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Position Sizing: The Math That Separates Winners from LosersMost traders blow up their accounts not because of bad entries, but because of terrible position sizing. You can have a 60% win rate and still go broke if you risk too much per trade. The 1-2% Rule (And Why It Works) Never risk more than 1-2% of your account on a single trade. Here's why this matters: Risk 2% per trade → You can survive 50 consecutive losses Risk 10% per trade → 10 losses = -65% drawdown (you need +186% just to break even) Risk 20% per trade → 5 losses = game over The Position Sizing Formula Position Size = (Account Size × Risk %) / (Entry Price - Stop Loss) Real Example: Account: $10,000 Risk per trade: 2% = $200 Entry: $50 Stop loss: $48 Risk per share: $2 Position Size = $200 / $2 = 100 shares If stopped out → You lose exactly $200 (2%) If price hits $54 → You make $400 (4% gain, 2:1 R/R) Different Risk Frameworks Conservative (1% risk) Best for: Beginners, volatile markets, high-frequency trading Survivability: Can take 100+ losses Growth: Slower but steady Moderate (2% risk) Best for: Experienced traders, tested strategies Survivability: 50 consecutive losses Growth: Balanced risk/reward Aggressive (3-5% risk) Best for: High conviction setups, smaller accounts trying to grow Survivability: 20-33 losses Growth: Faster but dangerous Warning: Never go above 5% unless you're gambling, not trading. The Kelly Criterion (Advanced) For traders with significant backtested data: Kelly % = Win Rate - Example: Win rate: 55% Avg win: $300 Avg loss: $200 Win/Loss ratio: 1.5 Kelly % = 0.55 - = 0.55 - 0.30 = 25% But use 1/4 Kelly (6.25%) or 1/2 Kelly (12.5%) - Full Kelly is too aggressive for real markets. Common Position Sizing Mistakes ❌ Revenge trading larger after a loss ✅ Keep position size constant based on current account value ❌ Risking the same dollar amount regardless of setup quality ✅ Risk 0.5% on B-setups, 2% on A+ setups ❌ Ignoring correlation risk ✅ If you have 5 tech stocks open, you're really risking 10% on one sector ❌ Not adjusting after drawdowns ✅ If account drops 20%, your 2% risk should recalculate from new balance The Volatility Adjustment In high volatility (VIX > 30): Cut position sizes by 30-50% Widen stops or risk less per trade Market can gap past your stops In low volatility (VIX < 15): Can use normal position sizing Tighter stops possible More predictable price action My Personal Framework I use a tiered approach: High conviction setups (A+): 2% risk Good setups (A): 1.5% risk Decent setups (B): 1% risk Experimental/learning: 0.5% risk Maximum combined risk: Never more than 6% across all open positions. The Bottom Line Position sizing is the only thing you have complete control over in trading. You can't control: Where price goes Market volatility News events But you CAN control how much you risk. The traders who survive long enough to get good are the ones who master position sizing first. What's your current risk per trade? Drop it in the comments. If it's above 5%, we need to talk.
IG:NASDAQEducation
by Maaz_BA
Position Sizing: The Math That Separates Winners from LosersMost traders blow up their accounts not because of bad entries, but because of terrible position sizing. You can have a 60% win rate and still go broke if you risk too much per trade. The 1-2% Rule (And Why It Works) Never risk more than 1-2% of your account on a single trade. Here's why this matters: Risk 2% per trade → You can survive 50 consecutive losses Risk 10% per trade → 10 losses = -65% drawdown (you need +186% just to break even) Risk 20% per trade → 5 losses = game over The Position Sizing Formula Position Size = (Account Size × Risk %) / (Entry Price - Stop Loss) Real Example: Account: $10,000 Risk per trade: 2% = $200 Entry: $50 Stop loss: $48 Risk per share: $2 Position Size = $200 / $2 = 100 shares If stopped out → You lose exactly $200 (2%) If price hits $54 → You make $400 (4% gain, 2:1 R/R) Different Risk Frameworks Conservative (1% risk) Best for: Beginners, volatile markets, high-frequency trading Survivability: Can take 100+ losses Growth: Slower but steady Moderate (2% risk) Best for: Experienced traders, tested strategies Survivability: 50 consecutive losses Growth: Balanced risk/reward Aggressive (3-5% risk) Best for: High conviction setups, smaller accounts trying to grow Survivability: 20-33 losses Growth: Faster but dangerous Warning: Never go above 5% unless you're gambling, not trading. The Kelly Criterion (Advanced) For traders with significant backtested data: Kelly % = Win Rate - Example: Win rate: 55% Avg win: $300 Avg loss: $200 Win/Loss ratio: 1.5 Kelly % = 0.55 - = 0.55 - 0.30 = 25% But use 1/4 Kelly (6.25%) or 1/2 Kelly (12.5%) - Full Kelly is too aggressive for real markets. Common Position Sizing Mistakes ❌ Revenge trading larger after a loss ✅ Keep position size constant based on current account value ❌ Risking the same dollar amount regardless of setup quality ✅ Risk 0.5% on B-setups, 2% on A+ setups ❌ Ignoring correlation risk ✅ If you have 5 tech stocks open, you're really risking 10% on one sector ❌ Not adjusting after drawdowns ✅ If account drops 20%, your 2% risk should recalculate from new balance The Volatility Adjustment In high volatility (VIX > 30): Cut position sizes by 30-50% Widen stops or risk less per trade Market can gap past your stops In low volatility (VIX < 15): Can use normal position sizing Tighter stops possible More predictable price action My Personal Framework I use a tiered approach: High conviction setups (A+): 2% risk Good setups (A): 1.5% risk Decent setups (B): 1% risk Experimental/learning: 0.5% risk Maximum combined risk: Never more than 6% across all open positions. The Bottom Line Position sizing is the only thing you have complete control over in trading. You can't control: Where price goes Market volatility News events But you CAN control how much you risk. The traders who survive long enough to get good are the ones who master position sizing first. What's your current risk per trade? Drop it in the comments. If it's above 5%, we need to talk.
