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GOLD → Correction before growth and breakthrough of 3900...FX:XAUUSD has reached a new high of 3895. The dollar is recovering from its decline, and gold may form a correction. As prices rise, economic risks associated with NFP and the US government shutdown are increasing The suspension of NFP publication deprives the Fed and markets of a key benchmark for the labor market, increasing demand for defensive assets. The probability of a rate cut in October is estimated at 100%. Mixed JOLTS data (weak hiring) and fiscal risks are weighing on the USD, which in turn supports gold. Thus, the shutdown creates ideal conditions for gold to rise — uncertainty about Fed policy, a weaker dollar, and a flight to safety. Breaking through the $3900 level seems a likely scenario. Resistance levels: 3900, 3925 Support levels: 3871, 3854, 3831 A correction is forming after a small rally in the European session. Before continuing its growth, the market is entering a correction/consolidation phase. I have indicated the key support levels on the chart. If the bulls manage to keep the price above these zones, then we can expect continued growth in the short and medium term Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
9
NZDCAD → A false breakthrough will trigger a decline FX:NZDCAD is forming a countertrend correction with the aim of retesting key resistance and the liquidity zone amid a global downtrend. A reaction to the support zone is forming. The price is recovering, but within the global downtrend. The countertrend movement may end in the resistance zone of 0.811 - 0.8125 The global trend is downward, but we are seeing a rebound within the retest of the channel support. There is a fairly large pool of liquidity ahead, which is capable of stopping the price from rising at a high speed. A false breakout of 0.811 - 0.8125 could trigger a decline. Resistance levels: 0.811 - 0.8125 Support levels: 0.8056, 0.8030 A false breakout, consolidation below the specified zone, and a price close below the level could trigger a further decline. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
3
GOLD → Liquidation, but there is still a chance for growth...FX:XAUUSD has reached a new all-time high of 3871.6, marking its best month in 14 years (+12% in September). However, against the backdrop of high risks, the market is experiencing profit-taking and a deep correction. What next? The high probability of a shutdown from October 1 is weighing on the dollar. The probability of a Fed rate cut in October is 90%, despite cautious comments from the Fed. New tariffs on timber and furniture (from October 14). Data from China: PMI growth (Manufacturing to 51.2). All this supports the bullish trend in gold. However, the end of the quarter, anticipation of NFP (but in the event of a shutdown, the publication of employment data will be suspended). Technically, as part of the correction, the price is testing the upward support line, and the price reaction to the 3790-3780 zone will give hints about further movement... Support levels: 3791, 3783 Resistance levels: 3831, 3847 A false breakdown and the formation of a reversal pattern relative to the specified support zone could trigger a recovery phase within the bullish trend. However, a quick return to support could trigger an attempt to break through and correct to 3759-3738. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
27
BITCOIN → Correction before the breakout of 114.5KBINANCE:BTCUSDT , after the end of the correction, is forming a 3.5% rally and testing the important milestone of 114,600. It was not possible to break through the level without consolidation and at such a high speed. How long will the correction last? Bitcoin is testing mirror resistance and, after a strong rally, was unable to continue its growth. The reason for the halt is a huge liquidity pool above 114,600. A pullback is forming. Earlier, the price ended a 3-week correction by breaking through the downward resistance. We can assume a change in sentiment towards the buyer... Technically, the price is changing the nature of the market to bullish after the formation of a reversal structure accompanied by a bullish run. The 2-week high has been updated. Resistance levels: 113850, 114620, 115900 Support levels: 113100, 112300, 111800 As part of the correction, the price may test the 113K - 112500 zone before returning to growth. If the market holds the price above 112K - 113K, it will confirm the bullish sentiment, and the positive fundamental background will support further growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
8
