Get started

#usdjpy#forex

USD/JPY: Breakout from Japan's PoliticsUSD/JPY is currently fluctuating within a range-bound channel, with strong support at 146.600 and significant resistance at 148.500. The 4-hour chart shows that the price is stabilizing around EMA 34 at 147.620, maintaining a strong upward momentum. Impact from Japan's Politics On September 9, 2025, news of Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba's resignation caused political instability in Japan, weakening the Japanese yen against the US dollar. Investors are concerned that the looser monetary policy from his successor could further weaken the yen, paving the way for USD/JPY to continue rising. Strong Growth Outlook With a solid support base and the USD benefiting from the yen's weakness, USD/JPY is on a strong upward trend, targeting 148.500, and potentially extending towards 150.000 if political and economic factors continue to drive this momentum.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
USD/JPY – When News and Technicals ConvergeThe forex market has been “heating up” this week with news of Japan’s Prime Minister resigning, shaking the stability of the yen and putting it under pressure. At the same time, while the USD is weighed down by expectations of a Fed rate cut in September, the overall balance still tilts in favor of the greenback. Political uncertainty in Japan has made investors cautious with the JPY, leaving room for USD/JPY to climb higher. Looking at the chart, USD/JPY has repeatedly tested the descending trendline and is gradually showing signs of a quiet breakout. Price is currently holding firm above the EMA34 and EMA89, signaling that buying momentum is returning after a period of consolidation. The 146.8 level serves as a key downside anchor, while the immediate target is 148.9 – a resistance zone that would mark a decisive breakout if cleared. What’s interesting here is how news and technicals are lining up. Once USD/JPY pushes through 148.9 with a convincing close, the bullish narrative will be reinforced, opening the door for further upside in the weeks ahead.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
2
USDJPY Primed for Push Higher! Ascending Channel & Bullish🔮 USDJPY Technical Forecast & Trading Strategy | Week of Sept 6th, 2025 Current Spot Price: 147.385 | CFD | Date: Sept 6, 2025 🟢 Overall Bias: BULLISH | The pair is trading within a clear bullish structure on higher timeframes. All pullbacks are currently being bought, indicating strong underlying demand. 📊 Multi-Timeframe Technical Breakdown 1. Chart Pattern & Theory Convergence: 🚩 Bullish Continuation Patterns: The price action from the August low exhibits characteristics of a Bull Flag or an Ascending Channel. A clean break above the 148.00 resistance would confirm this pattern and open a path significantly higher. 📐 Gann Theory & Square of 9: The current price is consolidating near a key Gann angle. A hold above 147.00 is crucial for the bulls to maintain control and propel price towards the next Gann objective near 148.80-149.20. 🌊 E lliott Wave Theory: The rally from the late August low is impulsive in nature, suggesting this is part of a larger Wave 3 or Wave C push higher. Any dip is likely a Wave 4 correction before a final Wave 5 thrust. ☁️ Ichimoku Kinko Hyo: A strongly bullish configuration. The price is well above the Kumo (Cloud), the Tenkan-sen (9) is above the Kijun-sen (26), and the Cloud itself is bullish. This is a classic trend-following signal. 2. Key Indicator Signals: 📶 RSI (14): On the 4H chart, the RSI is holding firmly in bullish territory (above 50) and has not reached overbought (>70) levels, suggesting there is more room for the trend to run. 🟢 📏 Bollinger Bands (20,2): Price is riding the upper band, a sign of strong momentum. Any pullback would likely find support at the middle band (20 SMA ~146.80), which is rising. ⚖️ VWAP & Anchored VWAP: The price is trading well above the daily and weekly VWAP, confirming that the trend is strong and the average participant is long and in profit. 📈 Moving Averages: The key EMA's (50, 100, 200) are all bullishly aligned and acting as dynamic support. The 50 EMA on the 4H chart (~146.90) is a key level for bulls to defend. 3. Critical Support & Resistance: 🎯 Immediate Resistance: 148.00 (Psychological, Recent High) 🎯 Key Resistance: 149.20 - 149.50 (Gann Target, Previous Swing High) 🛡️ Immediate Support: 147.00 - 146.90 (Previous Resistance, 50 EMA) 🛡️ Strong Support: 146.20 - 146.00 (Kijun-sen, Key Fibonacci Level) 🛡️ Major Support: 145.00 (Top of Ichimoku Cloud) ⚡ Trading Strategies & Setups A. Intraday Trading (5M - 1H Charts): Strategy: Look for long opportunities on dips towards support. Use bullish candlestick patterns (Hammer, Bullish Engulfing) near the 147.00 or 146.90 levels for high-probability entries. Long Entry (Ideal): ~147.10 - 146.95 | Stop Loss: 146.60 | Take Profit 1: 147.80 | Take Profit 2: 148.50 Breakout Long: On a decisive break and hold above 148.10, with a target of 148.80. B. Swing Trading (4H - D Charts): Strategy: The bullish structure and Ichimoku alignment favor continued upside. Any dip into support is a potential buying opportunity for a larger move. Swing Long Entry: On a pullback to 146.90-146.70 (Buy the Dip) OR a daily close above 148.20 (Breakout Buy). Stop Loss: Below 146.20 | Target 1: 149.20 | Target 2: 150.00+ Bearish Invalidation: A decisive break and close below 145.80 (into the cloud) would invalidate the immediate bullish bias and signal a deeper correction. 