HUT downside still to come?NASDAQ:HUT has had a great rally finally being subdued by the macro channel upper boundary resistance sending price back to the High Volume Node support on overbought RSI.
RSI has reset to the EQ but has room to fall (or grow again). The next target is the High Volume Node resistance and R4 pivot at $44 with a terminal target of $65
If price loses the support node the next support target is the pivot and wave 1 high $24 and I would look out for a long here if we get it.
Safe trading
AI
BTDR Bounces from previous swing high support!NASDAQ:BTDR found support at the at the wave 1 high and R1 pivot and looks poised to continue to the first take profit target and all time High Volume Node tat $25! Wave (3) of 3 appears to be underway so should continue to be powerful!
Analysis is invalidated if we drop below $13 and lose the High Volume Node support which sits at the Fibonacci golden from the wave (2) bottom.
RSI did not reach overbought so has room to grow.
Safe trading
CIFR deep pullback before more upside?CIFR appears to have completed 5 waves for wave (1) of 3 completing at the previous all time High Volume Node where we expect Elliot wave 1s to complete. The orange channel boundary also had a throwover and drop back, an ending pattern!
Wave (2) has an expected shallow pullback of the 38.2 Fibonacci retracement at the daily pivot and High Volume Node support $7 where I will look out for long signals. The ascending 200EMA will also meet this point making it a quadruple support and an excellent opportunity area if price gets there!
If we continue into price discovery the analysis will be invalidated and I'll take a breakout long.
Daily RSI hit overbought but has since fell with no divergence.
Safe trading
CLSK Attempting a significant resistance breakout!NASDAQ:CLSK has awoken at long last and has smashed through the wave 1 resistance High Volume Node straight into the Macro Triangle upper boundary i have been sharing in the weekly time frame posts. Breaking out above this and wave D at $20 will be a bullish signal with significant upside to come!
The High Volume Node resistance held as support in the big drop last week, quickly recovering back to highs showing strong demand.
The next local target is the wave D resistance $20 with continued upside in wave 3
Daily RSI is overbought but divergence yet and daily 200EMA has flicked positive.
Analysis is good unless we go back below wave 2 into the golden pocket.
Safe trading
Grok’s Altcoin Market Analysis – Weekly & MonthlyIs AI smarter than your average influencer? While they keep screaming “Altseason! Altseason!”, what does advanced AI reveal in its deep analysis? Let’s find out.
Overall Assessment
This chart for the Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding Top 10 ($1M-CRYPTOCAP, or OTHERS index) is mixed but leaning bearish in the short term, with some bullish potential if key resistance levels break. The main price panel shows clear downward pressure, while supporting indicators like RSI hint at possible oversold conditions that could lead to a rebound. I'll break it down panel by panel based on standard technical analysis principles.
Main Price Chart (Candlestick with Trendlines)
Current Levels: The market cap closed around $300.7B (with a range of $296B–$308B), down about 3.4% recently. It's trading near the middle of a descending channel (the sloped red and green lines forming a narrowing wedge), which often signals continuation of the downtrend unless broken upward.
Bearish Signals:
Multiple red "Bearish" labels highlight recent breakdowns below key support lines (e.g., a red downward-sloping trendline broken recently).
Red candles dominate the recent action, showing seller control and lower highs/lows.
The price is below the upper channel boundary (~$350B–$400B) and struggling to reclaim the midline (~$320B).
Bullish Signals:
Small green arrows (↑) point to potential support zones around $290B–$300B, where buyers have stepped in before.
If it breaks above the upper red trendline (~$320B), it could target $350B+ (prior highs).
Trend: Short-term bearish (down ~3.4%), but the channel suggests consolidation rather than a freefall.
Stochastic RSI (Lower Panel)
Current Reading: Close at 16.31 (with a range of 3–86), firmly in oversold territory (<20). This indicates the asset may be "too cheap" after heavy selling.
Bearish Signals: The line is still declining, and the histogram bars are mostly red/negative, showing momentum fading further.
