fenditendi

“Shoot for the moon. Even if you miss, you'll land among the stars.” In this case, we shoot for the stars and hope we land on the moon. 4x SPY $260 PUT - EXP 2/11/2019 - Entry @$0.25, 2/1/2019, exit @$.50 or above All it takes around 13 consecutive correct guesses. Easy. 3 weeks. Some legitimate moves will be made, but it will consist mostly of dumb and...

Nobody likes it when the market goes flat. Ambiguity kills both bulls and bears. We are amidst one last 4th sub-wave down, before an exhausted 5th into 270.50-271.00. Per wave count & resistances, I'm pinning this last 5th wave to end around Feb 4th. Coincides with fib timing. Planning keep this idea updated until the 4th.

To be clear: I have zero tolerance for anything in the lines of financial astrology bullshit, magic 8 ball readings, or other hullabaloo. This is simply a chart for my own viewing and the education of others on the lunar cycles matched with the market from 2018 to the present day. Red is the full moon, a "bottom" and green is the new moon, a "top", following the...

"My problem is that I have been persecuted by a (ratio). For the last few months this (ratio) has followed me around, has intruded in my most private data, and has assaulted me from the pages of our most public journals. This (ratio) assumes a variety of disguises, being sometimes a little larger and sometimes a little smaller than usual, but never changing so...

As long as we don't overstep into wave 1 territory (white line, 259.85), this potential wave count remain valid. Wave 4 should be simple, as wave 2 was complex. Great time to load up or hedge positions.

2008 Scenario: New impulse wave down should start today and bottom out at 2330. Sideways bull up for a few months, crash later this year. Or: Impulse wave 5 begins today, and we crash right away. If we cross 2580/2600, throw everything out for now. Trade safe!

Last call for puts - SPY should not break 2580. Will either continue a complex correction or enter wave 5, but either way will not pass the two potential wave 1 lines of 2583 and 2602.

Wave 4 hit today, and wiped out a lot of people. Wave 4 will likely be a complex correction, as wave 2 was simple. Potential rally to 2514/2522 levels, but could be VERY stochastic afterwards. I'd advise waiting this one out, or playing further out. Wave 5 is on the way, and it should extend. Trade safe. It only gets...

Title says it all Be wary of wave 4, for short holders.

Sub-sub-wave 3 is not over - it hasn't crossed a full retrace of sub-sub-wave 1 yet. Sub-wave 3 has already fully retraced Sub-wave 1's length, and has the potential to extend on sub-sub-wave 3 or sub-sub-wave 5. Stay in puts. Hard to say when sub-sub-wave 4 will hit, but the massacre after will not be worth missing. Sub-wave 5 is bound afterwards.

Wave 4 begins now and wave 5 should extend, which would mean larger wave 3 can potentially extend. The ride begins now - buckle up!

For personal reference

For personal reference. Watch for resistance at 2580.

For personal reference/learning.

For personal reference. Potential pattern repetition. All points calculated using ratios of daily high and daily low of matched dates in 2008. Exit points and entry points marked as is, +/- $.50 +/- 2 trading day 1/07/2008 similar to 12/10/2018 1/11/2008 - 1/14/2008 similar to 12/11/2018 - 12/12/2018 12/21 marked as significant bounce point PT $240

Short-term: 18 Jan 2019, $240 Puts. If ~$282 is maintained for two trading days, dump positions. Elliot Wave analysis used, not included due to restrictions for free users.

Watching for AMZN to break through the first fib level before entering a position down to .382. If it bounces off that level, then temporary holding play until another entry is found.

First chart here, totally not used to the UI yet. My background is closer to market psychology than strict technical analysis, and thus my analysis should not be taken verbatim. I profess that most my analysis is from fear-gauging and psychological extrapolation based on similar past events - the crash in February, the DotCom crash, and the CN50USD chart are the...