Bitcoin - Symmetrical triangle's target is 92,000 USD! Must seeBitcoin is forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, which in classic forex is a 50/50 bullish/bearish pattern. But here we do predictions, so I predict this pattern to break down! In this analysis, I will explain the reasons behind my prediction.
On Friday, October 10, we had the biggest crash in crypto history. Some very popular altcoins went to 0 on Binance, but mostly we saw a 60% to 95% crash on all altcoins in a very short period of time (1 hour). If you trade only Bitcoin, it didn't affect you, because Bitcoin dropped by only 15% or so, which is pretty classic. We already know that this crash was prepared by the big banks and governments many weeks before it happened. A lot of people are saying that this is a healthy wipeout of all futures traders and that the market is ready to go up, but I must disagree with it because this crash came directly from an all-time high. To me this is more an indication of the start of a huge bear market, so I would be very careful.
If you know all the fundamentals and market halving cycles of Bitcoin, you also know that Bitcoin is usually 3 years in an uptrend and 1 year in a severe downtrend. And we have just ended the 3-year cycle, so many, many people are anticipating a 1-year bear market, and that's why we may see Bitcoin below 60k in 2026. And please do not listen to moon boys, they predict prices above 500k or 1 million in 2026. Basically, they are saying that Bitcoin will outperform gold in the market capitalization in this short period of time.
So what is the plan? I think this symmetrical triangle will break down, and this should happen at the end of October/start of November. You can sell the top and long the bottom of the triangle, but be careful with longs because I would stick with the main trend, which is apparently bearish now. The target of the triangle is 92k with the Fibonacci extension at the 1:1 level.
Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
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Why Prices Move Up or Down: Order Flow and Liquidity█ Why Prices Move Up or Down: Understanding Order Flow and Liquidity
Most traders are told that prices rise because “there are more buyers than sellers,” and that prices fall because “there are more sellers than buyers.” But that’s not how markets actually work. In every transaction, there’s always one buyer and one seller; what really matters is which side is more aggressive and how liquidity responds to that aggression.
Price movement is the result of order flow interacting with liquidity. When buyers use market orders and aggressively lift the available sell orders (the ask), the price moves up. When sellers hit the bid with market orders, the price moves down.
In short, price moves in the direction of the side that consumes liquidity.
█ The Engine Behind Price Movement
When buyers and sellers agree on price, the market ranges, there’s a balance. When one side becomes more aggressive, an imbalance occurs, and the price must adjust until new liquidity appears.
Imagine the market like a ladder made of buy and sell orders. Each rung shows where traders are waiting, buyers below the current price, and sellers above it. These waiting orders are what we call liquidity.
When a trader sends a market buy order, they’re not waiting; they want to buy immediately. That order takes the best available sell price (the ask). If more traders keep doing this — buying aggressively — those sell orders get used up faster than new ones appear. As a result, the next available sell price is higher, and the price moves up until new sellers fill the gap.
The same logic applies in reverse: when aggressive market sell orders hit the bids, they consume the buy-side liquidity. Once those bids are gone, the next available buyer is lower, and the price moves down.
This continuous back-and-forth, liquidity being consumed, replaced, or withdrawn, is the real engine of every price movement.
█ Why Prices Move Up
1. Aggressive Buying (New Longs)
When new participants enter with market buys, they lift the offers, consuming sell-side liquidity. If this continues, the price climbs until enough new sellers appear to absorb demand. This is the cleanest form of demand-driven uptrend, with new buyers initiating positions.
2. Short Covering
The price moves higher as short sellers buy back positions. This can happen when stops are triggered after a price rise or when shorts take profits after a decline. In both cases, their buying adds upward pressure. When many cover at once, the move can accelerate into a short squeeze — higher prices trigger stops, which trigger even more buy orders, creating a self-reinforcing rally.
Profit Taking Phase
Short Squeeze Phase
3. Stop-Loss Triggers
Clusters of stop-loss orders above previous highs act as “fuel.” When price breaks those levels, automatic buy orders fire off. These aren’t new investors; they’re forced buyers closing shorts. The result is a fast, often exaggerated upward burst.
