AUDUSD | RBA Holds but Strikes Hawkish Tone – 0.68 in Sight?

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Macro Hook: The RBA kept rates steady but signaled concern over sticky inflation and a resilient jobs market, adding a hawkish tilt despite ongoing economic uncertainty.

Technical Lens: AUDUSD has been firm into the decision, with markets now reassessing downside easing bets. Near-term resilience keeps focus on higher levels, with 0.68 eyed as the key medium-term zone.

Scenarios:

  • If incoming inflation/jobs data stay firm → AUDUSD may extend toward 0.68.
  • If softer prints revive easing bets → pullbacks likely as market reprices cuts.


Catalysts: Watch upcoming Australian CPI and labor market data, plus Fed tone on USD side.

Takeaway: 0.68 remains the key decision point for AUDUSD in Q4.

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