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Bitcoin’s Next Move Starts Here Key Levels MappedBTC is currently in a technically critical phase. Price is trading below a major dynamic trendline resistance after a confirmed bearish break, keeping the broader structure corrective rather than impulsive. Momentum remains capped unless bulls reclaim key dynamic levels.
The plan from here is straightforward and scenario-based:
A. If price retraces into the Immediate Dynamic Trendline (IDT) and gets rejected again, that rejection becomes a high-probability short trigger. In that case, downside continuation toward the Demand Pool Zone (DPZ) is expected to complete leg 5 of the corrective wave. This zone is where I would anticipate strong accumulation and a relief rally, targeting a move back into the Supply Pool Zone (SPZ).
B. Alternatively, if BTC breaks and holds above the IDT, momentum should accelerate to the upside, with the Supply Pool Zone remaining the primary upside target, exactly as mapped on the chart.
What happens at the Supply Pool is decisive. If bulls fail to hold price and we see a strong rejection, that would confirm distribution and could trigger a complete bearish expansion, opening the door to much deeper targets, potentially toward the $50k region.
Market is at a decision point.
Are you bullish or bearish from here?
Let’s discuss your view
Market Panic: Gold or Crypto?When the market enters a state of panic, the question is no longer “How much profit can I make?” but rather “Which asset helps me survive and protect my capital?”
In moments like these, gold and crypto are often placed side by side. Both are seen as safe havens—but in very different ways, and that difference is the key to making the right decision.
1) Gold – Where Capital Flows When Confidence Breaks
Gold has existed for thousands of years with one core purpose: preserving value.
When inflation rises, geopolitical tensions escalate, or the financial system shows signs of stress, large capital tends to move into gold first.
Why gold performs well during crises:
High global liquidity, accepted across all markets
Relatively “orderly” volatility, suitable for defensive positioning
Often benefits when real interest rates fall and the USD weakens
In other words, gold won’t make you rich overnight, but it helps you avoid being washed away when the storm hits.
2) Crypto – An Asset Driven by Expectations and Emotion
Crypto represents a new generation of assets, where value is heavily influenced by future expectations, technology narratives, and speculative capital.
In normal or euphoric market conditions, crypto can rise very quickly.
But when panic sets in, the story changes.
Here’s the reality we need to face:
Crypto reacts extremely sensitively to “risk-off” sentiment
High leverage + thin liquidity during stress periods can trigger chain liquidations
In major shocks, crypto is often sold alongside growth stocks, rather than acting as a true safe haven
Therefore, crypto is not a defensive asset in the traditional sense—it is an asset of belief and market cycles.
3) When Should You Choose Gold? When Should You Hold Crypto?
The answer is not “which is better,” but what the market context is.
True panic (systemic risk, war, financial crisis):
➡ Gold is usually the preferred choice.
Capital seeks certainty, not stories.
Short-term crisis followed by monetary easing:
➡ Gold often leads the first wave,
➡ Crypto tends to recover more aggressively after a psychological bottom forms.
Stable markets with abundant liquidity:
➡ Crypto performs at its best.
4) My Perspective: Don’t Choose with Emotion
From my experience, the biggest mistake traders make during panic is choosing assets based on personal belief instead of capital flow and market behavior.
A professional trader asks:
Where is large capital taking refuge?
Is current volatility suitable for my trading style?
Is my goal capital preservation or outsized returns?
If your priority is safety and stability, gold is usually the more reasonable choice.
If you accept high risk in pursuit of high reward, crypto should only be approached after clear confirmation, not during extreme panic.
GBPUSD - Relief Rally Into Resistance? Sellers Watching Closely📉GBPUSD remains overall bearish on the higher timeframe. Price is still trading within a descending structure, and the broader trend continues to favor sellers rather than buyers.
The recent upside move is best viewed as a corrective bounce, not a trend reversal. Price is now approaching a key confluence zone, where the former structure, horizontal resistance, and the descending trendline align.
This is the type of location where trend-following shorts become interesting. I’m not interested in selling blindly, but rather in waiting for lower-timeframe bearish confirmation once price reacts at this resistance zone.
⚔️As long as price remains below the descending trendline and fails to reclaim the range above, the bearish bias stays intact. A clean break and hold above this resistance would be the only thing that forces a reassessment.
For now, this looks like sellers getting another chance at a better price.
Will this resistance cap the move once again, or do bulls finally break the structure? 🤔
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
$USDT Dominance Is it really different this time?CRYPTOCAP:USDT has broken a major resistance across multiple timeframes, showing clear strength.
Technically, this is not a positive sign for CRYPTOCAP:BTC and other altcoins.
Tether has been in an uptrend for the last 75 days. A reversal could be around the corner in Q1 2025, but for now, the structure does not favour the bulls.
