Volatility comes down more significantly today and puts therefore become less valuable (their chances of expiring in the money decrease with lower vol). As option dealers are net-short puts (they are sellers of put protection), they now need to unwind hedge positions and buy back SPX futures to get market neutral again. This dynamic is pushing markets higher today.
Several of my recent US stock market posts have noted that a major peak of the bull move since March of 2020 could be made in December 2021.
The SPX decline from the 11/22/21 top appears to probably be a correction within an on going bull move.
During the decline from late November 2021 the VIX has had six consecutive breaks above the upper Bollinger band - the...
Either it's crash time or it isn't
We'll know all a week from now
I'm neutral on where we go next
Index needs some more correction according to the geometry tho'
NOT TRADING ADVICE
Will CBOE:VIX repeat this trend break pattern.
Initial reaction followed by a larger one over next 4 weeks ?
Comment below your thoughts on where VIX is headed next. Will it continue the pattern or invalidate it.
Creating custom formulas can put price action into different perspectives. You can think of the search bar on TradingView like a calculator.
This chart, for example, shows AAPL/VIX, but we could have expressed many different formulas including: (AAPL + GOOGL + AMZN + FB)^4 or TSLA + F + GM and even GLD/BTCUSD.
There are countless ways to create equations on...
One to watch in the coming days...
In the past a break down of these VVIX/VIX trendlines is generally followed by a market crash.
VIX measures the short-term volatility of the S&P 500 index, whilst VVIX measures the volatility of the price of the VIX. In other words, VVIX is a measure of the volatility of the S&P 500 index and alludes to how quickly market...
VIX and the golden ratio .The chart posted shows why we stop and reached 32,3. so was it a natural order of things or ?? I have always seen this natural order . this is why I have made my life simple one .
Outlining a clean daily breakout of the 21 month trendline and retest on the VIX. Likely points to higher volatility in the coming weeks.
Position: Long UVXY Calls, Long SQQQ Calls, Tesla Puts
On the monthly and daily chart, I see VIX making a bullish comeback which suggest we are about to see crazy volatility in the stock market. Combine that with the recent insider selling from Jeff Bezos of around $2 billion worth of amazon shares and Kimbal Musk (Elon Musk's brother) selling around $100 million worth of tesla shares on Nov 5th and then Elon Musk...
$VIX Analysis & Key Levels
Higher lows for days
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I am not your financial advisor, but I will happily answer questions and analyze to the best of my ability but ultimately the risk is on you. Check out my ideas, but also do your own due diligence.
I am not a bull. I am not a bear. I just see what I see in the charts and I don’t pay too much attention...
On April 21, 2020 the VIX closed at 45.41, the next day the VIX could only reach a high of 45.07 thereby creating a very small gap between 45.07 & 45.41 that has yet to clear.
Below is the weekly overview of the VIX. I typically don't like to give too much weight to non-hortizontal lines however in this case it is necessary because we have a descending line &...
The VIX has been bouncing between my two tread lines the past 4 days. Need to monitor, if the vix breaks the 29 resistence we can see it go to 36 and if it breaks that we see it go to 50. be very careful.
Any catalyst in this overbought market can make this go down. Debt ceiling, inflation, evergrade, "transitory". Any word the algos pickup will send a panic in...
Expect bearish price action VIX, price just made a huge selloff with a bearish gap A RISK ON SIGNAL in the market, a possible bullish rebound for the indexes. Price is going to close bullish GAP into 19.00
What do you think ? Comment below..
VIX is a trademarked ticker symbol for the CBOE Volatility Index, a popular measure of the implied volatility of S&P 500 index options; the VIX is calculated by the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE). Often referred to as the fear index or the fear gauge, the VIX represents one measure of the market's expectation of stock market volatility over the next 30-day period.
TVC
