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Fakeout

Breakout vs Fakeout: How to Spot the DifferenceHello, Traders! 🖖🏻 There’s probably no phrase that triggers more mixed emotions in crypto trading than: “Looks like we’re breaking out!”. Because let’s be honest…For every clean breakout that follows through with momentum… …there’s a fakeout waiting to trap overconfident entries. So, how do you tell the difference? Let’s break it down! 🧱 What Is a Breakout? A breakout occurs when the price moves decisively beyond a key level, such as support, resistance, a trendline, or a range boundary, and holds. What makes it a REAL breakout? Volume Expansion: More participants step in as the price moves through the level. Strong Candle Closes: Especially on higher timeframes like 4H or 1D. Follow-Through: The market doesn’t just poke above the level. It builds on it. No Immediate Rejection: You don’t see a sharp wick straight back below. Example from BTC (2021): Look back at January to February 2021. BTC had been stuck under the $42K–$43K resistance for weeks. Every push got sold off, until it didn’t. When the breakout finally came, it was clean. The massive daily candle closed right through the level. Volume exploded. And there wasn’t even a polite little retest, price just launched straight toward $58K, leaving anyone waiting for a pullback completely behind. Pure trend breakout energy. Everything lined up: the context, the volume, the structure — textbook 🤌🏻 🪤 What Is a Fakeout? A fakeout, on the other hand, looks like a breakout… until it isn’t. The price briefly moves beyond a key level, but then snaps back inside the range, often trapping late buyers (or sellers) and triggering stop-losses. Common Signs of a FAKEOUT: Low or Declining Volume (at the breakout moment). Quick Rejection with a Long Wick (especially on intraday charts). Failure to Hold Above the Level on Retest. Divergence Between Timeframes: For example, a 15M breakout that looks strong while the 4H still shows consolidation. Classic BTC example: This one was sneaky! After BTC hit its all-time high around $65K, the market started looking shaky. Price tried to recover by pushing back into the $58K–$60K zone, a pretty critical level at the time. It looked like a breakout attempt… but something was off. No real volume. No strong candle closes. And then, BOOM, hard rejection. The price popped just enough above resistance to lure in breakout traders (and probably clear out some stop-losses)… then completely reversed. And not just a minor pullback, this fakeout basically triggered the entire leg down toward $30K. Classic liquidity grab. The kind of move that looks like strength for a second… until it absolutely isn’t. 🕵️‍♂️ Key Differences: Breakout vs Fakeout (Checklist) 🧠 What Causes Fakeouts in Crypto? Honestly, fakeouts aren’t some kind of accident. They’re almost baked into how crypto markets work. Part of it comes down to simple liquidity hunting. The market knows exactly where traders tend to place their stop losses, right above resistance or just below support. Price often spikes into those zones, triggers stops, fills larger orders for bigger players… and then reverses completely. Another reason? A lack of real conviction. Sometimes, it’s mostly retail traders chasing a move. Price pokes above a key level, but there just isn’t enough momentum to sustain it. Without bigger buyers or sellers stepping in, the move collapses right back. And let’s be honest. When everyone on Crypto Twitter is watching the exact same level, fakeouts become almost inevitable. The more obvious the setup, the more likely it gets front-run, faded, or manipulated. Plus, a huge mistake? People ignore the higher timeframe context. A breakout on the 15-minute chart might feel exciting… but if the 1D or 4H is still clearly in a downtrend, that breakout is fighting against the bigger picture. No surprise it fails. Fakeouts happen because the market’s job is to make most people wrong, at least for a moment. 🧭 Final Thought Breakouts and fakeouts are part of the same game: they involve both liquidity and psychology. The market rewards patience, context, and waiting for confirmation. Sometimes, missing the first candle can save you from being a liability to someone else. So, next time an asset “breaks out,” take a second look. Is it really moving with force? Or is it just another trap waiting to be sprung? What’s the last fakeout that caught you off guard? Drop your story in the comments. Let’s compare lessons learned!
