Bitcoin’s price is at one of its most critical moments yet!👋🏻 Hey everyone! Hope you’re doing great! Welcome to SatoshiFrame channel.
✨ Today we’re diving into the 4-Hour Bitcoin analysis. Stay tuned and follow along!
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe of Bitcoin, we can observe that after failing to break above its key resistance zone, BTC moved toward the multi-timeframe lows. Losing those lows created a selling pressure, pushing the price to retest its fundamental support levels. Currently, I’ve identified two critical zones in my analysis — a breakout from either one could provide a solid trading opportunity.
⌛ Bitcoin’s volume shows a strong bias toward sell positions, to the point where buyers are barely preventing the higher timeframes from entering oversold conditions. However, if this selling pressure and volume persist, Bitcoin could break the lower boundary of its recent daily range and continue downward. Volume data gives us the best insight into market behavior, allowing us to build effective scenarios.
✍️ There are two potential scenarios for Bitcoin that I’ll briefly summarize below — both can be used as setups for positioning.
🟢 Long Scenario: If Bitcoin breaks above the resistance zone at $108,072, completes a pullback, and shows an increase in buying volume with momentum entering the market, we can open a long position. This setup looks somewhat risky, so it’s better to enter with a smaller position size. The best trigger for a long entry is located around $111,180.
🔴 Short Scenario: If Bitcoin breaks below the key support level at $105,732, it could offer a short position setup — provided that selling pressure and bearish momentum continue. After the breakdown, we’ll need to wait for a pullback before entering the trade.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
1-BTCUSD
BTCUSDT 4-Hour Chart Analysis. BTCUSDT 4-Hour Chart Analysis.
Current Pattern: BTC is in a falling wedge, with price making lower highs and lower lows, yet approaching the wedge’s support alongside the green demand zone ($102,000–$104,000).
Downside risk remains until the green zone ($104,000 area) is tested; strong support is expected there.
Resistance is at the upper falling trendline; a confirmed breakout above this would be bullish, with an upside target near $114,000–$123,000.
The chart projection suggests some more downside or sideways action, then a strong reversal if the green support holds.
If BTC loses the green zone, expect further weakness, but if price rebounds, a significant rally could follow.
DYOR | NFA
BTC/USDT — 1H Chart AnalysisTechnical Bias: Bullish Reversal Setup
Analysis Overview:
BTC is showing strong signs of a potential bullish reversal after retesting the key $99,000 support zone, which has historically acted as a high-volume demand area. The current structure suggests absorption of selling pressure with narrowing spreads and stable volume — a classic VSA accumulation signal.
Key Technical Insights:
Support Zone ($99,000 – $100,000): Price rebounded from this zone with visible buying tails and decreasing spread on down bars, indicating professional demand stepping in.
Resistance Zone ($114,000 – $115,000): Previous double-top area highlighted in green; this will be the next major resistance where profit-taking may occur.
Volume Behavior: Volume dropped during the last downward push, suggesting a lack of selling momentum — a bullish sign within VSA logic.
RSI Recovery: RSI bouncing from the oversold region confirms early momentum shift to the upside.
Trade Setup:
Buy Entry: Above $106,000 (confirmation of reversal structure)
Target Zone: $114,500 – $115,000
Stop Loss: Below $105,000 support
Risk–Reward Ratio: ~1:5, favoring long bias
Conclusion:
BTC holds a higher probability of upside continuation, supported by strong demand near support and weakening supply pressure. A sustained close above $106,000 will likely trigger a momentum rally toward the $115K resistance area.
Scalp Long – BTC💎 Scalp Long – BTC
RSI is deeply oversold, especially on the 1H timeframe, signaling exhaustion of selling pressure.
Buying volume has reappeared, suggesting a potential retest of the 110,000 zone previously broken.
🎯 Plan:
→ Enter after confirmation of bullish reaction from support.
→ TP: 110,486 | SL: 106677 | RR: 1 : 3.8
Momentum favors a short-term rebound.
