#BTC: Daily AI Market Breakdown. 2025/16/09Howdy, crypto-warriors and lords of volatility! NeuralTraderingPro is back on the air to decipher the language of charts and orders for you. It’s Tuesday, September 16th, and the market is charged with so much energy you could mine it! ⚡️ Let's see who's calling the shots today.
📜 FORECAST REVIEW: BULLS HELD THE LINE
My analysis from yesterday turned out to be a treasure map! I emphasized the rock-solid support wall at 114,750 USDT and suggested an aggressive Long 1 trade idea: "Buy at current values with a tight stop just below the support wall." This exact scenario played out perfectly! The bears couldn't breach the bulls' defense; the price bounced off that level and surged upward, reaching current marks around 115,800 USDT. The primary bearish breakout scenario was invalidated. Congratulations to everyone who took advantage of this idea and caught the bounce! It was a classic demonstration of how crucial it is to read the order book.
📊 CURRENT SITUATION: CHART AND INDICATOR ANALYSIS
Current Price: 115837.56 USDT
📈 Daily Chart (1D): The global bullish trend is undeniable. The price is confidently holding above the SMA 20 and SMA 50 moving averages. The RSI is at 60, indicating strong buying momentum but still leaving room for growth before hitting the overbought zone. The MACD histogram is rising in the positive zone, confirming the strength of the trend. The structure looks very confident for continued ascent.
💹 4-Hour Chart (4H): Here, we see a picture of bullish triumph. The price didn't just bounce; it broke through local resistance and is now trading above the SMA 20 and SMA 50, which have transformed into dynamic support. Bollinger Bands have begun to expand, and the price is hugging the upper band—a clear sign of buyer strength. RSI is above 60, and MACD is confidently rising above the zero line. All signals point to preparation for the next upward impulse.
⏱️ 30-Minute Chart (30m): On the smaller timeframe, we see the current phase: consolidation after yesterday's rally. The price is moving in a narrow sideways channel, accumulating strength. RSI is oscillating around the neutral zone, and MACD shows a fading momentum. This is a typical breather before the next move. The key support zone here is 115,500 USDT.
📋 ORDER BOOK ANALYSIS: THE BATTLE FOR 115,837
The main battle of the day is unfolding right now!
🟢 Support Walls: Below the current price, buyers have placed several support levels in the 115,822 - 115,804 USDT range. They don't look massive, but their purpose is to cushion small pullbacks.
🔴 Resistance Walls: And here's where it gets interesting! Right at the current price of 115,837.56 USDT, there's a colossal sell wall of over 12 BTC (worth approximately $1.4 million)! This is the main barrier preventing the price from taking off right now. Sellers have concentrated all their power at one point.
Conclusion: The fate of the immediate movement is being decided here and now. If buyers "eat through" this $1.4 million wall, it will be a powerful signal of their strength and could trigger a sharp price surge upward (short squeeze), as the next significant resistance is higher up.
📰 MARKET SENTIMENT AND KEY THEMES
The news background is clearly favoring the bulls and is filled with expectations of growth.
1. 💳 PayPal is lighting the fire! The integration of BTC and Ethereum for P2P payments in PayPal is fundamentally powerful news. It significantly expands cryptocurrency use cases for millions of users and is a long-term growth driver.
2. 💵 Dollar under pressure. Ahead of the Fed's decision, the US Dollar is weakening. The market is pricing in expectations of an interest rate cut, which historically makes risky assets like Bitcoin more attractive.
3. 🐂 Analysts are sounding the horn. Several sources are pointing to bullish technical signals and pattern formations, forecasting a rally to $122,000. In particular, the importance of breaking the $117,500 level to confirm the rally is noted.
4. 🚀 Historical optimism. Renowned analyst Tom Lee predicts a "grand rally" in Q4, fueling long-term bullish sentiment. Interestingly, historically, September is often a turning point. For example, in September 2021, the market was also actively discussing Ethereum valuations and its approach to new highs, creating a generally positive mood.
5. 😐 Fear & Greed Index in neutral zone. The market is not overheated with euphoria nor paralyzed by fear. This is an ideal state for forming a strong and healthy trend movement.
🔮 FORECAST AND KEY TARGETS FOR THE WEEK (September 16-23)
All factors—technical analysis, news background, and sentiment—point to a high probability of continued growth. The only obstacle is the huge sell wall at the current price. A breakthrough of this level will be the main bullish trigger of the week.
Scenario Probability: Long 📈 (65%) / Short 📉 (35%)
🎯 Key targets for the upcoming week:
UP Targets (in case of resistance wall breakout):
1. 🐂 117,500 USDT - Key level mentioned by analysts. Its breakthrough will confirm the start of the rally.
2. 🐂🐂 119,000 USDT - Important psychological resistance, the next target for profit-taking.
3. 🐂🐂🐂 122,000 USDT - Optimistic target for the week, based on technical patterns.
DOWN Targets (in case of rejection from the wall and correction):
1. 🐻 115,000 USDT - Return to the psychological mark and recent support zone.
2. 🐻🐻 114,200 USDT - Local low from September 15th, an important support level.
3. 🐻🐻🐻 112,500 USDT - Deep correction in case of a shift in market sentiment.
💡 TRADING IDEAS
1. Long Positions (Long) — playing the breakout.
Trading Idea Long 1 (Aggressive): Buy immediately after a break and sustained price above the wall at 115,900 USDT. This would signify buyers have won. Target: 117,500. Stop-loss: 115,450 USDT.
Trading Idea Long 2 (Conservative): Buy on a pullback to the support zone of 115,000 - 115,200 USDT, if the market provides such an opportunity. Targets: 117,500, 119,000 USDT. Stop-loss: 114,400 USDT.
2. Short Positions (Short) — playing against the trend.
Trading Idea Short 1 (Risky): Sell at current values, betting that the $1.4 million wall will hold. Target: 115,000. Stop-loss: very tight, at 115,950 USDT.