Education
by WhiteBIT
6
Anatomy of a Breakout: How to Spot It Before It Fakes You OutFew things in trading are as appealing as a breakout. The chart tightens, volume starts to stir, headlines align, your alerts start going off , and suddenly — boom! Price explodes above resistance. Your adrenaline spikes and you pop open that long. But just as often, that breakout turns out to be nothing more than an expensive head fake. Price stalls. Sellers swoop in. Your stop gets clipped. And now you’re sitting there, blinking at your screen, “Welp… that was quick.” Welcome to the bittersweet world of breakouts — where opportunity and deception dance like partners at a high-stakes poker table. 📢 What Is a Breakout, Really? Let’s get the basics out of the way: A breakout happens when price pushes beyond a key support or resistance level that’s been holding for a while. That level could be a previous high, a consolidation range, a trendline, or a psychological number that traders obsess over because humans love round numbers (did someone say Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD at $120,000 ?). The logic is simple: Once price clears a well-watched level, trapped shorts have to cover, new longs pile in, and momentum feeds on itself. That’s the dream scenario. But markets aren’t always that generous. For every clean breakout, there are a few fakeouts lurking — luring in overeager traders with the promise of easy money before slamming the door shut. ⚠️ Why Breakouts May Fail If breakouts were easy, we’d all be rich. The problem is that breakouts attract a special kind of crowd: late-to-the-party momentum chasers, breakout algorithm bots, and retail traders who read one blog post about technical analysis. The moment price nudges above resistance, FOMO kicks in. Volume surges. But if the move isn’t backed by genuine institutional buying (you need lots of billions to move the needle nowadays), it quickly becomes what seasoned traders call a “liquidity vacuum” — thin air where the only participants are you, a few equally optimistic Reddit threads, and market makers more than happy to take the other side. Sometimes breakouts fail because: The move lacked volume confirmation. Macro headlines shifted mid-breakout. A key level was front-run, and the real buyers have already taken profit. It was a deliberate trap set by larger players to hunt stops before reversing. Or — more often — the market just needed an excuse to shake out weak hands before resuming the actual move later. 🍸 Volume: The Truth Serum Let’s be very clear: Breakouts without volume are like dating profiles without photos — you should be suspicious. When real breakouts occur, you’ll usually see strong accompanying volume. That’s your proof that big players — funds, institutions, serious money — are committing to the move. No volume? Maybe the summer vibes are already here . Smart traders wait for confirmation: Is volume above average relative to recent sessions? Is price holding above the breakout level after the initial pop? Are follow-through candles printing convincingly? Are we seeing continuation across related sectors or instruments? Without these signs, that breakout candle may just be a cruel joke. 🤯 Breakout Psychology Breakouts prey on two of the most dangerous emotions in trading: greed and urgency. The market whispers, “If you don’t get in now, you’ll miss it.” This is where breakout psychology becomes more dangerous than the chart itself. Once a breakout happens, most traders are no longer analyzing — they’re reacting. They buy late, set tight stops below the breakout level, and become easy prey for stop-hunting algorithms. ✨ Types of Breakouts Not all breakouts are created equal. Here’s the lineup you should be watching for: Clean Breakouts: The rarest and most beautiful. Strong move, high volume, sustained momentum. You’ll know it when you see it — or after you’ve hesitated and missed it. Fakeouts (a.k.a. False Breakouts): Price nudges just past resistance, triggers breakout orders, then swiftly reverses. Designed to shake out breakout traders before resuming the original trend. Break-and-Retest Setups: Often the highest-probability trades. Price breaks out, then pulls back to retest the former resistance (now support). If buyers defend this retest, you’ve got confirmation. News-Driven Breakouts: Triggered by earnings, economic data, or political events. Volatile, fast, and often unsustainable unless backed by real fundamental shifts. 📈 The “Pre-Breakout Tell”: Reading the Tape Good breakout traders aren’t just watching levels — they’re watching how price behaves near those levels in advance. Tight consolidation? Lower volatility into resistance? Declining volume as price grinds higher? That often signals an impending breakout as supply dries up. Conversely, choppy action with large wicks and erratic volume often signals indecision — ripe conditions for failed breakouts and fakeouts. Tape-reading matters. The cleaner the structure before the breakout, the better your odds. 💰 Breakout Traders Need Thick Skin Even with perfect analysis, breakout trading requires accepting that many will fail. That’s the game. Your job isn’t to nail every breakout — it’s to size your positions properly , keep losses small when faked out, and let the clean breakouts run when you catch one. Stop-loss discipline is everything. Breakouts are binary events: you’re either right quickly, or you’re cutting the trade quickly. There’s no room for “maybe it’ll come back.” The most painful breakouts are the ones that fake out, stop you, then continue in your original direction. Every breakout trader has lived that nightmare. Accept it. Build it into your risk plan. 👉 Takeaway: Prepare the Setup, Anticipate the Fakeout Breakouts will always be part of every trader’s playbook. But they require discipline, experience, and an iron stomach. The market loves to tempt you with early signals — your job is to separate signal from noise. Pro tip: Start your day by checking the Economic calendar and browsing the latest news — staying informed (and witty) helps you build better context for smarter decisions. So before you chase that next breakout candle, ask yourself: Is volume there? Is the broader market supportive? Have I managed my risk before clicking buy? Because in trading, the only thing worse than missing a breakout… is getting faked out and blowing up your account chasing it. Now over to you : Are you a breakout trader or a fakeout victim? Share your best (or worst) breakout stories — we’ve all been there.
