Who likes Apple Crumble....WWDC Event FlopSome Key Areas:
Unified Design: Liquid Glass
- Apple unveiled a new design language called Liquid Glass, inspired by visionOS. This aesthetic introduces rounded, translucent elements across iOS 26, iPadOS 26, macOS 26 ("Tahoe"), watchOS 26, tvOS 26, and visionOS 26, aiming for a cohesive and modern look across all devices
Apple Intelligence & AI Enhancements
- Apple expanded its AI capabilities under the Apple Intelligence umbrella:
On-Device AI Models: Developers can now access Apple's on-device large language models to integrate AI features into their apps, ensuring privacy and efficiency.
- Genmoji: A new feature allowing users to create personalized emojis by merging existing ones.
- ChatGPT Integration: Siri can now delegate complex queries to ChatGPT, powered by GPT-4o, with user consent.
- Live Translation: Real-time translation is now available in Messages, FaceTime, and Phone apps, enhancing multilingual communication.
iOS 26 & iPadOS 26: Enhanced User Experience
- Redesigned Apps: Updated Camera, Safari, and Phone apps featuring the new Liquid Glass design.
iPadOS 26 brings
- Advanced Multitasking: Enhanced window management and a Mac-like Preview app.
macOS 26 ("Tahoe"): Productivity Focus
- Personalized Spotlight: Improved search functionality with AI-driven suggestions.
WatchOS 26 & AirPods Enhancements
- AI-Powered "Workout Buddy": Provides real-time insights and encouragement during fitness activities.
Gaming & Developer Tools
- Apple Gaming Hub: A new app aggregating games and challenges, enhancing the gaming experience across devices.
Apple is at a technical inflection point. It needs to hold the wedge or it runs the risk to going lower to the previous lower boundary range.
AAPL
Apple (AAPL) Shares Consolidate Ahead of WWDCApple (AAPL) Shares Consolidate Ahead of WWDC
Today, 9 June, marks the start of Apple’s Worldwide Developers Conference (WWDC) — an event that traditionally attracts significant attention from investors and traders.
It is fair to say that WWDC 2025 begins against a rather negative backdrop:
→ Since the start of 2025, AAPL stock price has fallen by 19%, and Apple has lost its title as the world’s most valuable company, now trailing behind Microsoft and Nvidia.
→ Expectations raised by last year’s conference — particularly regarding new AI features in the iPhone — were not fully realised. As Barron’s noted, in March, an Apple spokesperson admitted that the new Siri “will take longer than we thought to implement these features. We expect to roll them out next year.”
Technical Analysis of the AAPL Chart
AAPL price movements are forming a narrowing triangle pattern:
→ The red trendline highlights sustained downward pressure on AAPL shares in 2025 — partly driven by concerns over the impact of the ongoing trade war;
→ On the other hand, the area below the psychological $200 level may attract buyers willing to take on risk.