4. Thin Liquidity and Pulled Offers
Sometimes, price surges not because of huge buying, but because there’s nobody selling. If the sell side of the order book is thin, or if large resting orders get canceled, even small buys can sweep multiple levels. This creates those “air pockets” where price jumps several ticks in seconds.
5. Algorithmic and Institutional Flows
Institutions use automated execution algorithms like VWAP or TWAP to buy steadily throughout the day. These constant flows absorb liquidity over time, creating a slow upward bias. Similarly, option dealers who are short gamma must buy as prices rise to stay hedged, adding even more mechanical buying pressure.
█ Why Prices Move Down
1. Aggressive Selling (New Shorts)
When traders use market sells, they consume buy-side liquidity. If this persists, the price naturally ticks lower as bids disappear, and the next buyer will be willing only at a cheaper level.
2. Long Profit-Taking
At some point, long traders sell to realize profits. These sales add supply, which can cap or reverse an uptrend. It’s not bearish conviction; it’s simply existing longs exiting their positions.
3. Long Stop-Loss Cascades
If prices fall to where many long traders placed stops, those automatic sell orders trigger, creating a chain reaction of forced selling. This is the mirror image of a short squeeze — a long liquidation cascade.
4. Thin Bid Liquidity or Pulled Bids
When buy orders disappear, the market has no floor. Even modest selling pressure can make the price fall through several levels until new bids emerge. This is how “flash drops” occur during low-liquidity periods.
5. Algorithmic and Mechanical Selling
Negative news or risk events can activate automated sell programs, from funds rebalancing to dealers hedging short options exposure. These trades can intensify selling, even without new bearish sentiment.
█ New Positions vs. Exits — The Hidden Difference
Not every up-move means new buyers are coming in, and not every down-move means new shorts.
Some moves happen because existing positions are being closed, not opened. and that distinction matters.
New Positions (Initiative Flow): Create real trends, since they bring new demand or supply.
Position Exits (Reactive Flow): Often short-lived, they relieve pressure rather than add it.
One way to tell the difference is through open interest (in futures or options):
Price up + Open Interest up → new longs entering (sustainable).
Price up + Open Interest down → short covering (temporary).
Price down + Open Interest down → long liquidation (often near exhaustion).
Price down + Open Interest up → new shorts entering (trend formation).
█ The Real Takeaway
Price doesn’t rise because “buyers beat sellers.” It rises because buyers were more aggressive, consuming available sell orders faster than they were replaced. It falls when sellers become more aggressive, taking out the bids.
Both entries and exits can push the price the same way:
New longs and shorts covering both create buy pressure.
New shorts and longs taking profit both create sell pressure.
To truly understand a move, traders must ask:
Who initiated it, new positions or forced exits?
Was liquidity added or withdrawn?
Did open interest confirm new participation or show a squeeze?
Once you start thinking in these terms, price becomes more than a random chart line; it becomes a story of liquidity and intent unfolding in real time.
█ Multiple Forces in Motion
While each example above highlights a single mechanism in isolation, the market rarely moves for one reason alone. In real trading, several of these forces often act simultaneously, new longs entering, shorts covering, stops triggering, algorithms executing, and liquidity thinning.
When multiple flows align in the same direction, the result is acceleration, price moves rapidly as liquidity vanishes, and reactions compound. When opposing forces meet, price can stall, consolidate, or violently whip as both sides compete for control.
In essence, market movement is the sum of overlapping liquidity events, not isolated causes. Understanding how these factors interact in real time is key to reading true intent behind every move.
█ In summary:
Markets move not because of “more buyers” or “more sellers,” but because one side becomes impatient, consumes liquidity, and forces repricing until balance returns.
Understanding who’s moving the market and why — new positioning, forced exits, or vanished liquidity — is the foundation of reading true market intent.
-----------------
Disclaimer
The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
USDJPY weekly outlook week 43 day 25This asset ( OANDA:USDJPY ) was supplied on 9th October at 153. The last week of October, I want to see the asset do one of three things:
move price higher above 153 and support my bullish bias
move lower and become bearish at close the market gap identified in the analysis
hold the price at 153
Obviously looking for bearish trend up to 150 but I will not be selling this pair on
my demo account. I will buy if price pushes up above 153.