Keep entries precise, trail SL as price rises.
Patience and clarity — only execute once the setup confirms.
Volatility Period: Up to November 10th
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
This volatility period is expected to last from November 3rd to 9th.
First, we need to check the movement between November 3rd and 5th.
While the key question is whether the price can rise after finding support at the important support and resistance level of 104463.99-108353.0, it's crucial to check for support around 106431.68 within that range.
This is because the 106431.68 point is the DOM(-60) level.
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The DOM indicator is a comprehensive evaluation of the DMI, OBV, and MOMENTUM indicators.
DOM(-60) indicates that all three indicators have reached their lows.
Therefore, support is necessary to confirm the possibility of a bullish reversal.
If the price rises after the DOM(-60) indicator first appears and then touches the DOM(-60) indicator again, it is highly likely that the price will fall without finding support.
If the price rises after finding support at the DOM(-60) indicator, it should follow a period of sideways movement to confirm support.
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Therefore, what we can do now is take the time to determine which direction the price deviates from the 106431.68-108353.0 range and where it encounters support and resistance.
You need your own basic trading strategy to execute your trades.
No one else can do this for you.
This is because you need to tailor your trading strategy to your investment style to avoid regrets.
My basic trading strategy is to buy in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range and sell in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range.
However, if the price rises in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range, a step-up trend is likely, while if the price falls in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range, a step-down trend is likely.
Therefore, a split trading strategy is required.
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The formation of the DOM(-60) indicator indicates a buying opportunity. However, as previously mentioned, this is the second time the indicator has fallen below the DOM(-60) level since its formation, increasing the likelihood of further declines.
If the price falls below 104463.99 and continues to decline, it is expected to meet the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart and re-establish the trend.
At this point, the key area to consider is support, particularly around the left Fibonacci level of 2.618 (87814.27) to the left Fibonacci level of 3.14 (93570.28).
If the price declines and a new HA-Low indicator is formed, support around that level is crucial.
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You can profit by trading whether the price is in an uptrend or a downtrend.
However, the trading period may vary depending on the trend.
Therefore, you should check the flow of funds and determine whether trading is possible based on the support and resistance levels currently established.
To continue the uptrend by breaking above a key point or range,
1. The StochRSI indicator must be trending upward. If possible, it should not have entered an overbought zone.
2. The TC (Trend Check) indicator must be trending upward. If possible, it should remain above the zero level.
3. The On-By-Sign-Operative (OBV) indicator must be trending upward. If possible, it should remain above the High Line.
When all three indicators above are met, an uptrend is highly likely.
Currently, the On-By-Sign-Operative (OBV) indicator is located near the Low Line, following the EMA 3 > EMA 2 > EMA 1 > OBV.
Therefore, we can see that selling pressure is dominant.
However, since it's located near the HA-Low indicator, you should pay close attention to the situation.
If it finds support in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range according to the basic trading strategy, it's a good time to buy.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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- Here's an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I'll explain more in detail when the bear market begins.
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Bitcoin BTC Bears Regain Control: Watching for a Short Setup 📊 Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSD)
Currently, Bitcoin is showing clear bearish intent on the higher timeframes 🧭. After an extended period of range-bound price action, we’ve now seen a decisive displacement to the downside 💥 — a strong signal that sellers are taking control.
From here, I’ll be watching for a retracement back into equilibrium ⚖️ — the 50% level of the most recent swing — and will then look for signs of rotation and a break of structure 🧩 on the 30-minute chart to confirm a potential short setup 📉.
Patience is key here 🕰️ — I want to see price react efficiently to that retracement before considering entries.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own analysis before taking any trade.
No Rise in Sight — the Drop’s Still RightAs I mentioned before, I expect Bitcoin to decline toward 104K, and now the signs of this move are forming.
The invalidation zone is marked on the chart (and may be shifted closer to 110,445).