Education
by TradingView
26
Careful Trusting "News" | Fake News TradingOn Monday, April 7th, 2025 amidst incredible market volatility, you'd expect your most trusted news outlet to report on-the-minute news. But most importantly, accurate news . With the markets down nearly 20% in ~4 trading days, every piece of information matters. But with the age of fast (social) media, news outlets will do anything possible to be the first to report. Even .... posting fake news. The way this works is they get news that's "probably true", they post it, then it's verified to be true. This may work often for them and when it doesn't, nobody really cares. But when you're talking about times of volatility unseen since COVID, all this nonsense gets exposed. So - at roughly 10:10 AM EST, CNBC reported that there will be a "90-day pause on tariffs". A ground-breaking report that likely caused John Doe to buy $10M in NASDAQ:NVDA calls dated end of July because that's a no-brainer right? It surely cannot be false since CNBC is his go-to trusted news-source and there is just NO WAY that they would ever post any news without being 100% true and verified. ESPECIALLY news about TARIFFS -- the talk of the town (psh, the world actually) at the moment. 90 day pause? That's not something you report lightly. You know the ripple effect that'll have on the markets. Result of that news report? The markets (e.g. CME_MINI:NQ1! ) jumped 6.60% in under 10 minutes. Jane Doe likely saw that jump, looked at that news, and rebought her shares that she sold at the bottom earlier this morning. Surely that news cannot be fake. It's a 90-day tariff pause. That's huge. Surely the White House will see "Yeah baby! We take credit for that". Nope, at roughly 10:18 AM EST, the same CNBC reported that, "the 90-day pause on tariffs was fake news according to the White House". Results? Market right back down -6.5% in 20 minutes. Suppose you FOMO'd into AMEX:SPY NASDAQ:QQQ calls.. well, you lost almost everything depending on the strike and date. In this market, manage your RISK and always hedge. Don't forget to thank CNBC, your most trusted news-source for that capital gain loss. Welcome to trading in 2025. The age of report-first, verify-later. Welcome home. Be careful listening to the news and take everything they say with a grain of salt. And as always, don't chase the news. KD out.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Education
by kingdips
13
The Two-Faced Market: The Truth Behind Trend Reversals!🎭 The Two-Faced Market: The Truth Behind Trend Reversals! 📊🚀 📢 Ever entered a trade thinking you caught the perfect trend , only to get stopped out as the market reversed? You're not alone. The market has a way of fooling traders—but if you understand its “two-faced” nature, you can stay one step ahead. 🔥 Why Trends Reverse (and How to Catch It Early!) Most traders believe trends reverse due to "news" or "randomness." But in reality, the market gives signals long before the turn happens. Here’s what to watch for: 🔹 Momentum Divergence: The price makes a new high, but indicators like RSI/MACD don’t. 🔹 Volume Anomaly: The trend continues, but volume dries up—a sign of weakness. 🔹 Failed Breakouts: Price breaks a key level, only to fall back inside—trapping traders. 🔹 Candlestick Clues: Reversal patterns like engulfing candles or wicks rejecting key levels appear. 🚀 Mastering these signals can put you ahead of 90% of traders. 📊 Real Example: XAU/ USD Trend Reversal in Action 🔎 Breakdown of the setup: ✅ Step 1: Identify a trend (through market structure, trendline or moving average). ✅ Step 2: Look for failed breakouts against the trend ✅ Step 3: Look for trend-following setups 🎯 The Market’s Game: Recognizing The Shift Trends don’t die suddenly—they fade before reversing. The best traders spot the early signs and position before the crowd. 💡 Have you spotted these reversal signs before? Drop a comment with your experience! 👇🔥 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by TheSignalyst