WWDC 2025 could well provide fresh hope for the bulls and prompt an attempt to break out upwards from the triangle pattern.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
$META Short Swing - Fractal Repeat Play - Sub $600 Target@everyone 🔻 META Short Swing – Fractal Repeat Play 🔁
Entry Trigger: Week of June 10, 2025
Ticker: NASDAQ:META
Current Price: $697.71
Target Price: $593.66
Estimated Duration: ~3–4 weeks
Conviction: ★★★★★
🧠 Thesis:
This is a nearly perfect fractal repeat of META’s July 2024 top:
Identical weekly candle structure: topping wick into fib + supply zone
Weekly gap fill target lines up exactly again — same 15.5% drop
Wick gap fill = $593.66 (same confluence from 2024)
Bearish fib roadmap from 0.786 → 0.618 → 0.382
Volume and momentum exhausted on the run into $702
📉 Trade Plan:
Entry Range: $690–702 rejection zone
Stop Loss: Weekly close above $705
Primary Target: $593.66
This level completes the wick gap fill and matches 2024’s exact structure
Secondary Target (optional): $580.84 (full fib gap + demand retest)
🛠️ Options to Consider:
6/28 $650P or $640P – standard swing
7/5 $620P – for deeper move toward 0.382 and beyond
🔍 Setup Snapshot:
July 2024: -15.56% in 28 days
June 2025: Targeting -15.53% in 28 days
Same gap, same wick rejection, same fade roadmap
AAPL Swing Trade Plan – 2025-06-06🍏 AAPL Swing Trade Plan – 2025-06-06
Bias: Moderately Bullish
Timeframe: 5–10 days
Catalyst: WWDC event, bullish short-term technicals, declining VIX
Trade Type: OTM call option with high R/R profile
🧠 Model Consensus Snapshot
Model Direction Strike Entry Price Profit Targets Stop Loss Confidence
Grok No Trade – – – – 50%
Claude Long $207.50 ~$2.04 $3.00 / $3.75 ~$1.40 72%
Llama Long $205.00 ~$2.87 +20% -50% 78%
Gemini Long $210.00 ~$1.45 $2.10 / $2.90 ~$0.72 75%
DeepSeek Long $215.00 $0.70 $1.05 / $1.40 $0.35 75%
✅ Majority View: Moderately Bullish
📉 Max Pain: $205 → Possible short-term magnet
📆 WWDC Event: Potential catalyst or risk depending on outcome
🧾 Sentiment: Positive, with a bullish skew on options OI
📈 Technical Overview
Short-term: Above 10-EMA on 15m and daily
Medium-term: Challenging 50-EMA (~$204.83)
Weekly: Mixed but improving MACD
VIX: Falling (<20), supportive of calls
Risk: Compression near $205 due to max pain, and event risk from WWDC
✅ Final Trade Setup
Parameter Value
Instrument AAPL
Direction CALL (LONG)
Strike 215.00
Expiry 2025-06-20
Entry Price $0.70
Profit Targets $1.05 (50%) / $1.40 (100%)
Stop Loss $0.35 (50%) or if AAPL closes < $203.33
Size 1 contract
Entry Timing At market open
Confidence 75%
📍 Rationale: Deep OTM offers low-cost exposure with strong potential R/R into an event week.
⚠️ Key Risks to Watch
Break below $203.33 → invalidate bullish thesis
WWDC disappointment → negative gamma risk
Max pain at $205 → short-term pinning risk
Theta decay → rapid loss if no momentum by mid-week
AAPL Short-Term Bearish Play – ATM Put into $200 Magnet Zone🍎 AAPL Short-Term Bearish Play – ATM Put into $200 Magnet Zone
🗓️ Date: June 6, 2025
⏳ Timeframe: 0DTE (intraday to EOD swing)
📉 Setup: Breakdown continuation with weak bounce potential
🔍 Model Summary Breakdown
Model Bias Strike Entry Target Stop Confidence
Grok 🔻 Bearish $200 put 0.83 1.25 0.60 68%
Claude 🔻 Bearish $200 put 0.83 1.25/1.66 0.50 68%
Llama 🔻 Bearish $200 put 0.83 1.25 $202.50↑ 65%
Gemini 🔻 Bearish $197.50 put 0.36 0.60/0.72 0.18 65%
DeepSeek 🔻 Bearish $200 put 0.83 1.25 0.42 70%
✅ Consensus Bias: Moderately Bearish
📊 Strike Favorite: $200 Put (high OI, max pain magnet)
⚖️ Sentiment Factors:
VIX stable
Heavy OI at $200 (puts > calls)
AAPL trading below all intraday EMAs
🧭 Technical Snapshot
Short-Term (5m / 15m): Price below 10/20-EMAs, bearish MACD
Daily: Momentum weakening, but not full reversal yet
Support/Resistance: $200 max pain zone = gravitational level
News Flow: Neutral — no major catalysts yet
✅ Recommended Trade Setup
Metric Value
Instrument AAPL
Direction PUT (Short)
Strike $200.00
Expiry 2025-06-06
Entry Price $0.83 (ask)
Profit Target $1.25 (≈50%)
Stop-Loss $0.60 (≈30%)
Position Size 1 contract
Confidence 68%
Entry Timing Market open
🎯 Rationale
📉 All models agree on bearish technicals across multiple timeframes
🧲 Max pain + heavy $200 OI acts as a price magnet into close
🔄 Risk/reward favors quick downside move if $200 breaks cleanly
⚠️ Risks to Monitor
⏳ Theta decay — 0DTE option requires fast movement
🔁 Oversold bounce near $200 support could reject breakdown
📈 Gap-up open above $201.50 would invalidate trade thesis
🔔 Low-vol environment may compress intraday moves
AAPL Ascending Price ChannelAAPL has been in ascending price channel since August 2020. At the start of April we saw a retest of support where it temporarily broke through, tested the 200 ema, bounced, then broke back above the previous support line. Since then it has retested support 3 separate times which is a strong indication that AAPL will continue to remain in this price channel for the foreseeable future.
