QuantumLogicTrading

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Last visit Joined 8 months ago
Ex-Goldman Sachs S&T Banker - Fundamental Macro Spot & Derivatives Equity/ FX Trader. PM for Private tuition possibilities (Quant & Insto Macro Trading as seen in posts).
Markets Allocation
67 % forex 7 % stocks 1 % indices 25 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
GBPUSD 16% | 30 USDJPY 15% | 28 DXY 12% | 23 NZDUSD 7% | 13
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading VIX, D, 2 months ago
VIX: PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION - TRUMP TO WIN - SHORT SPX & LONG VIX
457 8 7
VIX, D
PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION - TRUMP TO WIN - SHORT SPX & LONG VIX
Preparing for a Trump win Following Friday and the FBIs decision to re-open the case on Hilary I have decided I am going to assume A Trump win, this is for several reasons: FBI https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Cv3sc7jVYAAoTA0.jpg:large 1) After reading into it, the reopening of the FBI case implies one of three ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading USDJPY, D, Long , 2 months ago
USDJPY: LONG USDJPY - FED & BOJ MONPOL, RISK SENTIMENT & ELECTION
262 1 8
USDJPY, D Long
LONG USDJPY - FED & BOJ MONPOL, RISK SENTIMENT & ELECTION
LONG USDJPY: 1. Slightly late posting this position but we got long at 104.5 earlier today. The rationale behind owning USD VS JPY is as follows. USD risks are bid 1) in the run up to the 2015 dec hike USD traded extremely bid with DXY breaking through 100, based on the last 2wks i expect USD to mirror 2015 and ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading USOIL, D, Short , 2 months ago
USOIL: FADE OIL & BUY USDCAD - OPEC TO CUT OR TO NOT?
458 0 14
USOIL, D Short
FADE OIL & BUY USDCAD - OPEC TO CUT OR TO NOT?
Opec to cut or not to cut? * I trade Oil seldomly however this binary position caught my attention.* 1.This trade derives from my view regarding cartels - a view which follows the logic that they only work when the cartel makes an arrangement that is beneficial to all parties, wholly from a profit ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading MXNJPY, W, Short , 2 months ago
MXNJPY: USD PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION - SELL MXNJPY - RISK & SENSITIVITY
89 0 6
MXNJPY, W Short
USD PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION - SELL MXNJPY - RISK & SENSITIVITY
Presidential Election - Trump wins - MXN more sensitive than USD, Yen to pick up the risk-off shift: 1. Positioning for a trump win is much more interesting than a hilary win but nonetheless both should be profitable at some level. My number 1 position will be SHORT MXNJPY for a number of reasons 1) MXN has been ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading EURCHF, D, Long , 3 months ago
EURCHF: LONG EURCHF - SNB BID INTERVENTION @ THE 1.08 HANDLE
237 22 7
EURCHF, D Long
LONG EURCHF - SNB BID INTERVENTION @ THE 1.08 HANDLE
Long EURCHF - 9/10 Conviction: 1. Having watched the 1.08 level closely post-brexit it certainly looks as if there is some FX intervention going on at the 1.08 handle - suspicions enforced even more as SNB President Jordan has said in the past that FX intervention is on the cards should CHF move even higher when ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading XAUUSD, D, Long , 3 months ago
XAUUSD: LONG GOLD - STRAT TRADE: 99.7% PROBABILITY OF REVERSAL
369 5 9