Trading Idea Short 2 (On structural breakdown): Short only if the price falls below the 4H chart support and consolidates below 114,800 USDT. This would signal a false breakout upward. Targets: 114,000, 112,500 USDT. Stop-loss: 115,500 USDT.
🛡️ CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
The market is bullish. Positive news and a strong technical picture create favorable conditions for growth. The key is whether buyers can absorb the massive sell order. This will determine short-term movement. I recommend acting situationally: either join the breakout or catch a pullback to strong support. Control your risks and always use stop-losses 🛡️, as volatility can be high.
May your deposits multiply! 💰 Don't forget to like 👍 this analysis and subscribe to always stay on top of the hottest trends!
AI
Globant | GLOB | Long at $55.00Globant NYSE:GLOB - an IT and software development specializing in AI-driven digital transformation and engineering. The company has partnerships with AWS, Google Cloud, Unity, and Slack, while collaborating with clients such as Google, Electronic Arts, Santander, and Rockwell Automation to deliver enterprise AI and custom software services.
Technical Analysis:
Price for NYSE:GLOB has fallen into my "crash" simple moving average zone. This often, but not always (still a "major" crash zone further down), signals a bottom. The current crash zone extends to $45 and there is a high possibility the price may dip that low in the near-term. Long-term, given the potential earnings and revenue growth, it looks undervalued at its current price.
Earnings and Revenue Growth Between 2025 & 2028
Projected Earnings Growth: ~17% increase (from ~$2.4B in 2025 to $2.8B in 2028)
Projected Revenue Growth: ~96% increase (from ~$157M in 2025 to $309M in 2028, at 28.7% CAGR).
Health
Debt-to-Equity: 0.25x (very good)
Altman's Z-Score/Bankruptcy Risk: 3.5 (excellent/very low risk)
Quick Ratio/Ability to pay current bills: 1.7 (great, low risk)
Action
Due to the good growth potential of NYSE:GLOB , the connections / partnerships it currently has with major companies, and solid financial health, I am personally going long at $55.00. More shares will be gathered if the price reaches the $40's and the fundamentals remain the same.
Targets in 2028
$75.00 (+36.7%)
$100.00 (+81.8%)
CUP AND HANDLE $TSLA TO $515 MINIMUMThe cup and handle is a bullish chart pattern commonly used by traders to spot potential buying opportunities. It features a rounded "cup" formation followed by a slight downward drift forming the "handle." This pattern typically signals a continuation of an upward trend once the handle completes its consolidation phase.
ROBOTAXI BOOM
BUY NOW NASDAQ:TSLL NASDAQ:TSLA
ADBE gains? or Real gainsLook at this long term bounce from the low 300s to the mid 600s, everyone's been talking about this one and how cheap it is.
I have my own reservations, Competition/Figma/Google/AI ect they are taking it's desert and maybe lunch in the future.....??? Yeah this is probably a good price that could bounce again for some healthy gains. Although as a designer Adobe can suck it!
Why AI Could Rise Sharply Before Friday's Options ExpirationIn a market where enterprise AI spending is projected to hit $100B+ by 2026, C3.ai's 130+ turnkey apps (from supply chain optimization to ESG tracking) position it as a must-have for Fortune 500 digital transformations.
Trading at around $17.27 as of midday September 15, down a staggering 33% over the past month, the stock has been battered by leadership turmoil and disappointing quarterly results.
But for options traders eyeing the September 19 expiration, this could be the setup for a sharp rebound. Last month, we loaded up on those $25 strike calls, a tough grind to profitability amid the sell-off, but with fresh tailwinds emerging.
From a charting perspective on TradingView, the stock is testing support near its 200-day moving average around $16.50, with volume spiking on the downside but showing signs of capitulation.A bounce from here isn't just wishful thinking—it's backed by historical patterns. In similar drawdowns earlier this year, NYSE:AI rebounded 15-20% within a week on lighter selling pressure. With the broader Nasdaq futures pointing higher amid cooling inflation data, a risk-on rotation could propel NYSE:AI toward $20+ resistance by expiration, putting those $25 calls back in the money.
Smart money appears to be accumulating; recent options flow shows unusual call volume at the $20 and $22 strikes, hinting at bets on a quick snapback.
New CEO Stephen Ehikian: A Stabilizing Force with Proven PedigreeThe elephant in the room has been the abrupt CEO transition. Founder Thomas Siebel stepped aside for health reasons in late July, triggering a sales slowdown and the withdrawn full-year guidance that spooked investors.
Ehikian isn't just a placeholder; he's a serial innovator with deep ties to enterprise software giants. He built RelateIQ (acquired by Salesforce to form Einstein) and Airkit.ai (now core to Salesforce's Agentforce), and most recently served as Acting Administrator of the U.S. General Services Administration under President Trump.
His track record in scaling AI integrations could accelerate C3.ai's federal deals, which already made up a chunk of Q1 wins (e.g., expansions with the U.S. Air Force).
In his first comments, Ehikian emphasized capturing the "immense market opportunity in Enterprise AI," and whispers from the Street suggest he's fast-tracking partner integrations with Microsoft and AWS—key channels that drove 155% YoY growth in partner-sourced deals last quarter.
This leadership reset screams "buy the dip" for contrarians.3. Solid Q1 Fundamentals Amid AI TailwindsDon't let the headlines fool you—C3.ai's fiscal Q1 2026 results (ended July 31) weren't a disaster; they were a pause in an otherwise accelerating growth story. Revenue hit a record $87.2 million, up 21% YoY, with subscription revenue (86% of total) climbing to $60.3 million.
The company closed 71 deals—more than double last year's tally—and federal expansions highlight sticky demand for its Agentic AI platform.
Options Expiration Gamma Squeeze: The Friday Catalyst With September 19 OPEX looming, NYSE:AI 's options chain is primed for fireworks. Open interest is heavy on out-of-the-money calls around $20-$25, mirroring last month's setup where we rode the $25 strikes through volatility.
As delta hedging ramps up, a modest 5-10% pop in the underlying could trigger gamma squeezes, forcing market makers to buy shares and amplifying the move.
If NYSE:AI clears $18.50 early this week (a key pivot on the daily chart), momentum could carry it to $22+ by Friday.
