1) Technical Analysis
CME has formed a falling channel after a strong 2025 rally. This structure often acts as a bullish correction, not a trend reversal.
Key notes:
• Primary trend = uptrend
• Price near the top of the falling channel
• SMA50 provides dynamic support
• A decisive move above the channel is crucial
2) Forward Scenarios
Bullish Scenario – Breakout Above the Channel
Breakout confirmation above 282–285:
Targets:
• 292
• 300
• 308
Stop-Loss (Bullish):
• Below 272
• SMA50 breakdown → caution
Bearish Scenario – Rejection from Channel Top
If price rejects the upper boundary:
Targets:
• 266
• 258 (channel bottom)
• 250
Stop-Loss (Bearish):
• Close above 285
3) Fundamental Quick View
• CME benefits from market volatility
• Revenue streams are stable and recurring
• Lower rate policy does not significantly harm CME’s business
• Long-term growth remains healthy
Conclusion:
CME’s fundamentals favor a bullish breakout unless macro conditions deteriorate.
CME has formed a falling channel after a strong 2025 rally. This structure often acts as a bullish correction, not a trend reversal.
Key notes:
• Primary trend = uptrend
• Price near the top of the falling channel
• SMA50 provides dynamic support
• A decisive move above the channel is crucial
2) Forward Scenarios
Bullish Scenario – Breakout Above the Channel
Breakout confirmation above 282–285:
Targets:
• 292
• 300
• 308
Stop-Loss (Bullish):
• Below 272
• SMA50 breakdown → caution
Bearish Scenario – Rejection from Channel Top
If price rejects the upper boundary:
Targets:
• 266
• 258 (channel bottom)
• 250
Stop-Loss (Bearish):
• Close above 285
3) Fundamental Quick View
• CME benefits from market volatility
• Revenue streams are stable and recurring
• Lower rate policy does not significantly harm CME’s business
• Long-term growth remains healthy
Conclusion:
CME’s fundamentals favor a bullish breakout unless macro conditions deteriorate.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.