IG:NASDAQEducation
by Maaz_BA
Position Sizing 101: How Not to Blow Up Your Account OvernightWelcome to the trading equivalent of wearing a seatbelt. Not really exciting but entirely recommended for its lifesaving properties. When the market crashes into your stop-loss at 3:47 a.m., you’ll wish you’d taken this lesson seriously. Let’s talk position sizing — the least flashy but most essential tool in your trading kit. This is your friendly reminder that no matter how perfect your chart setup looks, if you’re risking 50% of your capital on a single trade, you’re not trading. You’re gambling. And also — if you lose 50% of your account, you have to gain 100% to get even. ✋ “Sir, This Isn’t a Casino” Let’s start with a story. New trader. Fresh demo account turned real. He sees a clean breakout. He YOLOs half his account into Tesla ( TSLA ). "This is it," he thinks, "the trade that changes everything." News flash: it did change everything — his $10,000 account turned into $2,147 in 48 hours. The lesson? Position sizing isn’t just about managing capital. It’s about managing ego. Because the market doesn’t care how convinced you are. 🌊 Risk of Ruin: The More You Know There’s a lovely concept in trading called “risk of ruin.” Sounds dramatic — and it is. It refers to the likelihood of your account going to zero if you keep trading the way you do. If you risk 10% of your account on every trade, you only need to be wrong a few times in a row to go from “pro trader” to “Hey, ChatGPT, is trading a scam?” Risking 1–2% per trade, however? Now we’re talking sustainability. Now you can be wrong ten times in a row and still live to click another chart. 🎯 The Math That Saves You Let’s illustrate the equation: Position size = Account size × % risk / (Entry – Stop Loss) Example: $10,000 account, risking 1%, with a 50-point stop loss on a futures trade. $10,000 × 0.01 = $100 $100 / 50 = 2 contracts That’s it. No Fibonacci razzle-dazzle or astrology needed. Just basic arithmetic and a willingness to not be a hero. 🤔 The Myth of Conviction Every trader has a moment where they say: “I know this is going to work.” Spoiler alert: You don’t. And the moment you convince yourself otherwise, you start increasing position size based on emotion, not logic. That’s where accounts go to die. Even the greats keep it tight. Paul Tudor Jones, the legend himself, once said: “Don't focus on making money; focus on protecting what you have.” Translation: size down, cowboy. 🔔 Position Size ≠ Trade Size A common mistake: confusing position size with trade size. Trade size is how big your order is. Position size is how much of your total capital is being risked. You could be trading 10 lots — but if your stop loss is tight, your position size might still be conservative. So yes, trade big. But only if your risk is small. You’ll do better at this once you figure out how asymmetric risk reward works. 🌦️ Losses Happen. Don’t Let Them Compound Let’s say you lose 5% on a trade. No big deal, right? Until you try to “make it back” by doubling down on the next one. And then again. And suddenly, you’re caught in a death spiral of revenge trading . This is not theoretical. It’s Tuesday morning for many traders. Proper position sizing cushions the blow. It turns what would be a catastrophe into a lesson — maybe even a mildly annoying Tuesday. 🌳 It’s Not Just About Risk — It’s About Freedom Smart sizing gives you flexibility (and a good night’s sleep). Want to hold through some noise? You can. Want to scale in? You’re allowed. Want to sleep at night without hugging your laptop? Welcome to emotional freedom. Jesse Livermore, arguably the most successful trader of all time, said it best: “If you can’t sleep at night because of your stock market position, then you have gone too far. If this is the case, then sell your position down to the sleeping level.” ⛳ What the Pros Actually Do Here’s a dirty little secret: pros rarely go all-in without handling the risk part first (that is, calibrating the position size). If they’re not allocating small portions of capital across uncorrelated trades, they’ll go big on a trade that has an insanely-well controlled risk level. That way, if the trade turns against them, they’ll only lose what they can afford to lose and stay in the game. Another great one, Stanley Druckenmiller, who operated one of the best-returning hedge funds (now a family office) said: “I believe the best way to manage risk is to be bullish when you have a compelling risk/reward.” 🏖️ The Summer of FOMO Let’s address the seasonal vibes. Summer’s here. Volume’s thin. Liquidity’s weird. Breakouts don’t follow through. Every false move looks like the real deal until it isn’t. And every poolside Instagram story from your trader friend makes you want to hit that buy button harder. This is where position sizing saves you from yourself. Small trades, wide stops, chill mindset. Or big trades, tight stops, a bit of excitement in your day. No matter what you choose, make sure to get your dose of daily news every morning, keep your eye on the economic calendar , and stay sharp on any upcoming earnings reports (GameStop NYSE:GME is right around the corner, delivering Tuesday). ☝️ Final Thoughts: The Indicator You Control In a world of lagging indicators, misleading news headlines, and “experts” selling you dreams, position sizing is one of the few things you have total control over. And that makes it powerful. So next time you feel the rush — the urge to go big — take a breath. Remember the math. Remember the odds. And remember: the fastest way to blow up isn’t a bad trade — it’s a good trade sized wrong. Off to you: How are you handling your trading positions? Are you the type to go all-in and then think about the downside? Or you’re the one to think about the risk first and then the reward? Let us know in the comments!