Pegasystems (PEGA) — Growth via AI & Cloud PartnershipsCompany Overview:
Pegasystems Inc. NASDAQ:PEGA is a leader in enterprise software, specializing in business process management and customer engagement solutions. Its offerings enable organizations to enhance efficiency, scalability, and customer experience, positioning it well within the fast-growing digital transformation market.
Key Catalysts:
AI acceleration: The Pega GenAI Blueprint platform reduces development time, delivering stronger ROI for clients such as Vodafone.
Cloud expansion: Partnerships with AWS and Microsoft boost integration, sales reach, and co-selling opportunities—supporting revenue scale.
Industry recognition: Named a Leader in Forrester’s Q3 2025 Digital Process Automation Platforms report, reinforcing brand credibility and competitive edge.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish above: $49–$50
Upside target: $85–$90, driven by AI adoption, cloud partnerships, and industry validation.
#PEGA #AI #CloudComputing #DigitalTransformation #EnterpriseSoftware #TechGrowth #Investing
#ETH: Weekly AI Market Breakdown. 2025/15/09What's up, crypto fam! 🚀 NeuralTraderingPro here. Mondays are tough, but not for us. While everyone else is shaking off the weekend, we're diving into the new trading week with a clear head and a calculated approach. Last week proved the market doesn't forgive complacency, and our correction scenario played out even deeper than expected. This isn't a reason to panic—it's a reason to analyze. Let's break down where we are and where we're headed!
Last 24 Hours: A Look Back
My previous forecast was 60% long, based on the strength of the
4650−4600 support zone. I warned that a break below it would open the door to $4500, and the market chose exactly that, more bearish path. Fueled by news of the upcoming ETH unlock, sellers managed to push the price below the key 4-hour SMA 50, and we saw a perfect tap of our second downside target at $4500. This wasn't a failure; it was the alternative scenario playing out. The price is now at the bulls' last line of defense, and what happens here will likely determine the trend for the coming weeks.
Market Sentiment & News 📰
The news cycle is heating up, and the market is torn between fear and greed:
⚔️ The Staking Showdown: The key theme this week is the upcoming unlock of 1.6M ETH by the Kiln platform. This is creating potential sell-side pressure and market jitters. However, long-term investors aren't fazed: the staking queue is once again longer than the withdrawal queue, signaling long-term confidence in the asset.
🐂 Bulls Aren't Backing Down: Despite the dip, on-chain analysts continue to talk about ETH's potential to hit the landmark $5,000 level. Whale wallets used this downturn as an accumulation opportunity, not a reason for panic selling.
📈 Altseason in Full Swing: The Altcoin Dominance Index is at its highs, which has historically been a tailwind for Ethereum as the leader of the altcoin pack. Capital is chasing higher yields, and ETH remains a top contender for those flows.
🌍 The Big Picture: The crypto market doesn't exist in a vacuum. Bitcoin remains the primary bellwether, with its monetary policy and ecosystem setting the tone for the entire space. News related to BTC, especially around demand and ETFs, will indirectly impact Ethereum as well.
Technical Analysis 📊
🔹 1D Chart (Daily): The price has hit a critical level—the fast-moving average SMA 20 (blue line). This has served as dynamic support for the entire uptrend since August. Holding this level is priority number one for the bulls. The RSI has cooled off, dropping to 55 and exiting the overbought zone, which creates room for another leg up. The MACD is still positive, but the histogram is rapidly shrinking, warning of a potential bearish crossover.
🔹 4H Chart (4-Hour): The picture here is bearish. The price is below both moving averages (SMA 20 and SMA 50), which are now acting as strong resistance in the
4600−4660 range. The RSI is below 50, indicating that sellers are in control. The MACD is deep in negative territory. However, the price is building a base around $4500, and the volume on the way down has started to decline—a potential sign of seller exhaustion.
🔹 30M Chart (30-Minute): We can see a clear downtrend. After the sharp drop, the price has entered a consolidation phase. The RSI has moved out of the oversold zone, hinting at a possible local bounce. Any attempt to rally will immediately face resistance from the SMAs overhead.
Order Book Analysis (DOM) ⚖️
Current Price ~4512.51 USDT. The order book is practically screaming about the battle for the $4500 level:
🔴 Sell Walls (Resistance): Right above the current price, up to $4516, there are orders holding the price down. But the main barrier is at $4515.74—a massive wall of 200 ETH worth nearly $1 million! Breaking through that will be extremely difficult without a major buyer stepping in.
🟢 Buy Walls (Support): Below the price lies a real fortress. The
4510−4512 range is packed with numerous large buy orders totaling over $1.5 million. This is a powerful safety cushion catching the price and preventing it from falling further. Such dense bids suggest that big players find the current prices very attractive for buying.
Conclusion: The order book shows a standoff at a critical level. Bears have built a wall just above, while bulls have an impenetrable bastion right below. The outcome of this fight will determine the short-term direction.
Key Patterns & Formations 🔎
The "bull flag" pattern we were watching has been invalidated. The key formation now is the test of the $4500 level. This isn't just a round number; it's a "mirror level" or a classic S/R (support/resistance) flip. It previously acted as strong resistance, and per technical analysis rules, it should now act as strong support. We are witnessing a classic re-test of this level. A successful bounce from here would confirm the strength of the bull trend. A failure would open the door to a much deeper correction.
Updated Targets for the WEEK
Upside Targets 🚀 (if $4500 support holds):
$4600 (Psychological level, former support).
$4680 (4H SMA 50 zone, a major technical resistance).
$4800 (A return to the recent highs).
Downside Targets 📉 (if $4500 support breaks):
$4420 (Local low from Sept 9).
$4350 (Daily SMA 50 zone, the bulls' last stand).
$4200 (Strong structural and psychological support level).
Short-Term Forecast:
Long: 50% 🐂
Short: 50% 🐻
Reasoning: The situation is a true 50/50. On one hand, we're sitting on a massive support level with huge limit buy orders, making a bounce highly probable. On the other hand, the technical picture on lower timeframes is broken, and the news (ETH unlock) is weighing on the market. The price is caught between a rock and a hard place. Predicting the direction right now is a coin toss. It's smarter to act on a confirmed break in either direction.