3
Triangle Pattern Trading: A Trap for NewbiesThe triangle pattern is a popular chart pattern that is often used by technical analysts to identify potential breakout opportunities. However, traders should be aware that the triangle pattern can also be a trap for unsuspecting beginners. Why the Triangle Pattern is a Trap One of the reasons why the triangle pattern can be a trap is that it is a very subjective pattern. There are no hard and fast rules for identifying a triangle pattern, and what one trader might identify as a triangle pattern, another trader might not. Another reason why the triangle pattern can be a trap is that it is a very common pattern. This means that there are many opportunities for traders to trade this pattern, which can lead to overtrading. Overtrading is a common problem for beginners, and it can lead to significant losses. Smart Money Traders and the Triangle Pattern Smart money traders are aware of the fact that the triangle pattern can be a trap for beginners. They will often use this pattern to their advantage by creating false breakouts and trapping beginner traders into losing positions. Here are four examples of how smart money traders use the triangle pattern to trap beginners: NEO: formed a bullish triangle pattern. However, the price broke out of the pattern in a fake breakout and then reversed sharply, trapping many beginner traders who were buying the breakout. RVN: Rformed a symmetrical triangle pattern. The price broke out of the pattern in a fake breakout and then reversed sharply, trapping many beginner traders who were buying the breakout. DYDX: formed a descending triangle pattern. The price broke out of the pattern in a fake breakout and then reversed sharply, trapping many beginner traders who were buying the breakout. TRX: formed a bullish triangle pattern. However, the price broke out of the pattern in a fake breakout and then reversed sharply, trapping many beginner traders who were buying the breakout. How to Avoid the Triangle Pattern Trap There are a few things that traders can do to avoid the triangle pattern trap: Be aware of the subjectivity of the pattern. There are no hard and fast rules for identifying a triangle pattern, so traders should be careful not to get too caught up in trying to identify this pattern. Don't overtrade. The triangle pattern is a very common pattern, which means that there are many opportunities to trade this pattern. Traders should be careful not to overtrade this pattern, as this can lead to significant losses. Be aware of smart money traders. Smart money traders will often use the triangle pattern to their advantage by creating false breakouts and trapping beginner traders into losing positions. Traders should be aware of this and be careful not to fall for these traps. Conclusion The triangle pattern can be a useful tool for identifying potential breakout opportunities. However, traders should be aware that this pattern can also be a trap. By understanding the reasons why the triangle pattern can be a trap, and by taking steps to avoid these traps, traders can protect themselves from significant losses.
