EGLD / TetherUS
Long

#EGLD Deep Value Zone with High Convexity Setup

885
Chart Context:
Pair: EGLD/USDT
Timeframe: 1D
Exchange: Binance
Structure: Multi-year downtrend, now testing historical demand zone.

Analysis:
EGLD has completed a full cycle from its 2021 peak (> $500) into a prolonged structural decline. Price recently swept deep liquidity at $5–$6, signaling capitulation and absorption. This zone aligns with historical demand and offers asymmetric risk/reward for tactical longs.

Key Levels:
Entry: $7.50
STOP: $5.99 (below capitulation wick)
TP1: $10.30
TP2: $12.50
TP3: $19.79
TP4: $35.00

Risk/Reward Profile (Entry $7.50):
• Risk: $1.51
• TP1: Reward $2.80 → 1.85R
• TP2: Reward $5.00 → 3.31R
• TP3: Reward $12.29 → 8.14R
• TP4: Reward $27.50 → 18.21R
Blended R (25% scale-out each TP): ~7.88R

Execution Plan:
Initial STOP: $5.99
Scale-out:
– TP1: 10%
– TP2: 20%
– TP3: 30%
– TP4: 40%
Trail:
– Move to break-even after TP1
– Structure-based trailing after TP2
– ATR trail after TP3

Market Maker Perspective:
• Liquidity sweep into $5 zone suggests inventory accumulation.
• Path of least resistance: fill inefficiencies toward $10–$12, then target buyside liquidity near $20+.
• Macro trend remains bearish; this is a counter-trend play, not a confirmed reversal until $15+ is reclaimed.

Risk Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Crypto assets are highly volatile. Manage risk strictly and size positions conservatively.

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