Best Free Volatility Indicator on TradingView for Gold Forex
This free technical indicator will help you easily measure the market volatility on Forex, Gold or any other market.
It will show you when the market is quiet , when it's active and when it's dangerous .
We will go through the settings of this indicator, and you will learn how to set it up on TradingView.
Historical Volatility Indicator
This technical indicator is called Historical Volatility.
It is absolutely free and available on TradingView, MetaTrader 4/5 and other popular trading terminals.
TradingView Setup
Let me show you how to find it on TradingView and add it to your price chart.
Open a technical price chart on TradingView and open the "Indicators" menu (you will find it at the top of the screen).
Search "Historical Volatility" and click on it.
It will automatically appear on your chart.
"Length" parameter will define how many candles the indicator will take for measuring the average volatility. (I recommend keeping the default number, but if you need longer/shorter-term volatility, you can play with that)
Timeframe drop-down list defines what time frame the indicator takes for measuring the volatility. (I recommend choosing a daily timeframe)
And keep the checkboxes unchanged .
How to Use the Indicator
Now, let me show you how to use it properly.
Wider the indicator and analyse its movement at least for the last 4 months.
Find the volatility range - its low levels will be based on the lower boundary of the range, high levels will be based on its upper boundary.
This is an example of such a range on USDCAD pair.
When the volatility stays within the range, it is your safe time to trade.
When volatility approaches its lows, it may indicate that the market might be slow .
Highs of the range imply that the market is very active
In-between will mean a healthy market.
The Extremes
The violation of a volatility range to the downside is the signal that the market is very slow . This would be the recommended period to not trade because of high chance of occurrence of fakeouts.
An upward breakout of a voliatlity range is the signal of the extreme volatility . It will signify that the market is unstable , and it will be better to let it calm down before placing any trade.
Volatility Analysis
That is how a complete volatility analysis should look.
At the moment, volatility reached extreme levels on CADJPY pair.
The best strategy will be to wait till it returns within the range.
Remember This
With the current geopolitical uncertainty and trade wars, market volatility reaches the extreme levels.
Such a volatility is very dangerous , especially for newbie traders.
Historical volatility technical indicator will help you to easily spot the best period for trading and the moment when it is better to stay away.
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Volatilityindicator
HIGH Volatility Alert! Everything You Need to Know
Have you ever wondered why the certain trading instruments are very rapid while some our extremely slow and boring?
In this educational article, we will discuss the market volatility , how is it measured and how can it be applied for making smart trading and investing decisions.
📚 First, let's start with the definition. Market volatility is a degree of a fluctuation of the price of a financial instrument over a certain period of time.
High volatility reflects quick and significant rises and falls on the market, while low volatility implies that the price moves slowly and steadily.
High volatility makes it harder for the traders and investors to predict the future direction of the market, but also may bring substantial gains.
On the other hand, a low volatility market is much easier to predict, but the potential returns are more modest.
The chart on the left is the perfect example of a volatile market.
While the chart on the right is a low volatility market.
📰 The main causes of volatility are economic and geopolitical events.
Political and economic instability, wars and natural disasters can affect the behavior of the market participants, causing the chaotic, irrational market movements.
On the other hand, the absence of the news and the relative stability are the main sources of a low volatility.
Here is the example, how the Covid pandemic affected GBPUSD pair.
The market was falling in a very rapid face in untypical manner, being driven by the panic and fear.
But how the newbie trader can measure the volatility of the market?
The main stream way is to apply ATR indicator , but, working with hundreds of struggling traders from different parts of the globe, I realized that for them such a method is complicated.
📏 The simplest way to assess the volatility of the market is to analyze the price action and candlesticks.
The main element of the volatile market is occasional appearance of large candlestick bars - the ones that have at least 4 times bigger range than the average candles.
Sudden price moves up and down are one more indicator of high volatility. They signify important shifts in the supply and demand of a particular asset.
Take a look at a price action and candlesticks on Bitcoin.
The market moves in zigzags, forming high momentum bullish and bearish candles. These are the indicators of high volatility.
🛑 For traders who just started their trading journey, high volatility is the red flag.
Acting rapidly, such instruments require constant monitoring and attention. Moreover, such markets require a high level of experience in stop loss placement because one single high momentum candle can easily hit the stop loss and then return to entry level.
Alternatively, trading a low volatility market can be extremely boring because most of the time it barely moves.