This is not FUD; it's simply clear observations based on the chart.
There has been no major altcoin season this year. Every KOL, including myself, has been wrong in calling an altseason so far.
Is it really different this time?
Only time will tell.
Do share your views in the comments and hit the like button if you like it.
Thank you
#PEACE
XAUUSD Short: Supply Zone Holds - Gold Slips Into CorrectionHello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of XAUUSD (Gold) based on the current chart structure. Gold is still trading within a broader ascending trend, supported by a well-defined rising trend line from the pivot point. The market previously made an impulsive bullish move, but price has now reached a major Supply Zone around 4,350, where strong selling pressure emerged. This area has already produced a fake breakout, clearly signaling buyer exhaustion and the presence of aggressive sellers at higher levels. At the highs, price action shows hesitation and rejection inside the supply zone, indicating that bullish momentum is weakening rather than continuing. After the fake breakout, gold started to roll over, suggesting that the recent move was a liquidity grab rather than true continuation.
Currently, price is pulling back toward the 4,260 Demand Zone, which also aligns with the rising trend line and a previous breakout area. This zone represents the first key downside target and a critical decision area for the market. The move lower appears impulsive, supporting the idea of a corrective phase turning into a deeper pullback.
My scenario: as long as XAUUSD remains below the 4,350 Supply Zone, the short-term bias favors sellers. I expect continuation to the downside toward the 4,260 Demand Zone. A clean breakdown below this level would signal a loss of bullish structure and open the door for a deeper correction. However, a strong bullish reaction from demand could lead to consolidation or a temporary bounce. For now, the structure favors a short-term bearish correction, with 4,350 as key resistance and 4,260 as the main downside target. Manage your risk!
BTC – Weak Rebound Below EMAs, Bias Still Toward CorrectionHello everyone, Domic here.
Looking at BTC on the H4 timeframe right now, the overall feeling is not panic — but there is certainly nothing reassuring either. Price is trading around 85,700 USD, sitting firmly below both the EMA34 and EMA89, and that alone already says a lot about the current market condition.
Since mid-month, a lower high – lower low structure has become fairly clear. The rebound we are seeing at the moment is essentially just a technical pullback after the prior sharp sell-off, as price attempts to climb back up and retest resistance. However, BTC has still failed to reclaim the EMA34, which shows that buying pressure is not strong enough to regain short-term control. At this stage, EMA34 acts as an overhead pressure ceiling, while EMA89 remains the key boundary defining the H4 trend. As long as price stays below both of these moving averages, the market should still be viewed from a defensive perspective.
On the macro and news side, BTC is not being driven by any crypto-specific shock, but rather by broader macro conditions and the risk-on / risk-off environment. The Fed continues to signal higher rates for longer, making it difficult for risk assets to attract fresh inflows. US Treasury yields remain elevated, pushing short-term capital toward the USD and bonds instead of crypto. US equities are undergoing a mild correction, and BTC, at this stage, is still moving quite in sync with the broader risk asset complex. In addition, inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs have cooled significantly compared to the earlier surge, further weakening the price support.
From my perspective, as long as BTC remains below the EMA34, any upward move should still be treated as a rebound into resistance. And while price stays below the EMA89, the H4 trend remains in a corrective state.
Liquidity Sweep: All the Info You Ever Need to ConquerHi whats up guys, today lets try to do it in a bullet points instead of writing my stories.
• Liquidity is the reason price moves.
• Markets move toward areas where orders are stacked.
• Most orders sit above highs and below lows.
• That’s why price keeps attacking those areas again and again. 🧪 What a liquidity sweep really is
• A liquidity sweep is a move beyond a clear high or low.
• Its purpose is to trigger clustered stop losses.
• It is not personal and not about your stop.
• It is required so larger players can enter or exit positions. 🧪 Why most traders get caught
• Traders enter at obvious levels inside ranges.
• They usually use tight stop loss
• These areas become liquidity pools.
• Price must visit them before a real move starts. 🧪 Double tops and bottoms
• Repeated reactions are not strength.
• They are preparation.
• Every touch builds more resting stops.
• Triple tops and bottoms are even more attractive.
• Never enter before price runs into them. 🧪 How I read market structure
• I don’t focus on patterns in isolation.
• I focus on where liquidity is being collected.
• Structure is simply the path price takes to grab orders.
• The real move usually starts after the sweep.
