11/18/25 - $payc - Consolidating into others

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11/18/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: PAYC
Consolidating into others

- We're in the season where the big $ is made. 2H of 4Q and 1H of 1Q. Weird stuff always seems to happen "now", if you've not already noticed.
- I still like PAYC so i'll leave it as a "buy" and do think it works in time
- But realistically I'm looking to own the "best" of a particular sector and perhaps if I can't decide (as was the case w/ NVDA and TSM coming into the year), i'll own both
- I think the recent DLO results highlighted that this will be my "payments" or payment-adjacent+ (as is the case w/ PAYC) exposure name of most interest
- It grows at 2.5x PAYC
- PE is 15x 2025 (vs. 16x for PAYC) and what i'd consider (in the case of DLO) best in class mgmt (btw i think payc mgmt is actually A-tier too)
- Then you add in DLO's one-of-one emerging market status and that 6 of the 7 mag7s work with them and they're growing w/ each account. ppl this past q "didn't like the take rate" - but honestly... it's going lower... get used to it... and the top line will continue to compound >20% and they'll throw off a ton of cash
- v hard to replicate what DLO has built, for now
- so while ultimately payments, software etc. is a v difficult thing to own and I think ETH "eats" it all, i don't think the mkt sees any of this rn and i think the setup for DLO to outperform into 2026 given it's $3bn mcap is great.
- gl to the payc holders, take a look at DLO and lmk

V

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