Education
by Yaroslav_Krasko
4
WHAT ARE Fakeouts, Shakeouts and Whipsaws?YOUR QUESTION ANSWERED! What on earth are Fake outs, Shake outs and Whipsaws? After this you will know… Fake-out: (When the price makes a false breakout of a chart pattern) A fake-out occurs when the price of a market appears to break out of a certain chart pattern. This could be a trendline, support, or resistance level. But then quickly reverses and retreats back within the pattern. Shake-out: (Where the market is highly volatile and the price moves to levels that hits their stop losses and gets traders out of their trades) A shake-out is a scenario where the market becomes highly volatile and the price moves rapidly to levels that trigger the stop-loss orders of many traders. Stop-loss orders are pre-set risk levels at which traders automatically exit their positions to limit their losses. A shake-out is designed to “shake out” weak or inexperienced traders from the market. When stop-loss orders are triggered, it can create a temporary spike in the opposite direction of the prevailing trend. Once these traders are “shaken out,” the market might resume its original trend. You’ll see this most commonly with low liquid, high volatile markets like Penny Stocks or Penny Cryptos. Whipsaw: (This is where the market will change its most prominent direction within the day). Whipsaw refers to a situation where the market quickly changes its direction within a relatively short period, often during a single trading day. This can cause confusion and losses for traders who are caught off-guard. Whipsaws can occur due to various factors, such as sudden news releases, economic data surprises, or changes in sentiment. They are characterized by sharp price movements that can make it difficult to make accurate trading decisions. Whipsaws are especially common during periods of high market uncertainty or when there’s a lack of a clear trend. Let’s create a quick summary of the three: Fake-out: (When the price makes a false breakout of a chart pattern) Shake-out: (where the market is highly volatile and the price moves to levels that hits their stop losses and gets traders out of their trades) Whipsaw: (This is where the market will change its most prominent direction within the day). If you have any trading question let me know in the comments
TVC:SA40Education
by Timonrosso
The Art of False Breakouts + RSI: COMPOUND! 📉🚀Trading is an intricate game of psychology, and understanding false breakouts can be the key to success. Let's delve into COMP, where false breakouts played a pivotal role in recent price action. 📉🚀 Closer look to Fakeout : Deconstructing False Breakouts False breakouts are like crafty illusions, luring traders into making premature decisions. COMP, a cryptocurrency known for its volatility, recently demonstrated how these maneuvers can shake the market. From False Bottom to False Top COMP first tricked traders with a false breakdown from the lower range, inducing panic. But as if by sleight of hand, it quickly shifted gears, delivering a false breakout from the upper range, catching many off guard. Trading Wisdom: The Lesson Here The case of COMP underscores the need for cautious trading, especially in volatile markets. Recognizing false breakouts can help you avoid unnecessary losses. Strategies involving stop-loss orders and thorough research can be your shield against these tricky moves. Conclusion: Mind the Illusions COMP's recent shenanigans emphasize the significance of identifying false breakouts. This knowledge can give traders a substantial advantage and help them navigate the turbulent waters of crypto trading. 📊 Trading Strategies | 🧠 Psychology | 📈 Price Action | 💡 Insights | 🌐 Cryptocurrency ❗See related ideas below❗ Share your thoughts in the comments! 💚📉💚
Education
by Yaroslav_Krasko
How to trade Liquidity Sweeps 🌊 Trading liquidity sweeps 🌊 and identifying fake liquidity grabs 🕵️‍♂️ can be valuable skills for traders. These strategies involve capitalizing on market inefficiencies and understanding how institutional traders and algorithms influence price movements. In this guide, we'll explore what liquidity sweeps and fake liquidity grabs are and how to trade them effectively. Understanding Liquidity Sweeps: A liquidity sweep occurs when a trader executes a large market order that "sweeps" through the order book, clearing out available liquidity at various price levels. These sweeps often signal strong buying or selling interest, potentially leading to significant price moves. Identifying Fake Liquidity Grabs: Fake liquidity grabs 🎭 are market manipulation techniques used to deceive traders. Market makers or large players might place large orders on the order book to give the illusion of significant interest at a specific price level. However, they often cancel these orders before they get executed, leading to sudden reversals in price. Trading Liquidity Sweeps: Monitor Order Flow: Keep an eye on order flow and trade volume to identify sudden surges in trading activity. Liquidity sweeps are often accompanied by spikes in volume. Identify Key Levels: Look for important support or resistance levels where liquidity sweeps are likely to occur. These levels can be based on technical analysis, such as previous highs or lows. Entry and Stop-loss: Enter a trade when you spot a liquidity sweep that confirms your bias. Set stop-loss orders to manage risk in case the market moves against you. Take Profits: Take profits when the market reacts as expected, but be prepared for quick price reversals. Liquidity sweeps can be followed by retracements. Trading Fake Liquidity Grabs: Be Cautious: Approach price moves driven by apparent liquidity grabs with caution. These moves can be short-lived. Confirm Price Action: Wait for confirmation of the direction after the fake liquidity grab. Look for signs that real market sentiment is driving the price. Risk Management: Place stop-loss orders to protect your capital in case the market reverses quickly. Avoid chasing the initial price move. Use Additional Indicators: Combine your analysis with other technical indicators or market sentiment tools to increase your confidence in your trading decisions. Conclusion: Trading liquidity sweeps and fake liquidity grabs can offer opportunities for profit, but they also come with risks. It's essential to have a clear strategy, strict risk management rules, and the ability to adapt to rapidly changing market conditions. As with any trading strategy, practice and experience will help refine your skills in identifying and capitalizing on these market dynamics. 🚀📈🌊