NZDUSD → Rebound from support. Focus on 0.5800FX:NZDUSD is undergoing a correction amid a rebound in the US dollar, testing trend support and forming a reversal pattern. The fall in the dollar may support price growth. The dollar is correcting, which gives the forex market a chance. After retesting the support of the downtrend, the New Zealand dollar is forming a rebound. A reversal pattern and a breakout of resistance at 0.58 will return the price to the trading range, confirming a false breakdown of support and potentially triggering growth. The global trend is neutral, and locally we have the boundaries of a downward channel. However, a false breakout of trend support could shift the angle of imbalance towards the buyer, allowing the price to rise. Resistance levels: 0.580 Support levels: 0.5771, 0.575 A breakout of resistance at 0.58 and a close above this level would be a strong signal of readiness for growth. However, before that, the price may test support at 0.5771 (break-even zone). Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
10
GBPUSD → Will the bulls be able to maintain the bullish trend?FX:GBPUSD slows down in the 1.334 zone amid a sharp decline. The market is testing trend support against the backdrop of a bullish run in the DXY due to confusing data from Powell... The dollar continues its countertrend correction and is approaching resistance as part of the rally. A fall in the DXY will resume the growth of currency pairs. The pound sterling is currently testing trend support and the trading range. The focus is on the 1.334 - 1.337 zone. If the bulls keep the price above this range, it will confirm the false breakdown and may trigger growth within the bullish trend. Powell has confused the market with his statements and further policy. We have been observing the market's reaction over the past few days... Support levels: 1.334, 1.3315 Resistance levels: 1.337, 1.346 I do not rule out the possibility of a retest of 1.3315, but a return of the price to the range and consolidation of the price above the 1.334-1.337 zone will confirm the false breakdown and may give buyers hope that this, in turn, could lead to a recovery. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
6
NZDJPY → Consolidation amid a downtrend. What next?FX:NZDJPY is ending its correction and returning to the downward trend. The price is consolidating for a possible continuation of the downward movement... The price breaks the support of the upward channel (countertrend correction). The movement occurs in a “step” format, which generally indicates weak demand. Clear consolidation boundaries are forming on the chart. The global trend is downward, and the local trend has also resumed its downward movement. Focus on two zones: 86.5 - 86.96. Within the framework of trading strategies, a false breakout of resistance or a breakout of support can be considered with the aim of continuing the decline. Resistance levels: 86.96, 87.16 Support levels: 86.5 As part of consolidation, MM may form a liquidity trap on the resistance side, and a false breakout may trigger a further decline. However, if the bears increase pressure, the formation of a pre-breakdown base relative to the 86.5 support may trigger a breakout and a continuation of the downward movement. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
6
GOLD → Correction / consolidation before growth FX:XAUUSD has been rallying since the opening of the session, which we anticipated in yesterday's analysis. It has gained 1.6%, with the price reaching a new high of 3820. Technically, there is no potential for further growth in the short term, and the market may enter a phase of correction or consolidation. Key supporting factors : Risk of a US government shutdown. Pressure on the USD is intensifying due to fiscal uncertainty. Unconfirmed reports of negotiations between Trump and Netanyahu on Gaza are not yet distracting attention from the risks. The further dynamics of the metal this week will depend on US labour market data. This week will see JOLTS vacancies, ADP, PMI indices and the key NFP report on Friday. If they confirm the strength of the economy, expectations of a Fed rate cut (currently ~40 bps by the end of the year) may diminish, strengthening the dollar. Resistance levels: 3819, 3825 Support levels: 3804, 3791, 3777 The market is experiencing an aggressive trend. The fall of the dollar supports the growth of gold. However, the price of the metal is slowing down temporarily, and a correction is expected. The hunt for liquidity is beginning in order to continue growth. Technically, the focus is on 3804 - 3791. A false breakdown of support could resume the bull run. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
24