1️⃣ USDCHF Sweep and Long - CIOD confirmation click picture👇https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USDCHF/2AbnD2TR-USDCHF-I-Daily-CLS-range-I-Key-Level-FVG-I-HTF-CLS/ 2️⃣ USDJPY Sweep andLong - CIOD confirmation - Click picture 👇https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USDJPY/j18Eh18R-USDJPY-Weekly-CLS-I-Key-Level-OB-Model-1/ 3️⃣ AUDUSD Turtle Sweep and short - CIOD confirmation click picture👇https://www.tradingview.com/chart/AUDUSD/YzC7vNOf-AUDUSD-I-Daily-CLS-range-I-Manipulation-I-Short/
📌 Up Trend - Trade Stop Hunt (LQ Sweep) buy below the lows
– Highs are broken
– Lows are respected
– Liquidity below is being cleaned 📌 Down Trend - Trade Stop hunts (LQ Sweep) sell above the highs
– Lows are broken
– Highs are respected
– Liquidity above is being cleaned 🧪 Stop hunts are not random
• Quick wicks at range extremes are intentional.
• Trendline breaks often appear before reversals.
• Breakout traders provide liquidity.
• The move after the stop hunt is what matters.
1️⃣ EURUSD Short Click picture below to see how price action formed 👇https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/vgXOeYfG-EURUSD-Daily-Range-LQ-taken-Rates-cut-was-priced-in/ 2️⃣ GBPUSD Short Click picture below to see how price action formed 👇https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GBPUSD/FKtc84k9-GBPUSD-Daily-CLS-Liqudity-taken-Model-1-Oposing-side-target/ 3️⃣ USDCHF Long Click picture below to see how price action formed 👇https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USDCHF/WrvLuU3j-USDCHF-Daily-CLS-Model-Long-from-KL-rates-cut-is-priced-in/ It's effective because it capitalizes on the retail traders classic mistakes- FOMO and trading break out of the highs and selling the lows. While market makers are doing the opposite (don't get me wrong, Im also retail trader and you are too) trading so called smart money concepts doesn't make us smart money traders.
🧪 How I use stop hunts
• I never enter at the first touch of a level.
• I wait for price to go through it.
• Only after the sweep do I look for entries.
• This gives better timing and tighter risk.
📌 Bearish Scenario - (LTF view) - price (yellow has structured movements and should be crating AMD profiles on the edge of the range. We need to drop to LTF to read the structure. 📌 Bullish Scenario ITF view - Price should not have candle close below the range on the same timeframe otherwise setup is invalidated and new range created. 🧪 Where liquidity sweeps matter most
• Range highs and lows
• Previous week high or low
• Clear swing extremes
• Higher-timeframe key levels
• Daily and weekly ranges 🧪 CLS strategy connection
• Liquidity sweep is the foundation of my CLS approach.
• Fake breakouts create urgency and FOMO.
• Late buyers and sellers get trapped.
• I trade against that behavior.
🧠 Having mechanical system with backtested data is your EDGE.
💪 That is what makes you DISCIPLINED TRADER.
📌 Bullish continuation setups
Model 1 - Entry after manipulation - 50% target
Model 2 - Entry on pullback on level between 61.8 - 80% pullback 📌 Bearish Continuation setups
Model 1 - Entry after manipulation - 50% target
Model 2 - Entry on pullback on level between 61.8 - 80% pullback 🧪 Manipulation phase
• No manipulation means no institutional move.
• Liquidity must be taken first.
• Big candles after sweeps signal readiness.
• That is where opportunity appears.
🧪 Basic CLS workflow
• Define higher-timeframe trend
• Define the range near a key level
• Wait for price to sweep the high or low
• No candle close outside the range on that timeframe
• Enter only after manipulation
📌 Bullish LTF Range within HTF Range
Analyze HTF range and define models, then drop it to your TF and trade your ranges with the HTF range. Always follow the same process only on the LTF - Lower timeframe. 📌 BearishLTF Range within HTF Range
Analyze HTF range and define models, then drop it to your TF and trade your ranges with the HTF range. Always follow the same process only on the LTF - Lower timeframe. 🧪 Why this approach fixes psychology
• Rules remove hesitation
• Backtesting builds confidence
• Losses become expected data points
• Overtrading naturally disappears
🧪 Brief note on SMT
• Sometimes price moves without LQ sweep its because of SMT
• In other words Sweep has happen on correlated pair so it doesn't have to happen on the we are looking for.
• If it’s not at a key level, I ignore it.
📌 SMT EURUSD and GBPUSD Example
GU - just shallow manipulation but creates clean OB
EU - Deeper manipulation but OB created later.
🧪 Final perspective
• Liquidity is sweep / Stop hunt / manipulation is happening ona key levels where mostly traders enters false break to the wrong side and those who has been right are now taken out.
📌 Example of manipulation
Less informed traders bought early and other group of Turtles selling the break out of the lows, they are wrong on the lows. Sellers were used as liqudity and buyers are now trapped in the long where price reverse against them.
I promised myself I’d become the person I once needed the most as a beginner. Below are links to a powerful lessons I shared on Tradingview. Hope it can help you avoid years of trial and error I went thru.