After reaching 104K, a sharp but limited rebound is possible, but I don’t expect a trend reversal at this stage.
⚠️ This is not financial advice or a trade signal. Please manage your risks and follow your own money management system.
BTCUSD Buyers Take ControlBitcoin is entering a renewed bullish phase as market structure strengthens and buyer activity intensifies. After a prolonged consolidation period, price behavior reflects accumulation dynamics — a typical precursor to sustained upward expansion. The transition from neutral to bullish momentum suggests a shift in sentiment across both institutional and retail participants.
Liquidity flow analysis shows consistent buy-side dominance, with capital steadily rotating back into Bitcoin. Market depth has improved, and volume data confirms that large participants are increasing exposure. Each corrective move has been met with aggressive absorption, signaling strong conviction from buyers. This pattern typically precedes directional expansion as selling pressure weakens and liquidity concentrates near higher value zones.
Volatility has normalized, maintaining a balanced rhythm favorable for trend continuation. The steady climb in momentum indicators implies that Bitcoin is building the energy required for a breakout phase. With trading activity expanding in alignment with positive sentiment, the structure supports the idea of a controlled upward advance rather than an impulsive spike.
Investor behavior mirrors early-stage bull market psychology — patient accumulation, reduced panic selling, and growing optimism. This environment tends to generate sustained price appreciation as confidence fuels consistent capital inflow.
Overall, Bitcoin’s market conditions favor a continuation of the current upward trajectory. Stability, liquidity concentration, and persistent buyer strength suggest a medium-term bullish cycle is underway.
Bitcoin Daily Analysis – November 03, 2025Welcome back to Bitcoin Daily Analysis 💹
😶🌫️ Bitcoin is currently facing a lot of uncertainty — market conditions have created confusion among both short-term and long-term holders.
In my opinion, we’re in a phase where it’s best to wait and observe how price reacts to this zone 👀.
Personally, I still believe the overall trend remains bullish 🚀 — as long as we don’t see a confirmed breakdown below the 98,000 zone on the daily timeframe, the bullish structure stays intact 📈
Your profit and capital safety depend on your patience and consistency — so stay behind the charts and be ready to catch the next opportunity 🎯
And as always — don’t forget risk and capital management 💼📉
Disclaimer:
This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. © DIBAPRISM
Larry D.Kohn
BTC/USDT Analysis – Daily TimeframeBTC/USDT Analysis – Daily Timeframe (Updated)
Current Price: 106,500 USDT
Trend: Bearish continuation
Technical Overview
BTC has continued to decline after rejecting from the supply zone (125,000 – 127,000 USDT) marked as PMH / Weak High.
The structure shows a clear Break of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHoCH) to the downside — confirming sellers remain in control.
Price is trading below both the 89 EMA (blue) and 200 EMA (yellow), which reinforces the bearish bias.
Momentum indicators (Stochastic RSI) are hovering near the oversold zone, suggesting that while a short-term rebound is possible, the overall trend remains weak.
Key Levels
Resistance: 110,900 → 112,600 USDT (PDH / PWH zone)
Immediate Support: 106,200 USDT (PWL)
Major Support: 102,500 – 100,000 USDT (Equilibrium / PML zone)
Trade Setup
Bias: Sell on retracement
Entry Zone: 109,500 – 111,000 USDT (near previous CHoCH / EMA confluence)
Stop Loss: Above 112,800 USDT
Take Profit Targets:
TP1 → 106,200 USDT
TP2 → 103,000 USDT
TP3 → 100,000 USDT
Summary
BTC/USDT remains bearish with momentum favoring sellers. The current price near 106,500 USDT is close to short-term support, so minor bounces may occur — but unless the market reclaims 112,600 USDT, the next leg down toward 100,000 USDT remains likely
BITCOIN SIGNAL: BIGGEST MOVE YET TO COME!!!? (scary)Yello Paradisers, enjoy the video!
And Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
$BTC capitulation low?BTC looks like it's bottomed here. Everyone is looking for $98-100k, but I don't think we get it yet.
