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GOLD → Price within range ahead of Fed meeting FX:XAUUSD is consolidating within a wide range amid expectations of the Fed's interest rate meeting. The fact that interest rates will be lowered has most likely already been factored in by the market. There is a possibility of a long squeeze... New threats of tariffs by Trump (on fertilizers from Canada and against Mexico) are weakening the dollar and supporting gold. As for interest rates, the Fed is expected to cut rates by 25 basis points, but the market has most likely already priced in the cut. Accordingly, there may be countertrend movements (MM traps) to accumulate liquidity before further advances. Today's JOLTS data on job vacancies may cause increased volatility. According to statistics, before and after interest rate cuts, gold forms a swing correction, within which it may test the support of the range against the backdrop of a bullish trend... Resistance levels: 4219.5, 4256 Support levels: 4200, 4180, 4163 Ahead is a strong liquidity zone at 4220, and the retest may end in a decline. MM may continue to accumulate liquidity before further advancement. I expect a retest of the range support with the aim of retesting the liquidity pool at 4175-4165 before a possible rise. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
13
BITCOIN → False breakout of resistance on a downtrend BINANCE:BTCUSDT is consolidating in the range of 86K - 92K, bears are holding resistance amid a global downtrend, traders lack drivers... Fundamentally, sentiment in the crypto market is weak, and there is increasing talk of a crypto winter, especially among companies that previously actively bought cryptocurrencies for their balance sheets. There is no bullish driver at the moment. Bitcoin is in a neutral state, with the market holding the price below 93K. The fundamental background is unstable, and technically, the market is in a downtrend. A reversal pattern is forming relative to 92K, and a retest and false breakout of the zone of interest could trigger a decline to the support range. Locally, we are seeing an upward channel, but this is a correction against the backdrop of the global trend. If the bears keep the price below 92K, the decline may continue. However, a breakout of 94K and a close above that level could trigger an upward momentum... Resistance levels: 91850, 92700, 93700 Support levels: 88000, 86300 A false breakout and price consolidation in the short zone could cause further sell-offs towards the areas of interest located at the bottom of the trading range. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
7
GOLD → Retest of upward trend support. Focus on 4200FX:XAUUSD is trading near $4,200, remaining cautious at the start of the week ahead of the Fed's decision. The trend is bullish, with the dollar stagnating. A long squeeze of support could trigger a rebound... The Fed is expected to cut rates by 25 bps (probability ≈90%). Weak US data supports dovish expectations Attention is shifting to the Fed meeting and its forecasts for 2026. The lack of important US data today shifts the focus to geopolitics and general market sentiment. There is not much news this week, but from a geopolitical point of view, attention is focused on Japan-China and Russia-Ukraine-US relations. Gold is awaiting signals from the Fed. The decision on rates and geopolitical news will determine the direction of the breakout from the current range. Resistance levels: 4220, 4256 Support levels: 4200, 4195, 4180 The dollar previously broke through the support of the uptrend, but has been stagnating for the past few days. A break below 99.0 could trigger a decline in the index, which could support the price of gold. Gold is testing the support of the trading range within the uptrend. Focus on the 4200-4195 zone. A long squeeze could trigger growth amid a weak dollar... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
11
USDJPY → Attempt to return to the bullish trend from correctionFX:USDJPY may exit the correction phase and continue its upward movement within the trend. The global target has not yet been reached. The dollar is consolidating after breaking the bullish trend structure. The market is trying to keep the price above 99.0. Growth and a retest of 99.5 are possible. This move may support the growth of the currency pair. The correction may end. The main trend is bullish, and the market continues to follow the trend lines despite the weak dollar. A breakout of the correction boundary and maintaining the price above 155.4 may trigger a distribution of 157.8. Resistance levels: 155.4, 157.15 Support levels: 154.45 Local and global trends are bullish. The correction may end as the price continues to storm the resistance of the local bearish pattern. A breakout of 155.4 and consolidation above this zone may support further growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3
AUDUSD → Readiness for distribution within the uptrend FX:AUDUSD breaks through the resistance of a wide trading range (consolidation) and is preparing for growth. Important news ahead... Ahead of the Fed's interest rate meeting, the dollar broke its upward trend and is storming support, hinting at a readiness to fall. The probability of a rate cut is 90%, and a fall in the dollar could trigger growth in the currency pair. The currency pair is breaking through the consolidation resistance at 0.6628 and forming consolidation in a long zone. A trigger of 0.6649 appears on the chart - a breakout and close above this zone will trigger growth and a distribution phase. Resistance levels: 0.6649, 0.67, 0.68 Support levels: 0.6628, 0.6581 Before rising, the price may test support (the previously broken trading range boundary). However, a breakout and close above 0.6649 could trigger a distribution phase towards 0.67-0.68, especially against the backdrop of a weak dollar... Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