Trade Ideas
For Buyers (Long):
Idea 1 (Aggressive): Buy in the current
4500−4515 zone, betting on the support to hold for a bounce. Target: $4600, then $4680. Stop-loss: very tight, just below $4470.
Idea 2 (Conservative): Wait for the price to reclaim and hold ABOVE the $4600 level on the 4H chart. This would be a sign the correction is over. Target: $4800. Stop-loss: below $4550.
For Sellers (Short):
Idea 1 (Aggressive): Sell on a bounce to the
4580 − 4600 resistance zone. Target: a re-test of $4500. Stop-loss: above $4620.
Idea 2 (Conservative): Only open short positions after a confirmed break and close on the 4H chart BELOW the strong support zone of $4480. Target: $4350.
Final Recommendations for Traders
This is not the time for impulsive decisions. The market is at a point of maximum uncertainty. The key level to watch is $4500. Aggressive traders can try playing the bounce from this zone with a tight stop. Conservative traders might be better off staying on the sidelines and waiting for a clearer signal—either a confirmed bounce or a decisive breakdown. Manage your risk, and don't over-leverage.
Trade with your head, not your heart, and may this week bring you profits! ✨
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#BTC: AI Review of the Trading Week Start. 2025/09/15Aloha, blockchain masters and trend tamers! NeuralTraderingPro is back to charge you up with insights for the new trading week. 🚀 Monday, September 15th, kicked off with a sharp move, and it's exactly what I warned you about on Sunday. Let's break down who drew first blood this week and what to expect from a market that's holding its breath for the main event: the Fed meeting.
📜 FORECAST REVIEW: THE BEARS STRIKE FIRST
My forecast from yesterday played out with surgical precision. I wrote that before heading higher, the market might trigger a "false move down to sweep liquidity." That's exactly what happened last night! The breakout from the tight consolidation was to the downside, in favor of the bears. The price broke the $115,000 level (target 🐻) and momentarily pushed towards $114,200 (target 🐻🐻). The correction scenario, to which I gave a 45% probability, was the one to play out first. Congratulations to those who heeded the warning and were prepared for this turn of events! Now, the main question is: was this just a stop hunt before a new rally, or are the bears serious about seizing the initiative?
📊 CURRENT SITUATION: CHART AND INDICATOR ANALYSIS
Current Price: 114,772.5 USDT
📈 Daily Chart (1D): Globally, the bullish trend is still intact. The price has corrected from the upper Bollinger Band and is now testing the support zone around the SMA 20 (blue line). The RSI has cooled off, dropping to 55, which alleviates local overbought conditions and creates room for a new move. The MACD histogram has started to decline, confirming the correction phase. The picture is "bullish, but in need of confirmation."
📉 4-Hour Chart (4H): Here, the bearish breakdown looks more apparent. The price has fallen below the SMA 20 and SMA 50, which may now act as dynamic resistance. The RSI is below the neutral 50 mark, indicating that sellers are currently in control. The MACD has crossed below the zero line—a classic bearish signal on this timeframe. The bull flag we discussed on Sunday was invalidated and broke to the downside.
⏱️ 30-Minute Chart (30m): On the lower timeframe, we see the full drama of the overnight drop. The price plummeted from ~115,800 𝑡𝑜 115,800 to 114,500 in just a couple of hours. The RSI dived into the oversold zone (below 30), from which it is now attempting to bounce. The Bollinger Bands expanded sharply and are now starting to contract, signaling that the downward momentum is fading and a short-term consolidation or bounce is possible.
📋 ORDER BOOK ANALYSIS: A WALL AT 114,750
The battle for initiative is unfolding at a key level.
🟢 Support Walls: The full force of the bulls is concentrated just below the current price. Note the colossal buy wall at 114,750 USDT—almost 12 BTC worth ~$1.36 million! This is rock-solid support that halted the overnight drop. There are a few more orders below, but this level is the main stronghold for buyers.
🔴 Resistance Walls: Sellers are responding with dense but less massive pressure. The largest sell order is right at the current price (5.2 BTC), and beyond that, liquidity is spread more thinly up to 114,825 USDT.
Conclusion: Buyers have built a formidable line of defense. Sellers will need to muster a lot of force to break through the wall at $114,750. As long as this wall holds, a bounce or sideways movement is highly likely.
📰 MARKET SENTIMENT AND KEY THEMES
The news background is filled with anticipation and caution. All eyes are fixed on one event.
🇺🇸 The Fed Meeting — The Event of the Week: This is the main theme. The market is frozen, awaiting the interest rate decision. Traders are citing key support and resistance levels that will remain relevant right up until the announcement. A hawkish tone from the Fed or a refusal to cut rates could trigger a new wave of selling. Conversely, dovish comments will give the bulls a green light.
🗓️ Bitcoin's Cyclicality: Some analysts suggest that September 17th could mark the beginning of a new local growth cycle for Bitcoin. This theory adds to the intrigue and could support buyers mid-week.
🐂 Long-Term Optimism: Despite the current correction, global forecasts remain positive. Analysts note the similarity of the current consolidation to patterns that have previously preceded powerful rallies and are predicting a potential surge to $125,000.
🇩🇪 European Outlook: German analysts from Kagels-Trading see today's trading range between $111,300 and $114,100, which supports the likelihood of a further test of lower boundaries after the recent drop.
🔮 FORECAST AND KEY TARGETS FOR THE WEEK (Sept 15-22)
The market is at an inflection point. On one hand, we have a bearish breakdown on the 4H chart. On the other, there's massive support in the order book and oversold conditions on the 30m chart. Most likely, leading up to the Fed announcement, we will see attempts at a bounce and a fight for the 114,750 - 116,000 range. The Fed's decision will be the trigger for the week's primary move.