SP:SPXEducation
by TradingView
28
Trading Mindset I Am a Software Developer and a Passionate Trader Over the past five years, I have explored nearly every aspect of trading—technical analysis, intraday trading, MTF, pre-IPO investments, options selling, F&O, hedging, swing trading, long-term investing, and even commodities like gold and crude oil. Through this journey, I realized that **technical analysis is only about 20% of the equation**. The real game is **psychology and mindset**. I have distilled my learnings into concise points below—insights that have shaped my approach and will continue to guide me in my version 2.0 of trading. I hope they prove valuable to you as well. --- ### **Position Sizing** One of the most important aspects of trading is choosing the right position size. Your trade should never be so large that it causes stress or worry. Keep it at a level where you can stay calm, no matter how the market moves. ### **Set Stop-Loss and Target Before Placing a Trade** Decide in advance when you will exit a trade—both at a loss (**stop-loss**) and at a profit (**target**). This helps maintain emotional balance, preventing extreme excitement or frustration. ### **How to Calculate Position Size** - Use **technical analysis** to identify your **stop-loss** and **target**. - Example: If CMP is ₹100 and your stop-loss is at ₹94 (₹6 risk per share), determine your risk tolerance: - ₹3,000 risk ➝ **500 shares** (₹3,000 ÷ ₹6) - ₹1,200 risk ➝ **200 shares** (₹1,200 ÷ ₹6) - Adjust quantity based on how much you're willing to risk. ### **Setting Target Price & Risk-Reward Ratio** The most important factor in setting a target is the **risk-reward ratio**. If your stop-loss is ₹6, your target should be at least **₹6, ₹9, or ₹12**. ### **Why Is Risk-Reward Important?** Let’s say you take **10 trades**—5 go in your favor, and 5 go against you. If your risk-reward ratio isn’t favorable, you could end up in a loss. Example: - You **lose ₹6** in two trades → ₹12 total loss - You **gain ₹3** in three trades → ₹9 total profit - **Net result: -₹3 loss** To ensure profitability, your **reward should be equal to or greater than your risk**. A **1.5x or 2x risk-reward ratio** is ideal. ### **Flexibility in Targets** Even when the price reaches **Target 1**, you can **book partial profits** and let the rest run with a **trailing stop-loss**. --- ### **Managing Multiple Trades** This is **very important**. If you're a beginner, **limit yourself to 2 trades**, and even if you're a pro, **avoid more than 3-5 positions**. **Example:** If you have **₹2 lakh**, make sure you have **only 2 trades open at a time**. Add a third stock **only when you close another position**. --- ### **How to Deploy Capital** Patience is key. If you have **₹1 lakh**, **divide it into 4-5 parts** and buy **in small chunks over time**. **Why?** The **nature of stocks** is to move in waves—rising, facing profit booking, then breaking previous highs. Instead of investing everything at once, **buy in staggered amounts** to ensure your **average price stays close to CMP**. --- ### **Avoid Market Noise** When trading, **stay in your zone**. Social media posts can make you feel **slow compared to others**, but they don't show the full picture. Avoid distractions like: - Direct stock tips from **news channels** - P&L snapshots from traders - Following too many **analysts on social media** Instead, **listen to expert views**, but stay disciplined with **your own strategy**. --- ### **Stock Selection** Stock selection has **two elements—technical and fundamental** (I'll write a separate post on this). Always **buy a stock that you can hold even in your darkest times**. **Example:** - Choose **blue-chip stocks** with **high market caps & strong promoter holdings** - Never **buy a stock just because it’s in momentum** - If a stock **turns into a forced SIP**, it’s not a good buy Pick stocks with **a long-term story**—even if you fail to exit at the right time, you should be comfortable holding them. --- ### **Accept That It’s the Market, Not You** Many traders fail because they **don’t admit that the market is unpredictable**. Losses happen because of volatility, not necessarily poor strategy. **Example:** - You lose a trade and **try improving your method** but face another hit - Some losses **are simply beyond your control** Most of what happens in the market is **not in your hands**—including stop-loss triggers. **Accept this reality,** and focus on **risk management** instead of revenge trading. --- ### **Keep Separate Trading & Investment Accounts** Trading and investing **are different**. If you keep them **in the same account**, you’ll: - **Book small profits** on investments - **Hold short-term trades in losses** Having **separate accounts** keeps **your goals clear**. --- ### **Don’t Let the Market Dominate You** Even full-time traders **shouldn’t obsess over the market**. Limit your **screen time to 2-3 hours during market hours**. **Why?** - You can’t **act on global markets until 9:15 AM IST** - Even if a **war or tariff issue** arises, **you can’t do anything until market open** - Overthinking leads to **over-trading**, which drains money Instead, **invest time in developing new skills**. --- ### **Do What Suits You, Not Others** If you're good at **swings, stick to swings**. If you're good at **intraday, do intraday**. Don't follow **what works for a friend—trade based on what suits you**. --- ### **Avoid FOMO** Don't **stress** if a stock jumps **20% in a day**. Stock **accumulation zones, demand/supply areas, profit booking**, and **retests** happen **regularly**—opportunities will always come. Even traders who claim they made **20% in a day** **don’t share how often they got trapped chasing stocks**. --- ### **Stop-Loss Is Your Best Friend** No, stop-loss is your **best friend for life**. **Example:** - Suppose you **enter 10 trades in a month**. - **6 do well** and you book profits. - **4 go against you**, but instead of exiting, **you hold** because you believe they’ll recover. - Next month, you **repeat this cycle**—adding more positions. Over time, **this builds a portfolio of lagging stocks**, and suddenly, **your losses dominate your portfolio**. --- Even Experts Face Losses Even professionals with **advanced research teams lose money**. Retail traders often **believe they can avoid losses by analyzing a few ratios**, but **losses are part of trading**. A stop-loss ensures **you stay in the game long-term**—instead of holding onto losing trades indefinitely. --- Take a Break & Restart Taking breaks is **crucial**. If everything is going wrong, **don’t hesitate to press the reset button**—step back, analyze, and refine your approach. A fresh mindset leads to better trading decisions. (I’ll write a detailed post on this soon.)
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by manideepcs024
Mastering Risk Management: Guide from TOP investorWelcome to the comprehensive guide on mastering risk management in cryptocurrency trading. In this detailed tutorial, we'll walk you through the essential principles of calculating stop losses, determining risk percentage per trade, and strategically placing stops for optimal risk mitigation. Whether you're a novice or an experienced trader, understanding and implementing effective risk management is paramount for sustained success in the volatile crypto market. Opening a Position on TradingView Brief overview of TradingView and accessing the "projection" section for long positions. A step-by-step guide on how to initiate a long position using TradingView. The 5 Fundamental Principles: Introduction to the five key principles of effective risk management. 