1
ADAUSDT → Correction (hunt for liquidity) before the fall BINANCE:ADAUSDT is pausing in the 0.41 area and entering a correction phase, during which it may test the zone of interest in a bearish market. Bitcoin failed to overcome resistance at 92K, with economic data intensifying bearish pressure, resulting in another decline. The market is stagnant within the trading range, and any correction could quickly turn into a sharp decline... ADA is forming a halt in the 0.41 zone and is entering a phase of local correction. The zone of interest is 0.426 - 0.434 (the area of local trend support breakdown). A retest of resistance may end in a false breakout... Resistance levels: 0.421, 0.426, 0.434 Support levels: 0.409, 0.392 A false breakout of the resistance zone or a retest of the previously broken support of the uptrend may end in pressure from the bears. The correction may be followed by a continuation of the downtrend and the zone of 0.421 - 0.434 Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
16
DOGEUSDT → Lack of bullish potential BINANCE:DOGEUSDT.P failed to break the trend. Under pressure from resistance and a global downtrend, the coin is reversing and may decline... Bitcoin is pausing after a news rally based on rumors. The trend remains bearish. Pressure on the crypto market is present... DOGE faced pressure in the 0.1477 - 0.155 zone. A rebound from 0.1533 is forming and the price is closing below 0.1477, forming a pre-breakout base of 0.1464. The reaction to support is weakening, confirming the weakness of the buyer. A close below 0.1464 could trigger a further decline within the range. Resistance levels: 0.1477, 0.15337 Support levels: 0.1464, 0.1366 A breakdown of support, closing below the level, and consolidation in the short zone will once again confirm buyer weakness, which in turn may trigger a further decline. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
6
GOLD → Consolidation above 4220. Bullish structureFX:XAUUSD is trading in a narrow range around $4,200, maintaining sideways momentum ahead of US inflation data. The market confirms a bullish structure... The probability of a Fed rate cut in December remains at ≈90%. Mixed US employment data: – Jobless claims fell to their lowest level since September 2022. – Layoffs in November reached a two-year high. The key benchmark today is the PCE index for September (data delayed due to the government shutdown). Gold is awaiting new signals on inflation. Range trading is likely until the release of PCE data, which may set the direction of movement ahead of the Fed's decision. Resistance levels: 4238, 4262 Support levels: 4220, 4183 If the bulls hold their ground above local support at 4220, we will have a chance to break through 4238 and retest 4262. However, a breakout of the trading range resistance could trigger a continuation of the rally towards the ATH. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
9
GOLD → Retest of consolidation support on uptrend FX:XAUUSD is trading in a sideways range around $4,200, awaiting new labor market data to determine the Fed's policy trajectory after December's rate cut. Weak US data (a 32K decline in ADP employment and a slight increase in ISM services to 52.6) did not change market expectations. The probability of a 25 bp Fed rate cut on December 11 is around 90%. Attention has shifted to the trajectory of policy easing in early 2026. Key factors will be data on unemployment claims and sentiment on Wall Street. The fundamental background is relatively positive, and the dollar has entered a correction phase due to expectations of lower rates, which may support the gold price... Resistance levels: 4238, 4262 Support levels: 4185, 4175 Gold is testing the support levels of the key trading range. If the bulls keep the price above 4185 and form a bullish reversal pattern, then in the short and medium term, we can expect growth to intermediate highs. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
19
ETHEREUM → The emergence of a positive driver?BINANCE:ETHUSDT is soaring amid a news rally and testing resistance at 3230. The daily increase was almost 20%. If growth is expected, then after a slight correction... Fundamental background: the market reacted to rumors of the replacement of the Fed chairman with Kevin Hassett, who is more “dovish” and loyal to cryptocurrencies. The market broke the local structure and updated the interim maximum from 3070 to 3230. A false breakout of resistance is forming relative to the key resistance level, and the market is entering a correction/stagnation phase. Bitcoin, the main driver of the cryptocurrency market, faced strong resistance at 95K. The global market trend is downward, and a change in trend will require time and more confirmation... There is a struggle for resistance in the market, and several scenarios are possible: consolidation and a breakout of resistance, or growth after correction... Resistance levels: 3230, 3370 Support levels: 3172 (local), 3057 High probability: a false breakout of 3230 will trigger a correction to 3050 (before the news). If the bulls keep the price above 3050, growth may continue as part of the change in the fundamental background. BUT! If buyers keep the price without correction, then the focus will be on 3230. Consolidation above this level could trigger growth to 3370 - 3620. Best regards, R. Linda!