The best solution is to look for the market where the volatility is average , where the market moves but on a reasonable scale.
Volatility assessment plays a critical role in your success in trading. Know in advance, the degree of a volatility that you can tolerate and the one that you should avoid.
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How to Build a Forex Trading Indicator How to Build a Forex Trading Indicator
In the dynamic world of financial trading, understanding how to build a trading indicator is a valuable skill. This article is designed to navigate you through the essential steps of creating your own trading indicators, offering a blend of technical and practical insights to potentially enhance your market analysis and trading decisions.
Understanding Trading Indicators
Trading indicators are essential tools in analysing financial markets, offering traders valuable insights into market trends and potential trading opportunities. These mathematical calculations are applied to various market data points like price, volume, and sometimes open interest. In forex trading, indicators play a crucial role in analysing currency pair movements.
There are several types of indicators, each serving a specific purpose:
- Trend indicators help identify the direction of market movements.
- Momentum indicators gauge the speed of these movements.
- Volume indicators look at trading volumes to understand market strength.
- Volatility indicators provide insight into the stability or instability of currency prices.
While there are hundreds of indicators to choose from, some traders choose to develop their own based on their unique market observations.
Basic Components of a Trading Indicator
The core components of a trading indicator are price, volume, and time. These elements are fundamental in analysing market data and building various tools.
- Price: The most critical component, price, is used in almost every trading indicator. It includes open, high, low, and close prices of trading instruments. Price data is essential for constructing trend-following tools like moving averages and oscillators like the Stochastic RSI.
- Volume: Volume indicates the number of contracts traded in a given period. It provides insights into the strength or weakness of a market move. Volume-based tools, like the Volume Oscillator or On-Balance Volume (OBV), help traders understand the intensity behind price movements.
- Time: Indicators use time periods to analyse market trends. This could be short-term (minutes, hours), medium-term (days, weeks), or long-term (months, years). Time frames influence the sensitivity of an indicator, with shorter periods typically offering more signals.
Choosing the Right Data and Tools
Selecting appropriate data and tools is a critical step in building effective trading indicators. For data, accuracy and relevance are paramount. Traders typically use historical price data alongside volume data.
For tools, traders consider user-friendly platforms that offer robust functionality for creating and testing tools. Platforms like TradingView and MetaTrader offer extensive libraries and community support, facilitating the development of customised indicators.
Additionally, programming languages like Python, C# and R, known for their data analysis capabilities, can be powerful tools for creating more complex indicators. FXOpen’s TickTrader, for instance, supports custom C#-based indicators and offers powerful backtesting tools.
How to Build a Trading Indicator: A Step-by-Step Walkthrough
Developing an indicator involves several key steps, each crucial to ensure the final tool is effective and aligns with your trading strategy.
1. Define the Objective
Begin by clearly defining what you want your tool to achieve. Is it to identify trends, pinpoint entry and exit points, or gauge market volatility? Your objective will guide the type of indicator you develop, such as trend-following, momentum, or volatility-based.
2. Select the Formula
Choose or develop a mathematical formula that your tool will use. This could be a simple moving average, a complex algorithm involving multiple data points, or something entirely unique. The formula should reflect the market phenomena you aim to capture.
3. Coding the Indicator
Translate your formula into code. If using platforms like TradingView, MetaTrader or TickTrader, their scripting languages (Pine Script for TradingView, MQL4/5 for MetaTrader, C# for TickTrader) are designed for this purpose. Ensure the code is clean, well-documented, and easily adjustable.
4. Incorporate Visualisation
Decide how the indicator will visually appear on the chart or in a separate window. This could be in the form of lines, bars, dots, or other graphical representations. The visual aspect should make it easy to interpret signals at a glance.
5. Backtesting
Before applying your indicator in live trading, it’s crucial to backtest it using historical data. This topic is expanded on below.
Testing and Refining Your Indicator
Testing and refining your trading indicator is a critical phase in its development, ensuring its potential effectiveness and reliability in real market conditions.
- Backtesting: This is the process of testing your indicator against historical data. Backtesting helps evaluate how it would’ve performed in different market scenarios, revealing its strengths and weaknesses. It's essential to test over various time frames and market conditions to ensure robustness.
- Analysing Results: Assess the indicator's accuracy, consistency, and responsiveness to market changes. Look for patterns in its performance, such as frequent false signals or lag in response to price movements.
