Intel Corporation
Long

Intel poised for recovery: Can $40 be achieved by Q4?

92
Current Price: $36.83

Direction: LONG

Targets:
- T1 = $39.00
- T2 = $40.50

Stop Levels:
- S1 = $35.50
- S2 = $34.70

**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis leverages insights from seasoned market participants who monitor Intel’s fundamentals, technical indicators, and macroeconomic trends. Traders recognize Intel's strategic positioning in semiconductor markets, emphasizing its current valuation relative to future growth prospects. The dynamic between Intel's operational efficiencies in 2025 and competitive challenges shapes a rich and actionable consensus. Intel’s leadership in legacy chip markets combined with the evolving commercial focus on AI and data center optimization offers compelling potential for upside risk.

**Key Insights:**
Intel is committing heavily to regain market share in critical segments, including AI-driven processors and advanced fabrication technologies. With its $20 billion investment in the expansion of its Ohio manufacturing campus, traders view Intel’s dedication to reshoring domestic semiconductor production as a critical strength amidst ongoing U.S.-China geopolitical tensions. Cost management remains a key theme; while new subsidy support under the CHIPS Act enhances its long-term aspirations, traders monitor whether Intel can improve short-term margins by optimizing production and R&D allocations.

Additionally, Intel's renewed partnerships with hyperscale cloud providers signal its potential rebound in data center processors by 2025. However, it faces stiff competition from AMD and Nvidia in performance benchmarks and pricing narratives. While some traders question Intel's ability to hold pricing premiums, its diverse product portfolio provides stability, offsetting risks associated with more cyclical demand.

**Recent Performance:**
Intel shares have steadily climbed from their $30 range earlier this year to the current price of $36.83, underscoring optimism for operational recovery following lackluster 2024 results. In its most recent Q3 2025 earnings report, Intel beat expectations slightly, thanks to improved inventory management and resilient PC demand. Year-to-date gains are roughly 16%, signaling a positive shift for sentiment compared to broader semiconductor sector struggles. Intel’s ability to maintain equilibrium in the face of macro-market volatilities has captured attention among bullish investors.

**Expert Analysis:**
Leading analysts at Morgan Stanley and Deutsche Bank have reiterated Intel’s ‘Buy’ rating, citing improving gross margins and steady progress on its IDM 2.0 strategy—a cornerstone of Intel’s ambitious rebuild of manufacturing capabilities. Technical patterns show potential upside, as Intel recently formed a bullish ascending triangle post-$36 breakout following Q3 earnings, suggesting higher lows and increasing buyer strength around the $35 level. Traders foresee strong resistance at $39, coinciding with Intel's 200-day moving average, which aligns with the next actionable price target. Experts do caution that any unforeseen delays in fabrication rollout could weigh heavily on Intel’s stock price during 2025.

**News Impact:**
Recent headlines emphasize Intel’s ambitious AI investments, including its partnership with Stability AI to bolster its software capabilities, which aims to enhance its competitiveness against Nvidia’s dominance in AI GPUs. More broadly, Intel’s push for government-backed funding under the CHIPS Act positions it as a critical player in ensuring semiconductor independence for the U.S. This has provided long-term optimism, with institutional investors steadily building positions for potential outperformance over the next 12 months.

**Trading Recommendation:**
Intel’s recent breakout above $36 strengthens the case for a LONG position, particularly if buyers push toward the $39 resistance in the short term fueled by upward revisions in margin guidance for Q4 2025. The coupling of solid fundamentals and new strategic partnerships in AI will likely attract momentum traders eager to capitalize on Intel’s operational transformation. Conservative stop-loss levels are positioned below key support areas at $35.50 and $34.70, while targets at $39 and $40.50 offer attractive risk-reward asymmetry. Investors should remain vigilant regarding competitive developments and macroeconomic factors that could influence sector performance.

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