1: Trend Following 2: Not Gambling but Trading 3: Entry after retest 4: Stick to your strategy 5: Don't overtrade Calculating Stop Losses 2.2 Risk Percentage Per Trade: Explanation of the concept of risk percentage per trade (e.g., 0.5% of the trading capital). Position sizing is the process of allocating a specific percentage of your crypto assets for trading, with the goal of managing risk effectively. To calculate your position size: Determine Your Risk Per Trade: Decide the percentage of your total account value you're comfortable risking on a trade. Typically advised to risk 1–3% of your trading balance per trade. For example, with a $5,000 balance and a 2% risk, you'd only lose $100 per trade. Set Your Stop-Loss: Determine your stop-loss level, the point at which you exit a trade if it moves against you. The stop-loss helps control losses and is crucial for risk management. Consider Position Size: Use your risk percentage and stop-loss to calculate the position size. Position size varies based on the distance of the stop loss; it's smaller for wider stops and larger for tighter stops. Proper position sizing ensures consistent risk, regardless of the trade amount. By following these steps, you can strategically size your positions, balancing risk and potential rewards in your crypto trading endeavors. Strategic Placement of Stop Losses Hiding Behind Local Lows: The rationale behind placing stop losses just below local lows for effective risk containment.Beneath Manipulation Zones: Strategic placement of stop losses under zones susceptible to manipulation. The importance of avoiding regions where price is unlikely to return if manipulation has occurred. Practical Examples The Anatomy of a Good Stop Loss: Visual representation of a well-placed stop loss using real-life chart examples. 4.2 Pitfalls of Poorly Placed Stop Losses: Analysis of common mistakes in stop loss placement and their consequences. Conclusion: Empowering Your Trading Journey As we conclude this in-depth guide, remember that effective risk management is the cornerstone of successful trading. From understanding the basics of stop losses to strategically placing them based on market dynamics, each step contributes to minimizing potential losses and maximizing gains. Implement these principles in your trading strategy, adapt them to your risk tolerance, and embark on a journey of informed and calculated trading decisions. 💡 Mastering Risk | 📊 Setting Stop Losses | ⚖️ Calculating Risk Percentage | 🎯 Strategic Placement | 📈 Empowering Your Trades 💬 Engage in the discussion: Share your experiences with risk management, ask questions, and join a community committed to fostering intelligent and secure trading practices. 🌐✨
Education
by Yaroslav_Krasko
Kelly Criterion and other common position-sizing methodsWhat is position sizing & why is it important? Position size refers to the amount of risk - money, contracts, equity, etc. - that a trader uses when entering a position on the financial market. We assume, for ease, that traders expect a 100% profit or loss as a result of the profit lost. Common ways to size positions are: Using a set amount of capital per trade . A trader enters with $100 for example, every time. This means that no matter what the position is, the maximum risk of it will be that set capital. It is the most straight-forward way to size positions, and it aims at producing linear growth in their portfolio. Using a set amount of contracts per trade . A trader enters with 1 contract of the given asset per trade. When trading Bitcoin, for example, this would mean 1 contract is equal to 1 Bitcoin. This approach can be tricky to backtest and analyse, since the contract’s dollar value changes over time. A trade that has been placed at a given time when the dollar price is high may show as a bigger win or loss, and a trade at a time when the dollar price of the contract is less, can be shown as a smaller win or loss. Percentage of total equity - this method is used by traders who decide to enter with a given percentage of their total equity on each position. It is commonly used in an attempt to achieve ‘exponential growth’ of the portfolio size. However, the following fictional scenario will show how luck plays a major role in the outcome of such a sizing method. Let’s assume that the trader has chosen to enter with 50% of their total capital per position. This would mean that with an equity of $1000, a trader would enter with $500 the first time. This could lead to two situations for the first trade: - The position is profitable, and the total equity now is $1500 - The position is losing, and the total equity now is $500. When we look at these two cases, we can then go deeper into the trading process, looking at the second and third positions they enter. If the first trade is losing, and we assume that the second two are winning: a) 500 * 0.5 = 250 entry, total capital when profitable is 750 b) 750 * 0.5 = 375 entry, total capital when profitable is $1125 On the other hand, If the first trade is winning, and we assume that the second two are winning too: a) 1500 * 0.5 = 750 entry, total capital when profitable is $2250 b) 2250 * 0.5 = 1125 entry, total capital when profitable is $3375 Let’s recap: The trader enters with 50% of the capital and, based on the outcome of the first trade, even if the following two trades are profitable, the difference between the final equity is: a) First trade lost: $1125 b) First trade won: $3375 This extreme difference of $2250 comes from the single first trade, and whether it’s profitable or not. This goes to show that luck is extremely important when trading with percentage of equity, since that first trade can go any way. Traders often do not take into account the luck factor that they need to have to reach exponential growth . This leads to very unrealistic expectations of performance of their trading strategy. What is the Kelly Criterion? The percentage of equity strategy, as we saw, is dependent on luck and is very tricky. The Kelly Criterion builds on top of that method, however it takes into account factors of the trader’s strategy and historical performance to create a new way of sizing positions. This mathematical formula is employed by investors seeking to enhance their capital growth objectives. It presupposes that investors are willing to reinvest their profits and expose them to potential risks in subsequent trades. The primary aim of this formula is to ascertain the optimal allocation of capital for each individual trade. The Kelly criterion encompasses two pivotal components: Winning Probability Factor (W) : This factor represents the likelihood of a trade yielding a positive return. In the context of TradingView strategies, this refers to the Percent Profitable. Win/Loss Ratio (R) : This ratio is calculated by the maximum winning potential divided by the maximum loss potential. It could be taken as the Take Profit / Stop-Loss ratio. It can also be taken as the Largest Winning Trade / Largest Losing Trade ratio from the backtesting tab. The outcome of this formula furnishes investors with guidance on the proportion of their total capital to allocate to each investment endeavour. Commonly referred to as the Kelly strategy, Kelly formula, or Kelly bet, the formula can be expressed as follows: Kelly % = W - (1 - W) / R Where: Kelly % = Percent of equity that the trader should put in a single trade W = Winning Probability Factor R = Win/Loss Ratio This Kelly % is the suggested percentage of equity a trader should put into their position, based on this sizing formula. With the change of Winning Probability and Win/Loss ratio, traders are able to re-apply the formula to adjust their position size. Let’s see an example of this formula. Let’s assume our Win/Loss Ration (R) is the Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss from the TradingView backtesting statistics. Let’s say the Win/Loss ratio is 0.965. Also, let’s assume that the Winning Probability Factor is the Percent Profitable statistics from TradingView’s backtesting window. Let’s assume that it is 70%. With this data, our Kelly % would be: Kelly % = 0.7 - (1 - 0.7) / 0.965 = 0.38912 = 38.9% Therefore, based on this fictional example, the trader should allocate around 38.9% of their equity and not more, in order to have an optimal position size according to the Kelly Criterion. The Kelly formula, in essence, aims to answer the question of “What percent of my equity should I use in a trade, so that it will be optimal”. While any method it is not perfect, it is widely used in the industry as a way to more accurately size positions that use percent of equity for entries. Caution disclaimer Although adherents of the Kelly Criterion may choose to apply the formula in its conventional manner, it is essential to acknowledge the potential downsides associated with allocating an excessively substantial portion of one's portfolio into a solitary asset. In the pursuit of diversification, investors would be prudent to exercise caution when considering investments that surpass 20% of their overall equity, even if the Kelly Criterion advocates a more substantial allocation. Source about information on Kelly Criterion www.investopedia.com