The key is whether it can rise above 209.27
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(AAPL 1D chart)
In order to continue the uptrend in the medium to long term, the price needs to stay above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
The important support and resistance zones at the current price position are the 182.94-199.62 zone and the 226.67-240.55 zone.
In that sense, the key is whether it can support near the 182.94-199.62 zone and rise above 209.27 to maintain the price.
The 226.67-240.55 zone is expected to act as resistance, but if it breaks through upward, it is expected to renew the ATH.
The important support zone is the 131.59-138.79 zone. If it falls to this area and shows support as the trading volume increases, you should focus on finding a buying point.
-
The basic trading strategy is to buy on the HA-Low indicator and sell on the HA-High indicator.
This trading strategy is a trading method within the box range.
If it falls below the HA-Low indicator or rises above the HA-High indicator, you should create a trading strategy using the trend trading method.
Therefore, the basic trading method should be a split trading method.
The 215.44 point is the OBV Low indicator point on the 12M chart, and from a long-term perspective, it can be interpreted that an uptrend can begin only when it rises above 215.44.
Therefore, you can see that the 209.27-215.44 section is an important section for turning into an uptrend.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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AAPL Bounce at 200 EMA- Remains in ascending channelAAPL has been in ascending price channel since August 2020. At the end of April we saw a retest of support where it temporarily broke through, tested the 200 ema, bounced, then broke back above the previous support line. I believe AAPL will remain in this channel and price will continue to rise with an eventual retest of resistance.
AAPL Weekly Options Outlook — June 3, 2025📈 AAPL Weekly Options Outlook — June 3, 2025
🚨 AI Model Consensus: Moderately Bullish into June 6 Expiry
🧠 Model Summary
🔹 Grok (xAI)
Bias: Moderately Bullish
Setup: Price above EMAs, MACD divergence softening; resistance at $203.40
Trade: Buy $207.50C @ $0.67 → PT $1.00, SL if AAPL < $202
Confidence: 65%
🔹 Claude (Anthropic)
Bias: Moderately Bullish
Setup: Bullish reversal, rising EMAs, MACD improving
Trade: Buy $207.50C @ $0.67 → PT $1.20–$1.80, SL $0.35
Confidence: 70%
🔹 Gemini (Google)
Bias: Moderately Bullish
Setup: Above EMAs, MACD histogram rising; resistance $203.46–$203.81
Trade: Buy $207.50C @ ~$0.65 → PT $0.97–$1.14, SL $0.32
Confidence: 65%
🔹 Llama (Meta)
Bias: Moderately Bullish
Setup: Above EMAs, MACD crossover building
Trade: Buy $207.50C @ $0.67 → PT $0.80, SL $0.335
Confidence: 70%
🔹 DeepSeek
Bias: Moderately Bearish
Setup: MACD still negative; resistance at $203.81
Trade: Buy $200P @ $0.93 → PT $1.86, SL $0.46
Confidence: 65%
✅ Consensus Highlights
🔼 Bullish Momentum on short-term EMAs
📉 Max Pain at $200 could limit upside by Friday
📊 Strong liquidity on both $207.50C and $200P
🔁 Most models plan to exit midweek; only DeepSeek expects a breakdown
🎯 Recommended Trade Setup
💡 Strategy: Bullish Single-Leg Weekly Call
🔘 Ticker: AAPL
📈 Direction: CALL
🎯 Strike: $207.50
💵 Entry: $0.67 (ask)