Scenario Probability: Short 📉 (55%) / Long 📈 (45%)
🎯 Key Targets for the Coming Week:
Bullish Targets (if support holds and Fed news is positive):
🐂 116,000 USDT - A return to Sunday's consolidation zone, the first target for bulls.
🐂🐂 117,500 USDT - An important psychological level and the next stop.
🐂🐂🐂 119,000 USDT - Key resistance, a break of which would open the way to $120,000.
Bearish Targets (if support breaks and Fed news is negative):
🐻 114,000 USDT - A key round number just below the current support wall.
🐻🐻 112,500 USDT - A support zone that aligns with a previous analysis.
🐻🐻🐻 110,600 USDT - A strong support level and the potential low for the week.
💡 TRADING IDEAS
1. Long Positions — Betting on a Bounce
Long Idea 1 (Aggressive): Buy at current levels with a tight stop just below the support wall at 114,750. Target a quick bounce to 115,500 - 116,000. Stop-loss: 114,450 USDT.
Long Idea 2 (Conservative): Buy ONLY after a confirmed reclaim and hold above 116,200 USDT. This would signal that the drop was a false move. Targets: 117,500, 119,000 USDT. Stop-loss: 115,500 USDT.
2. Short Positions — Playing the Local Trend
Short Idea 1 (On a Retest): Sell on a bounce to the 115,500-115,800 zone, where the 4H SMAs are now located. Target: a retest of the wall at 114,750. Stop-loss: 116,250 USDT.
Short Idea 2 (On a Breakdown): Open a short position after a clean break and confirmed close below the support wall at 114,750 USDT. This would be a strong signal for continued decline. Targets: 112,500, 110,600 USDT. Stop-loss: 115,100 USDT.
🛡️ CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
The start of the week has set a nervous tone. The key recommendation is to avoid making hasty decisions before the Fed meeting. The market will have thin liquidity and be susceptible to manipulation. The safest tactic is to trade off strong levels: buy from the massive support at $114,750 or sell if it breaks. Always use stop-losses 🛡️, especially during periods of high uncertainty. Patience is your greatest asset right now.
May the profits be with you! 💰 Don't forget to like this analysis 👍 and subscribe to stay one step ahead of the market all week long!
Wix | WIX | Long at $124.35NASDAQ:WIX is a company with steady growth projections driven by AI adoption, market expansion, user acquisition, and a focus on profitability. For example, earnings are forecast to grow 28.24% per year. Analysts project NASDAQ:WIX to achieve approximately $1 billion in free cash flow by 2028. While the current P/E is around 47x, its Forward P/E ratio is approximately 18x (potentially undervalued). I truly believe the changing economy will shift individuals into more entrepreneurship (what else can they do?) and that will be the driving force behind user growth.
From a technical analysis view, the price recently bounced off from my historical simple moving average band (often an area for share accumulation / consolidation). While it may trickle down to close the price gap on the daily chart near $110 in the near-term, I think the outlook needs to be long-term here given the projections. The only issue I see is the current high debt for NASDAQ:WIX , but interest rates are absolutely coming down soon which will help ease the strain.
Thus, at $124.35, NASDAQ:WIX is in a personal buy zone.
Targets into 2028:
$175.00 (+40.7%)
$250.00 (+101.1%)
Adobe | ADBE | Long at $347.44Adobe NASDAQ:ADBE
Technical Analysis:
Trend is, overall, moving sideways. The price gap on the daily chart between $303.29 and $317.87 is likely to be closed in the near-term. The stock may reach the $280's to $290's to form a double bottom before a move up, so short-term investors should note the near-term risks. Long-term, however, if growth projections are accurate, all of those price gaps above the current price are likely to be filled...
Earnings and Revenue Growth
Expected annual revenue growth between 2025-2028 is ~41% (cumulative), growing from around $23.7 billion in 2025 to $33.3 billion in 2028.
EPS growth from $20.7 in 2025 to $26.2 in 2028.
www.tradingview.com
Health
Debt-to-Equity: 0.53x (very good)
Altman's Z-Score/Bankruptcy Risk: 10.2 (excellent/very low risk)
Quick Ratio/Ability to pay current bills: 1.02 (okay, but some risk)
Insiders
Warning: Selling heavily outweighs buying.
openinsider.com
Action
Due to the high-growth potential of NASDAQ:ADBE related to AI and its current "value" (compared purely to the rest of tech), solid health, etc., I am personally going long at $347.44. More shares will be gathered if the price reaches the low $300's or between $280-$300 and the fundamentals remain the same. Only major warning is the amount of insider selling.
Targets in 2028
$450.00 (+29.5%)
$645.00 (+85.6%)
WLD – Impulse, Correction, and What’s Next!Worldcoin (WLD) has just completed a massive impulse leg to the upside, followed by a sharp correction phase. Price is now retracing toward a strong demand zone, where bulls may look to re-enter.
⚡ Impulse Move: A parabolic run recently pushed WLD into new highs.
📉 Correction: Price is currently retracing in a controlled downward channel.
🟠 Demand Zone: The $1.40 – $1.50 area is a key zone where buyers previously stepped in strongly.
🚀 Potential Next Impulse: If this demand holds, WLD could launch the next bullish leg, potentially aiming back above $2.00 and beyond.
📌 The coming sessions will be crucial: will the demand zone hold and trigger another impulse, or will sellers break it for a deeper retracement?
This is an educational analysis, not financial advice. Always apply proper risk management when trading.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk management, and trade execution.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
AppLovin: Undervalued AI Ad Tech Powerhouse or Volatility Trap? AppLovin: Undervalued AI Ad Tech Powerhouse or Volatility Trap? $615 Target Incoming?
AppLovin (APP) shares are trading at $567.12 today, up 1.60% amid a fresh 52-week high and S&P 500 inclusion set for September 22, fueling a 75% YTD rally driven by its AI-powered marketing platform.
With Q2 2025 earnings crushing expectations—revenue surging 44% YoY to $1.44B and EPS at $0.89—analysts are bullish, hiking targets to $615 amid 53% projected EPS growth over 3-5 years. But at a trailing P/E of 78x, is APP the undervalued gem poised to go viral in the $500B mobile ad market, or will high beta (3.85) and market jitters trigger a pullback? Let's unpack the fundamentals, SWOT, charts, and setups for September 11, 2025.