🌍 Market Context & Risk Factors Interest Rate Divergence: This is the core driver. The pair is highly sensitive to the US Dollar (USD) strength and Bank of Japan (BoJ) policy. Hawkish Fed rhetoric vs. dovish BoJ stance is profoundly bullish for USDJPY. 👁️ Watch for any unexpected BoJ intervention hints. Risk Sentiment: Traditionally a "risk-off" proxy, but currently driven more by yield differentials. Monitor global equity markets and geopolitical events for sudden flight-to-safety flows into the JPY. ✅ Key Takeaways: The Trend is Your Friend! 🐂 All higher-timeframe signals point to a robust bullish trend. Ichimoku is Bullish. The price above a bullish cloud is a strong trend-confirmation signal. Buy the Dips. The strategy favors entering on short-term weakness toward support rather than chasing the breakout. Mind the BoJ. The largest risk is verbal or physical intervention from the Bank of Japan, which can cause violent, sharp reversals. For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade) I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors. Sincerely, Shunya.Trade Website: shunya dot trade ⚠️Disclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor.
by sunya
USDJPY – Buyers in Control Within Sideways RangeOn the 4H chart, USDJPY continues to trade within a sideways range, with strong support around 147.9 and immediate resistance near 149.4. These are the two key levels that will determine the next move for the pair. Currently, after a short pullback, price has rebounded from the EMA 34 and EMA 89, indicating that the bullish structure remains intact. Consecutive lower-wick candles around the support zone further reinforce its role as a solid base. Meanwhile, the short-term upward trendline is still being respected, keeping buyers in control. That said, the bullish momentum is not particularly strong — it leans more toward a “gradual climb” within the sideways range. This means each push toward 149.4 is likely to face profit-taking pressure, but as long as price holds above 147.9, the recovery still has room to continue.
by Rocky_trade_
4
USD/JPY in focus as ADP disappointsThe USD/JPY has tested the 200-day average twice in as many days and has failed to break above it on both occasions. With resistance around the 148.50-149.00 area holding, could we see a break lower in the coming days? Well, a lot now depends on data. The ADP private payrolls report has missed the mark at just 54K vs. 73K expected. Shortly, we will get more updates on the jobs market with the release of weekly unemployment claims and the employment component of the ISM Services PMI. Friday’s non-farm payrolls report will be quite important in as far as expectations for the Fed’s future policy is concerned. What the UJ bears would want to see now is some downside follow-through below Wednesday's inverted hammer candle. So far, we haven't had any downside but if rates turned lower again then that could mark the start of a major shift. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Short
by FOREXcom
USD/JPY: Downtrend Continues with Weak SupportCurrent Situation: USD/JPY is trading around 147.60, down from its recent high of 148.700. The pair has broken through the key support level at 147.800, opening the possibility for further downside. Downward Target: If USD/JPY maintains below 147.800, the downtrend could continue, with the next support levels at 146.800 and 146.300. Trading Strategy: Prioritize selling on any bounce towards 147.500–147.800. Set the target at 146.800 and 146.300, with a stop loss above 148.00 for risk management. Supporting News: Fed Chair Jerome Powell, speaking at Jackson Hole, signaled that the Fed may ease tightening sooner if the labor market weakens. This has led to a decline in U.S. bond yields and a weaker USD, providing favorable conditions for JPY to strengthen.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
USD/JPY: Increasing Downside PressureUSD/JPY is currently trading around the 147 level after a technical rebound, but the overall trend still leans to the downside. Recent news shows that the Fed has adopted a dovish stance, weakening the USD, while strong Japanese economic data has reinforced expectations that the BoJ may tighten policy further, lending greater support to the yen. Major institutions such as Nomura have even forecast that USD/JPY could fall toward the 142 area in the coming months. From a technical perspective, the 148.2 resistance zone is acting as a strong barrier, where price is unlikely to break through given the current news backdrop does not favor USD strength. On the contrary, failure at this level could trigger a reversal, with USD/JPY likely to retest support at 146.2 and potentially extend lower toward the 145 region – a key area that could determine a deeper decline. Thus, despite short-term fluctuations caused by profit-taking and temporary balance, the medium-term outlook continues to favor a bearish trend, in line with both fundamental drivers and the current technical structure.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