🎯 Profit Target: $1.17 (+75%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $0.34 (−50%)
📏 Size: 1 contract
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-06
⏰ Entry Timing: Market Open
📈 Confidence: 68%
⚠️ Risk Factors
📉 Max pain gravity could limit upside later in the week
🔼 Resistance zone at $207.50–$210 may stall momentum
⌛ Rapid theta decay — needs early move to profit
📰 Any negative macro or tech headlines could invalidate setup
AAPL 2025 Strategic Outlook: Overview of Primary CatalystsAfter trading around $200 intraday on May 27, Apple shares closed at $200.21—up 2.5% despite broad market headwinds and lingering investor skepticism.
Technical outlook remains bullish, as price action is still defined by
a rising bullish channel on higher time frames. expecting AAPL to bottom
out heading into Q3/Q4 2025 and then another bull run of 70-80%.
Here are the primary catalysts shaping Apple’s stock price in 2025, ranked 0–10:
AI integration and Apple Intelligence
Strength: 9/10
Rollout of on-device AI features (upgraded Siri, generative image tools, ChatGPT integration) expected to drive a renewed iPhone upgrade cycle.
Services segment growth
Strength: 8.5/10
App Store, Apple Music, iCloud and other services projected to grow double-digits, with new AI services adding billions in revenue.
Gross margin expansion and cost efficiencies
Strength: 8/10
Shift toward higher-margin services and anticipated memory price declines could boost overall gross margin by roughly 50 basis points.
iPhone 17 product cycle
Strength: 7.5/10
Rumored polymer battery improvements and possible foldable models may spur meaningful hardware upgrades versus Android peers.
Vision Pro and hardware diversification
Strength: 7/10
Mixed-reality headset upgrades under Apple Intelligence will broaden appeal, though high price and modest enterprise traction limit near-term impact.
Share buybacks and dividend policy
Strength: 7/10
A planned $100 billion buyback in 2025, plus steady dividends, underpins valuation, though recent pullbacks hint at caution amid cost headwinds.
Supply-chain diversification and trade policies
Strength: 6.5/10
Ongoing U.S.-China tensions and potential tariffs create uncertainty; pivoting assembly to India and Vietnam helps mitigate risk.
Regulatory and antitrust pressures
Strength: 6/10
New EU rules may force Apple to open parts of its ecosystem, potentially weighing on Services revenues.
Macro and interest-rate environment
Strength: 5/10
A “higher-for-longer” Fed rate outlook raises discount rates on growth, tempering valuations for tech leaders.
Smartphone market competition
Strength: 5/10
Samsung and fast-growing Chinese OEMs intensify price and feature competition, especially in emerging markets.
⭐️Catalyst Strength Rankings (May 2025)
✅AI integration and Apple Intelligence: 9
✅Services segment growth: 8.5
✅Gross margin expansion and cost efficiencies: 8
✅iPhone 17 product cycle: 7.5
✅Vision Pro and hardware diversification: 7
✅Share buybacks and dividend policy: 7
✅Supply-chain and trade policy risk: 6.5
✅Regulatory and antitrust pressures: 6
✅Macro and Fed policy: 5
✅Smartphone competition: 5
AAPL summer breakoutFriday 5/23, Tues 5/27, Wed 5/28 - bullish
Targets up to 225-230 maybe... not all this week (summer)
*looks like AAPL has already moved toward the 207-208 level overnight.
