Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of the Charts 📈📉 I am passionate about economics and history. Together, these two can tell a compelling story of ow interlinked everything is, and give a glimpse into the future should certain events repeat itself. That is the core of my argument today as we look at the previous time he US Government hit a debt ceiling, and...
VTI has a monthly bearish divergence in RSI. There is massive head and shoulders forming. Headlines coming about how money is flowing in. I believe they just want money to flow in so they can have liquidity to dump into. The market has had the most orderly decline this year that I know of. I still believe massive downside is in store for ETF's, blue chips that...
Will we have a Santa rally or the grinch that stole Christmas? Here's the US Equity market VTI etf December stats pattern search. The past 13 years (baker's dozen) December is historically bullish probability wise. December 2009 - 2022 10 bull December 3 bear December 77% odds bull 23% odds bear Average bull percent = +2.37% Average bear percent =...
Nothing fancy, US stocks are in a downtrend with downward pressure by a falling 50-week MA. RSI of 50-55 has been the upper bound of RSI all year and coincided with tops in January, March, and August. The 200-week MA is still rising and may provide near term support. However, in recessions this support is decisively broken (see 2020 and 2008). Given the...
In both of these charts, you can see the correlation between 2 sectors that had if not IDENTICAL run ups due to their nature of being overbought and unregulated. (housing crisis of 08 vs Crypto crisis of 2022) As of now we are still on our path downwards. The housing crisis took until Nov 2007 to late 2009 to start on the path of recovery. We know cryptocurrency...
Is there a US Election month pattern? US Federal elections are always on the first Tuesday following the first Monday in November. This year election day is tomorrow, Tuesday 11/8. Statistically speaking November is a bullish month for US equities. As you can see here on the VTI 1month chart for the past dozen years, 10 out of 11 times November has closed with a...
Vti is the entire SP500 index fund with low cost. If you have no clue about companies and stuff and still want to be part of USA who is biggest economy in the world at the moment, VTI is your go to. Markets are struggling so i wanted to look HTF charts and best possible prices to accumilate over time. Fibonacci is great tool for long term price targets. 0.5 is...
Bear market or FOMC market? The standard definition of a bear market is when major U.S. stock indices, such as the S&P 500, drop by 20% or more from their peak. The signs of a weak or slowing economy are typically low employment, low disposable income, weak productivity, and a drop in business profits. In addition, any intervention by the government in the...
After complying with the 161 topping tendency, VTI has now made a break of the 161 of the topping swing and held a retest. These are things often seen in macro reversals.
It honestly just makes sense. This should end around 35%. The market will be at its fair value once again.
This post is personal. We all have strategies on trading and the most important things for any trader in my opinion is to finally discover his/her strategy which suites there emotional temperament (pessimist / optimist). intellectual capacity ( children with a few simple rules trade better then many seasoned smart adult analysts/ proven back-testing results) , and...
Hey guys, Thank you for organizing this interesting competition. If anyone is interested ! Join in the fun Thanks for checking out my thesis and hope you guys enjoy it. ========================================== Basically, i will be doing a TOP-DOWN analysis approach for my thesis between the two major economies. We will be looking at simple macro and...
This Friday 8/19 is August monthly options expiry. Technically, the risk:reward and probability are to lean short now at this entry point. I'm thinking the market goes sideways at best this week. Here's a Mega Triangular Trend Channel MTTC2.0 (beta) set to 200SMA with 19 levels. And my tickerTracker MFI Oscillator set to 20 with SPY, VTI, QQQ, IWM & DIA. Do your...
The Vanguard Total Market ETF on a monthly timescale already highlights an ongoing correction downfall in the ETF marked-to-market net asset value. In the coming months, the Vanguard Total Market ETF could well fall another -26.15% down to 144 points, where the ETF price trendline would test the IKH Senkou A/B support, which would match up the support line of...
Medium to long-term entry is reasonable here, but the 200 week MA is not a precise timing mechanism. If we are in a secular bear market, moving averages could reverse and no longer be reliable, as seen in 2007 - 09. Hopefully we are closer to the end than the beginning.
On an analysis earlier that I published, the DXY may be ready for a retracement to the previous wave low. Now reeling back in on the VTI Looks like we may be close to being done with the C phase on this timeframe. Wave C has so far retraced Wave B up to 161%. I don't want to get too greedy until we see economic indicators start to peak out. However, I would like...
Quantitative Tightening started last Wednesday, June 1st, 2022. FOMC will be undertaking a “phased approach” of quantitative tightening measures beginning with a 3-month period of unwinding $30 billion of Treasuries and $17.5 billion mortgage-backed securities beginning on June 1, 2022. By September, 2022 these caps would increase to $60 billion and $35 billion,...
A bullish swing trade? Bouncing of EMA10. Target is 1.2x