Fundamental Analysis
AppLovin's dominance in mobile app advertising and gaming, bolstered by its AXON AI engine, has propelled explosive growth, with free cash flow hitting $1.2B TTM and margins expanding to 35%. Analysts forecast 2025 EPS of $13.49 on $5.74B revenue, up 40% YoY, as AI optimizations drive advertiser ROI in a post-cookie world. Recent S&P 500 addition could attract $10B+ in passive inflows, underscoring its undervalued status at 1.8% below fair value per DCF models. However, premium valuations reflect growth bets, with risks from ad spending slowdowns if the economy softens.
- **Positive:**
- AI platform fueling 53% EPS growth forecast; Q2 beat with 44% revenue jump and net income flipping to $236M from prior losses.
- S&P 500 entry sparks institutional demand; market cap at $191.8B undervalues its 700%+ stock surge since 2023 lows.
- Broader trends in digital ads and gaming (e.g., partnerships with Unity) position APP for 20%+ annual gains amid AI boom.
- **Negative:**
- High beta (3.85) amplifies volatility; recent 24% monthly gain risks overextension if Fed delays cuts.
- Competition from Meta and Google could pressure market share if ad budgets shift.
SWOT Analysis
**Strengths:** Leading AI-driven ad tech with 2B+ daily users; strong cash generation ($1.2B FCF) enables buybacks and acquisitions; proven turnaround from gaming to profitable software focus.
**Weaknesses:** Elevated P/E (78x TTM) signals growth dependency; high volatility with beta 3.85 exposes to market swings; reliance on mobile ecosystem vulnerable to app store policy changes.
**Opportunities:** S&P 500 inclusion for passive inflows; expansion into e-commerce and CTV ads via AI; undervalued growth at 42x forward P/E amid 53% EPS CAGR.
**Threats:** Economic downturn crimping ad spend; intensifying competition from Big Tech; regulatory scrutiny on data privacy impacting AI models.
Technical Analysis
On the daily chart, APP is in a strong uptrend, breaking to new 52-week highs at $576 after consolidating above $500 support, with volume spiking on S&P news. The weekly shows a multi-year bull flag breakout from 2023 lows, now extending with higher highs. Current price: $567.12, with VWAP near $560 as intraday pivot.
Key indicators:
- **RSI (14-day):** At 68, bullish but approaching overbought—room for extension if momentum holds. 📈
- **MACD:** Positive crossover with expanding histogram, confirming upside acceleration; watch for divergence on overbought signals. ⚠️
- **Moving Averages:** Price well above 21-day EMA ($520) and 50-day SMA ($480), with golden cross intact; 200-day EMA at $350 trails far below.
Support/Resistance: Key support at $500 (recent breakout level and 50-day SMA), resistance at $576 (all-time high) and $615 (analyst target). Patterns/Momentum: Bull flag extension targets $650; strong buy rating for 1-week horizon. 🟢 Bullish signals: Volume surge and S&P catalyst. 🔴 Bearish risks: Overbought RSI could prompt 10% pullback on profit-taking.
Scenarios and Risk Management
- **Bullish Scenario:** Break above $576 on S&P inflows or soft CPI data targets $615 short-term, then $650 by year-end. Buy pullbacks to $500 for high-conviction entries.
- **Bearish Scenario:** Drop below $500 eyes $450 (200-day EMA); broader tech selloff could retrace 15-20% if growth slows.
- **Neutral/Goldilocks:** Range-bound $500–$576 if data mixed, ideal for options plays or waiting for Q3 earnings.
Risk Tips: Set stops 3% below support ($485) to manage volatility. Risk 1-2% per trade. Diversify with META or GOOGL to hedge ad sector correlations—avoid overexposure in high-beta names.
Conclusion/Outlook
Overall, a bullish bias if APP sustains above $500, highlighting its undervalued growth with 50%+ upside amid AI ad dominance and S&P buzz—perfect for viral momentum in retail circles. But monitor Fed decisions and Q3 guidance for confirmation; this fits September's small-cap rotation into high-growth tech. What’s your take? Loading up on APP's rally or waiting for a dip? Share in the comments!
Oracle Corporation | ORCL & Ai If there is one person that you can compare it with Tony Stark aka IRON MAN is Larry Ellison
the ruthless entrepreneur who is born to win and be the number 1. Since the close of trading Friday, Ellison’s net worth has pumped 8 billion dollar to reach $ 206 billion
Oracle’s stock has reached new highs following its earnings report last week, which exceeded expectations and raised its revenue forecast for fiscal 2026.
Orcl have risen 20% this month and If this upward trend holds, it would mark their best performance since October 2022, when the stock jumped 28%, and the second best month since October 2002, nearly two decades ago.
The company’s stock success is partly driven by its involvement in the booming artificial intelligence sector. Ellison, Oracle’s founder since 1977, mentioned in last week’s earnings call that the company is building data centers to meet the growing demand for generative AI.
“We are literally building the smallest, most portable, most affordable cloud data centers all the way up to 200 megawatt data centers, ideal for training very large language models and keeping them up to date,” Larry said during the call
also he recently mentioned that Elon Musk and I ‘begged’ Jensen Huang for GPUs over dinner!We need you to take more of our money please!! It went ok. I mean, it worked!
Oracle also announced last week a partnership with Amazon’s cloud computing division to run its database services on dedicated hardware. Over the past year, it has formed similar alliances with Microsoft and Google, two other major cloud infrastructure providers
Oracle's cloud services are a key driver of their success, with revenue from this division growing 21% year over year, reaching $5.6 billion in quarterly earnings
Oracle is becoming a crucial provider, acting like a foundational layer for AI-focused companies. Their database systems are now critical to supporting businesses like OpenAI, AWS, and Google Cloud in building the infrastructure for future AI advancements. Despite AWS and Google Cloud being direct competitors, Oracle’s software remains essential to AI’s future.