Buy 153 TP1 158 SL 152.500
Sell 153 TP1 150 SL153.500 (trading market gap)
The trend is your friend until the end when it bends
Disclaimer: This is not a trading advice, educational purposes only
If you agree with my post, share and give it a boost. If you differ, please drop a comment and let me know what you think
Wall Street Weekly Outlook - Week 44 2025 [27.10.- 31.10.2025]Wall Street Weekly Outlook – Week 44, 2025 📊💥
Let’s dive into another exciting trading week! 🚀
Rate decisions, month-end flows, and fresh quarterly earnings are setting the stage for strong market moves.
Sit back, enjoy the overview, and dive into the world of banks, hedge funds, and institutional flows — with exclusive insights into how the pros are positioning right now. 🧠💼📈
Extra Lessons: Strategies, setups, and market psychology — everything you need to know for the week ahead. ⚡️
**S&P500 Performance after FED rate cuts**
**Overview: The most important events of the week**
Have a great start to the trading week!
Meikel
Market Regimes: What they are and why they matterRegimens, what are they and why they matter?
Most traders, especially new ones, don’t understand trading regimens. This is actually normal. Even as a quant based trader with higher education in stats/sciences, I learned of Regimen trading later in my trading career, having successfully navigated trading without it; but insurmountably improving things when I discovered it.
What is a regimen you may ask? Is it what’s going on in North Korea? Or even the USA?
Chances are, most people may think regime is synonymous with something like fascism or some ultra political significance, but the truth is regime can mean a few things, and I think its important, before getting into the real details, to first understand the meaning of regime.
The Meriam-Webster dictionary defines regime as:
regular pattern of occurrence or action (as of seasonal rainfall)
the characteristic behavior or orderly procedure of a natural phenomenon or process
mode of rule or management a government in power
a form of government
a government in power
a period of rule
If you were to do a grad school ‘ concept analysis’ on regime, you would get some interesting findings of regime. Essentially, all of these definitions have a significance/underlying overlap in meaning. The simplified meaning? I would say (without having done an actual concept analysis), a regime is a “pattern of behaviour / rules / government that forms repeating characteristics that can be measured and predicted against its previous characteristics”.
Still too complex? Let’s simplify with both political and scientific examples.
Political
In the current presidency in the U.S., the Republican party was swift to implement sweeping tariffs against international trade partners, blanketing entire continents in a matter of days with tariffs. These were then paused, resumed, paused, resumed, lowered, raised, lowered, raised, paused, resumed, revoked, resumed, lowered, raised, etc.
Under the current political regime, we can identify the behaviour of “tariff implementation”. From previous tariff implementation and revocation and adjustment, we have the characteristics of this regime. We can then use these characteristics to predict future outcomes under this regime, i.e. we would hypothesize “Tariffs will be paused within the coming 2 months”. We can say this because this is a characteristic of the current regime. In fact, the term TACO is a perfect example of repeating regime characteristics!
What about a scientific example?
Well we can draw on Meriam-Webster making reference to seasonal rainfall. In climatology, a " rainfall regime " refers to the characteristic pattern of precipitation over a region during the year—especially its timing, intensity, and variability across seasons. Identifying these regimes are pivotal to forecasting future meteorological and climatological events!
What about my field? Epidemiology and Biostatistics?
In Epi, we have multiple different regimes, such as:
Treatment Regime: A prescribed course of medical therapy, such as a drug regimen for tuberculosis or chemotherapy for cancer. It includes dosage, timing, and duration.
Vaccination Regime: A schedule of immunizations designed to prevent disease outbreaks—e.g., two-dose mRNA COVID-19 vaccine regime followed by boosters.
Control Regime: A set of public health policies or containment strategies—like quarantine protocols, mask mandates, or vector control in malaria-endemic areas.
