! There are so many conflicting factors this week I ...

not_yoda not_yoda BBY, 1D, Long ,
BBY: BBY sell off after dividends?
42 0 3
BBY, 1D Long
BBY sell off after dividends?

BBY has historically had some selling after dividends have been calculated... BBY announced that 6/14/18 is the date... let's keep an eye on this one and see if a setup appears :)

FUDDER FUDDER VIABTC, 1D,
VIABTC: VIA - Viacoin falling wedge
139 0 3
VIABTC, 1D
VIA - Viacoin falling wedge

Looking at the Daily time frame we see a falling wedge pattern + MACD cross. (This is not financial advice, this is a volatile market where anything can happen)

sumastardon sumastardon DJI, 120, Short ,
DJI: DJI: Dow Jones Seasonality Study
359 0 29
DJI, 120 Short
DJI: Dow Jones Seasonality Study

Dow Jones DJI The Dow was making a little continuation pattern as the last session ended. It still looks vulnerable whilst trapped within the pattern but it's sloping downwards so it still has a chance of breaking higher later. Whatever, it has to break above the upper small falling parallel to follow long back to 24879 initially and then on a break above ...

Michaeljob Michaeljob AVZ, 1W, Long ,
AVZ: $AVZ potential trade set up at 10c
290 0 2
AVZ, 1W Long
$AVZ potential trade set up at 10c

AVZ exploring for lithium in the DRC has been a well 'promoted' stock which valuation wise clearly overreached the project stage. Chart wise it appears that fear and tax loss selling are in control currently and are likely to define the action over the coming weeks, this may present a trade opportunity for entry at the historical support level or 10c, should ...

YardleyRosette YardleyRosette BTCUSD, D, Long ,
BTCUSD: BITCOIN TO $48,000 ONCE RESISTANCE $10,500 IS PASSED THROUGH
1875 12 41
BTCUSD, D Long
BITCOIN TO $48,000 ONCE RESISTANCE $10,500 IS PASSED THROUGH

Method focused on extension levels only, as future projected zone of resistance or support as it has proven in the past. Method used to place Fibonacci was by: point A 0% being at lowest of "Same Pattern" to the next nearest high Point B 100% of next candle, Likewise on our days from the lowest day low to the next day high. Assumption (Based on past): Once ...

vmoscalik vmoscalik XAUUSD, 1W, Long ,
XAUUSD: XAUUSD (Gold) Long Idea
205 0 3
XAUUSD, 1W Long
XAUUSD (Gold) Long Idea

You can see my point of view on gold on the chart. I already bought a small amount of gold and I'm waiting for a rebound from red trendline to 1295. On the other hand if price goes beneath red trendline I'll buy more from 1265. Guys, I don't use stoplosses with gold, so be careful with amount of money. Anyway, as far as I expect gold will rise in august, so I'm ...

stackit stackit BTCUSDT, 1D, Long ,
BTCUSDT: BTC Oversold on daily RSI
418 0 8
BTCUSDT, 1D Long
BTC Oversold on daily RSI

Last time this happened we saw BTC gain 96% in 14 days after a quick 11% drop and retrace. The time before last this has happened BTC had a quick drop of 11% before it went on a massive 592% bull run, lasting 93 days leading up to the ATH. Could this signal the next rally or potentially the next bull run? If so a 10% drop to $5,850 can be expected followed by a ...

TheOzarkTrader TheOzarkTrader NZDUSD, 240, Long ,
NZDUSD: NZDUSD Long Scenario
162 0 1
NZDUSD, 240 Long
NZDUSD Long Scenario

Long scenario in NZDUSD suggests a strong bounce from Demand. No floating in price point area Plus no strong candles produced for indication of continuation. I feel as if there is a new trend beginning and we shall see buyers for a solid 300 Pip Move. thank you.

FUDDER FUDDER STRATBTC, 1D,
STRATBTC: STRAT - Stratis falling wedge
360 2 5
STRATBTC, 1D
STRAT - Stratis falling wedge

Daily time frame showing falling wedge + a close MACD cross. (This is not financial advice, this is a volatile market where anything can happen)

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