Oracle's technology plays a foundational role, much like GPUs have in AI development. As companies seek efficient cloud-database solutions for AI workloads, Oracle is well-positioned to fulfill this demand.
Considering their strong Q1 performance and the central role of their database software in this field, I now view Oracle as a strong buy. The company's AI-powered cloud solutions, strategic partnerships, and growing database market make their technology indispensable for the future of AI
Oracle’s fiscal Q1 for FY 2025 exceeded expectations, with non GAAP earnings per share (EPS) of $1.39, surpassing estimates by $0.06, and revenue hitting $13.3 billion, outperforming projections by $60 million. The cloud segment, which includes their AI database software, remains a significant growth driver, generating $5.6 billion in revenue.
Most of Oracle’s revenue came from the Americas, contributing $8.3 billion, a 6.9% year-over-year increase. The AI revolution, gaining momentum in the US, aligns with their strong revenue growth in this region.
During the Q1 earnings call, management emphasized their expanded partnerships with major tech companies like Google Cloud (Alphabet Inc) and AWS (Amazon), which are notable given that they are also competitors. Oracle highlighted its success in the AI training space, pointing to the construction of large data centers equipped with ultra-high-performance RDMA networks and 32,000-node NVIDIA GPU clusters.
In the EMEA region, crucial to Oracle’s growth due to rising demand for cloud infrastructure and AI solutions among European enterprises and governments (sovereign AI), the company reported $3.3 billion in revenue.
Oracle’s earnings per share aka EPS is projected to grow at a compound annual rate of 13.5% for FY 2025, increasing to 14.41% in FY 2026, and continuing to compound at a modest double-digit rate in the coming years.
While these projections show strong potential for Oracle to be a compounder, I believe they may be somewhat conservative. The company’s remaining performance obligations (RPO) jumped 53% year-over-year to $99 billion by the end of the first fiscal quarter, indicating that their pipeline of signed work is growing faster than revenue. Once Oracle scales its solutions and workforce to match this RPO growth, we could see both revenue and EPS accelerate further.
In fact, while Oracle’s forward revenue growth is projected at just 8.86% for the next 12 months, their backlog is growing by over 50%. This suggests a notable gap between revenue expectations and actual demand.
I believe the current revenue growth projections are too low, and once revised upward, they could become a key growth catalyst for the company.
As for Oracle’s valuation, its forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 24.74, which is just 6.76% above the sector median of 23.17. However, given Oracle’s growth potential, I think it warrants a P/E ratio closer to 30.12, which is roughly 30% above the sector median. This would imply an additional 21.75% upside for the stock, excluding dividends.
With a forward P/E ratio only slightly above the sector median, despite Oracle’s impressive growth, the company’s performance suggests the stock should be trading at a higher valuation.
Larry Ellison is the man that I always can trust his vision and always bullish on his spirit and his ambitious. Oracle expanding influence in AI, coupled with robust revenue growth, positions the stock for significant upside. AI is like a modern day Gold Rush, and Oracle, much like GPU makers, is providing the essential tools the "pickaxe" for AI companies so That’s a space I’m eager to invest in
the chart looks insane and if there will be pullback I consider it as a buy opportunity
IonQ (IONQ) — Quantum Leader Targeting 8,000 Logical QubitsCompany Overview:
IonQ, Inc. NYSE:IONQ is a quantum computing pioneer using trapped-ion technology to solve problems beyond the reach of classical systems, offering investors exposure to the fast-growing quantum sector.
Key Catalysts:
Quantum communications expansion: Strategic acquisitions (e.g., Capella Space) and investments in quantum networking aim to build a future quantum internet.
Talent & execution strength: High-profile hires like Dr. Marco Pistoia (ex-JPMorgan) and Dr. Rick Muller (ex-IARPA) enhance R&D capabilities.
Long-term roadmap: Goal of 8,000 logical qubits by 2030, a milestone that could cement its competitive edge and drive adoption of practical quantum applications.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish above: $35.00–$36.00
Upside target: $80.00–$82.00, supported by tech milestones, strategic expansion, and top-tier talent.
#IONQ #QuantumComputing #Innovation #AI #QuantumInternet #Investing #TechGrowth
Reddit (RDDT): Undervalued AI Data Goldmine or Overheated Hype?Reddit (RDDT): Undervalued AI Data Goldmine or Overheated Hype? $300 Fair Value in Play?
Reddit (RDDT) shares surged 4.44% to close at $240.20 yesterday, with pre-market trading pushing it to $243.70 today amid optimism over its AI data licensing deals and a 78% YoY revenue jump in recent earnings. Year-to-date, the stock is up 46.97%, but analysts are split—some see it undervalued by 26% with a fair value of $302 based on free cash flow projections, while others flag overvaluation at current levels. With a lawsuit over alleged privacy issues making headlines and Q3 earnings looming on October 28, is RDDT the undervalued growth play in social media's AI era, or just riding short-term momentum? Let's break down the fundamentals, SWOT, technicals, and scenarios for September 10, 2025.
Fundamental Analysis
Reddit's core strength lies in its massive user-generated content, positioning it as a key AI training data source with deals like OpenAI's integration boosting revenue. Recent Q2 results showed $499.6 million in sales, up 78% YoY, surpassing estimates, driven by ad growth and user expansion to over 100 million daily actives.
Analysts expect EPS of $2.23 TTM, with forward P/E at 84.03, reflecting high growth premiums. However, a high PE of 107.71 and enterprise value/EBITDA of 291.25 suggest stretched valuations, compounded by a lawsuit alleging privacy violations.
- **Positive:**
- Surging revenue and user growth underscore AI data monetization potential; profit margin at 12.97% with $2.06B cash on hand.
- Institutional interest rising, with market cap at $44.96B and levered free cash flow of $290.61M signaling operational strength.
- **Negative:**
- High debt/equity at 1.05% and ongoing lawsuit risks could erode investor confidence if macro slowdowns hit ad spending.
- Sticky inflation and Fed rate uncertainty may pressure growth stocks like RDDT if AI hype cools.