*hope we are blessed with a pullback to buy back up. 202-203
*NVDA earnings propping market = good
*Catalyst conversations mounting:
finance.yahoo.com
Apple - Please look at this chart!Apple - NASDAQ:AAPL - is just wonderful:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Last month, Apple created a quite strong bullish rejection wick of about +25%. It was actually no surprise at all, because market structure was perfectly pushing price higher. Following the bullish break and retest pattern, new all time highs will most likely follow.
Levels to watch: $200, $300
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
$AAPL laggard to the upside?All of the tech stocks recently have had a large moves to the upside, yet Apple has yet to have one. I think Apple is lagging the other names and is likely to have the same kind of move to the upside.
I rarely trade short term, but this one seems like a good setup.
I took a trade for 6/6 $235C to express this view.
Let's see if it plays out.
TSLA New ATH incoming? Overview of primary catalysts.After trading between $346 and $365 intraday on May 27, Tesla shares closed at $362.89—up modestly despite broader market headwinds and lingering investor skepticism.
Here’s a detailed breakdown of the primary catalysts shaping Tesla’s stock price (ranked 0–10):
1. Electric Vehicle Demand Growth
Strength: 9/10
Global EV adoption remains the single largest driver of Tesla’s top line. Despite slowing sales in Europe and China, overall EV penetration continues to surge as consumers shift away from internal-combustion engines.
2. Launch of Affordable Model (Entry-Level EV)
Strength: 8.5/10
Elon Musk has reiterated plans to unveil a sub-$25,000 EV in early 2025, targeting the mass market. Investors cheered a recent reaffirmation of focus on core products over peripheral projects.
3. Battery Cost Reductions & Margin Expansion
Strength: 8/10
Tesla’s relentless drive to lower battery pack costs underpins both profitability and price competitiveness. Q4 cost of goods sold dipped below $35,000 per vehicle, even as margins softened amid mixed volumes.
4. Autonomy & Robotaxi Progress
Strength: 7.5/10
Commercial robotaxi trials are slated to begin in Austin in June 2025, with a dedicated Cybercab in development. While regulatory and safety hurdles loom, the promise of recurring software subscription revenue could be transformative.
5. Competition from Other EV Manufacturers
Strength: 7/10
Legacy automakers and startups alike are ramping up EV offerings. Tesla’s U.S. market share has declined in recent years, highlighting intensifying pressure in key regions.
6. U.S.–China Trade Policies & Tariffs
Strength: 6.5/10
Fluctuating tariffs on Chinese EV imports have led to order suspensions and forecasting challenges. Trade-policy uncertainty remains a wild card given Tesla’s global supply chain.
7. Regulatory Incentives & Subsidies
Strength: 6/10
U.S. federal tax credits under the Inflation Reduction Act and similar programs in Europe and China support EV demand—and Tesla’s eligibility criteria will influence its market growth.
8. Commodity Price Volatility (Lithium, Nickel, Cobalt)
Strength: 5.5/10
Raw material cost swings can erode margins. While long-term supply agreements help, spot shortages or price spikes remain risks.
9. Fed “Higher for Longer” Interest Rate Environment
Strength: 5/10
Elevated real yields reduce the appeal of high-growth names like Tesla. A sustained hawkish stance from the Fed could continue to cap valuations, similar to how it weighs on non-yielding assets.
10. Corporate Governance & Elon Musk’s Public Profile
Strength: 4/10
Musk’s high-profile engagements and occasional controversies can politicize the brand, prompting sentiment-driven stock swings.