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by AlexWhale
What are Fakeouts, Shakeouts and Whipsaws?Let's get straight into the three cronies of trading disaster when taking and holding a position. Fake-out: (When the price makes a false breakout of a chart pattern) A fake-out occurs when the price of a market appears to break out of a certain chart pattern. This could be a trendline, support, or resistance level. But then quickly reverses and retreats back within the pattern. Shake-out: (Where the market is highly volatile and the price moves to levels that hits their stop losses and gets traders out of their trades) A shake-out is a scenario where the market becomes highly volatile and the price moves rapidly to levels that trigger the stop-loss orders of many traders. Stop-loss orders are pre-set risk levels at which traders automatically exit their positions to limit their losses. A shake-out is designed to "shake out" weak or inexperienced traders from the market. When stop-loss orders are triggered, it can create a temporary spike in the opposite direction of the prevailing trend. Once these traders are "shaken out," the market might resume its original trend. You’ll see this most commonly with low liquid, high volatile markets like Penny Stocks or Penny Cryptos. Whipsaw: (This is where the market will change its most prominent direction within the day). Whipsaw refers to a situation where the market quickly changes its direction within a relatively short period, often during a single trading day. This can cause confusion and losses for traders who are caught off-guard. Whipsaws can occur due to various factors, such as sudden news releases, economic data surprises, or changes in sentiment. They are characterized by sharp price movements that can make it difficult to make accurate trading decisions. Whipsaws are especially common during periods of high market uncertainty or when there's a lack of a clear trend. Let’s create a quick summary of the three: Fake-out: (When the price makes a false breakout of a chart pattern) Shake-out: (where the market is highly volatile and the price moves to levels that hits their stop losses and gets traders out of their trades) Whipsaw: (This is where the market will change its most prominent direction within the day).
JSE:J200Education
by Timonrosso
How to trade Fake Breakouts in the range Range trading, characterized by price oscillations within defined support and resistance levels, offers traders a structured approach in sideways markets. However, even within these stable waves, deceptive price movements known as fake breakouts can occur. These false signals can lead traders astray if not properly recognized and managed. In this article, we'll delve into the world of fake breakouts within range trading, equipping you with strategies to identify and navigate these misleading market dynamics. Understanding Fake Breakouts: A fake breakout occurs when price seemingly breaches a support or resistance level but quickly reverses back into the established range. These deceptive moves often trigger stop-loss orders and entice traders into taking positions in the direction of the apparent breakout, only to experience a sudden reversal against their trades. Fake breakouts are fueled by market manipulation, emotional trading, or sudden news events. Here are few examples of fake breakouts in big Time-frames : Often, this is not enough for entering a position. Combine this with divergences on RSI or other factors for entry. Key Characteristics of Fake Breakouts: Swift Reversal: A true breakout sustains its direction, while a fake breakout swiftly reverses back into the range. High Volatility: Fake breakouts often coincide with spikes in volatility due to market confusion and emotional reactions. Trapped Traders: Traders who entered positions based on the fake breakout are "trapped" when the market reverses, leading to potential losses. Navigating Fake Breakouts: Confirmation Through Candlesticks: Wait for candlestick confirmation beyond the breakout level. A close above resistance or below support lends greater credibility to the breakout. Increased Volume: Look for a surge in trading volume accompanying the breakout, indicating genuine market participation. Use of Indicators: Rely on technical indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) or Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) to validate breakout momentum. Strategies for Trading Fake Breakouts: False Breakout Reversal: Enter positions in the opposite direction of the fake breakout when price returns to the range, targeting a retracement towards the opposite boundary. Wait-and-Watch Approach: Allow the breakout to develop and wait for confirmation before entering a trade, avoiding pre-mature positions. Risk Management When Dealing with Fake Breakouts: Tight Stop-Loss: Set a tight stop-loss order beyond the breakout point to limit potential losses if the breakout reverses. Position Sizing: Allocate a smaller portion of your capital to trades involving potential fake breakouts due to the increased risk. Pros and Cons of Trading Fake Breakouts: 👍 Pros: Opportunities in Deception: Skilled traders can capitalize on market deception by trading against fake breakouts. Enhanced Risk Management: Proper identification of fake breakouts allows traders to minimize losses through tight stop-loss orders. 👎 Cons: Increased Complexity: Identifying fake breakouts requires additional analysis and indicators. Risk of Mistakes: Mistaking a genuine breakout for a fake one or vice versa can lead to missed opportunities or losses.