XAUUSD, D Long
LONG GOLD - STRAT TRADE: 99.7% PROBABILITY OF REVERSAL
Long XAUUSD: 1. Based on the last 16yrs of daily close data (since 01/01/2000 to date) XAUUSD has a cumulative probability of a =>7th day lower at 0.3%, hence there is a implied 99.7% chance of reversal on the daily. 2. Technically there is also some nice structure about the 1250 level. 3. Fundamentally I ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading USDJPY, D, 3 months ago
USDJPY: SHORT USDJPY - STRAT TRADE: 99.4% PROBABILITY OF REVERSAL
260 14 10
USDJPY, D
SHORT USDJPY - STRAT TRADE: 99.4% PROBABILITY OF REVERSAL
SHORT USDJPY: 1. Based on the last 16yrs of daily close data (since 01/01/2000 to date) USDJPY has a cumulative probability of a =>7th day lower at 0.6%, hence there is a implied 99.4% chance of reversal on the daily. 2. Technically there is also some nice structure about the 103 level. Trading Strategy: 1. ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading GBPAUD, W, Long , 3 months ago
GBPAUD: RBA MONETARY POLICY DECISION HIGHLIGHTS - GBPAUD AUSSIE
213 2 7
GBPAUD, W Long
RBA MONETARY POLICY DECISION HIGHLIGHTS - GBPAUD AUSSIE
As expected the RBA deciced to keep the OCR unchanged at 150bps. 30D Aussie bank bills implied only a 2% chance of a cut, down from the 10% we saw several weeks ago. There were few hints as to further policy, and it certainly feels as if the calls/ rhetoric for further cuts has been dampened in recent meetings ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading DXY, D, 3 months ago
DXY: FED LOCKHART & POWELL SPEECH HIGHLIGHTS - DXY USD
92 1 7
DXY, D
FED LOCKHART & POWELL SPEECH HIGHLIGHTS - DXY USD
The $ and Fed funds remains flat on the day despite somewhat hawkish comments from Lockhart, and in particular putting November on the table.. though the market realistically has Nov priced fairly at 10% given a hike here wouldnt make much sense vs Dec. Fed Powell on the otherhand was much more neutral, offering ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading EURGBP, D, 3 months ago
EURGBP: EURGBP - ECB PRESIDENT DRAGHI & BOE SHAFIK SPEECH HIGHLIGHTS
113 1 3
EURGBP, D
EURGBP - ECB PRESIDENT DRAGHI & BOE SHAFIK SPEECH HIGHLIGHTS
ECB Draghi: Draghi: Our Measures Are Working, Creating Jobs Draghi: Our Measures Ensure Recovery that Will Ultimately Benefit German Savers, Pensioners Draghi: We Take German Concerns Seriously Draghi: Economic Policies are Essential to Complement our Monetary Policy Draghi: Price Stability Doesn't Mean ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading DXY, D, 3 months ago
DXY: DXY/ USD - FED YELLEN, MESTER & EVANS SPEECH HIGHLIGHTS
89 0 6
DXY, D
DXY/ USD - FED YELLEN, MESTER & EVANS SPEECH HIGHLIGHTS
USD has traded relatively flat following the slew of Fed speakers in the past 8hrs - despite Dec Fed Funds steepening aggressively from <50% implied probability to 56% probability of a hike. Perhaps more interestingly though, is that a fed hike has never happened in the past unless fed funds have priced 50% and ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading AUDNZD, D, Short , 4 months ago
AUDNZD: SHORT AUDNZD - STRAT TRADE: 99.5% PROBABILITY OF REVERSAL
328 8 15
AUDNZD, D Short
SHORT AUDNZD - STRAT TRADE: 99.5% PROBABILITY OF REVERSAL