Education
by sofex
5
Sizing & how to manage riskThe easiest part, if everything's perfect you just trade as much as the market allows before the diminishing returns hit hard. However usually everything is not perfect at the beginning, so continue reading. Logically, in order to operate successfully & continuously (you can't market make much you if loose money aye?), your equity chart should represent a smooth movement from down left to the top right corner. What factors affect an equity chart? 1) Market activity itself; 2) An operation principle (strategy/system); 3) An operator(s). So our potential sizing formula/algorithm should, lol, contain these 3 factors. Makes sense? 1) If market activity is too narrow we increase size, if market activity is too wide we decrease size, otherwise if its normal we don't change anything; 2) After a systemic loss we decrease size, after a systemic profit we increase size, otherwise after a +- breakeven we don't change anything; 3) If there's real confidence about what's coming you increase size, if there are doubts you decrease size, otherwise you don't change anything. Number 3 needs a lil clarification, I didn't say "you're confident/have doubts", I said "there's confidence & there are doubts". It's not only you and quality of your operation, what you also need to feel is whether all of us, as the collective, whether the market itself is confident. And there you can use all the available info, all the other assets, all the non-market data. Understand that we are all the market, you're part of it when you trade. Every1 looks at the same data. The Collective. The Feedback loop. Ok, so how to increase/decrease exactly? First you need to calculate the maximum size. 1) Come up with the maximum tolerated loss in money for one trade (more on that later); 2) Look at the chart and find the maximum distance between the entry & exit-at-loss points; 3) Find out the maximum size that won't allow you to loose more than max tolerated loss in case of passing the distance you've just found out. These numbers should be reevaluated when there's a change. Don't forget that a change can be seasonal, just like volatility on ES futures changes after US open. Imagine you ended up with 70 lots. Divide it by 7 equal chunks. Why 7? Because of number of factors, we had three, 3*2 + 1. So now one chunk is 10 lots. One decrease/increase = 10 lots. Then you start trading at 4 chunks (40 lots) (3 + 1) (this way you got more freedom, you can both increase and decrease after the first trade). Then you just and increase/decrease according to the plan. For example, you made a profitable trade at 4 chunks, and the next level is very tight, so you have 2 systemic increases, so you increase by 2 chunks (20 lots). If you hit zero chunks you make a imaginary trades and then come back to the real account when your size becomes one chunk, if you hit 7 chunks you don't go higher (maybe couple of 8 chunks trades might make sense tho). You're free to fine tune this adjustments live, you can eg see a serious vola increase and decide to decrease by 13-16 contracts instead of 10. Calculating these things precisely won't magically turn a loosing operation into a profitable one, but will make you focus on the wrong thing & steal your energy. Don't calculate, trust yourself & let your brain approximate and feel da thing. Let's come back to the maximum tolerated loss in money. Making it 1% or 2% or 37565476% of deposit doesn't make any sense. First of all, a deposit can be financed externally, with a credit line, with a prop shop etc. You deposit should never be touched, only the risk capital above this deposit. Second, what you care about 4 real is how much risk capital do you have. For example let's say $10k, that's actually a good amount of money. Third you divide the risk capital by 7, and end up with max tolerated loss in money for one trade. No, consecutive loss streaks have nothing to do with coins & binomial distributions, so number 7 is not worse, but better cuz it's simpler. I think 4-5 consecutive losses are "OK", but 10 is too many. P.S.: if you've lost you risk capital/thing ain't going, you just stop, evaluate, fix the problems, test on simulator & start fixing another risk capital, and go again, until the victory!
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by gorx1
Position Sizing StrategiesPosition Sizing Traders spend much of their time looking at charts and analyzing using technical or fundamental analysis, or a combination of both. While this indeed is a very good thing to spend time on, not all traders take their time to focus on risk management, and more specific position sizing. I see a lot of new traders or old traders which trade only to have their accounts blown up by taking random positions with no plan whatsoever. Proper position sizing is a key element in risk management and can determine whether you live to trade another day or not. Basically your position size is the number of shares you take on a trade. It can help you from risking too much on trade and blowing up your account. Without knowing how to size your positions properly. You may end up taking trades that are far too large for your account. In such cases, you become highly vulnerable when the market moves even just a few points against you. Your position size or trade size is more important than your entry and exit when trading or investing. You can have the best strategy in the world. But if your trade size is too big or too small, you will either take too much or too little risk. So how do you prevent yourself from risking too much? How do you know the right quantity to buy or to sell when you initiate a position? Let's say you have $10,000 in your account, and there's a stock valued at $100 you like and want to buy. Do you buy 100 shares, 10 shares, or some other number? This is the question you must answer to how to determine your position size. If you decide to spend your entire account balance and buy 100 shares, then you will have a 100% commitment to the stock and this is not indicated also in taking a position that represents a large portion of your total portfolio. There is also the opportunity cost involved, you will have to pass up other trades that you may have liked to enter. Position Sizing is a critical issue that a trader needs to know beforehand and to do on the fly. It's as important as picking the right stock or currency to invest. Position Sizing Strategies ☀️ There are several approaches to position sizing and I will run down some of the more popular ones. 1️⃣ The first one and the most common one is "Fixed percentage per trade". Position Sizing can be based on the size of an overall portfolio. This means a percentage of that overall capital will be predetermined per trade and will not be exceeded. That would be 1% or even 5%. This fixed percentage is an easy way for you to know how much you are buying when you buy to use a simple example of fixed percentage position sizing. Let's take again the $10,000 account size and a $100 stock. If you take a simple one-person position based on your account size that comes down to a single share, you may be thinking you are no better than the person with a $100 account buying one share. The difference is that the $100 account holder has a 100% position size while the $10,000 account holder is putting just one percent at risk. Which position size allows a trader to sleep better at night? Of course, the second position sizing helps control the risk. A 1% hard limit on each trade allows you to tolerate many losses in your search for profits. Protecting your capital is your primary job. Your secondary job is allowing room in your portfolio to find other trading opportunities. The fixed percentage amount is an easier approach to accomplishing this 2️⃣ The second risk management approach involves a "fixed dollar amount per trade". This approach also uses a fixed amount for this time. It's a fixed dollar amount per trade, rather than a percentage of the actual portfolio. This involves choosing a number again and using the same $10,000 portfolio as an example. So you decide you won't spend any more than $200 on any trade. For traders with small account sizes, this can be an attractive approach because it limits how much you can lose. However, it also limits what stocks you can buy. You will have to roll out some securities based solely on their price. Of course, this is not necessarily a bad thing. 