Surveillance Regime: The systematic collection and analysis of health data to monitor disease trends—e.g., wastewater surveillance for poliovirus or syndromic surveillance for flu-like illness.
These all matter because these regimes dictate future characteristics/outcomes.
Great! Now that you have an idea of what a regime means, let’s talk about regimes in trading.
If you haven’t already guessed, there obviously exists “ market regime s”. These are, more or less, defined as “a distinct period characterized by specific patterns in market behavior—such as trends, volatility, and macroeconomic conditions—that influence investment strategies and risk management. ”
If you look back to our examples, you can begin to imagine why regimes matter. Remember, TACO! Previous behaviour dictates future characteristics. Once you understand the way or median in which some phenomena operates, you can use these characteristics to predict future characteristics.
If you wanted to dissect market regimes, it could get relatively involved and complex. For example, things such as:
Seasonality,
Momentum,
Mean Reversion,
Financial / economic stability
Geopolitical stability
These can all influence market regimes in their own way and can, in fact, be standalone market regimes. If you trade seasonality, you are trading “ seasonal regimes ”.
Momentum and Mean reversion are independent regimes of themselves (more on that shortly).
If you trade fundamentals, you will be trading economic and geopolitical regimes.
But which is correct? Not all regimes can exist at the same time, correct?
Yes and no! Regimes can momentarily shift and flip into a different one. Take, for example, the U.S. implementation of Tariff’s at the beginning of 2025. The initial blanket tariffs caused a mean reversion regime fueled by financial/economic and geopolitical stability. We had 3 regimes working together for the result, which was ultimately a mean reversion. This quickly shifted from a mean reversion regime to a momentum based regime (more on this shortly).
So, yes, we can, theoretically, have more than one regime simultaneously. However, when it comes to markets, and this is where you are in luck, its actually pretty easy! Markets tend to be either:
Mean reverting; or
Momentum based.
And that’s really that. Those are the only 2 regimes you will ever truly need to pay attention to, which will give you a better edge at trading. Seasonality, financial and geopolitical stability will either augment mean reversion or momentum, but generally are not independent regimes in and of themselves.
In the end, markets either go up, down or sideways. It can be driven by broader contexts, but in the end the up/down/sideways is driven by a predominate regimen;
Down markets: usually mean reverting.
Up markets: usually momentum.
Sideways markets: usually mean reverting with occasional momentum deviations.
If you want to learn more about the evolution of the market, you can check out my post about how the market has evolved into its current regime here:
Now, let the real fun begin and let’s talk about how to correctly trade based on the current regime!
There are some steps, first one must:
Identify the current regime concretely.
Apply the correct strategies that are compatible with the current regime.
Understand the momentum, mean reversion paradox
I will walk you through how to do this step by step.
Identifying the Current Regime Concretely
The easiest way to identify the current regime is by using Hurst Exponent.
The Hurst exponent is a number between 0 and 1 that tells you how predictable a time series is—like stock prices or rainfall.
If it's close to 0, the data is very random and tends to switch directions often.
If it's around 0.5, the data behaves like a random walk—no clear trend.
If it's close to 1, the data shows strong trends and tends to keep moving in the same direction.
So, it helps you measure persistence vs. randomness in patterns over time. The closer to 1 the more “persistent” the market is said to be. Persistence is basically the math equivalent of momentum. If a market is persistent, it will tend to trend with momentum.
The closer to 0 the more random the market is said to be . Randomness usually favours “mean reversion”
For simplicity, if you get a Hurst Exponent > 0.5, you are likely in a momentum regime. If < 0.5, you are likely in a mean reversion regime.
Let’s take a look at some examples using QuantNomad’s Hurt Exponent indicator ( available here ):
This is just before the crash in February 2025. We can see that up here, the Hurst Exponent was < 0.5, indicating a mean reversion preference. And indeed, the market ended up mean
reverting back to its quadratic mean (481) with the crash.
Then let’s see what happened:
After the crash, we can see that the Hurst Exponent was consistently > 0.5, indicating persistence in the market, i.e. trendy and momentum based.