📊 Sharpen your trading Strategy
⚙️ 100% Mechanical System - Complete Strategy
🔁 Daily Bias – Continuation
🔄 Daily Bias – Reversal
🧱 Key Level – Order Block
📉 How to Buy Lows and Sell Highs
🎯 Dealing Range – Enter on pullbacks
💧 Liquidity – Basics to understand
🕒 Timeframe Alignments
🚫 Market Narratives – Avoid traps
🐢 Turtle Soup Master – High reward method
🧘 How to stop overcomplicating trading
🕰️ Day Trading Cheat Code – Sessions
🇬🇧 London Session Trading
🔍 SMT Divergence – Secret Smart Money signal
📐 Standard Deviations – Predict future targets
🎣 Stop Hunt Trading
🧠 Level Up your Mindset
🛕 Monk Mode – Transition from 9–5 to full-time trading
⚠️ Trading Enemies – Habits that destroy success
🔄 Trader’s Routine – Build discipline daily
💪 Get Funded - $20 000 Monthly Plan
🛡️ Risk Management
🏦 Risk Management for Prop Trading
📏 Risk in % or Fixed Position Size
🔐 Risk Per Trade – Keep consistency
Adapt what is useful. Reject what is not. Add something of your own.
David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on Bitcoin?
Bitcoin has entered a corrective phase after a strong bearish move and is currently ranging between a clearly defined support and resistance zone. As long as price remains inside this range, no major directional move is expected.
At the moment, price is expected to move toward the upper boundary of the range. Once this area is reached, price behavior should be closely monitored for confirmation.
Bullish case:
If price breaks and holds above the range high, the next upside targets marked on the chart will come into play.
Bearish case:
If price gets rejected from the range high and the lower boundary of the range is broken, bearish continuation is likely, with the next downside target around 73,000.
⚠️ Until a clear breakout occurs, the market remains in a consolidation phase
Please Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
You Don’t Lose by Being Wrong — You Lose by OveranalyzingYour problem isn’t that you don’t understand the market.
In fact, most losing traders understand the market fairly well. They know what a trend is, where key levels sit, and which side the structure is leaning toward. But when it’s time to make a decision, they sabotage that edge with something very familiar: just a little more analysis.
At first, everything is clear. The chart tells a simple story.
Then doubt creeps in. You zoom into another timeframe. Add another zone. Add another tool. Not because the market demands it, but because you’re not ready to accept the risk of a decision. And with every extra layer of analysis, you don’t gain more certainty — you create another narrative.
This is the key point many traders miss:
the market hasn’t changed — the story in your head has.
When you overanalyze, you’re no longer reading the market; you’re negotiating with yourself. One timeframe says buy, another says wait. One level looks valid, another suddenly looks dangerous. In the end, you’re no longer searching for a good opportunity — you’re searching for reasons to delay or reverse a decision. And by the time you enter, you’re either late or lacking conviction.
Overanalysis also destroys your sense of informational weight.
On a chart, not all data carries equal value. A price level in the right context is worth more than ten minor signals. But when everything is marked, everything looks “important,” and you lose sight of what’s actually worth risking money on. The market needs prioritization, not enumeration.
Here’s an uncomfortable truth:
Many traders overanalyze not because they’re curious, but because they’re afraid to commit. They fear being wrong, so they look for more confirmation. But the market doesn’t reward the trader with the most confirmations. It rewards the trader who accepts risk at the right location. Every time you delay a decision through analysis, you move yourself further away from that location.
I only started trading better when I realized this:
analysis is not meant to make decisions certain — it’s meant to make them reasonable.
Beyond that point, what matters is discipline and acceptance of outcomes. The market doesn’t require you to be right 100% of the time. It only requires that you don’t break your own structure.
If you often find yourself “right on direction but wrong on results,” try cutting back on analysis. Not to oversimplify the market, but to clarify what truly matters. When the picture is already clear, adding detail doesn’t make it better — it just makes you hesitate.
And in trading, hesitation is often more expensive than being wrong.
Rambling off about Mitsubishi Heavy IndustriesAs you can see by the title of this idea it will be me writing about a company i think is interesting. It might end up being a lengthy read but I don't know how much I will manage to write before I get bored or covered all the topics I think are important from an investors point of view because I want to try and stay on topic when I write my ideas as best I can. Don't think that this is some kind of trading advice because its not, actually it makes me upset when people ask me to tell them if I think the price of a stock or index will go up or down. I can say that I wouldn't buy it if I didn't think it would go up, but I don't know when it will go up.