GOLD → The hunt for liquidity ahead of growth FX:XAUUSD . Technical analysis for the new trading session. On Friday, the local correction ended and there was a strong bullish impulse, which was sold off by the end of the session. What to expect next? Gold is trading in the upper half of the current trading range of 3728-3791. The US session initiated the end of the technical correction, which ended with a breakout of the consolidation resistance at 3755. A momentum of 300 pips was formed, and the price hit the local limit resistance zone of 3783, from which the market began to sell off. However, the current correction of the bullish momentum is not so scary in the current perspective, as MM is forming a retest of the zone of interest to capture liquidity in order to continue the bullish trend. Thus, a false breakdown of the support zone 3759 - 3755 or the ascending line may shift the momentum towards the bulls, which in turn may lead to growth to 3783 - 3791. Resistance levels: 3783, 3791, 3800, 3810 Support levels: 3759, 3755, 3743 If, during the retest of the support zone, the bulls keep the price above the blue zone at 3759, this will be a positive sign confirming the bullish structure, which could lead to a price recovery and a retest of the ATH. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
23
BITCOIN → Stagnation. A brief overview of the current situation.BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is consolidating after breaking through the trend line support. Despite the positive fundamental background and bullish trend, the market is forming a countertrend correction. The decline in interest rates in the US has had a negative impact on the cryptocurrency market. Can this be called manipulation? Most likely, yes. But the cryptocurrency market needs a constant driver to keep it alive; calm or neutral conditions lead to corrections and retests of intermediate lows... As for Bitcoin, I have identified several key areas: the boundaries of the current consolidation at 109,850 and 108,575. Accordingly, a breakout and close above or below one of these boundaries could trigger a move in the corresponding direction. But within the local trend, we can expect a decline to the intermediate bottom of 107,400, from which an attempt at growth could form. In addition, an important zone is the conglomerate of resistance at 110K and the ascending support line. If the price can form an upward momentum and close above the trend support, the market may react positively. Resistance levels: 109,850 - 110K, 111,500 Support levels: 108,500, 107,400 After breaking through the trend support, there is no momentum and the price is consolidating. This suggests that the market does not believe this premise and a battle for the area is forming. If the bulls can hold their ground and bring the price back within the boundaries of the uptrend, then it may be worth looking for a buying opportunity. Otherwise, it is worth waiting for a retest of the intermediate bottom at 107,400 before looking for an opportunity to open long positions. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
5
GOLD → Consolidation ahead of the news. Rise or fall?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating in the range of 3738-3759 in anticipation of US PCE inflation data, a key indicator for forecasting further Fed policy. Pressure on the metal is intensifying amid a strengthening dollar. The revision of GDP growth in Q2 to 3.8%, a decline in jobless claims, and an increase in durable goods orders have lowered expectations for aggressive Fed easing. The new tariffs imposed by Trump have supported demand for defensive assets, but have not been able to offset the pressure from the rise of the USD. The overall fundamental backdrop is stagnant amid Powell's uncertain stance and the start of a rate cut cycle. The market reaction is mixed... Gold is in wait-and-see mode. Strong PCE data could send the price to support at $3700, while weak data could bring back interest in record highs. Resistance levels: 3754, 3759, 3776 Support levels: 3738, 3728, 3703 Technically, the price is storming the resistance of the downward correction and the resistance of the “triangle” consolidation. A breakout and close above 3754-3759 will confirm the bullish sentiment, which could trigger growth towards the ATH. Otherwise, we can expect a retest of 3738-3728 before a possible rise. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
3
ETHEREUM → False breakout of 4100. Panic?BINANCE:ETHUSDT is forming a false breakout of resistance on the daily chart, formed by the ATH of the previous bullish cycle - 4100. Closing below this level could cause panic in the market... Bitcoin looks weak, consolidating below 114K. There was an attempt at a rally, but the news broke the structure and the cryptocurrency market is forming a downward correction, testing intermediate lows. Ethereum broke the support of the trading range and entered the panic zone - below 4065. The market may fight for this zone, and as part of the correction, the price may test the 4065-4120 area, but if ETH closes below resistance, it could trigger a price drop within the current bearish cycle to 3880-3715. Resistance levels: 4065, 4120, 4206 Support levels: 3880: 3715, 3370 On D1, the structure is weak, the price breaks through 4100-4090 and consolidates in the sales zone. Everyone who bought above 4100 can now start active sales due to the activation of stop orders, panic, fear, and the reversal of their positions. If the market does not receive support (bullish driver), the correction may continue. The nearest target is 3878 - 3715 7 3400 Sincerely, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