Catalyst Strength Rankings (May 2025)
🔸 EV demand growth: 9
🔸 Affordable Model launch: 8.5
🔸 Battery cost & margins: 8
🔸 Autonomy/robotaxi progress: 7.5
🔸 Competition: 7
🔸 Trade & tariffs: 6.5
🔸 Regulatory incentives: 6
🔸 Commodity costs: 5.5
🔸 Fed rates: 5
🔸 Musk profile: 4
Analyst Forecasts for 2025
| Analyst / Consensus | 12-Month Price Target | Rating |
| --------------------------- | --------------------- | ------------ |
| High | \$470.00 | – |
| Median | \$306.00 | Hold/Neutral |
| Low | \$115.00 | – |
| Average (Consensus) | \$306.29 | Hold |
| Dan Ives (Wedbush) | \$315 | Outperform |
| Adam Jonas (Morgan Stanley) | \$430 | Overweight |
* Consensus sees a range of \$115–\$470 with an average near \$306.
* Dan Ives trimmed his target from \$550 to \$315, citing tariff risks and political headwinds.
* Adam Jonas remains bullish with a \$430 target, viewing Tesla as an “embodied AI compounder” despite near-term brand challenges.
Where to Next for Tesla?
* Current price: \~\$362.89
* Key support levels: \$350 and \$340
* Next technical floor: \$330
* Upside triggers: Stronger-than-expected delivery volumes, breakthrough in full-self-driving (FSD) reliability, or renewed cost cuts.
Tesla’s stock remains a balance between long-term disruptive potential and short-term execution risks. While EV adoption and autonomous ambitions underpin a compelling growth narrative, margin compression, competitive pressures, and macro uncertainties will dictate volatility in the months ahead.
AAPL Stock Trading Plan 2025-05-25AAPL Stock Trading Plan (2025-05-25)
Final Trading Decision
Models’ Key Points
DS Report
Technical: Strong bearish—price ($195.27) below all EMAs (10/50/200) on M30/daily/weekly; RSI oversold but in downtrend; bearish MACD; hugging lower Bollinger band. Sentiment: Rising VIX (22.29), negative tariff news, heavy institutional distribution. Trade: Short at $195.27; target $189.56; stop $197.50; 3–4 week hold; confidence 70%.
LM Report
Technical: Bearish price vs EMAs; RSI near oversold; Bollinger lower‐band touch hints at bounce; bearish MACD. Sentiment: Elevated VIX; negative headlines. Trade: No trade—mixed oversold/bearish signals; confidence 55% (below 60% threshold).
GK Report
Technical: Bearish across daily/weekly; RSI approaching oversold; MACD bearish but weakening; Bollinger lower‐band proximity. Sentiment: Rising VIX; tariff news headwind. Trade: Short at $195.00; target $189.56; stop $200.35; 4 week hold; confidence 65%.
GM Report
Technical: Multi‐timeframe bearish—price below EMAs M30/daily/weekly; RSI oversold short‐term; strong bearish MACD. Sentiment: VIX up; negative tariff/profit‐risk headlines; 5-day −7.6% drop. Trade: Short at $195.00; target $187.50; stop $198.90; 3–4 week hold; position sizing example 25 shares on $10k equity; confidence 85%.
CD Report
Technical: Bearish across timeframes; RSI oversold; lower Bollinger band; MACD bearish but showing early convergence. Sentiment: Elevated VIX; tariff threat. Trade: Short at $195.27; target $189.56 (secondary $185.00); stop $202.41; 3–4 week hold; confidence 72%. Agreement and Disagreement
Agreement
Broadly bearish technical setup: price below key EMAs; bearish MACD; lower‐band Bollinger action. Negative fundamental catalyst: potential tariffs and geopolitical risk. Rising VIX supports risk‐off bias. Recommendation skewed toward shorting AAPL shares.