Looking at the valuation of the stock first, it appears to be quite overvalued and I'm going to hold off on buying it for awhile. There's a few reasons why I am going to wait to buy it, the first reason actually is because I only wanted to allocated 1 or 2 percent of my portfolio to the stock and for some reason right now it is prohibited to open a new position on the depository receipts. I would already start buying the stock if this was not the case but there's nothing I can do except wait for the trading permission to be available again. Like I said the stock is also very overvalued right now, there's really not any realistic room for upside in the near future. Granted that would not have stopped me from buying it, I probably would have still bought it if the OTC exchange would have allowed me because I just want to own the stock and price is not the most important thing to me when making these decisions.
I have started expanding my knowledge beyond most conventional ideas and have made my way into the Japanese stock market. Since I worked in the industries for a majority of my life I can't help but find the Japanese stock market incredibly interesting to me. I feel like a lot of the companies are major industrial entities in the world, I think most people might overlook the importance of some of the companies that trade on the Tokyo stock exchange. Mitsubishi Group is actually a vast conglomerate company which expands across hundreds of companies. Mitsubishi Heavy Industries is responsible for managing its business operations in sectors like aerospace, defense, energy and heavy machinery, which also happen to align with my personal preference of companies that I like to invest in.
As you can see I have added some photos to my idea and I'm not trying to offend anyone when I posted photos of airplanes but this is one of the core business operations of the company and I have to say what I want to. That being said I also added some other photos of Mitsubishi products. The company is famously an engineering company at its core, I don't want to write too much about the history of the company even though I probably can dedicated several paragraphs to just that.
I am going off topic a little bit here so I am going to go back on topic and now write about some of the ways Mitsubishi Heavy Industries uses capital in their business. This is a key element for every investor to pay attention to when deciding whether they will buy shares of a stock or not. Since the company is a conglomerate it will be pretty straight forward, there's really nothing special about how they utilize capital, pretty much the same as other conglomerate companies. I wrote an idea about Berkshire Hathaway some time ago and I think that is a text book example of how an ideal conglomerate company would want to utilize capital. Mitsubishi is a little different though because they are actually an industrial company and not a financial company like Berkshire. So its like comparing apples to oranges essentially.
It would be safe to assume the business model for Mitsubishi Heavy Industries is so incredibly complicated and need I say, unpredictable but I would also use words like reliable or necessary. Since I worked in heavy industries for along time I know it well and its easy for me to interpret the things I think will make the company money over a long period of time. I am starting to feel like it would make me bored to try and write about the specific elements of capital allocation now. In all seriousness I really just like the company and that's why I decided to write this idea today. I will probably keep exploring the Japanese stock market and might come up with more random ideas to share.
Lingrid | GOLD Price Action Continues Range-BoundOANDA:XAUUSD remains supported above the trendline after rejecting lower prices, with recent pullbacks failing to break the higher-low sequence. Price is compressing beneath the upper resistance band, suggesting absorption rather than distribution, while the broader structure still favors continuation within the ascending channel. Momentum has cooled, but selling pressure appears contained so far.
If buyers continue to protect the 4,300 support cluster, gold could gradually push back toward the 4,360 resistance area, where a breakout attempt may emerge. Sustained acceptance above that zone could open room for a renewed extension higher.
➡️ Primary scenario: support holds at 4,300 → advance toward 4,360.
⚠️ Risk scenario: a decisive breakdown below may weaken the bullish structure and shift focus back to deeper support.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
GOLD - Consolidation amid a bullish trend. To ATH?FX:XAUUSD , after retesting its ATH (to the 4375 zone), is falling amid weak US inflation data. The dollar is strengthening, but despite this, gold is in a bullish trend.
US inflation (CPI) for November was lower than expected, but Trump's statements about the future “dovish” Fed chair are limiting the decline in gold. The market continues to expect the Fed to ease policy in 2026.
Today, data on the US consumer confidence index will be released.
Short-term pressure remains, but the fundamental background does not allow us to talk about a trend reversal. The market structure is bullish, but there is a magnet zone below: 4310 - 4300. MM is likely to test it before moving towards ATH and updating highs...
Resistance levels: 4330, 4353, 4375
Support levels: 4308, 4300, 4291
The dollar is forming a temporary correction due to fundamental factors. A weak dollar will support gold...
The 4308-4300 zone is a liquidity pool, and the market may test this area amid the dollar correction. A long squeeze could bring the market back to growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Bitcoin Hits Critical Support — Is Another Dump Coming?As I expected in the previous idea , Bitcoin has broken through its support lines and declined to the support zone($86,300-$85,140), reaching its full target in the process.
Currently, Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving near the support zone($86,300-$85,140), and we need to watch whether it will break through this support or begin to rebound.
Before diving into the analysis, it’s important to note that Bitcoin has a strong correlation with the S&P 500 index( SP:SPX ). Given that the S&P 500 is currently in a downward trend, it’s likely that Bitcoin will also experience further declines.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it seems that Bitcoin is currently starting a new five-wave downward sequence following the break of its support lines, which could lead to even lower levels.