10
EURJPY → The classical model of technical analysis FX:EURJPY is attempting to break through resistance. The trend is bullish, and the probability of continued growth after consolidation above 174.50 is quite high... The market is forming an uptrend amid a decline in the dollar index. EURJPY looks quite strong, breaking through resistance at 174.47 sends the price into a void zone where there are no barriers to growth. A breakout of the “ascending triangle” consolidation resistance is forming. If the bears keep the price above 174.47, the market may enter a distribution phase... Resistance levels: 174.47, 175.0 Support levels: 174.226, 173.86 The classic technical model for the continuation of the movement is a breakout of the resistance of the ascending triangle. Consolidation of the price above 174.47 - 174.5 may provoke a continuation of the movement within the bullish trend. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3
GOLD → Will the correction continue, or is it time for growth?FX:XAUUSD is inside a descending channel—corrections within a global bullish trend. The price is forming a retest of resistance, and the market's reaction to the 3760 zone will give further insight into price movement... Gold is consolidating in the range of 3730-3790 in anticipation of US economic data and speeches by Fed officials. Pressure on the metal is intensifying due to revised expectations for rate cuts and a correction in the dollar... Key factors: Markets have reduced expectations for easing to 43 bps by the end of the year after cautious comments from the Fed. The dollar index has reached a 9-day high, limiting gold's growth. Tensions between Russia and NATO are preventing gold from falling. The market is in wait-and-see mode ahead of tomorrow's PCE data. Strong data today will strengthen the dollar and reinforce the correction in the metal, while escalating geopolitics will bring back demand for safe havens. Resistance levels: 3760, 3776, 3791 Support levels: 3752, 3741, 3731 Technically, the market is testing downward resistance. Since the opening of the session, the price has already moved a lot and there may not be enough potential for an initial breakout. I expect a pullback to 3745-3740, and if the bulls return the price to 3760, the market will have a chance to break through resistance and continue growing towards the resistance level of the range. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
16
GOLD → Intermediate bottom. Consolidation before growth FX:XAUUSD is being sold off and declining amid profit-taking following speeches by Powell and Trump. However, the market is quite aggressive amid falling interest rates. After forming an interim bottom, the market quickly bought back the decline. Gold is correcting after record growth, awaiting new signals from Fed representatives and PCE inflation data on Friday. The price remains close to historic highs, but the upward momentum has temporarily slowed, with consolidation forming at 3752-3791. Key factors : Powell gave no clear hints about future rate cuts, noting the risks of rising inflation and a weakening labor market. The probability of a rate cut in October has risen to 92%, but the Fed's sentiment index is fluctuating somewhat... The risk of a US government shutdown on October 1 and mixed PMI data are holding back the USD's strengthening. Technically, gold remains in a bullish trend, but consolidation is possible in the short term. PCE data will be the deciding factor — weak figures will support the metal, while strong figures will trigger a correction. Resistance levels: 3776.9, 3791, 3800 Support levels: 3767, 3752, 3738 The price is consolidating. Before reaching 3791-3800, there may be a retest of local support. Similarly, a retest of the ATH may also trigger a small pullback of 1/2 of the impulse before a breakout and growth to the specified targets. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
9