SHORT AUDNZD: 1. Based on the last 16yrs of daily close data (since 01/01/2000 to date) AUDNZD has a cumulative probability of a =>7th day lower at 0.5%, hence there is a implied 99.5% chance of reversal on the daily. 2. Technically there is also some nice structure about the 1.045 level. Trading Strategy: 1. ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading EURAUD, D, Long , 4 months ago
EURAUD: LONG EURAUD - STRAT TRADE: 99.13% PROBABILITY OF REVERSAL
181 2 6
EURAUD, D Long
LONG EURAUD - STRAT TRADE: 99.13% PROBABILITY OF REVERSAL
Long EURAUD: 1. Based on the last 16yrs of daily close data (since 01/01/2000 to date) EURAUD has a cumulative probability of a =>6th day lower at 0.87%, hence there is a implied 99.13% chance of reversal on the daily. Trading Strategy: 1. Buy EURAUD at market in 1xlot, and add 2x on each daily close lower from ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading EURGBP, D, 4 months ago
EURGBP: ECB DRAGHI & BOE FORBES SPEECH HIGHLIGHTS - EURGBP GBPUSD EURUSD
82 0 5
EURGBP, D
ECB DRAGHI & BOE FORBES SPEECH HIGHLIGHTS - EURGBP GBPUSD EURUSD
ECB DRAGHI: -ECB'S DRAGHI SAYS OVERBANKING A FACTOR IN LOW LEVEL OF BANK PROFITABILITY -ECB'S DRAGHI SAYS OVERCAPACITY MEANS SECTOR IS NOT EFFICIENT -ECB'S DRAGHI SAYS LIFE INSURERS FACE WEAK PROFITABILITY UNLESS THEY REFORM BUSINESS MODELS -ECB'S DRAGHI SAYS MARGIN AND HAIRCUT REQUIREMENTS COULD IMPROVE ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading EURGBP, D, 4 months ago
EURGBP: ECB ECONOMIC BULLETIN & BOE FCP MEETING - EURGBP GBPUSD EURUSD
84 1 6
EURGBP, D
ECB ECONOMIC BULLETIN & BOE FCP MEETING - EURGBP GBPUSD EURUSD
ECB ECONOMIC BULLETIN: -Economic Recovery In The Euro Area Is Continuing -Moderate Global Growth Continued In The First Half Of 2016 -Governing Council Expects The Economic Recovery To Proceed At A Moderate But Steady Pace -Annual Real GDP Expected To Increase By 1.7% In 2016, By 1.6% In 2017 And By 1.6% In ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading AUDUSD, D, 4 months ago
AUDUSD: RBA ASSIST GOV LOWE SPEECH HIGHLIGHTS - AUDUSD AUDJPY EURAUD*
58 2 3
AUDUSD, D
RBA ASSIST GOV LOWE SPEECH HIGHLIGHTS - AUDUSD AUDJPY EURAUD*
Gov Lowe speech Highlights: -RBA GOV LOWE SAYS INFLATION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOW FOR SOME TIME, BUT THEN TO GRADUALLY PICK UP AS LABOUR MARKET CONDITIONS STRENGTHEN -RBA GOV LOWE SAYS OUR VIEW IS THAT A FLEXIBLE MEDIUM-TERM INFLATION TARGET REMAINS THE RIGHT MONETARY POLICY FRAMEWORK FOR -RBA GOV LOWE SAYS ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading GBPNZD, D, Long , 4 months ago
GBPNZD: RBNZ MONETARY POLICY STATEMENT - GBPNZD TACTICAL LONG (NZDUSD)
93 0 4
GBPNZD, D Long
RBNZ MONETARY POLICY STATEMENT - GBPNZD TACTICAL LONG (NZDUSD)
RBNZ not adding much new in their September statement, and imo, Gov Wheelers speech highlighting the issues with trying to control a ccy with the cash rate makes the persistent worries regarding kiwi/ nzd strength less of a dovish factor than it may appear. Nonetheless, the statement on the margin was neutral, with ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading USDJPY, D, Short , 4 months ago
USDJPY: FED YELLEN SPEECH HIGHLIGHTS - USDJPY DXY SHORTS
125 1 7
USDJPY, D Short
FED YELLEN SPEECH HIGHLIGHTS - USDJPY DXY SHORTS
Fed Yellen Speech: Yellen: Current Policy Should Help Economy Move Toward Goals Yellen: Welcome Development That More People Seeking Jobs, Unemployment Measures Steady Yellen: Household Spending Key Source Of Economic Growth Yellen: Fully Committed To Achieving 2% Inflation Objective Yellen: Recent Pickup In ...
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