3️⃣ The third approach is "volatility-based position sizing" A more complex approach, but one that allows for more flexibility is position sizing based on the volatility of the security you plan to buy. It's more dynamic because it doesn't treat each stock the same. This approach allows you to drill down and exercise finer control over your portfolio. For example, growth stocks will invariably be more volatile, and that volatility will be reflected in your portfolio. To reduce that overall risk on your portfolio. You wouldn't buy less high volatility stocks than you would lower volatility stocks. You can measure volatility with something as simple as a standard deviation over a given period, say 15 or 10 trading days. Then depending on the deviation, you adjust the number of shares you buy when you initiate a position. This allows lower volatility stocks to have more weight in your portfolio than higher volatility ones. Position Sizing based on this ideology lowers the overall volatility within a portfolio. This strategy is frequently used in large portfolios. Even longer-term traders and investors face position sizing questions for them when the price of a security with their holding goes down. It represents more value. Adding to their position, in this case, is referred to as averaging down. Long-term traders can decide to average down using similar position sizing approaches by risking either a fixed dollar amount or a percentage amount when the stock trades down you can use standard deviation here as well to help figure out the dollar amount. Some additional common sense risk parameters seem worth mentioning and may be incorporated into your trade plan. For example, Once you've figured out how much you're comfortable losing a stop loss level for each trade should be determined and placed in the market. A seasoned trader will generally know where to put their stop loss orders after having optimized their trading plan and chart analysis is often performed when setting stop-loss orders rules of thumb should be followed when you use stops to manage risk on your positions. By now I hope you realized that correct position sizing is crucial. You should always consider how much you buy when you buy and also know how you came up with that number. Regardless of your account size. Take the time to come up with a consistent approach that matches your trading style and then stick to it. You can incorporate flexibility as well. For example, if you're willing to take more risks with your portfolio, you can die a lot of the person that you use. sound money management techniques can help make an average trader better and a good trader becomes great. For example, a trader that is only right half of the time, but gets out of losing trades before the loss becomes significant and knows the right winners to a substantial profit would be way ahead of most others with trade with no clear plan of action whatsoever. And you have to find the right balance because if you risk too little and your account won't grow and if you risk too much, your account can be destroyed in a few bad trades. 🌱 If you found value and learn something new, leave me a like to show your support. 👍🏼❤️
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by parissap
23
BEFORE, ON TIME and AFTERHello everyone Today we will try to figure out what kind of thinking is correct during the opening, holding and closing of a deal. Any trader faces these three stages, but not everyone knows how to behave correctly and therefore mistakes are made. Go! Before opening a deal... Every time you find an entry point that matches the rules of your trading strategy, you should think about the following important points: • Determine the level to set the stop loss. It is not necessary to set a smaller stop loss due to greed. You should have a stop loss strategy that will be based on the highs or lows of the price, at the levels, because these values are really important and it will be much more difficult for the price to pass the level - this will protect your position and your stop loss from premature closure. • You must be able to accept losses. Before each trade, you should remind yourself that a trade can be unprofitable, since there is nothing 100% in the market. Remember this every day. Remember that setups don't always work, and then you won't lose more by rearranging the stop loss or not putting it at all in the hope that the setup will definitely work. • It takes time. The deal does not reach the goal in a minute. The market will move in different directions, and you should be able not to react to every movement and give the deal time. Many people forget about it, but due to the constant monitoring of the market and reactions to every movement, traders make mistakes, lose money. You need to be able to wait, understand this. Let the deal work and don't interfere. The position is open! The most interesting thing starts right here! And it is here that a huge number of unnecessary mistakes are made. • The market must prove you wrong. After opening a position, the set stop loss will be the level at which it will be clear that you were wrong. You should leave the open position alone and let the price prove you right or give you an erroneous opinion. Touching the take profit price will mean that you were right, there is no stop loss. • Constant monitoring of the situation. If you are still following every movement, most likely you will react to false price fluctuations and sooner or later you will close the position. You may just get tired of watching the price move and eventually make a mistake. You can check your deal once or twice a day, but no more. You must act according to your strategy, which gave the signal to open a position. Let the strategy work and don't interfere. Closing a position It does not matter whether the deal was profitable or not, it is important to rest after it, stop, put your thoughts in order. It is difficult, after closing a position, to return to the market for a new setup, especially if the transaction was profitable. After all, they lead to excessive self-confidence, which leads you to open bad deals in large numbers. After a losing trade, you always want to quickly return to the market to recoup. This is a big mistake. Opening deals that are based on the desire to win back what is lost is an abyss into the abyss. Emotionally, you run to open a deal, open on bad signals and lose even more, and so again and again. You have to understand that losing money in the market is normal, you don't have to run to win them back. Learn to accept losses. The only thing you should do after closing any position is to be disciplined and stick to the trading strategy. The easiest way is to just leave the market and get away from the chart for a while. It is very important to remember that you need to be able to save money. If you have earned something, withdraw some part at the end of the month, let it be your reward, which will give you self-confidence and you will become a calmer trader in the long run. Good luck!