Remember, as a rule of thumb, momentum markets generally faour upside and mean reverting tend to be downside favouring. If we narrow the regime to smaller timeframe regimes, you can see this phenomenon quite easily. Let’s look at SPY on a bearish day and bullish day against the Hurst Exponent:
We can see that on this bull trend day, Momentum and persistence reigned dominate. Hurst did not drop below 0.5, at least not for long, which indicated a persistent trend that was momentum driven.
Now a bearish day:
You can see on this bear trend day that Hurst stayed below 0.5 persistently, indicating mean reverting behaviour.
This also highlights how lower timeframes can have independent and day to day regimes, but its always important and critical to pay attention to the major regime a market is in on the larger timeframe.
Applying Correct Strategies
Depending on the regime, you MUST tailor your strategy to match the regime. If you are trading a mean reverting regime, oscillators like RSI and Stochastics aren’t going to work well. If you are trading a momentum regime with high persistence, mean reverting strategies like Bollinger Bands and Z-Score are not going to work.
As a rule of thumb, when Hurst is > 0.5, you want oscillator based strategies such as RSI, Stochastics, etc.
One indicator that I would recommend in momentum based regimes is my own, Momentum Probability Oscillator indicator ( available here ). This indicator operationalizes probability/sentiment through momentum metrics instead of mean reversion metrics. Let’s take a look at some examples:
In this example on the hourly timeframe for SPY, you can see that momentum is lost (signified by the oscillator falling below the yellow line) indicating that the likely outcome will be selling, this is shown by the pink arrows.
In this next example, we can see where momentum is reclaimed and the bias shifts to upside.
Because this indicator quantifies momentum probabilistically, it does well in momentum based, persistent regimes to identify strong trends and pullback of trends.
In reality, you can use any oscillator in a momentum based, persistent regime, but obviously I am biased to my own creations.
What about a mean reverting regimen?
If we are in a mean reverting regime, your best indicators to use are Bollinger Bands or, my favourite, the Z-Score probability indicator (by yours truly) available here .
Let’s use $NYSE:IRDM as our mean reverting example
In this image, the red arrow marks the transition to a mean reverting regime. So what do we use here? Well let’s take a look at the Z-Score probability indicator:
The red lines mark the transition to a mean reversion based regime. At the time of this transition, IRDM was oversold based on the Z-Score probability. We can see it in fact rallied back up to a z-score of 0 (mean reversion) before rejecting back down from the 0.
This is incredibly powerful, as the Hurst Exponent tells you that you can trust a reversion back to a mean!
Let’s try a smaller, intraday example, going back to SPY:
This day, SPY looked pretty bullish; however, the Hurst Exponent was consistently below 0.5 indicating mean reversion.
If we applied the Z-Score probability indicator:
I flipped the indicator to use Candles so you can more easily see the mean reversion behaviour. SPY goes to either extremes and always mean reverts back to 0, at times even consolidating in the mean reversion range.
And Bollinger bands:
If we look at a momentum driven day:
We can see that there is a skew or bias to one side of the average. The z-score is all over the map with no real expansion within the average range and infrequent and sporadic reversions that come more from extensive consolidation rather than actual mean reversion.
The indicator isn’t unusable in momentum based trading, but its not ideal. If we flip this same chart to the momentum probability oscillator we can see a stark difference in utility:
You can see the trend is using the full range of the oscillator and there is clear bounces at lower range and rejections at higher range with frequent “mean reversion” of the oscillator momentum based mean.
Now finally, the last section:
The Momentum Mean Reversion Paradox
This is, obviously, a self made up term. However, this is a phenomenon that will happen in corrective environments, where a mean reversion is so substantial, it becomes augmented by momentum itself.
What does this mean? It means that, despite the market actually mean reverting, the Hurst exponent flips to > 0.5, as the market is “persistently bearish”.
We can see this if we flip back to our $NYSE:IRDM example:
Here, we can see despite IRDM selling, the Hurst Exponent is incredibly trendy, with a really high value of > 0.55. Yet, despite this, the ticker continues down. This is the hallmark of a correction.