Education
by Yaroslav_Krasko
How did Open Interest tell me: Stay long as BTC Dumped!?!BYBIT:BTCUSD I was in 3 long trades as Bitcoin dumped on the 26th of May 2022. I had 2 choices. Close my longs because I saw price dumping below my entry or look at what Open interest was telling me to determine if this was a fakeout. I saw price dropping as OI was dropping. This meant that longs were closing out their positions, which means that when this ended, price could reverse quickly. Longs were closing out their positions and re-entering as shorts. As soon as this selling dried up, Longs started entering and then suddenly shorts were being liquidated, pushing the price up again. This is known as a stop run. Hit long stops and then hit short stops. Be aware of this kind of fakeout as it happens again and again! Learn to trade the retest and why it is important not to short at support and inversely why it is NB not to long at resistance, UNLESS you get a retest of that level! Not financial advice, DYOR. Papertrade before using real money. If this educational snipped helped you, please consider giving it a thumbs up and follow for more like this! Trade Safely and Learn something every day! Shawn
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PEducation
by zartraderguy
Why breakout never worksHello traders! This is another educational post just to break your false perspective which will benefit you and it will also help you not to fall into the trap of uneducated traders. I have seen traders who just make a trendline line and put a bullish arrow and say that after the breakout price will go to heaven but in reality breakouts never works and they are very far from reality. If you buy a breakout blindly then there is only 1 out of 6 chance that you are correct. In other words, you will keep losing again and again with that strategy. So why breakout never works? The patterns that we see are illusions, they are not real but the market does react to the trendlines and patterns. What I mean by the reaction is that after a breakout market forms different kinds of reactive patterns. These patterns help the market to move further up or they push the market back in the trendline and most of the time these pattern pushes the market back in the trend. If you can figure out what pattern is formed after the breakout then you can predict easily that the breakout will work or it will fail. Do your research and ask the questions. Here is the tip: Selling on bullish breakouts is more effective than buying on bullish breakouts.
Education
by Aadil1000x
1
How to be careful from misleading Indicators | XRPUSD reversalAny feedback and suggestions would help in further improving the analysis! If you find the analysis useful, please like and share our ideas with the community. Keep supporting :) Quick glance: In our previous analysis on XRPUSD , we discussed about Ripple losing a massive market cap. Right now, XRPUSD had a massive reversal. It has taken support from the lower Bollinger bands. Market in the last 24hrs The last 24 hours were quite a roller coaster. All major cryptos witnessed a huge selloff including ETH, BTC, DOT and others. Trading volumes also spiked up tremendously. Today’s Trend analysis XRPUSD seems to be having a massive reversal. At the end of the downtrend on the 4H chart, there appeared to be a 'Hammer' formation. However, the patter could not be confirmed as the 2 following candles were red, thereby negating the reversal after the 'Hammer'. Stop losses would have been triggered for traders taking long positions after the hammer. Therefore, it is always crucial to wait for the confirmation candle, even if it eats into some of the potential gains. It hedges against fake-outs! The reversal happened after XRP took support from the lower band of the Bollinger Bands. The volume profile shows the demand zone at $0.8688, which is 40% higher than current levels. Price volatility remained extremely high at approximately 24.53%, with the day's range between $0.5231 — $.6514. Price at the time of publishing: $0.6315 XRP's market cap: $29.04 Billion Out of 11 Oscillator indicators, 9 are neutral,1 is bearish, and 1 is bullish. Out of 15 Moving average indicators, 11 are bearish , 3 are bullish and 1 is neutral . Indicator summary is bearish for XRPUSD in the shorter timeframe. Volumes have spiked up tremendously in the past 24 hours. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The analysis is based on signals from 26 technical indicators, out of which 15 are moving averages and the remaining 11 are oscillators. These indicator values are calculated using 4Hr candles. Note: Above analysis would hold true if we do not encounter a sudden jump in trade volume . ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Any feedback and suggestions would help in further improving the analysis! If you find the analysis useful, please like and share our ideas with the community. Keep supporting :)
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDEducation
by Mudrex
2
⚡️ Understanding Breakout Traps ⚡️If we see a pattern form that retail likes to trade, It is highly likely that this pattern may get manipulated. The reason these common patterns get manipulated is because of liquidity forming. Banks want to make sure they can create enough liquidity for themselves to get positioned nicely in the market. They do this by driving the price up/down into stop loss areas. To avoid being caught out we need to sit on our hands, wait for the stop loss hunt to occur before we go-ahead with our initial position bias.