Disagreement
LM sees too much mixed signal (oversold + bearish) to trade; all others recommend a short. Entry divergences: $195.00 vs. $195.27. Stop‐loss levels range from $197.50 up to $202.41. Take-profit levels range from $189.56 down to $185.00 (secondary) or $187.50. Confidence varies 65%–85%. Conclusion
Overall Market Direction Consensus: Strongly Bearish
Recommended Trade
Strategy: Short AAPL shares Holding Period: 3–4 weeks Entry Timing: At market open (~$195.00) Position Sizing: Risk 1% of trading capital (e.g., 25 shares on a $10 000 account; scale accordingly) Entry Price: 195.00 Stop‐Loss: 198.90 (≈2% above entry; sits above recent resistance) Take‐Profit: 187.50 (below key support for a ~3.8% move) Confidence Level: 85%
Key Risks and Considerations
Severe oversold conditions could trigger a technical bounce. AAPL’s strong balance sheet may limit downside if market stress eases. Tariff news or policy reversal could abruptly shift sentiment. Monitor VIX and major support at $189.56 for early signs of exhaustion.
TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format) { "instrument": "AAPL", "direction": "short", "entry_price": 195.00, "stop_loss": 198.90, "take_profit": 187.50, "size": 25, "confidence": 0.85, "entry_timing": "open" }
📊 TRADE DETAILS 📊 🎯 Instrument: AAPL 📉 Direction: SHORT 💰 Entry Price: 195.0 🛑 Stop Loss: 198.9 🎯 Take Profit: 187.5 📊 Size: 25 💪 Confidence: 85% ⏰ Entry Timing: open
Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
Apple losing $3Trillion clubNASDAQ:AAPL lost a fair amount of market share this week.
Coming under pressure from comments by Trump and tarrif news.
Apple seems to be a target for the president despite him answering a call on live TV today using an Iphone...kinda ironic.
Apple could easily chop in this 9% range before it makes a definitive move.
I lean more bullish since we're testing the lows of the trade range.
If Apple holds here it could be forming a right shoulder for a very bul,ish inverse head and shoulder pattern.
APPLE Down -4% premarket on Trump's 25% Tariff. Buy opportunity?Apple Inc. (AAPL) is down -4% on pre-market trading following a warning by U.S. President Donald Trump that the company would have to pay a 25% tariff if phones sold in the U.S. were not made within its borders.
Along with a proposed 50% Tariff on goods from the European Union starting on June 01, these news have inflicted fear again in the markets following 6 weeks of a relief rebound on trade deal talks.
So are these announcements a dip buy opportunity for Apple or round 2 of correction?
Based on the stock's long-term pattern, which is a Channel Up, the recent rebound on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) is technically the start of its 2nd Bullish Leg. With the Bearish Legs having similar declines (-35% and -32% respectively), we can expect the Bullish Legs to have a proportional rise as well.
On top of that, the 1W RSI rebounded on its multi-year Support, while the 1W MACD is about to form a Bullish Cross.
As a result, since the 2023 Bullish Leg that was complete on July 17 2023 almost touched the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, we expect the price to disregard the news and continue rising up to the new 1.236 Fib and target $285.00.
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US index futures and Apple tumble on Trump warningUS index futures and Apple shares tumbled in premarket as Trump warned the company of 25% tariffs if manufacturing of iPhones is not moved to the United States.
This is what Trump posted on social media:
"I have long ago informed Tim Cook of Apple that I expect their iPhone’s that will be sold in the United States of America will be manufactured and built in the United States, not India, or anyplace else. If that is not the case, a Tariff of at least 25% must be paid by Apple to the U.S. Thank your for your attention to this matter!"
Let's see if the recent stall in the rally will now turn into more than just a pause.
The other big concerns remains over US Treasuries and rising long term bond yields. Long-dated US Treasuries managed to claw back some of their recent losses yesterday and that helped the markets a little. But if the bond market selling resumes then yields will remain elevated and pressurize all sorts of risk assets. Without a fundamental shift in US fiscal policy, the implications of rising US borrowing costs and widening fiscal deficits means the US is on an unstable fiscal policy path, which could lead to heighten market volatility.
By Fawad Razaqzada






