SWOT Analysis
Strengths: Dominant in user-generated content for AI datasets; strong revenue growth (78% YoY) and cash reserves ($2.06B); loyal community driving organic traffic.
Weaknesses: Elevated valuations (PE 107.71) amid profitability challenges; history of operational issues like site outages; dependency on ad revenue vulnerable to economic dips.
Opportunities: Expanding AI partnerships (e.g., data licensing deals); global user base growth in emerging markets; potential for new features like premium subscriptions amid digital ad boom.
Threats: Intensifying competition from TikTok and Meta; regulatory scrutiny on data privacy (e.g., ongoing lawsuit); market volatility if Fed delays rate cuts.
Technical Analysis
On the daily chart, RDDT is in a rising trend channel after breaking out from $223 support, with volume spiking on earnings momentum but now consolidating near all-time highs.
This follows a 52-week range from $55.84 to $253.14, with the stock up over 300% from April lows. Current price: ~$243 (pre-market), pivoting around $240.
Key indicators:
RSI: At 68.60, bullish but nearing overbought—watch for pullback if it hits 70.
MACD: At 12.35 with positive histogram, signaling sustained upside momentum.
Moving Averages: Price above 21-day EMA (~$230) and 50-day SMA (~$220)—golden cross intact for bull bias.
Support/Resistance: Support at $223 (recent low), resistance at $253 (all-time high).
Patterns/Momentum: Rising channel targets $260 on breakout; higher highs confirm trend. 🟢 Bullish signals: Strong buy per technical summaries. 🔴 Bearish risks: Overbought RSI could trigger correction.
Scenarios and Risk Management
Bullish Scenario: Break above $253 on positive lawsuit resolution or AI deal news targets $260–$302; buy on pullbacks to $230 support.
Bearish Scenario: Drop below $223 eyes $220 (50-day SMA); watch for death cross if macro data disappoints.
Neutral/Goldilocks: Range-bound $223–$253 if earnings guidance is mixed.
Risk Tips: Use stops at $220 (2% below support). Risk 1-2% per trade. Diversify to avoid tech sector correlations—pair with stable assets like bonds.
Conclusion/Outlook
Overall, bullish bias if RDDT holds $240 and leverages AI tailwinds, affirming its undervalued potential with 25%+ upside to $302 fair value. But watch October earnings and privacy lawsuit for confirmation—this fits September's growth stock rotation amid Fed cut optimism.
What’s your take? Bullish on RDDT's AI edge or bearish on valuations? Share in the comments!
RIOT Continues wave 3.NASDAQ:RIOT is moving well in wave 3 after price completed wave 2 at the triple support -0.5 Fibonacci retracement, High Volume Node (HVN) and daily 20EMA.
Fibonacci extension targets for wave 3 are minimum $45.17, which falls in line with wave 4 retesting the High Volume Node resistance as support at $34.
Daily RSI will put in bearish divergence if we continue higher today so watch out for that. An initial rejection or consolidation at $18 HVN is expected.
Analysis invalidated below $10.5
Safe trading
Amazon making it's way to next support $280Amazon seems to be overlooked at the moment, but it should start making bigger moves as it approaches $280 resistance (next support).
I see a lot of things that lead me to believe next year will have a big pullback in tech. Until then AMZN looks to have really good risk reward as it's still so close to it's long term trend line with revenue growth steadily increasing.
Good luck!
Atlassian Corp | TEAM | Long at $180.12Atlassian Corp NASDAQ:TEAM
Technical Analysis:
Currently trading withing my historical simple moving average zone (i.e. reversion to the mean). This area is typically reserved for share accumulation. Many gaps above to close (as high as $420.80. I anticipate the price to stairstep up over the next few years as the company moves to AI.
Earnings and Revenue Growth
3x EPS growth by 2028 and revenue growth from ~$5 billion to ~$9 billion.
www.tradingview.com
Health
Debt-to-Equity: 0.73x (good)
Altman's Z-Score/Bankruptcy Risk: 6.8 (excellent/very low risk)
Insiders
Warning: Tremendous amount of selling.
openinsider.com
Action
Due to the high-growth potential of NASDAQ:TEAM and solid health, I am personally going long at $180.12. Only major warning is the amount of insider selling.
Targets in 2028
$223.00 (+23.8%)
$380.00 (+111.0%)
IBEX calling - get ready for earnings!This small customer service company has been very profitable and growing, with matching stock performance for the past two years.
They're responsive to the evolving customer service landscape and incorporating AI and technical advances so there are added efficiencies and resulting better margins.
The chart looks poised to blow, with the price consolidating for the past months.
Either this one will continue in its range or if earnings are good, it might really jump. Watch for earnings on Thursday, 9/11 after market.
Weibo Corporation (WB) — Digital Ads Resilience & AI ExpansionCompany Overview:
Weibo Corporation NASDAQ:WB , a leading Chinese social media platform, offers real-time communication and content sharing, giving investors exposure to China’s expanding digital advertising and social networking market.
Key Catalysts:
Ad revenue growth: Q2 2025 ad revenue rose +2% YoY, showing resilience despite sector headwinds.
AI & engagement tools: Investments in AI-driven features and user retention initiatives aim to diversify revenue streams beyond ads.
Institutional support: Holdings increased by Zurcher Kantonalbank and AQR Capital Management, signaling institutional confidence.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish above: $9.50–$10.00
Upside target: $14.00–$15.00, supported by stable ad performance, AI investments, and institutional backing.
#WB #ChinaTech #SocialMedia #DigitalAds #AI #InstitutionalInvestors #Investing
Baidu | BIDU | Long at $82.50Baidu NASDAQ:BIDU - the Google of China. This one is being ignored by AI investors, and may be an opportunity. Maybe... nothing is certain (especially with the "risks" of Chinese investments).
P/E = 9x
Debt/Equity = 0.27x
Price/Sales = 1.55x
Price/Book = 0.80x
Price/Cash flow = 7.59x
Thus, at $82.50, NASDAQ:BIDU is in a personal buy zone.
Targets:
$109.00
$125.00
$150.00