Education
by DeGRAM
5
Position Sizing (Course #0)My very first course was going to be the winning rate. As I wrote down the other ones, I realized that position sizing, understanding what it is and how it works, was actually the most important part of it all. Therefore, I have decided to create this course #0 as the one you MUST take first to understand the other stuff. Understanding position sizing is very tricky actually. The very first time I learned about it was with Crypto Cred. He’s got a lot of great courses on trading and Technical Analysis, I also recommend you checking him out. So here is what most people think about doing: I will buy 100% of my account balance into bitcoin ($1,000 account), my account size will then be $1,000. Or, I will buy with 15% of my account, so my position will be $150. Even better, I will go 10x and my position size will be $10,000. This is great and all, but this is NOT how you should look at it. Whenever you trade, you MUST – SHALL – HAVE TO HAVE – an plan on where and why do you enter, where you need to exit at profit AND where you need to exit at loss. If you don’t want to accept that, no good. If you want to invest into something, you MUST – SHALL – HAVE TO HAVE – an plan on where and why do you enter, where you need to exit at profit AND where you need to exit at loss. If you don’t want to accept that, no good. It’s like driving, you must know when to turn, accelerate and break. So, because you will have a plan, you will know OR you will decide where to put your Stop Loss. For example, you want to put your stop loss the 20 EMA. Or, you want to put your stop loss at the low of the previous candle. Or, you want to put your stop loss 0.5% below your entry. Or, you want to put your stop loss at the previous support level. Once you have decided where to put your Stop Loss, based on your strategy and on the structure of the market/chart, you will need to decide how much you will risk on that trade. Basically, trading is like betting. You will bet/risk an amount of money, hoping to make a profit. To give you an idea, 1% risk is cool, if you want fast results you can go to 2-3% (of your account balance). Some great traders like to do 5-20%, but this is super high risk. 5-20% on an intraday trading strategy (in and out during the same day), then this is degen to me. On an intraday 1-2% risk per trade is good. So now, you are starting to be good at position sizing: you know where your stop loss will be and you know how much you will risk. Let’s go back to our examples of stop losses. Example 1: you want to put your stop loss the 20 EMA Example 2: you want to put your stop loss at the low of the previous candle Example 3: you want to put your stop loss 0.5% below your entry Example 4: you want to put your stop loss at the previous support level On the above chart, here are the distance between your entry and the stop losses: Example 1, the 20 EMA is 0.28% below your entry. Example 2, the low of the previous candle is 2.30% below your entry. Example 3, the stop loss is exactly 0.50% below the entry, like you decided. Example 4, the previous support level is 4.60% below your entry. Now let’s calculate your position size: Magic Formula: Position size = Risk % / Distance to SL % Example 1: 1% / 0.28% = 3.57 This means your position size will be 3.57 times your account balance. Example 2: 1% / 2.30% = 0.437 This means your position size will be 0.437 times your account balance, so a little bit less than half of it. Example 3: 1%/0.5% = 0.50 Your position size is equal to half your account. Example 4: 1%/4.60% = 0.22 Your position size will be 0.22 times your account. So now, do you understand that leverage should only be necessary when your strategy calls for a Stop Loss that is positioned at a distance that is less than your risk %? This is example 1. You should NEVER think “I want to use 10x” just for fun. You should only apply leverage because your position size calculation told you so. Conclusion: Position Sizing is the calculation of how much should your position be, so that when you hit your SL, you only lose what you planned losing. Position size = RISK % / DISTANCE TO SL %
Education
by Maddrix_club
1
LONG & SHORT POSITION TOOL📚An In-Depth Look at Using This ToolThis illustration explains the functionality of TradingView's Long/Short Position Tool and is intended to help new people looking for more information on this tool in a "novice friendly" format. TradingView’s position tool will aid you in pre-planning and pre-evaluating trades and as such should be an essential part of every trader's toolkit . Note: At its simplest, the position tool can quickly show you the R:R (Risk-To-Reward) of a single trade. By doing a little extra work, you’ll be able to then use this tool to properly plan for the risk of all trades you are taking compared to your total account size. Hit that 👍 button to show support for the content! Help the community grow by giving us a follow 🐣 ----- Important terms: Tick = A tick is a measure of the minimum upward or downward movement in price. Trade outcome statistics = Used to track the outcome of a trade. Example: “Current XYZ position closed +5.25% gain 10840 account balance after trade impact” P&L = A representation of current Profit & Loss. Be careful where you position the tool, as the P&L is calculated based on the position of the tool. Here are two uses for the Position Tool: 1. Only R:R = To quickly find only the R:R of a trade. This method does not bother changing account balance and such is only acceptable if you are tracking your current account balance and doing risk calculations off-platform in something such as a google spreadsheet. 2. Risk+R:R = To ensure your current trade idea meets both your R:R and max risk tolerance (risk amount; in our case, 1%). This is achieved by changing the “Account Size” option every time you are building a new position. This is the advised method to use, since like your trade journal, it’ll help keep you accurate and accountable. ----- We will now explain the options contained within the tool’s input on-chart menu: Account size = The current available balance within your account, the keyword here is available. If you are using the "Risk" option explained below then this needs to be updated upon starting to create a new trade setup. Risk = Your max tolerable risk amount (either in absolute numbers or as a % of your account size). The default option is "absolute numbers," this uses the base currency of the on chart asset (If you were on ETHBTC, then the base currency would be BTC; for SPX500USD it is USD since this asset is displayed in its USD value). As you know, we suggest you stick to %. Entry Price = The price you will be entering the position at. PROFIT LEVEL: Ticks = The tick difference from the entry price to the profit target. Price = The take profit price. STOP LEVEL: Ticks = The tick difference from the entry price to the stop loss. Price = The stop losses price. ----- We will now explain all metrics being displayed on the tool while it is plotted on the chart: Top info panel: 1. The difference in base currency (USD) from the entry price to the take profit price. 2. The difference in percentage change from the entry price to the take profit price. 3. The difference in ticks from the entry price to the take profit price. 4. The hypothetical account balance after the take profit target is achieved. Middle info panel: 1. Simulated P&L from the entry price to where the current live price is. (Displayed in the base currency of the on chart asset, USD in this example) 2. The quantity of the asset that should be purchased at the entry price. This is calculated as follows: Qty = Risk / (Entry Price – Stop Price) 3. The risk to reward ratio, this is how much you could gain compared to how much you could lose. The calculation is as follows: Risk/Reward Ratio = ((Take profit price - Entry price) / (Entry price - Stop loss price)) Bottom info panel: 1. The base currency (USD) difference from the entry price to the stop-loss price. 2. The difference in percentage change from the entry to the stop-loss price. 3. The difference in ticks from the entry price to the stop-loss price. 4. The hypothetical account balance after the stop-loss is hit. ----- Lastly, we will explain how Position Size and Account Balance are being calculated by TradingView: Long Position Variant Position Size: Qty = RiskSize / (EntryPrice - StopPrice) Account Balance when a position is closed after reaching the Take Profit level: Amount = AccountSize + (ProfitLevel – EntryPrice) * Qty Account Balance when position is closed after reaching the Stop Loss level: Amount = AccountSize – (EntryPrice – StopLevel) * Qty Short Position Variant Position Size: Qty = RiskSize / (StopPrice - EntryPrice) Account Balance when a position is closed after reaching the Take Profit level: Amount = AccountSize + (EntryPrice - ProfitLevel) * Qty Account Balance when a position is closed after reaching the Stop Loss level: Amount = AccountSize – (StopLevel – EntryPrice) * Qty AccountSize: Initial account size specified in the settings RiskSize: If the "Risk" option is set to "absolute numbers" = Risk If the "Risk" option is set to "percentage of account size" = Risk / 100 * AccountSize ----- Reference: www.tradingview.com If we made any mistakes please let us know in the comments. There was a lot of formatting we needed to do to best display all of this information for you guys! Enjoy. :)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by AlphaBotSystem
42