This is incredibly important and I really would advise you to mark this down and remember this. You can actually tell that something is “correcting” using this exact approach. When Hurst > 0.5 and the trend is down, this is the hallmark of a TRUE correction. No speculation needed!
Statistics is the best, I’m telling you.
Let’s look at the SPY crash of 2025:
During the SPY crash of 2025, the Hurst flipped to > 0.5, with a max of 0.57 indicating a hugely persistent trend. This means that this was a strong correction for SPY, flipping from a Hurst of < 0.5 to a Hurst of > 0.5 with a strong downtrend.
Crashes tend to happen abruptly without such transitions. For example, if we look at the COVID crash:
Theoretically Hurst warned us in advance that SPY was entering mean reversion territory, but when it actually happened, it happened so fast, Hurst never truly converted from mean reversion to trending. It was just a jumbled mess. This is the hallmark of a crash.
Concluding Remarks
And now, my friends, you know all there is to know about how to identify market regimes! Understanding these concepts will put your eons ahead of the average trader and allow you to select the correct tools and actually understand what the market is doing and when its gearing up for some corrections/mean reversions.
This is a long post, I will leave it there, but I really hope you learned something from this and will take some of the key points away!
Thanks for reading and as always, safe trades!
GOLD → Retest 4060 within the range. What are the expectations?FX:XAUUSD is forming a correction from the Asian session, with the price testing the important 4060 zone ahead of two key events: US inflation data (CPI) and the results of US-China trade negotiations.
Key factors: US inflation (CPI): Low data will support gold (expectations of two cuts in 2024), but high figures will strengthen the USD and weaken gold (rates for a rate cut in December will decline).
Progress in negotiations between China and the US could weaken gold, while failure would bring back demand for safe havens. US sanctions against Russian oil are supporting oil prices and inflation expectations.
Gold is in wait-and-see mode. Growth is likely with weak CPI or a failure of negotiations. Strong CPI and progress in trade will reinforce the correction. The mood remains cautious ahead of events.
Resistance levels: 4090, 4150, 4163
Support levels: 4060, 4002
The important zone of 4060 - gold is forming a false breakdown. If the bulls hold their defense above this zone, it could trigger growth towards the resistance of the range. Otherwise, we can expect a retest of 4000K, and the reaction should be aggressive...
Best regards, R. Linda!
Dow Theory – A Compass to Help Traders Read Market TrendsHello everyone,
While Fibonacci, Trendlines, or Price Action can help you find precise entry points, nothing is more fundamental and reliable for understanding the market’s overall movement than Dow Theory . This isn’t an obscure or overly academic concept—it’s very practical. In fact, it underpins most of the trend-following strategies that traders use today.
Whether you trade Forex, Gold, Stocks, or Crypto, the core question remains the same: Is the market trending up, trending down, or just in a temporary correction? If you can’t answer this, all other technical analyses become meaningless. That’s why Dow Theory was developed—to serve as a compass, helping traders grasp the trend and make precise decisions.
Applying Dow Theory in Trading
The key to using Dow isn’t memorizing its principles; it’s about reading the real market and turning insights into action. When combined with tools like EMA and MACD , the market picture becomes much clearer: EMA shows the direction and momentum of price, while MACD alerts you to potential reversals.
For example, when prices are rising and EMA is pointing up, a MACD crossover or divergence signals a potential entry along the trend. At the same time, watching price patterns such as Head & Shoulders or Double Top/Bottom helps you anticipate trend reversals, avoiding false moves and short-term traps.
Of course, all these tools only work effectively if you manage your risk carefully , set Stop Loss levels based on price structure, and risk only a small portion of your account per trade. Dow reminds us that a trend continues until there’s a clear reversal signal, so don’t fight the market just because of a few opposing candles.
Once you grasp this principle, reading charts , identifying trends , and trading with the flow of money becomes natural and precise, without guesswork. More importantly, you’ll know when to stay out to preserve capital and when to step in to maximize profits.
That’s why Dow Theory remains a solid foundation for any trader looking to trade with the trend, whether in Forex, Gold, Stocks, or Crypto. So, are you ready to catch the market waves with Dow and capitalize on every swing?
