Hey guys,
Thank you for organizing this interesting competition.
If anyone is interested ! Join in the fun
Thanks for checking out my thesis and hope you guys enjoy it.
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Basically, i will be doing a TOP-DOWN analysis approach for my thesis between the two major economies. We will be looking at simple macro and...
The Vanguard Total Market ETF on a monthly timescale already highlights an ongoing correction downfall in the ETF marked-to-market net asset value. In the coming months, the Vanguard Total Market ETF could well fall another -26.15%
down to 144 points, where the ETF price trendline would test the IKH Senkou A/B support, which would match up the support line of...
Medium to long-term entry is reasonable here, but the 200 week MA is not a precise timing mechanism.
If we are in a secular bear market, moving averages could reverse and no longer be reliable, as seen in 2007 - 09.
Hopefully we are closer to the end than the beginning.
On an analysis earlier that I published, the DXY may be ready for a retracement to the previous wave low. Now reeling back in on the VTI Looks like we may be close to being done with the C phase on this timeframe. Wave C has so far retraced Wave B up to 161%. I don't want to get too greedy until we see economic indicators start to peak out. However, I would like...
Quantitative Tightening started last Wednesday, June 1st, 2022. FOMC will be undertaking a “phased approach” of quantitative tightening measures beginning with a 3-month period of unwinding $30 billion of Treasuries and $17.5 billion mortgage-backed securities beginning on June 1, 2022. By September, 2022 these caps would increase to $60 billion and $35 billion,...
Where are we VTI? Here's a Mega Triangular Trend Channel MTTC2.0 (beta) set to 200SMA with 19 levels. And my tickerTracker MFI Oscillator set to 20 with SPY, VTI, QQQ, IWM & DIA.
Do your own due diligence, your risk is 100% your responsibility. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only. You win some or you learn some. Consider being charitable with...
Since 3/15/2020 total FOMC Quantitative Easing (+$8,970,000,000,000) + Congress Stimulus (+$4,500,000,000,000). Now, in 2022 FOMC Quantitative tightening started (-$95,000,000,000/month) & Congress stopped stimulus in mid 2021. This equals a macroeconomic liquidity event on the way up and on the way down. Here's a 15-year VTI chart with US market cap figures on...
Here's a VTI 1 hour chart, 3 month view, with Pivots HL, MTTC2.0 (beta) & tickerTracker MFI Oscillator indicators. Pivots HL is set to 13, MTTC2.0 is set to 32 and tickerTracker is set to 26. The tickers input are VTI (white), SPY (orange), QQQ (blue), IWM (yellow), DIA (red), cryptocap TOTAL (green). Here's support & resistance levels on the 1hr chart:
R3 =...
VTI is an ETF that includes the entire US equity market with 4,128 holdings. It's a great way to check the general overall tone of the United States stock markets. Here we have a 1 week chart, 4 year view, with my MTTC2.0 (still in beta) 17 levels set to SMA4 +-1% deviation per level, with the slow moving average envelope set to SMA50 with a +-8% deviation support...
US Equity market perspective 2018 - present. This is a VTI 1 day chart with my personal Mega Triangular Trend Channel set to SMA365 and a 4-level trend channel inlay set to EMA200. This perspective can be used by a long-term investor to plan capital deployment and/or risk management. I set my tickerTracker MFI oscillator to 100 with VTI, SPY, QQQ, IWM, DIA etf's...
“There is a battle of two wolves inside us all. One is evil: it is anger, envy, greed, arrogance, jealousy, resentment, lies. The other is good: it is joy, peace, love, hope, humility, kindness, empathy, truth. The wolf that wins? The one you feed. —Cherokee proverb”
VTI total US stock market etf with SMA200 mega trend channel (SMA200 is center green), SMA50...
US Equity Market 2022 Timeline based on the 1-day chart 730SMA TTC - trend channel to get a very accurate trajectory over time. Plus, tickerTracker - MFI Oscillator set to 45 with VTI, DIA, SPY, QQQ and IWM.
LEAPS 1/21
FOMC 1/26
MONTHLY 2/18
FOMC 3/16
QUAD WITCHING 3/18
FOMC 4/27
FOMC 6/16
QUAD WITCHING 6/17
FOMC 7/27
QUAD WITCHING 9/16
FOMC 9/21
FOMC 10/1
FOMC...
The sky is not falling Chicken Little. All that happened is you got hit on the head with an acorn. That's good! It got your attention.
Now have a plan for trading the choppy 2022 market. Hedging is an effective strategy in today's market. For example: with shares you can hedge your portfolio with PFIX, VXX, SQQQ, SRTY, OR SDOW. Or with options, you can Collar a...
NYSE Arca
