Elite_Forex

Elite_Forex

Here's a breakdown of why the S&P 500 might drop to the next green zone based on the technical analysis depicted in the chart: 1. Resistance Zone (Upper Red Box) The chart highlights a resistance zone near the top, marked by a red box. This zone represents a price level where the S&P 500 has struggled to move higher and has reversed several times in the...

Elite_Forex Updated 

If we look at the global financial markets, the price of natural gas has fallen by about 40%, and here comes the moment to ask ourselves whether this negative decline represents an opportunity for investors. To analyze this situation we decided to compare the average return of the asset against seasonality. This is cautioned, in no way should it be taken as...

Elite_Forex

Country expects to harvest 2 million tons in 2024-25 crop year Futures prices have dipped on improved cocoa crop outlook Ivory Coast’s cocoa output is expected to rebound next season — helping ease a global supply squeeze that pushed prices past records — as the world’s top grower banks on better weather. The West African producer is likely to harvest...

Elite_Forex

Current price 60.90$ Puts for 21st of June @60 cost 110@ per contract. 100 contracts=10K$ investment, We can immodestly cover the position with 2000/2500 stocks @61 depending on the risk tolerance of the trader. My personal choice is not covering the whole position since I am expecting my main position which is the PUTS to gain 50K by the end of the week and in...

Elite_Forex

Overview: Baidu (BIDU), a leading Chinese tech giant, is currently sitting at multi-year lows. Despite the broader Chinese economy facing challenges, Baidu presents a compelling opportunity due to its strong correlation with the overall Chinese market. The attached chart highlights this correlation, showing BIDU's performance in tandem with the Chinese economy's...

Elite_Forex

After the UK CPI came hotter than expected, short positions are shining on the horizon. The UK100(FTSE) index looks over-extended to the bullish side, but better than shorting the index itself is finding a highly correlated with the index position, which in our case is HSBC. As you can see the periods in the past are marked with verticals, whenever the index...

Elite_Forex Updated 

Some of the world's biggest money managers are looking outside the US for the next wave of AI winners. At a time when global euphoria around AI has caused a three-fold jump in Nvidia Corp. and a 50% jump in a key US index for semiconductor makers in less than a year, investors are turning to emerging markets for better value and a greater range of options. The...

Elite_Forex Updated 

Efforts are underway to head off a full-blown Middle East war. What’s Happening Now: A tense calm prevailed in the Middle East after Iran’s missile and drone attack on Israel. Global markets showed signs of stability on speculation the conflict will remain contained. Iran said there wouldn’t be further attacks as long as Israel didn’t react aggressively,...

Elite_Forex Updated 

Despite short-term challenges like revenue and earnings declines in the current quarter, Pfizer (PFE) maintains a positive long-term growth trajectory. With optimistic earnings estimates for the full fiscal year, consistent EPS beats, and a discounted valuation relative to peers, Pfizer represents an attractive investment opportunity. Trade Idea: Buy Pfizer...

Elite_Forex

Oil investors piled into the options market days before Iran launched its attack on Israel and traded a record amount of contracts that profit from higher prices. Just over 1 million calls on the global Brent crude benchmark traded last week, surpassing a previous record, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The volumes were focused on contracts at $95 and...

Elite_Forex

Not much of a technical analysis as we can see but there is not much we can do about it. The chart is just parabolic due to the high amount of big companies hedging against the worse-than-expected harvest. The fundamental analysis could not be much of a help either because nothing can resonate with such pricing for the cocoa. This type of trade is just speculative...

Elite_Forex

We can see the trend channel on the 4H and hours before the NYSE ope we will be sitting at key diagonal support levels. S&P tends to flash crashes in march and it won't be big of a surprise if we see a quick 4-8% test to lower levels. We also have the FOMC this week which could be the catalyst for such a move. The current bullish move looks exhausted already and...

Elite_Forex

Stock futures rose and bonds trimmed losses after inflation figures that matched expectations reinforced speculation the Federal Reserve will be able to cut rates in the second quarter of 2024. Equities were poised to extend their February gains after the Fed’s favored inflation gauge — the core personal consumption expenditures price index — rose 2.8% in January...

Elite_Forex

USD: S&P 500 at 5000 US asset markets are having a good few weeks. Equity benchmarks are pushing up to fresh highs and last night's US 10-year Treasury auction saw decent demand. Leading the charge in US equities has been the big tech stocks. Just looking across the consensus price targets of the 'magnificent seven', the targets remain anywhere from 6% (AAPL) to...

Elite_Forex

Fed Reaction In the morning update for February 1, 2024, the focus is on the aftermath of the Federal Reserve's recent policy announcement. Fed Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged recent inflation but emphasized the need for more data before making decisions. The market responded with a 1.6% drop in the S&P 500, the most significant since September, although a...

Elite_Forex Updated 

AUD/USD started 2024 strong, above 0.68 after a nearly 4% rally in December. However, the exchange rate soon ran into trouble and reversed this rally. I maintain the Q1 and Q4 forecasts for AUD/USD of 0.68 and 0.72 respectively. While there is a further repricing of the Fed, which will weigh on the exchange rate, investors will also push back expectations for RBA...

Elite_Forex

President Xi Jinping’s New Year address put paid to hopes of much larger stimulus. In his address, President Xi pointed to the consolidation and enhancement of the economic recovery and no signs of a boost from policy coming. Furthermore, China’s economic growth for 2023 came out at 5.2%, above the central government’s 5% forecast, which it boasted it was able to...

Elite_Forex

The sharp falls in Tokyo inflation for January remind investors of the ending of the BoJ’s YCC and/or NIRP in 2024 are not set in stone. Tokyo inflation is a very good leading indicator for the nationwide inflation data. Tokyo inflation excluding fresh food as well as headline inflation plunged below the BoJ’s 2% target to 1.6% YoY; well below the consensus...