BTC - Liquidity Dynamics leading to new HighsMarket Context
Bitcoin has shown a constructive reaction from the recent lows, printing a clean double bottom structure that suggests short-term demand entering the market. After a previous buy-side liquidity sweep and rejection, price has rebalanced and is now challenging a fair value gap (FVG) that previously served as resistance. This marks a key decision zone where the next directional move will unfold.
Fair Value Gaps & Structure
The FVG overhead has already acted as resistance, capping the first impulsive move from the lows. Should price retrace slightly to take out the remaining sell-side liquidity below the double bottom before re-engaging higher, it would confirm the area as a springboard for a bullish continuation. A clean reclaim and hold above the FVG zone would signal a shift in order flow favoring buyers.
Liquidity Dynamics
The current setup offers both sides of the market clear liquidity targets: sell-side liquidity resting under the double bottom and buy-side liquidity resting above the prior high. Smart money could engineer a sweep of the lower side first to accumulate before expansion, or alternatively, break directly through resistance to trigger a larger bullish leg.
Final Thoughts
The structure reflects a balanced but bullish-leaning scenario — a classic accumulation and breakout setup. A deeper retest to clear out lower liquidity would strengthen the foundation for continuation, while sustained strength above the FVG opens the door for a reaction toward new highs.
If this analysis aligned with your view, drop a like — do you think we clear the lows first, or head straight for a bullish breakout?
#ETHUSDT: First Drop And Then Launch To $5500! ETHUSDT we believe the price will initially decline before launching from the $3000 price region. This area appears more promising and could function as a discounted price zone. Three target levels are suggested below:
* **First target:** $4000. This area presents a minor resistance level, and closing 25% of positions is ideal.
* **Second target:** $4500. This is the second major resistance level, and closing another 25% of positions is recommended.
* **Final target:** $5500. This is our swing target. If the price reaches this level, it could be a suitable area to initiate a swing sell and the commencement of a major bearish move.
Please share your thoughts.
Team Setupsfx_
USD/JPY SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
USD/JPY pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is clearly rising on the 8H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 151.123 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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ETHUSD trend prediction stage 3Anybody looking at the chart of ETHUSD, what do you think about the future trend of it?
I have been studying the charts price movement for years.
the status of ETHUSD is on the 3 downwards stage. But the sign of "3" is like sidewalk from the bottom. Anybody want to share your comment about that please?
AUDUSD Eyes 0.6500 as Softer CPI and Weak Jobs Data Weigh on USDHey Traders,
In the coming week, we’re monitoring AUDUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 0.65000 zone. The pair remains in a broader uptrend, with the current pullback shaping up as a healthy correction toward key structural support.
Structure:
Price continues to respect its ascending trendline, and the 0.65000 area aligns with a strong confluence of horizontal support and dynamic trend structure — a level that has previously attracted strong buying momentum.
Macro Outlook:
The latest U.S. inflation print came in softer at 3.0%, undershooting expectations, while labour market data continues to signal cooling conditions. Together, these developments reinforce a dovish shift in Fed sentiment, weighing on the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY).
At the same time, Gold continues to rally, underpinned by the weakening Dollar and rising safe-haven demand. Given the positive correlation between AUD and Gold, this macro backdrop strengthens the bullish case for AUDUSD in the coming sessions.
Next Move:
A sustained bid around 0.65000 could mark the start of another impulse leg higher — targeting a retest of recent highs if momentum confirms.
Trade safe,
Joe
Ethereum - The realistic $15,000 target!🔥Ethereum ( CRYPTO:ETHUSD ) can still break out:
🔎Analysis summary:
Over the past four years, Ethereum has been trading in a massive bullish triangle pattern. And despite the recent all time high rejection, Ethereum can still follow its underlying bullrun. It just has to create the bullish triangle breakout in the foreseeable future.
📝Levels to watch:
$4,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
XAUUSD: Healthy Pullback or the Start of a Downtrend?👋Hello everyone! What do you think about the current trend of OANDA:XAUUSD ?