Bullish Signals: Oversold conditions often precede bounces, especially if it crosses back above 20. A divergence (price making lower lows while Stoch RSI makes higher lows) could signal reversal.
Implication: Neutral to bullish for a near-term relief rally, but not a strong trend-changer yet.
RSI Divergence (Bottom Panel, Multi-Timeframe)
Current Reading: Close at 10.25 (with a range of 2–57), extremely oversold (<30, and near the bottom of its scale). The yellow line (likely RSI) is flatlining low, while the price (implied) has dropped more sharply.
Bearish Signals: Red shaded areas mark periods of weakness, and the line hasn't recovered much.
Bullish Signals: Clear bullish divergence—the RSI is holding higher lows (e.g., around 10–15) compared to price lows, a classic reversal setup. Historical yellow upward lines show past bounces from similar levels.
Implication: Strongly bullish for potential upside, as divergences like this resolved higher ~70% of the time in crypto indices (based on common TA patterns).
Broader Context
Volume/Other Metrics: Not directly shown, but the -3.4% change and tight channel suggest low conviction selling—could flip quickly on positive news (e.g., ETF inflows or BTC strength).
Timeframe: The x-axis spans ~2015–2025 (up to Dec 2025, likely a projection). Long-term, it's in an uptrend from 2015 lows, but 2022–2025 has been choppy with lower highs.
Market Sentiment: As of late 2024/early 2025 data, the full crypto market cap is ~$2.3T–$4T (with OTHERS at ~$260B–$300B historically), so this aligns with altcoin underperformance vs. majors like BTC. A break above $350B would signal "altseason."
In summary, the price action screams short-term bearish (follow the "Bearish" labels and downtrend), but the extreme oversold RSI divergence makes me think a bounce to $320B–$350B is likely soon. Watch for a close above the channel midline for bullish confirmation—otherwise, $280B support could test next. This isn't financial advice; always DYOR.2.2sFastthis is the weekly chart. Please analyse it and merge with the monthly chart you got before to reach a more precise conclusion: Thought for 2m 0sAnalysis of the Weekly Chart
This weekly chart for the Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding Top 10 (CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS, also known as the OTHERS index) shows the current value at approximately $300.9B (high $310.9B, low $279.5B, close $300.3B), with a recent 1.59% decline. The timeframe spans from mid-2024 to a projection into 2026, capturing a multi-year view but with weekly granularity for shorter-term trends.
Price Action and Trendlines: The candlestick chart remains within a descending channel (sloped red upper resistance and green lower support lines), similar to the monthly but with more detail on recent volatility. Recent weeks feature red candles dominating, indicating sustained selling pressure, with a "Bearish" label on a key breakdown point around mid-2025. Green upward arrows highlight potential support zones near $280B–$290B, where buyers have defended previously. The price is consolidating near the channel midline (~$300B), but lower highs suggest continuation risk unless it breaks above $320B–$350B resistance.
MACD (4,52): Closing at 3.37B (MACD line), 14.37B (signal), and 11B (histogram). The blue MACD line is below the orange signal line, with the histogram shifting from positive cyan bars (earlier 2025 spikes) to negative pink/red, confirming bearish momentum crossover. This aligns with fading upside strength post-mid-2025 highs.
Stochastic RSI (3,3,48,56): Closing at 36.70 (K) and 38.65 (D), in the lower mid-range but with a yellow upward arrow indicating a recent rise from oversold (<20). This suggests emerging buying interest but not yet overbought (>80), leaving room for a relief rally if momentum builds.
RSI Divergence (Nikko 14): Multi-reading at close 10.25 / 2 / 1.5K / 54.59 / 54.17, showing the RSI (yellow line) around mid-50s but with bullish divergence—RSI forming higher lows while price makes lower lows. Red shaded areas mark weakness, but the setup mirrors classic reversal patterns, especially from extreme lows earlier in 2025.
Volume (24H Vol, aggregated weekly): The bottom histogram shows blue bars with significant spikes in Q1–Q2 2025 (up to ~600T, likely in trading volume units), coinciding with prior rallies. Recent volume has tapered off (~200T close), indicating lower participation, which can precede breakouts or breakdowns but often signals consolidation in bearish contexts.