- Refinement: Based on the backtesting results, refine your indicator. This could involve tweaking the formula, adjusting parameters like time periods or thresholds, or enhancing the visualisation for clearer signals.
- Forward Testing: After adjustments, conduct forward testing in a simulated or live trading environment with real-time data. This helps verify its performance in current market conditions.
Remember, no indicator is perfect; the goal is to develop a tool that consistently aids in your trading outcomes.
The Bottom Line
The journey of building an indicator is both challenging and rewarding. From selecting the right data and tools to carefully coding and testing your creation, each step plays a vital role in crafting an effective aid for trading decisions. For those looking to integrate their custom indicators into a professional trading environment, opening an FXOpen account offers the opportunity to leverage your unique tools in the dynamic TickTrader platform.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Beating the S&P500 (SPX) Buy&Hold strategy by 16 timesS&P500 (SPX) strategy using Stochastic RSI Min-Max, normalized Volatility and Trailing Stop signals, beats the Buy&Hold strategy by 16 times
Embarking on the quest to time the market accurately, the 'Holy Grail' of strategies, led me to create a script to approach this goal. Unlike other strategies that I tested, this one not only surpasses the long-term S&P500 Buy&Hold approach but does so by a remarkable 16.38 times!
Initially, I employed an A.I. program based on an LSTM Neural Network using TensorFlow. Despite achieving a 55% next-day prediction accuracy for short/long positions, I sought improvement using a heuristic pine-scripting approach, incorporating stochastic RSI oscillators, moving averages, and volatility signals.
With default parameters, this strategy, freely available as "XPloRR S&P500 Stock Market Crash Detection Strategy v2" delivered a staggering 2,663,001% profit since February 1871. In the same period, the Buy&Hold strategy "only" generated 162,599% profit. Picture this: a $1,000 investment in 1871 would now be worth $26,630,014 by February 2024. Check it out for yourself loading this strategy.
The script operates as a Stochastic RSI Min-Max script, automatically generating buy and sell alerts on the S&P500 SPX. What sets it apart? The strategy detects "corrections," minimizes losses using Trailing Stop and Moving Average parameters, and strategically re-enters the market after detecting bottoms using tuned Stochastic RSI signals and normalized Volatility thresholds.
Tailor its parameters to your preference, use it for strategic exits and entries, or stick to the Buy&Hold strategy and start new buy trades at regular intervals using buy signals only. In the pursuit of minimizing losses, the script has learned the effectiveness of a 9% trailing stop on trades. As you can clearly see on the upper graph (revolving around 100), the average overall green surfaces (profits) of all trades are much bigger than the average red surfaces (losses). This follows Warren Buffets first rule of trading to "Never lose money" and thus minimizing losses.
Update: Advanced S&P500 Stochastic RSI Min-Max Buy/Sell Alert Generator
I have also created an Alerter script based on the same engine as this script, which auto-generates buy and sell alert signals (via e-mail, in-app push-notifications, pop-ups etc.).
The script is currently fine-tuned for the S&P500 SPX tracker, but parameters can be fine-tuned upon request for other trackers or stocks.
If you are interested in this alerter-version script or fine-tuning other trackers, please drop me a message or mail xplorr at live dot com.
How to use this Strategy?
Select the SPX (S&P500) graph and set the value to "Day" values (top) and set "Auto Fit Data To Screen" (bottom-right).
Select in the Indicators the "XPloRR S&P500 Stock Market Crash Detection Strategy v2" script and set "Auto Fit Data To Screen" (bottom-right)
Look in the strategy tester overview to optimize the values "Percent Profitable" and "Net Profit" (using the strategy settings icon, you can increase/decrease the parameters).
How to interpret the graphical information?
In the SPX graph, you will see the Buy(Blue) and Sell(Purple) labels created by the strategy.
The green/red graph below shows the accumulated profit/loss in % of to the initial buy value of the trade (it revolves around 100%, 110 means 10% profit, 95 means 5% loss)
The small purple blocks indicate out-of-trade periods
The green graph below the zero line is the stochastic RSI buy signal. You can set a threshold (green horizontal line). The vertical green lines show minima below that threshold and indicate possible buy signals.
The blue graph above the zero line is the normalized volatility signal. You can set a threshold (blue horizontal line) affecting buy signals.