Looking at recent developments, one reason for Bitcoin’s decline is the selling pressure from long-term holders, which has created a quiet but significant downward pressure and challenged the support levels. Additionally, the state of the U.S. markets, with the S&P 500 index also trending down, contributes to the downward pressure on Bitcoin.
In conclusion, I expect that Bitcoin, upon entering the resistance zone($89,230-$87,720) and touching the resistance lines, will again face downward movement and aim for the support zone($86,300-$85,140). If it breaks that support zone, we could see it moving towards Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($85,300-$83,000).
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $89,000-$88,500
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $91,830-$90,000
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $98,400-$97,000
Note: If Bitcoin breaks below the $83,000 mark with strong momentum, we might expect it to reach even lower levels, potentially down to $80,000.
Do you think Bitcoin can break the support zone($86,300-$85,140)?
First Target: $85,540
Second Target: $84,229
Stop Loss(SL): $90,429(Worst)
Points may shift as the market evolves
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
TON/USDT: Range Structure Within a Broader DowntrendHi!
TON is still trading under a well-defined descending trendline, confirming that the higher-timeframe structure remains bearish. After the impulsive sell-off, the price transitioned into a clear consolidation range, highlighted on the chart. This range shows multiple reactions at both extremes, validating it as an accumulation/distribution zone rather than random price action.
A notable liquidity hunt occurred near the upper boundary of the range, where price briefly swept highs and was immediately rejected, aligning with the descending trendline and reinforcing it as dynamic resistance. Currently, price is trading near the lower boundary of the range, where another potential liquidity sweep may occur before a directional move.
Bullish scenario: A downside sweep below the range lows, followed by strong acceptance back inside the range, could trigger a reversal toward the range high near 1.84, which also aligns with the descending trendline and acts as a logical target.
Bearish scenario: Failure to reclaim the range after a breakdown would confirm continuation of the downtrend, exposing lower supports.
EURUSD: Rejection From Key Resistance - Support 1.1660 in FocusHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current EURUSD setup.
Market Analysis
EURUSD is trading within a broader corrective structure, and the current price action suggests increasing bearish pressure near key resistance. Earlier, the pair formed a triangle structure, where price respected both the Triangle Resistance Line and the Triangle Support Line. Multiple breakouts occurred during this phase, but they failed to generate sustained bullish continuation, indicating weakening buyer momentum. After breaking out of the triangle, EURUSD moved higher and entered a consolidation range, where price paused and built liquidity. This range was later resolved to the upside, pushing price into the Resistance Zone around 1.1750. However, this move was followed by a fake breakout, signaling that buyers failed to maintain control above resistance. At the highs, a clear Head and Shoulders pattern has formed, with the left shoulder, head, and right shoulder developing directly under the descending trend line and within the resistance zone. This structure highlights strong seller presence and confirms rejection from higher levels. Price is now rolling over from resistance and starting to move lower.
Currently, EURUSD is pulling back toward the Support Zone around 1.1660, which aligns with previous breakout levels and horizontal demand. This area is acting as the nearest downside target, and price reaction here will be critical.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is bearish as long as EURUSD remains capped below the 1.1750 Resistance Zone and the descending trend line. I expect continuation to the downside toward the 1.1660 Support Zone, which represents the next key level for buyers to attempt a defense. A clean breakdown below the support zone would confirm further bearish continuation and open the path for deeper downside movement.
However, if price reaches support and shows a strong bullish reaction, a short-term bounce or consolidation may occur. For now, the structure favors sellers, with 1.1750 as key resistance and 1.1660 as the main downside target.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
BITCOIN - Manipulation and liquidity hunting before the crash BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is stuck in the range of 85K - 90K. There is no liquidity in the market, but at the same time, the downward trend continues...
Earlier, we discussed such a nuance as the breakdown of support for the upward local trend. The global trend is bearish, and this nuance generally indicates a weak market. In addition to this, there is no liquidity in the market: there has been no inflow of funds into the cryptocurrency market in the last few weeks, hence the current manipulations that have been taking place over the last few days. (A low-liquidity instrument is easy to control...)
Technically, Bitcoin is within the trading range of 85,000-89,400, which is formed after the breakout of the support of the upward channel, i.e., in the short zone. A retest of 89-90K could lead to a short squeeze and a fall.
Resistance levels: 89,400, 89,900, 90,600
Support levels: 85,000, 83,800
A short squeeze and liquidity capture relative to the specified resistance zone could trigger a further decline, provided that bears keep the market near the previously broken boundary of the upward line...
Sincerely, R. Linda!