Overall, the weekly chart leans bearish in the short-to-medium term (next 4–8 weeks), with the descending channel intact, bearish MACD, and recent breakdowns. However, bullish hints from Stoch RSI recovery and RSI divergence suggest a potential bounce if $280B support holds, targeting $350B+ on a breakout.
Merging with the Monthly Chart
The previous monthly chart (from January 1, 2025) showed a similar setup at ~$300.7B (down 3.4%), with an identical descending channel, bearish price action, but extreme oversold conditions (Stochastic RSI at 16.31, RSI at 10.25 with strong bullish divergence). Over the ~9 months between charts (Jan to Sep 2025), the market cap has remained remarkably flat around $300B, reflecting stagnation amid broader crypto volatility—neither breaking down nor rallying significantly.
Combined Price Trends: Both timeframes confirm the multi-year descending channel (2015–2025+), with monthly providing the macro downtrend (lower highs since 2021 peaks) and weekly highlighting intra-month chops. The flat performance year-to-date implies altcoin underperformance vs. majors (e.g., BTC/ETH dominance rising), but supports like $280B–$290B have held on both, preventing a deeper crash.
Indicators Alignment:
RSI Divergence: Consistent bullish signal across both—monthly extreme oversold resolves higher ~70% of the time in crypto, while weekly's mid-50s RSI adds near-term confirmation. This strengthens the case for a reversal setup.
Stochastic RSI: Monthly's deep oversold (16.31) complements weekly's recovering 36.70, suggesting exhaustion selling transitioning to accumulation.
MACD/Momentum: Weekly's bearish crossover adds caution to the monthly's neutral stance, indicating short-term downside risk before any monthly-scale bounce.
Volume: Monthly implies long-term consolidation with fading volume; weekly shows 2025 spikes on ups, but recent lows signal potential capitulation or low-conviction moves.
Broader Market Context from Research: Recent analyses echo this mixed picture. Some see a Wave 4 correction ending in July 2025, with a final Wave 5 rally topping around September–October 2025. Others note bearish patterns like head-and-shoulders or rising wedges on weekly timeframes, predicting tests of lower supports (~$250B–$280B). Dominance metrics (OTHERS.D ~7.2%) are at demand zones, hinting at a bounce if held. Social sentiment in September 2025 is cautious: breakdowns from wedges and H&S patterns signal 8–12% drops, but macro bullishness for Q4 persists if supports reclaim. Altseason indices surged to highs (68–76/100) mid-month but cooled, with rotations into select alts amid overall decay.
More Precise Conclusion
Merging the charts refines the outlook to short-term bearish (October–November 2025) with medium-term bullish potential (Q4 2025–Q1 2026). The weekly adds granularity to the monthly's oversold setup, confirming downside pressure from bearish momentum and patterns, likely testing $280B support (or lower to $250B in a wick). However, aligned divergences and historical Q4 strength increase the odds of a bounce—targeting $350B–$400B on a channel breakout, potentially sparking an "altseason" if broader crypto (total cap ~$3.9T) rallies on catalysts like Fed decisions or regulatory clarity. Confirmation requires a weekly close above $320B; otherwise, expect choppy consolidation. This isn't financial advice—DYOR and consider risk management
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Resume: Crypto Market Outlook (OTHERS Index)
Summary:
The crypto market, excluding the top 10 coins (OTHERS index), is at about $300B as of September 2025. It’s been stuck in a downtrend for a while, with recent drops showing sellers in control. Short-term (next 1-2 months), it looks bearish, but signs point to a possible bounce later this year.
Key Points:
Current Price: Around $300B, down 1.5%–3.4% lately, stuck in a falling pattern.
Short-Term (October–November 2025): Expect more dips, possibly to $280B or lower ($250B worst case). Selling pressure is strong, but volume is low, suggesting a pause soon.
Medium-Term (Q4 2025–Q1 2026): Could rise to $350B–$400B if it breaks $320B. Oversold signals and past patterns suggest a rebound, especially in late 2025.