I think it's likely that we bounce towards the upper resistances from here, potentially even seeing a new high up at $126k, or revisiting the $122k region.
Let's see how it plays out from here.
USDT.D Eyeing Resistance, Altcoin Holders Stay Alert!USDT.D is trading right at the edge of a breakout near the resistance zone. If it manages to break above, we could see another sharp drop in altcoins in the coming days.
However, a rejection here might give altcoins some much-needed breathing room.
DYOR, NFA
#PEACE
Bitcoin Miners Trade Place With Long-Term Holders To Harm BTC Bitcoin’s price currently stands at $107,968, hovering above the key $108,000 support level. Historically, BTC has slipped through this zone during periods of miner or institutional profit-taking. Maintaining this support is crucial for preventing a deeper retracement.
If miner selling intensifies, Bitcoin could drop toward $105,585, marking a two-week low. The move would likely trigger short-term liquidation pressure and add to investor uncertainty. A further decline could also weaken technical support ahead of $103,000.
However, if miners ease off and sentiment stabilizes, Bitcoin could rebound toward $110,000. A confirmed breakout above this level may pave the way for a rise to $112,500, restoring short-term bullish confidence in the market.
Each time, they said, "Maybe it's over."It's not over this time either, but maybe CRYPTOCAP:BTC is starting again...
Each time, they said, "Maybe it's over."
But each time, Bitcoin found strength in the same demand zone, and the momentum supported this
This time, the place where everyone said "it's over" could be the beginning of a new peak.
03/11/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $116,415.75
Last weeks low: $106,320.38
Midpoint: $111,368.06
This week will be the third week in a row where ~$116,000 is acting as weekly high and a major resistance level. Last weeks price action was clear, the bulls are incapable of flipping that level and making it new support. As a result the bulls retreated back towards strong support at weekly low ~106,000 completing the SFP. Also this pattern is a mirror image of the previous weekly outlooks price action. No clear trend bias at all here but what is obvious is bull market momentum is dying out.
Bitcoin has always been hyper sensitive to liquidity, as always month end window dressing by the banks have a negative effect on liquidity, it usually takes a few days to get over this and resume normal levels again. The Government shutdown in the US does not help this as spending from the Treasury General Account has stopped with approximately $150Bn coming out of the market in October alone as a result.
Should Bitcoin push higher it can only do so once Government operations resume IMO. FOMC resulted in a 25bps cut and QT (Quantitative tightening) is ending on 1st December, all bullish signs for the future but currently and for this week I think chop/ gradual drawdown continues.
Good luck this week everybody!
BTC/USD (Bitcoin vs USD) chart Pattern..BTC/USD (Bitcoin vs USD) chart 👇
🧭 Timeframe:
I'm using the 1-Day (D1) chart — so this is a medium-term setup, not intraday.
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📊 Technical Overview:
Price is currently around $107,400.
A major ascending trendline (support) has been broken downward — bearish signal.
Ichimoku Cloud shows resistance above price, confirming bearish pressure.
I have blue arrows and “Target Point” levels marked below current price — indicating a downside projection.
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🎯 Target Zones (as shown in my chart):
1. First Target Point: around $100,000 – $101,000
→ This is my initial bearish target after the trendline break.
2. Second Target Point: around $94,000 – $95,000
→ This is my extended target zone if the bearish trend continues.
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⚠ Key Levels:
Type Level (USD) Comment
Resistance 114,000 – 115,000 Strong rejection area inside cloud
Break Zone / Entry Below 107,000 Confirms bearish continuation
Target 1 100,000 – 101,000 First take-profit zone
Target 2 94,000 – 95,000 Final target zone
Stop-Loss 115,000 – 116,000 Above Ichimoku cloud
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📉 Summary:
Trend: Bearish
Entry Idea: Sell below $107,000 daily close
TP1: $100,000
TP2: $94,000
SL: $115,000
BITCOIN 's worst Uptober in 11 years. Will selling continue?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) just closed October on a -3.89% loss, marking only the second red October since 2018 (-3.83%) and the worst since 2014 (-12.95%). This comes against the popularized 'Uptober' moniker, which relates to BTC's historically strong gains for this month.