GOLD → Aggressive growth is not over. Powell's speech...FX:XAUUSD is rallying, with demand high amid a falling dollar and the Fed's rate cuts. Technically, there are no obstacles to growth, and the market is aggressive. For trading, look for buying opportunities on pullbacks. Gold is rallying and hitting new highs as people realize what's going on (interest rates are falling). Powell's speech is coming up, and it may trigger a correction (profit-taking) amid growing risks. Key factors: Powell's speech today, at which time the market is waiting for hints of further easing of Fed policy. PMI data (US), weak figures will support the possibility of further rate cuts... Demand for metal is supported by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Eastern Europe. Resistance levels: 3800 Support levels: 3760 Many factors are supporting the rise in gold, and there are no compelling reasons to sell gold now. The ideal trading strategy is to wait for a pullback and retest of support levels with the formation of strong reversal points for buying. Sincerely, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
18
SOLANA → When will the sale end? Bullish trend...BINANCE:SOLUSDT.P is testing the key support zone of 210-215 amid a market decline. However, it is too early to say that the correction is over; additional signs are needed... Bitcoin is not slowing down yet, a small correction is forming, and there is a chance for the market to fall to 110K. This could also trigger a decline in altcoins before further growth. SOL has been hit by a general sell-off across the entire market. Technically, the chart shows a sell-off and a halt to the decline in the support zone of 212.22. A double bottom has formed, which may be tested before the price returns to growth. The current consolidation in the range of 212.0 - 221.0, the boundaries of which are of interest to the market, gives hope. Support levels: 212, 200, 197 Resistance levels: 221, 231.5 A breakout of the local consolidation resistance and a close above 223.5 - 224 could trigger further growth within the bullish trend. Otherwise, MM may test the liquidity and support zone of 212.0 before the coin begins its recovery phase. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
4
GOLD → The rally continues. We are waiting for a pullback to buyFX:XAUUSD is rallying since the opening of the trading session. The movement has been continuing since Friday, after the end of the correction. The market is realizing the potential for interest rate cuts... The metal is showing gains for the fifth week in a row, despite the local recovery of the dollar. Key supporting factors: The forecast of two rate cuts before the end of the year continues to fuel interest. Tensions in US trade relations with India and other sources of instability. Upcoming PCE data on Friday may confirm the need for a soft policy. BUT! Caution is needed, as a short-term correction (profit-taking) is possible after record growth. Resistance levels: 3730, 3740, 3750 Support levels: 3703, 3685, 3674 The price is in the ATH zone, having come a long way since the opening of the session, and a correction may form. It is dangerous to sell in the current zone, and for trading within the bullish trend, it is worth waiting for a pullback to the nearest local support levels... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
18
GOLD → Breakthrough of correction resistance. Uptrend FX:XAUUSD entered a correction phase after the Fed meeting and interest rate cut, but by the end of the week, the market managed to recover from the decline and return to the zone of interest, breaking through the resistance of the downtrend... The dollar is correcting after the Fed meeting on interest rates. The index is testing resistance at 97.5-98.0, and a false breakout of this zone could trigger a fall in the index, which in turn would only support the forex and gold markets... At this time, the metal is reducing its correlation with the DXY and breaking the resistance of the downward correction, which is provoking an impulse to 3685. Technically, Friday's trading session is closing quite positively, which generally indicates a high level of demand. I would highlight several key levels: the previously broken resistance at 3674 (below this zone there is a hidden liquidity pool) and resistance at 3685 (trigger). A retest of the lower level is possible before the price continues its growth. The target within the current movement can be considered 3700 - 3710. Support levels: 3674, 3668, 3660 Resistance levels: 3685, 3703, 3710 If, during the Asian/Pacific session, gold consolidates without a pullback and closes above 3685, the market may continue to rise towards the specified target. However, if the market lacks potential (after the weekend), then MM may test 3674 - 3668 before the price returns to growth towards the target of 3700. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
6