USD/JPY: Weak USD Drives the Pair LowerUSD/JPY is currently trading within a descending channel, with near support at 146.400 and resistance at 148.500. After a strong pullback from 148.500, the price is trying to hold around 146.400. News: The weakness in US economic indicators (GDP and CPI weaker than expected), along with remarks from Fed officials supporting a more cautious monetary policy, have caused the USD to weaken, providing space for pairs like USD/JPY to adjust lower. Additionally, slower growth in the US economy and concerns over the Fed's rate hike potential have made the USD less attractive, especially compared to the Japanese yen, where monetary policy remains cautious. Strategy: If the price breaks below 146.400, the downtrend could continue, targeting 146.000.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
1
USDJPY Market Outlook | Fed Signals & Yields in FocusUSDJPY – Technical Outlook USDJPY is trading around 148.67, just above the pivot zone (148.50 – 148.49), after breaking out of the recent consolidation range. The pair is showing bullish momentum, with near-term upside potential. 🔎 Bullish Scenario As long as price holds above the pivot (148.50), the bias stays bullish. Next upside targets sit at 149.00 – 149.49, followed by the key resistance at 149.92. A breakout above 149.92 would open the way toward the major resistance at 151.01. 🔎 Bearish Scenario If price falls back below the pivot line (148.50), USDJPY could retest support at 147.07. A break below 147.07 would expose deeper support zones at 146.33 – 145.08, with stronger downside momentum possible if sellers regain control. 📍 Key Levels Pivot: 148.50 Resistance: 149.00 – 149.49 – 149.92 Support: 148.50 – 147.07 – 146.33
Long
by SroshMayi
USDJPY – Bullish Trend Continues StronglyThe USDJPY pair is currently trading within an upward channel, with solid support at 146.500 JPY, and there is potential for further gains towards the next resistance level at 148.400 JPY. The chart shows that the price continues to form higher lows, reinforcing the bullish trend. The strength of the US dollar, supported by the Fed's tightening policies, further drives this trend. Impact from News: Strong US labor market data and decisive monetary policy from the Fed continue to support the USD. If USDJPY breaks through the resistance at 148.400, the bullish trend may continue toward the 150.000 JPY level. However, if the support at 146.500 is broken, a pullback to 145.000 could occur. In summary, the bullish trend remains strong, with the next target being the resistance at 148.400 JPY.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
4
USDJPY Strong buy opportunity near the 1D MA50.Last time we looked into the USDJPY pair (June 13, see chart below) we gave a very timely buy signal, looking for a break-out, that easily hit our 148.675 Target: Now we are looking for yet another buy opportunity as the price, having established a Channel Up, is being supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). As long as this Higher Low is preserved, we expect the new Bullish Leg to start. We expect at least another +4.14% run, setting a 152.500 medium-term Target. Notice also how the 1D RSI is well supported on a Higher Lows trend-line. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
USD/JPY bounced off key support ahead of ISM surveyAfter Friday's weak jobs report and the downward revisions to prior readings, the mood shifted towards the dollar, with markets leaning towards the Fed delivering more than a couple of rate cuts this year. But we have seen a bit of a recovery in the USD since, suggesting investors are either expecting employment to pick up again or inflation to remain sticky amid higher tariffs. Today’s attention turns to the ISM services report for July, where a modest uptick is expected. Should that materialise, it could give the dollar some further support following Friday’s wobble. We’ll also be hearing from Fed officials Susan Collins and Lisa Cook on Wednesday – and their comments may well shape expectations heading into the autumn. Ahead of these events, the USD/JPY has bounced off the key support range we highlighted yesterday, between 146.00-147.00 area. A close below this zone would be a bearish outcome, but while it continues to hold we would favour looking for bullish trades than bearish ones. 148.60 then 150.00 are the next key levels to watch on the upside. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
by FOREXcom
USDJPY My Opinion! BUY! My dear friends, My technical analysis for USDJPY is below: The market is trading on 147.23 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 148.77 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1