Risks: Market could stay flat or drop if support fails. Watch for big news (e.g., regulations or Bitcoin moves).
Investor Advice:
Short-Term: Be cautious. Avoid big buys now—prices might fall more. Consider selling if you’re up or setting stop-losses around $280B to limit losses.
Medium-Term: Look for a buy chance if it holds $280B and breaks $320B. Small investments in strong altcoins could pay off if a rally starts.
General Tips: Spread your money across different coins, not just one. Check news daily and be ready to act fast. This isn’t a sure bet—only use money you can afford to lose.
Note: This is not financial advice. Do your own research before investing.
ORCL / ORACLE / Bullish scenario / fractal / SeasonalityHere is my view on ORCL:
Until mid of November we should see a bullish seasonal move to the upside.
My target is on the chart.
SL at your discretion but i highly doubt that there will be a deeper pullback before next year...
This is not a trade call, this is no financial advice. I am just a dude trading Oracle and good luck to all!
Cheers!
Feel free to leave a comment and discuss this analysis. I am happy to learn, exchange thoughts and chat.
Reddit (RDDT) – Bullish Outlook Backed by Monetization StrengthReddit NYSE:RDDT stands out in the social media space with its community-first model and focus on authentic, user-driven engagement. As digital ad spend accelerates globally, Reddit is positioning itself at the intersection of social networking and data-driven monetization.
🔍 Key Drivers:
💡 AI-Powered Ads: Reddit’s ad platform uses AI to optimize placements, improving ROI for advertisers and strengthening pricing power.
💰 ARPU Beats Expectations: Global ARPU hit $4.53, highlighting strong monetization efficiency and reducing reliance on user growth.
📊 Scalability & Leverage: The AI engine supports operating leverage, setting the stage for robust earnings growth over time.
🚀 Price Momentum: Shares are up over 50% YTD, reflecting investor confidence and post-IPO execution strength.
📌 Technical Setup:
We remain bullish above the $205.00–$207.00 breakout zone. Sustained strength above this range could open the path toward a target zone of $380.00–$390.00.
#RDDT #Reddit #Stocks #StockMarket #TechStocks #AI #SocialMedia #DigitalAdvertising #GrowthStocks #Investing #Bullish #Breakout #EarningsGrowth #ARPU #IPO #AIstocks
Ai Analysis EURUSD : Liquidity Sweep ReversalEURUSD: H4 & M15 Bearish Reversal in the New York Session
Powered by our AI-driven analysis, here is the official trading setup for the TradingView community.
Our system has detected a high-probability Liquidity Sweep Reversal (LSR) on EURUSD, signaling a shift in momentum from bullish to bearish. This setup is particularly compelling as it aligns the higher H4 timeframe with the M15 execution timeframe, a key component of robust multi-timeframe analysis.
The Setup:
The price on the H4 chart made a clear and decisive move above the previous high at 1.17546. This action, known as a liquidity sweep, likely triggered the stop-losses of traders anticipating a move lower. However, instead of continuing its upward trend, the market on the lower M15 timeframe has shown a strong bearish rejection, closing below the sweep high. This confirms that the initial move was not a genuine breakout but a hunt for liquidity, creating an excellent opportunity for a reversal.
Trade Details:
Symbol: EURUSD
Time Frame: M15
Strategy: Liquidity Sweep Reversal (LSR)
Order Type: SELL
Entry: 1.17384
Stop Loss: 1.17550
Take Profit: Tp1,Tp2,Tp3: 1.17237
RR:1:1
This setup offers a strong risk-to-reward profile and is positioned to capitalize on the momentum shifts often seen during the New York session.
ServiceTitan Deep Dive - The Hidden SaaS GemHey everyone,
ServiceTitan is a founder-led SaaS platform revolutionizing how trades businesses operate - think plumbers, electricians, HVAC contractors, and roofers. This is a classic "picks and shovels" play on a massive $1.5 trillion market that's been historically underserved by technology.