So what's next? Things may get even worse if BTC repeats the Jan - Feb 2025 fractal and breaks below its current Higher Lows trend-line. As you can see, since the August 14 2025 High, the market has been on a similar pattern as December 2024 - February 2025.
Right now we are on the rejection made on the Lower Highs 2 trend-line (blue circle) on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. With the first Lower Highs 2 rejection being similar among the two fractals (around -17%), we can expect an equally symmetrical sell-off if the Higher Lows break.
On February 24 2025, that break-out completed a -32% fall from its All Time High (ATH) just below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. If the Higher Lows break-out does happen on the current sequence as well, we may see another -32% decline, which this time is exactly on the 2.0 Fib ext. This time we have the 1W MA100 (red trend-line) to be mindful of, where we can expect contact to be made around $87000.
Do you think BTC can dip this low? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
#BTC/USDT – When the Bullish Wave Returns#BTC
The price is moving within an ascending channel on the 1-hour timeframe and is adhering to it well. It is poised to break out strongly and retest the channel.
We have a downtrend line on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, which supports the upward move.
There is a key support zone in green at 106775, representing a strong support point.
We have a trend of consolidation above the 100-period moving average.
Entry price: 107347
First target: 107742
Second target: 108525
Third target: 109246
Don't forget a simple money management rule:
Place your stop-loss order below the support zone in green.
Once the first target is reached, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For any questions, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
Bitcoin: from Pet Rock to Loan CollateralCME: Micro Bitcoin Futures ( CME:MBT1! ) and Micro Ether Futures ( CME:MET1! )
Last week, JPMorgan Chase Chairman and CEO Jamie Dimon acknowledged that crypto, blockchain, and stablecoins are "real”, and “we’ll all use them". This marks a notable shift in tone from the longtime Bitcoin critic.
I can’t help but recall the most notable quotes over the years:
• “Cryptos are decentralized Ponzi scheme”.
• Bitcoin is “fraud” and "worse than tulip bulbs".
• “I’d fire in a second any employee trading Bitcoin”.
• "Bitcoin itself is a hyped-up fraud, it's a pet rock".
Why the big change of heart? It has a lot to do with the sweeping changes in the regulatory landscape. The biggest US bank has to adapt and meet new customer demands.
• On January 10, 2024, the SEC approved Bitcoin ETFs for the first time.
• On May 24, 2024, Ethereum ETFs were also approved by the SEC.
• On November 4, 2024, Donald Trump won the US presidential election.
• On January 21, 2025, the SEC, under a new Chairman, created a Crypto Task Force.
• In May 2025, JPMorgan announced that it would accept shares of BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) as loan collateral from its clients.
• On July 18, 2025, US Congress passed the “GENIUS Act”, setting up new regulatory framework for the issuance and use of stablecoins.
• On August 7, 2025, an Executive Order calls for the Department of Labor to re-examine its guidance on alternative assets like cryptocurrencies in 401(k) plans.
• Last week, JPMorgan announced that it would accept Bitcoin and Ethereum as collateral for institutional loans by the end of 2025.
The latest two events could have profound impact. Two butterflies have flapped their wings in Washington, D.C. and at Wall Street. These actions, in my opinion, will unleash the biggest tornado to sweep up the entire crypto world. So far, the market has not put much thought around it. Bitcoin lost 7% since August.
In my trade idea published on August 12th, I discussed how the crypto market would benefit from the new pool of capital infusion from the $8.7 trillion 401(k) plans.
What is Securities-based Lending?