by RLinda
10
GOLD → The battle for zone 4200. Bullish trend FX:XAUUSD is forming a local trading range of 4180-4230, trying to stay above 4200 after yesterday's correction ahead of important US employment and services data. The dollar is weakening amid expectations of a Fed rate cut on December 11. News concerning Powell, namely Fed chair candidate Kevin Hassett (a well-known “dove”), is supporting gold. Geopolitical risks (stagnation in Russia-Ukraine negotiations) are increasing demand for safe-haven assets. • In focus today: ADP employment data and ISM Services PMI. • Weak indicators will strengthen bets on Fed policy easing and support gold. Gold retains its upside potential. The release of US data could either accelerate growth to $4300 or trigger a correction in the event of strong indicators. Resistance levels: 4230, 4260 Support levels: 4185, 4175 Gold is testing 4200 for strong support. Local trading range 4180 - 4230. A false breakout of support amid a bullish trend and a weak dollar could support gold's growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
38
EURUSD → Consolidation above downtrend resistance FX:EURUSD is attempting to reverse the trend amid expectations of interest rate cuts in the US. Important resistance at 1.165... The dollar is breaking the support of the bullish trend amid expectations of interest rate cuts and news related to Powell. A decline in the index will support the euro exchange rate. EURUSD is breaking the resistance of the downtrend, followed by bulls trying to keep the currency pair above 1.160, a psychological level. Against the backdrop of the dollar's decline, there is a chance of a breakout above 1.165 and growth Resistance levels: 1.165 - 1.1656 Support levels: 1.159, 1.155 Before breaking through resistance, the market may consolidate or retest support. However, a breakout of 1.165 - 1.1656 and a close above this zone could trigger a distribution towards 1.173 - 1.182 Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
6
GOLD → Correction to support amid a bullish trend FX:XAUUSD retreated from the $4,245 level reached on Monday. A countertrend correction is forming ahead of the news. But buyers are not sleeping... Weak US economic data has heightened expectations of an imminent Fed rate cut. The PMI index in the US manufacturing sector continued to contract. The market estimates the probability of the Fed easing policy next week at 87%. However, rising US Treasury yields and fears that the Fed may send cautious signals after its December decision are limiting gold's growth. Market attention is shifting to ADP employment data and the US services business activity index (ISM Services PMI), which will be released on Wednesday. They will provide new signals about the health of the US economy. The correction in gold appears to be under control amid continuing macroeconomic uncertainty. The 4200, 4193-4173 level remains an important area of struggle between bulls and bears. Resistance levels: 4211, 4245 Support levels: 4193, 4173 A false breakdown and the bulls holding the market above the above support zone could trigger growth within the trend. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
23
BITCOIN → The hunt for liquidity before the fallBINANCE:BTCUSDT.P continues to update lows within the global downtrend. The retest of 91K confirmed the dominance of bears... The downtrend continues. The technical and fundamental situation for the crypto market is neutral to weak. Bearish pressure held back the attempt to rise relative to 91K. The market is weak and not ready for growth. The subsequent decline broke the local structure, which generally indicates a bear market, but after updating the local minimum to 83700, a countertrend correction is forming. Zone of interest/break-even zone - 89K - 90K. A quick retest of these levels could trigger a downward pullback. Resistance levels: 89K, 90K Support levels: 85,400, 83,400 A retest of the range boundary and zone of interest could trigger a liquidity squeeze and a further decline if the bears keep the price below these boundaries. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
14
GOLD → The bullish trend continues. Retest of 4250FX:XAUUSD is trading at six-week highs near $4,250, supported by a weaker dollar and expectations of a Fed rate cut. The market is storming key resistance... The probability of a December rate cut is 87%. The dollar is posting its worst week in four months after failing to consolidate above 100.0. A break in local trend support could trigger a decline in the index, which would support gold. Today's focus is on the ISM Manufacturing PMI (forecast: 48.6). Weakness in the data could increase pressure on the dollar and support gold. Gold maintains its upward trend, supported by loose monetary policy. Key data this week could boost momentum ahead of the Fed meeting. Resistance levels: 4245, 4300 Support levels: 4211, 4193 A retest of 4245 could end with a pullback within the current consolidation at 4211 - 4245. Two scenarios: If the bulls hold the price above 4245, a rally to 4300 is expected. Otherwise, the market could retest 4215 - 4211 with the aim of a long squeeze before rallying. The trend is bullish, and the fundamental background is relatively positive. Sincerely, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
