AAPL Setup, with ,,, no crisis will happennew aaple setup,
AAPL on the long sight.
im not following news these days unfortunatly, ive been working a lot and not havin time time to follow news, but at least the sentiment in portugal is positive, it is wht i feel at least, im not euphoriac by now so, it is not the end of the bull, it is positive, unfortunatly im not in america, and im not in uk, but in portugal we live in a positive sentiment, in my point of view there are some setups for a savings account as we can feel, you can invest in aapl as in sp500 or eu50(eurostoxx 50)(maybe the best one to invest), invest and keep it there, u will make some bucks,
with it, u living in a good sentiment world, so people is working happy, and the economy is working, as far as i can see,(im not watching the news), so this is all wht an guy can say about the sentiment of the markets withount any bad or good news, just feeling the days that have happened before, or portugal is a paradise that nothing bad happens. So if u like to have a nice life buy a house in portugal, btw talk with me first to gain some bucks in ur home accquisition( im not working in the field, but i can gain some for it, if u dont mind)(better who said to you than anyother who try to trick u) :)
so im positive on the markets, i just setuped Apple because so, - maybe because beeing the biggets in MCap in the markets ( thats my trick) all i know is i feel it is a good time to make some bucks and apple will prosper, and maybe without their problem with wht to do now, they just should think on it, not us.
Made by,
AKA a beer!
if u want to make some bucks just invest with risk management in a good index, thats ur bucks on, nothing specific in shares wht im doing now.
i can give u a tip, im not bad humor with EU50., but as always, use "greed managment".
Aaplbuy
AAPL Weekly SignalAs you can see in the graph above Apple's share fell nearly 40 percent from its peak And stopped right on Moving Average 200 And since then the price has been rebounding And completed a weekly rise, we add the Fibonacci indicator to give us Take Profit prices
Our Signal: Buy AAPL
Entry Price: 156.5
Take Profit: 166
APPLE @ Daily @ Basic Scenarios after all-time high 2015Main DownSide Trend - 132.84 (2015/07/20) & 123.60 (2015/11/04) - BreakedUp 2016/08/01
The question i am asking myself is: "Are all bearish formation are processed - and be left behind ???"
the SellOff day in August`15
the selling pressure in january`16
the trendreversal in hune`16 & july`16
the DownSide Gap in may`16 & august`16
From there the actuallity TradingBox is essential - for higehr prices !!! `Cause it confirms only waht iam trying to explain. How ever, i am thuiking the chart speaks for itself. A good price action above 112.52 & 108.13 while the next 5 trading days next week should animate more traders to except a better development again - and even as consequence create a new upside trend into 123.79 & 119.94 at least. Before it again goes to 134.63 at least (even all-time high) and higher !?
But don`t get euphoric !!!
I am personally pretty neutral, `cause this autumn we`ve got a sideway trend under the dash ...
Only when AAPL trade this week above the TradingBox (112.52 & 108.13) this week - so in the next 5 days - i`ll get long again probably :)
Take care
& analyzed it again
- it`s always your decission ...
(for a bigger picture zoom the chart)
Best regards
Aaron
APPLE LONG: $151-$182 - CYCLICAL ANALYSIS & REGRESSION FORECASTAnalysing Apple's (AAPL) historical cyclical price movements and using the +/- 2SD of the linear regression to forecast a naive regression price for the next extension phase.
* Extension leg Regression Forecast*
1. For leg A (Extension Leg 1) we use a start point of $12.5 or $33 (phase doesnt have a clear start), or we could assume a mean value of (12.5+33)/2= $22.75.
- Leg A is then, $12.5, $23.5 or $33 divided by $100, which means Leg A is a price increase of = 700%, 310% or 200%
2. For Leg C (Extension Leg 2) the price increased from $55 to $134.5 which is a 145% increase.
3. For Foretasted Leg E (Extension Leg 3), we start at $89 and we derive the price "%" increase by:
- Using the regression of the price increase % from Leg A to Leg C e.g. 145%/700%= 21%; 145/310 = 46%; 145/200= 73%, so this means for each of the calculations we can then assume each is the regression growth differential from Leg C's 145% increase to foretasted Leg E's "%" increase
4. e.g. Foretasted Leg E / Extension Leg 3:
21% of 145% = 31% increase; $89 * 31% = $117
or 46% of 145% = 67% increase ; $89* 67% * $89= $151
or 73% of 145% = 106% increase; $89 * 106% = $182
- Thus Apples Leg E/ Extension Leg 3's Naive Regression Forecast = between $151 and $182
* As shown on graph.
Furthermore, another interesting statistical measure for apples 10year/ 120 Month +/-2SD channel was that the Pearsons R was 0.95. This means that the linear correlation between Apples Price over the measured time period was 95%. 95% of all values observed lie averagely on its linear regression line (middle line of the Stan Dev channel) - en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pearson_product-moment_correlation_coefficient
- Having such a high Peasons R means the regression line holds true for 95% of past data and therefore is MAY also include 95% of future data thus extrapolating the linear line (or using basic regressions as i have done) is of some statistical significance.
A Pearsons R coefficient of 0.3 means there is little positive correlation between Price and Time, thus extrapolating prices through time using basic regressions/ forecasts is much less statistically prudent, since only 30% of past data correlated about the linear regression line.