Securities-based lending, also known as portfolio lending, enables borrowing against the value of their marketable securities without having to liquidate them. It is primarily offered to high-net-worth individuals by large financial institutions. How it works:
1. Collateral Assessment: Borrowers pledge their investment portfolios as collateral for the loan. The lender evaluates the portfolio to determine eligible securities and establishes a loan-to-value (LTV) ratio.
2. Loan Amount: The amount available for borrowing is based on LTV. For example, lenders may allow borrowing up to 70% of the value of stocks and more than 90% of certain government securities.
3. Access to Funds: Once the loan is approved, borrowers can access the funds through checks or wire transfers. The loan can be used for almost any purpose.
According to its annual report, JPMorgan has total loans outstanding of $586 billion at the end of 2024. Of which, Banking & Wealth Management accounted for $33B (5.7%).
JPMorgan accepts the following as collateral: Stocks (liquid Large-cap stocks), Bonds (U.S. Treasury securities), Mutual Funds (large mutual funds and ETFs), and Other Securities (Hedge funds, private equity positions, and certain alternative investments).
• In May, JPMorgan started accepting shares of BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) as loan collateral. IBIT has net asset value of $87.6B as of October 31st.
• By the end of the year, JPMorgan will accept bitcoin (market cap $2.9 trillion) and Ethereum (market cap $463 billion) as collateral for its securities-based lending.
How big is the securities-based lending market overall?
At a 2024 report, the Federal Reserve estimates the total size of securities-based lending from the Top 100 US banks at $138B by Q1 2024.
Private research (Growth Market Reports) estimates that the global securities-backed lending market size reached $540.2B in 2024. The market is currently expanding at a CAGR of 8.7%, with expectations to attain a value of $1,134.9B by 2033.
This growth is fueled by heightened demand for liquidity solutions, the proliferation of wealth management services, and the rising adoption of flexible credit facilities.
In my opinion, the JPMorgan actions will kick off a trend. As financial assets increasingly become tokenized, the demand for Bitcoin and Ethereum will grow exponentially. Securities-based lending is one of the many uses in mainstream financing.
Unlike the Fed, we can’t print new Bitcoin and Ethereum at will. New demands, from 401k and loan collateral alike, could reach hundreds of billions. This will be the catalyst to lift up the digital gold and silver to the next level.
Riding the ride with Micro Bitcoin and ETF Futures
Traders who share the bullish view on Bitcoins and Ethereum could explore CME Micro Bitcoin Futures ( PSE:MBT ) and Micro ETH Futures ( NYSE:MET ).
The MBT contract has a notional value of 0.10 bitcoin, as defined by the CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate (BRR). On October 31st, the December contract (MBTZ5) is settled at $110,910. Each contract has a notional value of $11,091. To buy or sell one contract, CME Group requires an initial margin of $2,662. By design, this futures contract has a built-in leverage of 4.2-to-1. When bitcoin goes up, futures positions could enhance the return by four times compared to spot bitcoin positions.
MET has a notional value of 0.10 ETH. On October 31st, the December contract (METZ5) is settled at $3,932.5, putting the contract value at $393.25. The initial margin is $126, implying a built-in leverage of 3.1-to-1. When Ethereum goes up, futures positions could enhance the return by three times compared to spot ETH positions.
What happens if Bitcoin or Ethereum drops? For price protection, traders could enter a buy order with a stoploss. For example:
• A long MBTZ5 order at 110,910 with a stoploss of 95,000 limits the maximum loss to $1,591 (= (110910-95000) x 0.1).
• A long METZ5 order at 3,935.5 with a stoploss of 3,500 limits the maximum loss to $43.25 (= (3932.5-3500) x 0.1).
In addition to margin (leverage) and stoploss (loss protection), both Micro Bitcoin and Micro ETH have a daily price limit at 10%. This feature is particularly helpful when the market is panicky. Price Limit or Circuit slows down the irrational price movements until cooler heads prevail.
Happy Trading.
Disclaimers
*Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com






