13
GBPUSD → Attempt to change the trendFX:GBPUSD is attempting a trend reversal. The likelihood of an interest rate cut is quite high, which could support the pound's rise. The dollar is attacking the uptrend support level, failing to consolidate above 100.0. Ahead of the interest rate meeting, another rate cut could weaken the dollar, which in turn would support the pound sterling. The currency pair is breaking downtrend resistance, and bulls are attempting to hold the price above 1.3191. A prolonged squeeze could shift the imbalance toward buyers, which in turn could trigger a rally. Support levels: 1.3191, 1.3124 Resistance levels: 1.337, 1.353 The price has entered the trading range of 1.3191 - 1.3370. Consolidation is forming above key support, but the market may test this area of ​​interest before continuing its rise at the European session's opening. A false breakdown and price holding above 1.3191 could support further growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3
SOLANA → Countertrend correction. Bear market BINANCE:SOLUSDT.P is forming a correction after retesting the intermediate bottom of 120.0. Ahead lies a fairly strong and important zone of interest, to which the market may react... The market structure is bearish. After updating the low within the bearish trend, a countertrend correction to the liquidity zone is forming. A retest of resistance at 143-145 may end in a false breakout and a fall. Bitcoin is also stagnating. There is no strong support from the fundamental side, and the market is also far from technical support. There is still potential for a fall... Resistance levels: 143.35, 145.67, 150.8 Support levels: 133.12, 128.3 The coin is within the trading range of 120.0 - 144.0. Accordingly, after a retest of support, a retest of resistance is forming, but pressure on the market is being exerted by a weak fundamental background and a downward trend. A false breakout of this zone of interest could trigger a sell-off... Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
4
BITCOIN → Retest of the 94,000 zone of interest...BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is rebounding from its interim low of 80,000. However, it is still too early to talk about a bull market, as a countertrend correction is forming under the current circumstances. Globally, Bitcoin is in a downtrend, with the zone of interest for a countertrend correction being 94,000-95,000. The market structure is bearish, and a retest of the break-even zone could trigger a downward movement within the trend. After a strong liquidation to 80K, the market is forming a pullback, which is a basic phenomenon. There is no confirmation of a trend reversal yet, and the fundamental background is neutral, without clear support. Various analytical services suggest that the market is in a cleansing phase and has so far only liquidated short-term traders, reaching a cumulative average break-even price. A classic pullback. Technically, the zone of interest or magnet for the medium-term market is 75K (on the daily timeframe). Resistance levels: 93,000, 94,000, 97,300 Support levels: 89,000, 86,000 In the current situation: a bearish trend, weak purchasing power, and a weak fundamental background, I consider a pullback to be the primary reaction to the 93-94K zone. However, the market is not constant, and if support appears (news or other drivers) and Bitcoin manages to stay above 95K, then growth can be expected. Sincerely, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
10
GOLD → Consolidation above 4150 amid a bullish market FX:XAUUSD breaks through 4170 and renews its high to 4193 during the Asian trading session. But further on, the market may consolidate before a possible continuation of growth... The probability of a Fed rate cut in December remains at 82%. Geopolitical risks (Russia-Ukraine) continue to support demand for safe-haven assets. Weekly growth continues, but consolidation above $4170-4190 is required for the movement to continue. However, low liquidity is expected on Thursday/Friday due to the holidays in the US. There may not be any strong movement, but volatility could be high during the European/American session... Focus on the current trading range of 4150-4193... Resistance levels: 4170, 4193, 4211 Support levels: 4150, 4145, 4139 The market is bullish both globally and locally. Accordingly, within the current trading range, gold may form a long squeeze relative to support and the liquidity zone at 4150. If the fundamental background does not change over the weekend, growth may continue next week... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