LTC / BTC Positional Trading The long-term trading channel 190%It is also worth noting that the coin is relevant for trading now! Now we are in an important zone from which long-term movement is decided! I chose the LTC / BTC pair as an example for positional trading. This coin works perfectly technically. To Bitcoin, the coin is held in a horizontal channel from the very beginning of trading. I think you understand that this is not an accident. In the crypto market of several thousand scam coins there are several such technical highly liquid reliable coins. Litecoin is one of them. It is the impressive profit for those who work in large sums. The ideal ratio of profit and risk. Clear trade. It is easy to predict further price movements. Positional trading is suitable for those who have already traded an impressive depot and are already tired of staring at the monitor and burning their time, spoiling their eyesight. For those who no longer get high from the excitement of management and so on. Because a large depot can in most cases be dispersed only by such methods. A person must have iron patience and an understanding of the market cycles. Because profits need to wait a long time. As you can see from the graph, for example, only one trend can last up to a year. Positional trading is the work on the trend on a long-term basis, on charts covering a large time scale. For its implementation, fundamental and technical analysis is often used. Position trading is suitable for all types of markets: cryptocurrencies, stocks, goods, Forex. In other words, position trading refers to a relatively long-term holding of a position in the direction of a global trend. Thus, position trading is an independent style, significantly different from others. Market participants can use this approach to hold short-term and long-term positions. Maintaining a position in the trend, and not work on small weekly fluctuations. This is the main difference from swing, which involves working on the basis of market cycles of several days. In positional trading, you can hold a trade for months or even a year or more (Dow Jones index), it all depends on the trend. Coins for positional trading are selected very carefully, they must be reliable, be closer to TOP or be this top as an example of Litecoin. There should be a real development of the project in the long term, with a strong team that really does something, and not only has a promise legend. It is very important that the coin you choose for positional trading be highly liquid. You can work (or rather need) as in long and short. In any direction the price you earn. If you are not working in short, then most of the position is HOLD on a WALLET! In such a trade where transactions are conducted 1-2 times a year, it makes no sense to risk a huge amount and keep coins on the exchange. Even if you are doing risk diversification through several liquid exchanges. Only the large time frame is important, we do not pay attention to small price fluctuations. The purchase / sale of an asset is made only upon confirmation of a change in trend. No hai and loy! Minimum prices and maximums will be left for hamsters. ____________________________________ Position Trading Rules: 1) A signal to enter a position is the beginning of a trend on a large timeframe (with a timeframe of 1 day or 1 week). 2) Exit from the transaction is carried out only if there are sufficient grounds for the end of the trend (trend change). _________________________________________ The advantages of positional trading. 1) Does not take into account small price changes, that is, does not require constant monitoring of the situation. 2) There is no need to be near the computer all the time. In positional strategy, the most important thing is a deep and thorough analysis, on the basis of which a further decision is made. 3) An open position simply needs to be monitored if there is a situation that can change the position or price. Positional trading strategy is an analysis of daily, weekly and monthly timeframes; holding an open position for at least a few days to several months. In simple terms, positional trading is a meaningful and balanced entry into a transaction based on holding a position in a trend. ____________________________________ The disadvantages of positional trading. 1) a long expectation of results that can actually be measured only after months or years; 2) high responsibility for each forecast and analysis, since it can take many days and weeks to hold the wrong position; 3) slow progress in trading (holding positions is good if the trader already has experience, but you won’t be able to gain it quickly by opening deals once a year); 4) the need for significant investment (you can get a tangible income from position trading only if you have a decent amount of money in the account). As a result, holding a position in certain cases is a significant advantage for an experienced trader, but fatal for beginner speculators.
Education
by SpartaBTC
3
Position Sizing in Trading - Educational VideoHello traders. In this Educational video I will talk about Position Sizing in trading. You know as a trader that the first part that you have to do when you're ready to get into a trade is how much you are willing to risk per trade. Position sizing refers to the number of units invested in a particular security by an investor or trader. An investor's account size and risk tolerance should be taken into account when determining appropriate position sizing.
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by dionthas
11
Non Charting Tools for Forex TradersI am listing the tools I use daily, during my trading schedule, when I trade the Forex market. I am using general descriptions in this list since I am not endorsing any particular paid service, or website. Tradingview A high quality charting platform with all the price charts and many powerful yet intuitive tools. Every single trade I take I chart it here first, marking exact entry, exit and stop loss levels. Some of my potential trades I publish, some I keep to myself. The forex chat is a great “tool” to share views on the market in real time and get other opinions to see if I missed anything. Execution Platform I see brokers as a necessary evil and use mine only to execute my trades. I don’t use its charting package, newsfeed, calendar, signals, expert advisors or anything like that. As soon as Tradingview will provide chart trading where we can select a broker of our choosing and execute our trades straight from the charts, this tool can be eliminated. Economic Calendar Even if you are a 100% technical trader and don’t take any news into account, at least you would know when major news events are happening (NFP, FOMC rate statement, etc) that could impact your trades, so you might want to stay out of the market. For traders who do take fundamentals into account, it provides you with the previous period and the expectation for the data to be released. It helps to build the picture for how events may move the markets. There are several to be found, find one that suits you. Premium News Service This is a feed of headlines that will inform you in real-time on what is happening in the markets. If a pair suddenly moves fifty pips, this news service will tell you why this is happening. The audio feed is the fastest so with urgent news you will not miss out. With un-planned news events this is essential. It’s a paid service and there are several on the market, I am not endorsing any in particular but am using one myself and I am always in the know. Market Background News Sites These are websites / financial blogs with markets news, background stories and editorial opinions that differ from the real time premium news services in that the articles are more research based and provide a deeper understanding into fundamental drivers behind the markets and how market players are positioning themselves. I usually read up on them once a day before I start trading. There are several good websites to be found. Currency Correlation Overview Pairs don’t move completely independent of each other. Trading highly correlated pairs simultaneously can increase your overall risk or eat your profits. Before entering a potential trade, I crosscheck the currency correlation of that pair with my already open trades (if any) and if its highly correlated (either positively or negatively) to one of them, I do not enter the trade. Since correlation differs per timeframe and changes over time, I use a real time online source. Position Size Calculator The difference in pips between entry and stop loss (pips at risk), your equity size and the trade risk you allow as a percentage are what you need to calculate the position size that does not exceed your risk tolerance. You can create a spreadsheet where you calculate this yourself for each trade, you can also find an online position size calculator and some brokers have this feature built into their interface. Regardless how you do it, this will be an essential tool. Forex Cheat Sheets I have created cheat sheets with overviews of all candlestick formations, basic and advanced price patterns, key Fibonacci ratios, etc. They help to quickly validate potential trading opportunities. Nowadays I hardly use them anymore, but I still have a hard copy on my desk just in case and they certainly helped me a lot as a beginning trader. I like the feeling that if I need to check a pattern, I have the information easily accessible at my fingertips.
Education
by JazzForex
42