XAU Near All-Time Highs Bullish Continuation or Fake Breakout?Hello and respect to all TradingView followers 🙌
Hope you’re having profitable trades and disciplined risk management 📊💚
🟡 Gold Market Overview (XAUUSD)
Gold has always been considered a safe-haven asset, especially during periods of economic uncertainty, inflationary pressure, and geopolitical tensions.
Recently, gold has maintained a strong bullish structure across all timeframes, attracting both long-term investors and short-term traders 📈
At the moment, price is very close to its All-Time High (ATH). However, a new historical high has not been confirmed yet, making this zone extremely critical and decision-making for the market ⚠️
📊 Technical Analysis
🔼 Bullish Scenario
Overall market structure remains bullish on all timeframes
Price is holding above dynamic support (ascending trendline)
If price breaks and firmly closes above the ATH resistance, we can expect:
Continuation of the bullish trend
Formation of new All-Time Highs
Entry into price discovery mode 🚀
📌 Key confirmation: strong candle close above resistance + sustained momentum
🔽 Bearish (Corrective) Scenario
Despite the bullish trend, momentum weakness is visible near the ATH zone
If price fails to break the resistance and we see:
Rejection from resistance
Or a fake breakout
then a healthy correction becomes likely
Potential downside targets:
Nearest static support zones
And in a deeper pullback, the dynamic support (ascending trendline)
🔹 Such a move would be considered a normal correction within a larger bullish trend, not a trend reversal 🔄
🧠 Summary
Overall trend: Bullish
Current price location: Near All-Time High
Market condition: Sensitive zone + momentum weakness
Trading approach: Wait for confirmation — breakout or rejection
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
Always manage your risk properly and follow your own trading plan 💼📉
📣 Poll Question
❓ Do you think gold will successfully print new All-Time Highs?
🔘 Yes, after a confirmed breakout
🔘 No, a deeper correction comes first
Share your thoughts in the comments 👇👇
🏷️ Tags
#Gold #XAUUSD #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction
#SupportResistance #ATH #TradingView
#Forex #Commodities #SmartMoney
#BullishTrend #MarketStructure #TradingPsychology 💹
XAUUSD Near All-Time Highs Bullish Continuation or Fake Breakout?
Gold 1H – CPI Data Uncertainty Fuels Liquidity Traps at Extremes🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (19/12)
📈 Market Context
Gold is trading in a tightly engineered range as markets digest the latest U.S. CPI print, which has drawn caution from economists over data reliability and seasonal distortions.
Despite headline inflation showing signs of cooling, analysts warn the data lacks clarity, keeping the Fed firmly data-dependent and USD flows unstable.
This uncertainty-driven backdrop favors liquidity manipulation over clean trends, with Smart Money likely probing both premium and discount zones to trigger stops before committing to expansion.
🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H)
Current Phase: Rising structure losing momentum near premium supply
Key Idea: Expect liquidity interaction at 4363–4365 (premium) or 4300–4298 (discount) before displacement
Structural Notes:
• Higher-timeframe bullish BOS remains valid but is pausing
• Multiple rejections near highs suggest distribution, not confirmed reversal
• Equal highs above 4360 and sell-side liquidity below 4300 are exposed
• Price is rotating inside a controlled liquidity channel
Liquidity Zones & Triggers:
• 🔴 SELL GOLD 4363 – 4365 | SL 4370
• 🟢 BUY GOLD 4300 – 4298 | SL 4290
Institutional Flow Expectation:
liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → expansion
🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones)
🔴 SELL GOLD 4363 – 4365 | SL 4370
Rules:
✔ Sweep above recent equal highs into premium
✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15
✔ Clear downside BOS with impulsive displacement
✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB
Targets:
1. 4340
2. 4320
3. 4302 – extension if USD firms post-CPI reassessment
🟢 BUY GOLD 4300 – 4298 | SL 4290
Rules:
✔ Liquidity grab below sell-side lows / channel support
✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirms demand control
✔ Upside BOS with strong bullish displacement
✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest
Targets:
1. 4325
2. 4350
3. 4380 – extension if CPI skepticism weakens USD
⚠️ Risk Notes
• CPI-related uncertainty increases fake breaks — wait for structure
• No entry without MSS + BOS confirmation
• Expect volatility during U.S. session
• Reduce risk near unscheduled Fed or inflation commentary
📍 Summary
Today’s gold setup is driven by CPI-driven uncertainty and Fed caution, creating prime conditions for liquidity engineering:
• A sweep above 4365 may fade toward 4300–4320
or
• A liquidity grab near 4300 could reload bullish flow toward 4350+
Let structure confirm — Smart Money reacts, retail anticipates. ⚡️
📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
FCPO Important LevelFCPO has been falling for 4 consecutive months. The important level is 3700. If the 3700 level is broken, FCPO is likely to fall again to 3250. My expectation is that FCPO will continue to close the bearish candle of December 2025. The January 2026 candle will determine whether the price will continue to fall or rise.