Looking at last week’s movement, gold experienced a pullback after nine consecutive weeks of gains. By the end of Friday’s session, price action remained relatively calm, consolidating around the $4115 area while maintaining the psychological support near $4000.
From a technical perspective, it’s still too early to conclude whether this marks the beginning of a bearish trend or just a temporary correction. However, in the short term, from my view — and that of many others — this looks more like a healthy correction than a full trend reversal.
The fundamental reasons supporting gold’s strength haven’t disappeared. The U.S. government shutdown continues, meaning we’re not receiving key economic data — increasing overall uncertainty. Meanwhile, central banks like Russia and China keep accumulating gold aggressively, and ongoing geopolitical tensions surrounding the war in Ukraine continue to support gold as a safe-haven asset.
Technically, after forming a double top, gold has entered an accumulation phase, potentially setting up for a new bullish structure. If price can break above the current resistance zone, it could open the door for a strong upward continuation.
And you — what’s your view on the future of this precious metal? 💬 Share your thoughts in the comments below!
Ethereum (ETH/USD) on the 2-hour timeframe (Coinbase).Ethereum (ETH/USD) on the 2-hour timeframe (Coinbase).
My drawn two downward projection arrows labeled Target Point, showing possible downside continuation.
Here’s what the chart structure indicates:
Price is around $3,975–$4,000.
The structure shows a rising wedge breakdown, typically bearish.
Volume profile (yellow/blue areas) shows strong resistance above current levels.
Based on my arrows and price scale, my chart marks two main downside targets.
🎯 Target Zones
1. First Target Point: Around $4,200 → $4,250
Short-term correction zone, possible support test.
2. Second Target Point (Deeper move): Around $3,750 → $3,800
Major downside target — corresponds to full wedge breakdown measurement.
✅ Summary
Pattern: Rising wedge (bearish)
Current price: ~$3,975
Target 1: ~$4,200 (minor support retest)
Target 2: ~$3,750 (main bearish target)
gold next week still downtrend target $3950🧭 Current Market Context (XAUUSD around 4111):
Price is below EMA 9 and failed to break above 4200–4250.
The structure shows lower highs → bearish continuation still dominant.
Momentum is weak, and buying pressure hasn’t confirmed reversal yet.
📉 Primary Plan (Bearish Bias – More Likely)
Entry: Wait for a 4H close below 4070–4050. Enter short/sell once confirmed.
Targets:
TP1 = 3950
TP2 = 3600
TP3 = 3500
TP4 (long-term) = 3100
Stop Loss:
Above 4250 (or above last swing high).
✅ Reason:
Trend still bearish.
EMA and structure show resistance above price.
Strong downside targets available.
✅ Reason: That breakout would invalidate bearish structure and shift momentum up.
⚠️ Key Tips
Don’t trade inside 4050–4250 (range zone, no clear direction).
Follow 4H or Daily candle confirmations — avoid early entries.
Risk only 1–2% of account per trade.
If shorting, take partial profit near 3600 and trail stops.
ETHEREUM (ETH/USD): Support holds-Is the Rally Just Beginning?!There is a strong likelihood that 📈ETHEREUM will continue its bullish movement from an important daily horizontal support level.
As a confirmation of this outlook, I observe a confirmed bullish Change of Character (CHoCH) and a breakout from the resistance line of a falling wedge pattern.
I anticipate growth to at least the 4100 level.
XAU/USD | Gold’s Historic Dump – Will $4,000 Hold or Break?By analyzing the Gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe , we can see that gold experienced an extremely sharp sell-off — the biggest single-day drop in over 12 years — falling nearly $400 in less than 24 hours!
After dropping from $4,381 to $4,003 , price rebounded to $4,162, but then corrected again and is now trading around $4,051.
Given the current volatility, it’s important to watch key levels closely. As long as gold holds above $4,000, there’s potential for a recovery toward the FVG zone between $4,100 and $4,128 .
The main supply levels to monitor are $4,101, $4,114, $4,128, and $4,155 — watch how price reacts at these points!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban






