Education
by AlkalineFX
Why S and R works so good - Spring & Upthrust WyckoffWelcome Traders to a new Educational Posts. Today we will have a deeper look at Support and Resistance. One of the most popular chart techniques out there, but the question?! Do they really work? Absolutely YES. But probably not like most of the traders think they do. That simple Break and Retest Strategy. NOOO! I would like to introduce you to the extended version of Support Resistance. The Wyckoff Spring and Upthrust. Wyckoff Spring and Upthrust In other words they are simply the Fake Outs at Support and Resistance Levels. The idea behind it is to get an entry exactly there where most of the trader will put their SL. -> WHY?! because of the LIQUIDITY The whole market is based on Liquidity (Supply Demand). The bigger fish will always win. Those who have the bigger amount will always dominate here. Just FACTS . So how do you want to position yourself in the market. Exactly there were 95% of the Retail Traders will put there SL? Or do you want to change your perception on how you view the market. This will completely change your view on the Forex Market. Supply Demand What I also do is I use my own style of Supply Demand to identify exactly those areas where most of the trader will put there SL and I will place exactly my Entry there with a very tight SL to get bigger Risk Reward. Of course I will not have that much of valid entries for my setups as they do not occur as often as Support Resistance Setups but the Total Risk Reward is a complete new Level. WHY? Example Upthrust Because you are rocking the market with the market movers. You are always clearing with these entries both sides. #1 Sellers at Resistance because of Upthrust #2 Breakout Trader(buy) because of Upthrust Sell is the right decision in this case but most of the Traders will lose that Trade due to SL hit. Everybody is placing the Entry and SL different but the majority is losing this trade. Spring Example This was the bigger manipulation as the price did a strong move to the downside through the level of Support. This level was a very interesting level for Retail Traders to buy. Doji occured for Price Action Confirmation but the price dropped down to the level of Demand. Why? -> Liquidity. All SL were located there so Market Movers had there buy limit order placed exactly there. Conclusion With this Post I do not want to judge Retail Traders using Support Resistance. Maybe you found a nice Strategy with that and you are profitable. I am also using Support Resistance but simply in a different way as you can see. I just wanted to share with you my thoughts behind Support Resistance and how I use them to be profitable Please leave a LIKE if you found this Post useful and share your thoughts below!
Education
by DariusFxTrading
3
GBPUSD - How to trade with Supply Demand - Fake Outs, TrendHello Traders! In this post I am going to show you how to trade Supply Demand. What is Supply Demand: Supply Demand is a strategy that works with the footprints of the banks, financial institutions, hedgefonds, ... The big players in forex. We simply follow their moves. Supply Demand Zones are zones where these institution may have their orders located. Example: I got a perfect example here on GBPUSD. We can see some nice Supply Demand Zones. Also we got Swap Zones which are Supply Demand Zones where the quantity was not given in order for the banks to drive the price up or down. Below the Zones we have Resistance Lines. They are often used for Fake Outs like we can see on the charts. Afterwards the price is pushing back down. The same steps again and again. This is how you can easily trade Supply Demand in a Down Trend by following the price from zone to zone. That was my Idea and I hope you liked it. Please leave a LIKE if you like the content. In the comment section you can share your view and ask questions. Thank you and we will see next time - Darius.
Education
by DariusFxTrading
6