Let's all pay attention to the 3700 level!
Gold vs Real Estate: Which Is Safer?Gold vs Real Estate: Which One Truly Keeps Your Money Safe in Uncertain Times?
When markets turn unstable, the first question that always comes up is: “ How do I keep my money safe ?”
Almost immediately, two familiar names are put on the scale: gold and real estate .
One is a globally recognized defensive asset.
The other is a tangible asset tied to land and long-term growth cycles.
But safety does not lie in the name of the asset — it lies in how you use it .
Safety does not mean “never going down”
Many people mistakenly believe that a safe asset is one that never declines in price. In reality, every asset goes through corrections .
True safety means:
When you need cash, can you actually convert it?
When markets deteriorate, can you withstand the psychological and cash-flow pressure?
When the cycle shifts, does that asset help you survive?
And this is exactly where gold and real estate begin to diverge.
Gold — safety through liquidity and defense
Gold is considered safe because it does not depend on a single economy . When inflation rises, crises emerge, or confidence in fiat currencies weakens, gold is often chosen as a safe haven.
Gold’s greatest strength is liquidity . It can be converted into cash almost instantly, nearly anywhere in the world. This makes gold an effective defensive tool during periods of strong market volatility.
However, gold does not generate cash flow . Its price can also move sideways for long periods, requiring patience and a capital-preservation mindset rather than a get-rich-quick mentality.
Real estate — safety through tangibility and long-term value
Real estate feels safe because it is tangible and familiar . The land remains. The property remains. Over the long term, real estate tends to appreciate alongside economic growth and urbanization.
In addition, real estate can generate rental income , something gold cannot offer. For investors with stable capital and no pressure to rotate funds quickly, this is a major advantage.
The trade-off, however, is low liquidity . When markets weaken or credit conditions tighten, selling property can take a long time. If leverage is involved, this so-called “safe asset” can quickly become a financial burden.
The core difference: time horizon and flexibility
Gold suits investors who value flexibility and fast response .
Real estate suits those with long-term vision, substantial capital, and the ability to endure cycles .
Gold helps you defend in the short to medium term .
Real estate helps you build wealth over the long term .
No asset replaces the other.
They differ only in their role within your financial strategy .
After the Win: When Ego Takes OverAfter the Win: When Ego Takes Over
“Losses hurt the account.
Wins test the mind.”
A good trade works.
The plan was followed.
The market respected your level.
And then something subtle happens.
Confidence rises.
Rules soften.
The next trade feels easier to take.
That’s not growth.
That’s ego quietly stepping in.
Why Wins Are Dangerous
A win rewards behavior — but it also rewards emotion.
The brain links profit with personal ability.
You start trusting yourself more than your process.
Thoughts begin to shift:
• “I’m in sync with the market.”
• “I can see it clearly now.”
• “This one will work too.”
This is how discipline slowly erodes.
Confidence vs Ego
Confidence is calm.
Ego is loud.
Confidence respects rules.
Ego bends them.
Confidence accepts uncertainty.
Ego assumes control.
The moment a trader feels “special,”
the market prepares a lesson.
The Common Pattern
Many traders lose money not after losses,
but after a strong winning trade.
Why?
• Position size increases
• Entries become aggressive
• Confirmation is skipped
• Patience disappears
The account doesn’t collapse immediately.
It leaks slowly.
How to Stay Grounded After a Win
• Treat wins like losses — review them
• Take a short pause after big profits
• Reset size to default
• Ask: “Did I follow process, or did I get lucky?”
Your edge is consistency, not confidence.
The market doesn’t punish success.
It punishes arrogance.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Do you feel more disciplined after a win…
or more confident than your rules allow?
DodgeCoin About to Hit Major Support Level - Whales Alert!Is this what they are waiting for? Whales expecting to buy Dodge at pennies? :) and pump it up again!
Main Reason is that, people are waiting and observe the market, This behaviour actuate the inactive behaviour of the Dodge and many other cryptos. Once there is none to minor trading activity / trading volume is present, then the market panic selling and crash happens. With selling market activity rises, but with the huge volumes are on short side, the value become more and more under the selling pressure. Then the long wait and no much gains, then the 2nd major selling wave, and loop happens until it hits a major support level.
Here we are waiting, just need to see some green light...
Then the waves of undervalued DodgeCoin, SOL to be more prominent and trending once again.
People are saying Dodge will hit below pennies, I think those are the people pump and dump news, once there is a dump, then the penni whales come-in and leave others in Jaw dropped state.....
Hold up people, buy when you can and be active on the network.
That's valid for any market...






