I don't want to bother you with too much text, so here are the bullet points:
Market Opportunity & Position
Total addressable market: $650B actively targeted (out of $1.5T total trades market)
Current penetration: Only 5% of addressable market ($75B GMV)
15,000+ contractors on platform with 110%+ net dollar retention for 13 straight quarters
First-mover advantage in providing an end-to-end integrated platform for the fragmented trades industry
Financial Metrics (TTM)
Revenue: $866M (FY2026E: $939M, +17.7% 2-yr CAGR)
Gross Margin: 67.4%
Operating Margin: -28.9% GAAP, but 12% non-GAAP (targeting 25% long-term), this is great
Free Cash Flow: Positive at 6% margin ($52M FCF)
Cash Position: $471M with negative net debt (-$313M). This is also great
Valuation Metrics
EV/Sales: 10.9x TTM, 9.4x NTM (premium but justified by growth)
P/FCF: 186.6x TTM, 145.4x NTM (improving as FCF scales)
EV/EBITDA: 69.3x NTM (currently negative TTM)
Forward P/E: 125x (transitioning to profitability)
Analyst Consensus: $136.20 price target
Economic Moat Sources
Scale Economies: Operating margins improved 510 bps YoY as platform scales
Switching Costs: Deep integration with Pro products and AI automation creates lock-in
Counter-Positioning: Specialized trades focus vs. general enterprise software
Key Growth Catalysts
AI-Powered Automation: Virtual agent "Phin" and Contact Center Pro driving 30%+ attach rates
Vertical Expansion: Commercial and roofing segments showing strong traction
Pro Products: Higher-margin add-ons increasing customer lifetime value
Strategic Partnerships: Ford fleet management, Roto-Rooter deals validate enterprise credibility
Insider Confidence
Vahe Kuzoyan (Co-founder/President): 7.3M shares (7.8% ownership, $771M value)
Dave Sherry (CFO): 348K shares ($40M value)
Total insider ownership: 8.3% demonstrating strong alignment
Why Investing Now?
Fed rate cuts boosting home buying/renovation activity
Management raised guidance twice in FY2026
Margin inflection point with path to 25% operating margins
AI capabilities are creating competitive separation
Only 5% market penetration with a massive runway
Risk Factors
Valuation Risk: Trading at 10.9x EV/Sales with GAAP losses
Growth Management: Rapid expansion could strain resources
Industry Cyclicality: Trades sensitive to economic downturns
Competition: Potential entry from Salesforce, ServiceNow
Profitability Timeline: Still burning cash on GAAP basis
Investment Strategy
I will start by allocating 1% of my portfolio to the stock, and add more if the price drops. NOTE that this is a high-risk play.
Rating: BUY | Risk: High | Conviction: 7.5/10
Quick note: I'm just sharing my journey - not financial advice! 😊
NVDA: Undervalued AI Chip Leader Amid #YoungInvestorPortfolio?NVDA: Undervalued AI Chip Leader Amid #YoungInvestorPortfolio? $209 Target in Sight? 🚀
NVDA trades at $178.19 (+1.45%), undervalued with dominant AI GPU demand tying into Reddit young investor buzz on portfolios—analysts forecast average $209 target, 17% upside from robust data center growth, questioning if Blackwell rollout sparks breakout. 📈
**Fundamental Analysis**
EPS $3.51 ttm with revenue $165.218B and 71.55% YoY growth; P/E 52.56 reflects relative undervaluation in high-growth tech, DCF models indicate 15-20% intrinsic premium on AI expansions.
- **Positive:** Leading AI market share; strong cash flow generation.
- **Negative:** High capex demands; supply chain vulnerabilities.
**SWOT Analysis**
**Strengths:** Innovative GPU technology; data center dominance.
**Weaknesses:** Valuation sensitivity to growth slowdowns.
**Opportunities:** Expanding AI adoption; strategic partnerships.
**Threats:** Regulatory scrutiny; intensifying competition.
**Technical Analysis**
Chart in uptrend with strong volume support. Price: $178.19, VWAP $177.
Key indicators:
- RSI: 53 (neutral, upside potential).