BITCOIN → Manipulation, long squeeze before growth BINANCE:BTCUSDT is in a global bullish trend. The fundamental background, following the start of interest rate cuts, is taking a positive turn, but instead of growth, the market is consolidating... Bitcoin is showing resilience, trading within the specified trading range (above 114K) amid the Fed's policy easing. For three weeks in a row, growth has been supported by dovish signals from the central bank and growing institutional demand. Key drivers: The Fed's 25 bps rate cut and forecasts of further easing (to 3.6% by the end of 2025) have strengthened the fundamental backdrop in the cryptocurrency market. Corporate and ETF purchases continue to fuel the bullish trend. Low rates reduce the attractiveness of bonds and increase interest in Bitcoin. Technically, the market, influenced by manipulation rather than growth, continues to accumulate potential before growth. Resistance levels: 117860, Support levels: 114600, 113300 The market is forming an uptrend, with a bullish trend line appearing on the chart. However, as part of consolidation, Bitcoin is under pressure from bears and is moving into a correction phase from 117900. I expect that MM may form a long squeeze in the liquidity zone. That is, a false breakdown of the consolidation support and trend at the same time, and only then return to an upward movement. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
32
GOLD → Retest of resistance at 3660. What could happen?FX:XAUUSD is testing resistance to correction after breaking the local market structure from bearish to bullish. A breakout of 3660 could give buyers a chance... A 25 bp rate cut to 4.25% was expected, but the forecast for further cuts came as a surprise: now two cuts before the end of 2025 (instead of one) and one in 2026. The reason for the shift: fears of a slowdown in the labor market outweighed the risks from inflation (2.9% in August). The dollar continues its countertrend correction (rebound) after Powell's speech and economic news. This temporary phenomenon may soon end. Gold, after a manipulative phase, may return to an upward movement if the price breaks 3660 and consolidates above this level. The Fed preferred to support employment, risking accelerating inflation. In the long term, this will support risk assets and commodities, but in the short term, the markets have taken a pause. Resistance levels: 3360, 3675, 3688 Support levels: 3643, 3631 Gold is not updating local lows, a cascade bottom is forming and the local bearish structure is breaking down. If the market manages to overcome the resistance of the correction, a bullish impulse may form! Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
13
SOLUSDT → Correction amid a strong bullish trend BINANCE:SOLUSDT , after updating its next high, formed a false breakout of local resistance and returned to the trading range as part of a correction. What to expect from altcoin? The main driver of the crypto market, Bitcoin, is consolidating above 115K and facing fairly strong resistance at 117400. Earlier, the price completed a downward correction. The market is dominated by a positive technical and fundamental background. SOL looks stronger than Bitcoin and is testing new highs... The price of SOLANA is forming a false breakout of resistance and is entering a correction phase amid a bullish trend. As part of the correction, the price may test the local imbalance zone and the key liquidity level of 242.5. Resistance levels: 244, 249.2, 253.5 Support levels: 242.5, 239, 231.5 Technically, the price may form a false breakdown of the nearest zone of interest at 242.5, and if the bulls manage to keep the price above the resistance zone of 242.5-244.0 after this maneuver, the coin may return to an upward movement. However, if this does not happen, I would wait for a retest of the 239.0 zone, where the trend support line is located. The medium- and long-term outlook for SOL is positive, and the price is highly likely to test the ATH 295.0. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
6
GOLD → Rates have been cut. Will growth continue?FX:XAUUSD , following the Fed's decision on interest rates, caused a shock, updating the ATH to 3707, then updating the minimum to 3633. Since the opening of the European session, the market has been recovering, but there is a BUT... The Fed's Dot Plot confirmed the forecast of two additional rate cuts before the end of the year, which provides long-term support for gold. The USD remains under pressure after the Fed's decision, despite a short-term rebound. Trump's statements and the escalation of conflicts continue to fuel demand for safe havens. After rising to a record high of $3707, a short-term correction is possible. If today's jobless claims come in better than expected, it will temporarily strengthen the USD. As for Powell, his emphasis on “meeting-to-meeting decisions” may limit appetite for risky assets. Resistance levels: 3674.7, 3688.6 Support levels: 3654.5, 3633, 3626.8 Technically, since the opening of the European session, gold has spent its intraday ATR reserve. From the specified resistance level of 3675 (psychological level), a correction to 3660-3655 may form before continuing to grow to 3675-3688. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
14