The red graph above the zero line is the slower stochastic RSI sell signal. You can set a threshold (red horizontal line). The red areas indicate values above that threshold.
However real exits are triggered if close values are crossing below the trailing stop value or optionally when the fast moving average crosses under the slow one. The red areas above the threshold are rather indicative to show that the SPX is expensive and not ideal to enter. Please note that in bullish periods the red line and areas can stay at a permanent high value, so it is not ideal to use as a strict sell signal. However, when it drops below zero and the green vertical lines appear, these are strong buy signals together with a high volatility.
These Parameters can be changed
Buy Stochastic Lookback
Buy Stochastic Smoother
Buy Threshold
Buy Only After Fall
Minimum % Fall
Sell Stochastic Lookback
Sell Stochastic Smoother
Sell Threshold
Sell Only With Profit
Minimum % Profit
Use Sell MA
Fast MA Sell
Slow MA Sell
MA Sell Threshold
Use Buy Volatility
Volatility Smoother
Volatility Threshold
Use Trailing Stop
Use ATR (iso of a fixed percentage for the trailing stop)
ATR Lookback
Trailing Stop Factor(or fixed percentage if "use ATR" is false)
Trailing Stop Smoother
Important : optimizing and using these parameters is no guarantee for future winning trades!
Mastering Stop-Loss with ATR IndicatorMastering Stop-Loss and Take-Profit with ATR Indicator
What is the ATR Indicator?
The Average True Range (ATR) indicator is a nifty tool that helps traders gauge the market's volatility. Simply, it tells you how much an asset typically moves in a given timeframe.
Placing Stop Loss to Avoid Getting Stopped Out
Step 1: Identify ATR Value
Look at the ATR indicator on your chart; it's usually at the bottom or top of your screen.
Note the ATR value; the higher it is, the more volatile the market.
Step 2: Setting Stop Loss
Set your stop loss beyond the ATR value to avoid getting prematurely stopped due to regular market fluctuations.
For instance, if the ATR is 50, consider placing your stop loss at least 60 points away to give your trade room to breathe.
Understand ATR's Role
ATR not only helps with stopping losses but also guides in setting realistic take-profit levels.
It gives you an idea of how much the asset can move in a given time, assisting you in capturing profits before a potential reversal.
Final Tips for Beginners
Adapt to Market Changes: ATR values change as market conditions shift. Stay adaptable and reassess your stop-loss and take-profit levels accordingly.
Practice on Demo Accounts: Before diving into live trading, practice using the ATR indicator on demo accounts. Gain confidence and refine your strategy without risking real money.
In essence, the ATR indicator is your ally in navigating market volatility. By using it wisely, you can enhance your risk management, safeguarding your trades from unnecessary stop-outs while optimizing your profit potential. Happy trading! 📈✨
📈 Unleash the Power of the Node Squeeze IndicatorThe Node Squeeze Indicator is a robust tool designed to help traders identify significant market moves in advance. By leveraging a combination of Bollinger Bands, Keltner Channels, and the Squeeze Momentum Indicator (SMI), this indicator effectively highlights periods of low volatility followed by high volatility expansion. In this post, we'll explore the key features of the Node Squeeze Indicator and how it can enhance your trading decisions across various styles and timeframes. #TradingView #NodeSqueezeIndicator #MarketInsights
Identifying Low Volatility and Anticipating Breakouts:
During the consolidation phase, the Node Squeeze Indicator plots a narrow band, indicating reduced price volatility. This period often acts as a precursor to a breakout or a major move in the market. By recognizing these moments of low volatility, traders can position themselves ahead of the crowd and anticipate potential explosive price action. 💥📉📈 #Volatility #Breakouts
Versatility and Customization:
One of the strengths of the Node Squeeze Indicator lies in its versatility and customizable parameters. Traders can tailor the indicator's settings to suit their preferred analysis approach and trading style. Whether you're a swing trader, day trader, or long-term investor, the Node Squeeze Indicator can adapt to your needs and provide valuable insights into market turning points and potential trend reversals. 🔄✏️ #Customization #TradingStyles
Enhancing Trading Decisions:
With its clear visual cues and combination of powerful indicators, the Node Squeeze Indicator equips traders with a comprehensive tool for making informed trading decisions. By using this indicator alongside other technical analysis techniques, you can validate signals and improve the accuracy of your predictions. However, it's important to remember that the Node Squeeze Indicator is not a standalone strategy or financial advice. 📊🔍✅ #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingDecisions
Risk Management and Analysis:
While the Node Squeeze Indicator can offer valuable insights, it's crucial to combine it with other indicators, analysis techniques, and risk management strategies. It's recommended to perform your own analysis and consider other factors, such as fundamental analysis, market sentiment, and economic news, to make well-rounded trading decisions. 📝💼🔒 #RiskManagement #Analysis
The Node Squeeze Indicator is a powerful tool that empowers traders to identify major market moves before they happen. By combining Bollinger Bands, Keltner Channels, and the Squeeze Momentum Indicator (SMI), it effectively highlights periods of low volatility and subsequent high volatility expansion. Regardless of your preferred trading style or timeframe, the Node Squeeze Indicator can enhance your trading decisions and improve overall performance. However, it should always be used in conjunction with other indicators and analysis techniques, and traders must exercise proper risk management. Unlock the power of the Node Squeeze Indicator and stay ahead of the markets with this comprehensive and intuitive trading tool. 🚀💪📈 #TradingTool #NodeSqueeze #MarketPerformance #TradingView
📊Bollinger Bands In A Trending MarketBollinger Bands are a widely used chart indicator for technical analysis created by John Bollinger in the 1980s. They offer insights into price and volatility and are used in many markets, including stocks, futures, and currencies. Bollinger Bands have multiple uses, such as determining overbought and oversold levels, as a trend following tool, and for monitoring for breakouts.
📍 Strategy
Bollinger Bands measure deviation and can be helpful in diagnosing trends. By generating two sets of bands using different standard deviation parameters, traders can gauge trends and define buy and sell zones. The bands adapt dynamically to price action, widening and narrowing with volatility to create an accurate trending envelope. A touch of the upper or lower band is not a signal in and of itself, and attempting to "sell the top" or "buy the bottom" can lead to losses. Standard deviation is a statistical measure of the amount of variation or dispersion of a set of prices or returns from its average value. The higher the standard deviation, the wider the Bollinger Bands, indicating greater price volatility, and vice versa. Traders may use standard deviation to set stop-loss and take-profit levels or to help determine the risk-to-reward ratio of a trade.
📍 Calculation
First, calculate a simple moving average. Next, calculate the standard deviation over the same number of periods as the simple moving average. For the upper band, add the standard deviation to the moving average. For the lower band, subtract the standard deviation from the moving average.
Typical values used:
Short term: 10 day moving average, bands at 1.5 standard deviations. (1.5 times the standard dev. +/- the SMA)
Medium term: 20 day moving average, bands at 2 standard deviations.
Long term: 50 day moving average, bands at 2.5 standard deviations.
👤 @AlgoBuddy
📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators
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Combining Price, Volume and VolatilityHow to avoid BAD trades, and using the TT Price/Trend Indicator, paired with the TT Volume Indicator to make a decision on whether to take the trade or avoid.
As per the description on my indicators, you must only:
- LONG/BUY if the slow moving line on the Volume Oscillator is ABOVE the Blue trendline.
- SELL/SHORT if the slow moving line on the Volume Oscillator is ABOVE the Blue trendline.
Even better if there is a retest.
There is more information on the description of each indicator's script (please see below "Link to Related Ideas").
Quite often, Volume can pre-determine what will happen with price, so using this indicator will help increase your win rate significantly. But it's important to stick to this strategy and not FOMO in because of emotions.
I am also currently testing a new indicator, the "Volatility Direction Bands". This is in the works and will be released soon. Essentially, it's similar to Bollinger bands but adds stoch-based moving averages and a mac-d based Histogram to use as a 3rd dimension for your trades. This measures Volatility, and displays a Histogram of Volatility, which works well alongside Price + Volume. The idea is to only BUY when the moving averages are in the Red volatility bands and SELL when the moving averages are in the Green volatility bands.
About the YELLOW CIRCLE on the chart:
You can see that when this happened, the slow moving average on the Volume Oscillator dropped underneath the Blue trendline, retested upwards and dropped more.
This all happened BEFORE price dropped - price was currently above the Blue trendline in the BUY zone.
We saw this and did not set an order at the Blue trendline. Price then dropped underneath the Blue trendline on price and we waited for the next "SELL" signal to SHORT at the Blue trendline.