- MACD: Positive signal line.
- Moving Averages: Above 50-day $170, 200-day $150 (bullish).
Support/Resistance: $170/$185. Patterns/Momentum: Ascending triangle targeting $200. 📈 Bullish.
**Scenarios and Risk Management**
- **Bullish:** AI demand surge to $200; DCA on pullbacks below $175 for averaged gains.
- **Bearish:** Chip shortages drop to $160.
- **Neutral:** Consolidates at $180 awaiting earnings.
Risk Tips: Stops at 5% below entry, limit to 2% portfolio, diversify tech exposure, DCA to handle volatility. ⚠️
**Conclusion/Outlook**
Bullish if AI trends accelerate. Watch Q3 earnings. Fits tech theme with #YoungInvestorPortfolio upside. Take? Comment!
AR – Testing Support, Eyeing Higher Targets
AR is currently trading around $5.630, consolidating above a key support zone near $5.240. Price action shows a downtrend line pressing from above, but buyers continue to defend the blue support area.
- Support: $5.240 – $5.000
- Bullish case: A breakout above $8.700 could open the way toward $30
⚖️ AR is at a pivotal level — holding support could fuel a strong rally, but traders should wait for confirmation above resistance before positioning aggressively.
NEAR – Testing Support, Eyeing Higher Targets
NEAR is currently trading around $2,700, consolidating above a key support zone near $2,500. Price action shows a downtrend line pressing from above, but buyers continue to defend the blue support area.
- Support: $2,500 – $2,400
- Bullish case: A breakout above $3,200 could open the way toward $5,000
- Bearish risk: Losing $1,740 support would weaken the structure and expose NEAR to deeper downside.
⚖️ NEAR is at a pivotal level — holding support could fuel a strong rally, but traders should wait for confirmation above resistance before positioning aggressively.
TAO – Descending Triangle at Critical Levels
TAO is consolidating inside a descending triangle, with sellers pressing from above and buyers defending the $256–$242 support zone.
- Resistance: $265–$270
- Support: $242–$256
- Bullish case: Break and close above $270 could trigger a rally toward $800–$1700.
- Bearish risk: Losing $170 support would invalidate the setup and open deeper downside.
⚖️ TAO is at a make-or-break point — watch for a confirmed breakout before entering.
Gold next week: Key S/R Levels and Outlook for Traders🏆 Friday’s Close & Recent ATH: Gold closed the week near $3,769, not far from its latest all-time high ($3,734) as bullish momentum continues to dominate. Every dip is being met with strong buying interest, reinforcing the uptrend.
📈 Trend Structure: The market remains firmly inside an ascending channel on both 1H and 4H charts. The broader structure is bullish, with corrections appearing as healthy consolidations rather than reversals.
🔑 Key Resistance Levels: T he most critical resistance sits at $3,800, a psychological and technical barrier. Beyond that, $3,810–3,820 represents potential breakout extension targets if bulls push through.
🛡️ Support Zones: Immediate support rests at $3,753–3,755, aligned with a rising trendline. Deeper supports lie at $3,690–3,675, with stronger downside protection at $3,660–3,650. A sustained break below $3,650 would signal deeper correction risk.
⚖️ Likely Scenarios:
o Scenario 1 (Base Case) – A short-term pullback toward support before continuation higher.
o Scenario 2 – A shallow correction, followed by a direct breakout above $3,800.
Probabilities currently favor Scenario 1 due to overbought conditions.
📊 Short-Term Targets: On continuation, upside levels to monitor are $3,740 → $3,780 → $3,800, with a possible push toward $3,810 ATH+ extension.
💡 Market Sentiment Drivers: Geopolitical tensions, central bank accumulation, and persistent currency debasement concerns remain key macro tailwinds. These factors underpin the long-term bullish bias, despite near-term choppiness.
🔄 Retracement Outlook: Analysts suggest a retracement is due after the strong run-up. A controlled dip into the $3,660–3,640 zone could offer buying opportunities for swing traders targeting another leg higher.
