META Loading a Major Move-TA Setup for Nov. 12–15

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META Loading a Major Move — Gamma Compression → Expansion

META has been drifting lower for two weeks, but the candles are not telling the full story. Under the surface, something much more important is happening:
META is sitting inside one of the tightest negative-to-neutral GEX pockets we’ve seen all quarter — and once price escapes this zone, volatility will explode.
Most traders are seeing weakness.
But the structure + GEX alignment actually points to a massive directional move ahead.
Let’s break down the hidden setup.

4H Chart — Controlled Descent Into a Decision Zone
META has been forming a downward channel with very strategic bounces:
* Clear CHoCH → BOS → CHoCH cycles
* Lower highs but slowing bearish momentum
* A well-respected descending resistance line
* Buyers consistently stepping in near 600–607, even during sell pressure
This is not a breakdown.
This is controlled descent, often seen before a base forms.
Every bear push is weaker than the one before.
Every bounce is slightly stronger.
The channel is tightening.
This is what a compression base looks like before momentum picks a direction.

1H Chart — Price Is Coil-Loaded
On the 1H timeframe:
* Price is sitting in the center of the descending channel
* Each dip into 600–605 gets aggressively defended
* But each bounce into 625–630 gets instantly rejected
This is classic mid-range compression — exactly where gamma flows begin to dominate price.
The candles look indecisive.
The GEX map shows they’re not indecisive — they’re trapped.

🔥 GEX Data — Where META’s Real Direction Will Come From
snapshot
This is where META becomes extremely interesting.
🔹 Heavy Positive GEX above 630–645
This area acts like a ceiling AND a magnet.
If META gets above 630 and holds:
Dealer hedging flips bullish → price drifts higher → volatility contracts upward.
Targets:
645 → 670 → 690 → 700
(Each level is a CALL wall or positive NET GEX shelf.)
🔹 Neutral (no gamma bias) zone between 607–627
This is where META is currently stuck.
Neutral gamma =
* Choppy
* Low momentum
* Mean-reverting
* Market-maker controlled
This explains every fake breakout and fake breakdown over the past 4 days.
🔹 Heavy Negative GEX below 600
This is META’s danger zone.
Below 600 →
Dealers short gamma →
They chase price down to hedge →
Volatility expands →
Down moves accelerate →
Supports can fail quickly
Next supports open at:
585 → 560 → 540
This is the scenario almost nobody is prepared for.

🔥 Trading Suggestions — Based on Structure + GEX
📌 Bullish Scenario (Higher Probability if META Breaks 630)
ENTRY:
Above 627, confirmation over 630
TARGETS:
* 645
* 670 (heavy CALL wall)
* 690
* 700
STOP-LOSS:
Under 610
WHY IT WORKS:
Above 630, META transitions into positive GEX → price drifts upward naturally as hedging unwinds.

📌 Bearish Scenario (Triggered Below 600)
ENTRY:
Break & reject below 600
TARGETS:
* 585
* 560
* 540
STOP-LOSS:
Above 612
WHY IT WORKS:
Below 600, META enters negative gamma → every drop forces more hedging → momentum compounds downward.

📌 Neutral Scenario (If META Stays 607–627)
This is META’s current environment.
Ideal strategies:
* Sell premium
* Iron condors
* Calendars
* Neutral spreads
* Short strangles (experienced traders only)
Neutral GEX zones = volatility crush + low movement → great for sellers.

🔥 Options Trading Suggestions Based on GEX Flow
Bullish Options Play (Only if META breaks 630+)
Buy:
650C, 670C (1–2 weeks out)
Safer Spread:
630/670 call debit spread
Cleaner risk → reward benefits from positive GEX drift.

Bearish Options Play (Only if META loses 600)
Buy:
600P, 580P
Safer Spread:
600/550 put debit spread
Strong reward if negative gamma accelerates price.

Neutral Options Play (Current Zone)
If META stays 607–627 through the week:
Use:
* Iron condor
* 610/630 short strangle
* Calendar spreads at 620
These win inside neutral gamma pockets.

My Thought
META is in the middle of a rare gamma compression setup — the type of environment where price looks boring but is actually storing energy. Once it escapes the 607–627 range, META will move sharply.
The roadmap is clean:
* Above 630 → drift to 645–670–690
* Below 600 → momentum flush into 585–560
* Inside 607–627 → quiet, choppy compression
The candles are whispering.
The GEX levels are shouting.
META’s next major swing starts the moment price breaks out of its gamma trap.
GEX supports the entire move.

📌 Bearish Options Play
If AMZN breaks 240:
Buy:
240P or 235P
Reason:
Once AMZN drops into negative gamma, puts expand QUICKLY.
Safer Spread:
240/230 Put Debit Spread
Ideal for controlled downside.

📌 Neutral Options Play
If AMZN stays in 242–248:
Sell Premium:
* Iron Condor
* Short Strangle
* Credit Spread
* Calendar
Neutral GEX = volatility compression → ideal for sellers.

My Thought
AMZN is sitting in one of the cleanest gamma-based setups we’ve seen in November. Price is coiling inside a narrow GEX pocket, volatility is suppressed, and the rising channel suggests quiet accumulation.
The roadmap is simple:
* Above 248 → AMZN targets 250–255
* Below 240 → AMZN slides into negative GEX
* Inside 242–248 → quiet chop and time decay
A major move is loading — and GEX already reveals the path.



This outlook is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always manage your risk and trade your plan.

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