7
ETHEREUM → Countertrend correction. The hunt for liquidity BINANCE:ETHUSDT is testing the downward trend line and attempting to break through the resistance conglomerate. Overall, against the backdrop of low liquidity, the market has the opportunity to test 3245... Against the backdrop of low liquidity and without the presence of the American side in trading, ETH is testing the downward line of the local trend. A medium-term downtrend is forming in the cryptocurrency market. There is no strong fundamental support, and after the correction, the decline may continue. Any attempts at growth at this point can be seen as an opportunity to sell profitably... A breakout is forming and an attempt is being made to keep the price in the long zone. If the bulls keep the price above 2897 after retesting support, the price is likely to strengthen to the resistance range of 3245... However, a false breakout (liquidity capture) of key resistance may remind the market of the relevance of the downward trend... Resistance levels: 3000, 3245 Support levels: 2987, 2863 I expect two movements. If the price stays above 2987 (after retesting), then Ethereum will be able to retest the resistance of the range. A false breakout of the resistance range could trigger a price decline within the global downtrend that has been developing for 3 months... Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
4
GOLD → Consolidation above the support level of the new rangeFX:XAUUSD is consolidating above 4150 but within the distribution phase after breaking through consolidation. The upward price movement is supported by the weakening of the dollar... The metal remains on track for a fourth month of growth thanks to expectations of further Fed rate cuts and geopolitical tensions. Despite strong US data, markets are still pricing in a 76-85% probability of a rate cut in December. The dollar is weakening, although yields are rising slightly. Against the backdrop of the holiday week in the US, volatility may decrease and gold may consolidate. Talks about a possible peace between Russia and Ukraine could reduce demand for safe-haven assets, but the overall backdrop remains favorable for XAU/USD growth. Resistance levels: 4170, 4211 Support levels: 4146, 4139 Gold is consolidating above the key support zone of 4140-4146. A long squeeze could trigger a shift in market imbalance in favor of buyers. If the bulls keep the price above 4150, this could trigger further growth, a breakout of 4170, and a retest of 4211. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
12
GOLD → Distribution phase. Focus on 4150...FX:XAUUSD is trading at a one-and-a-half-week high, supported by a weaker dollar and growing expectations of Fed policy easing. More news ahead... US PPI inflation showed signs of slowing (2.7% y/y). Retail sales and consumer confidence were weaker than expected. The probability of a Fed rate cut in December rose to 85%. Fed members (Williams, Waller, Miran) supported the possibility of easing However, progress in Russia-Ukraine negotiations is limiting growth Today, attention is focused on data on jobless claims and durable goods orders The combination of soft monetary policy, geopolitical risks, and structural demand from the Central Bank creates a favorable backdrop. Resistance levels: 4156, 4211 Support levels: 4146, 4111 Gold continues to recover after breaking out of consolidation and holding above 4110. Focus on the next trading range (consolidation) of 4156 - 4111. If the bulls keep the price above 4146 - 4156, the next target could be 4211 - 4245. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
16
GOLD → Psychological level retest before growth FX:XAUUSD breaks through consolidation resistance and renews its high to 4155. As part of a minor correction, a retest of 4100 may form and a battle for key support... The probability of a Fed rate cut in December has risen to 81%. Fed members (Williams, Waller, Daly) supported the possibility of easing this year. Progress in negotiations between the West and Ukraine with Russia reduces demand for defensive assets. Gold remains sensitive to inflation and retail sales data. Strong figures could adjust rate expectations and limit growth, while weak data would support the bulls. Technically, a retest of the 4110-4100 zone is forming. If the bulls hold their ground above this level, a new trading range of 4100-4150 could form. Resistance levels: 4155, 4211 Support levels: 4111, 4100 The importance of the 4100 zone is that it is an area of imbalance and breakeven, a consolidation boundary, as well as a psychological level. Accordingly, the reaction to this area should be aggressive. If the reaction is weak, the price may be dragged below 4100. Otherwise, I expect consolidation above 4111 and further growth to 4155 (possibly to 4200). Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
17