🧭 Risk Levels to Watch: Holding above the ascending trendline (around $3,630–3,640) keeps the bullish structure intact. A decisive break below this area could trigger a deeper correction toward channel midpoints.
🚀 Overall Weekly Outlook: Gold remains in a strong bullish trajectory with $3,800 as the major battleground. Expect short-term pullbacks, but the path of least resistance is still higher, with long-term prospects pointing toward $4,000.
IREN Wave 3 complete Wave 3 appears to be complete with a thrust above the weekly R5 pivot on NASDAQ:IREN .
Sentiment is extremely greed on social and mainstream media warning of a top.
Wave 4 has a target of the R3 pivot and 23.6 Fibonacci retracement at $28, new traders and investors will be trapped buying the hype...
I will look for new longs in this area as I think we go higher long term...
Safe trading
FactSet Research Systems | FDS | Long at $284.10FactSet Research Systems NYSE:FDS is a leading provider of financial data, analytics, and software solutions primarily serving the investment and finance industry. As of 2025, it supports over 218,000 users across more than 8,200 client institutions worldwide, including buy-side and sell-side firms, investment managers, hedge funds, banks, wealth managers, asset owners, private equity firms, and corporate users. Its clients span industries such as financial services (19% of users), higher education (11%), and investment management (7%), with a strong focus on large organizations (38% of clients have revenue >$1B).
Technical Analysis:
The price is currently touching the top of my "crash" historical simple moving average bands (green lines). This area is often reserved for share accumulation and can signal a bottom. The price, however, may extend to the bottom of "crash" bands which is currently near $265.00. These bands don't always signal a bottom - there is a still a "major crash" zone - but the company's niche clientele and earnings/revenue growth into 2029 may signal a buy opportunity.
Earnings and Revenue Growth
EPS growth between 2025 ($16.98) and 2029 ($22.30): 31.3%
Revenue growth between 2025 ($2.32 billion) and 2029 ($2.86 billion): 23.3%
www.tradingview.com
Health
Debt-to-Equity: 0.63x (good)
Altman's Z-Score/Bankruptcy Risk: 6.6 (great, very low risk)
Insiders
Warnings: selling outweighs buying, but an insider two days ago purchased $100k near $296.
openinsider.com
Action
Due to the expected earnings and revenue growth into 2029, great overall financial health, niche market served, and technical analysis signals, NYSE:FDS is in a personal "buy zone" at $284.10. Additional opportunities for entry may exist near $265 and a bit lower in the near-term. However, if estimates are correct and continued growth is in the future of NYSE:FDS , the long-term outlook may be quite positive for investors. Time will tell.
Targets in 2028
$320 (+12.6%)
$350 (+23.2%)
Ai Analyse EURUSD M15: Tracking the Liquidity Sweep ReversalHello everyone, a quick update on our EURUSD M15 trade setup. Our AI-driven system has pinpointed a classic Liquidity Sweep Reversal (LSR) setup, suggesting a high-probability bullish move is on the horizon.
The Action: OANDA:EURUSD
The market made a clear push down, taking out the low at 1.17304. This "sweep" of liquidity has been met with a powerful bullish rejection, with the most recent candle closing strong and reversing the prior momentum. This price action indicates that sellers have been trapped, and we expect an upward continuation.
The Plan:
We are waiting for confirmation of this reversal with a BUYSTOP order.
Symbol: OANDA:EURUSD
Time Frame: M15
Order Type: BUYSTOP
Entry: 1.17390
Stop Loss: 1.17290
Take Profit: 1.17590
This setup is aligned with our AI's analysis of real-time market data, and we're looking forward to tracking its progress.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
When life gives you lemons...Lemonade is a digital-first insurance company that leverages AI to streamline processes, offering renters, homeowners, pet, car, and life insurance with rapid, transparent claims processing. Operating entirely online without physical offices or brokers, it eliminates middlemen to provide affordable premiums and a seamless user experience. Its core products include renters insurance for personal belongings, homeowners for property coverage, pet insurance for vet bills, car insurance for vehicles, and life insurance for financial security.
AI-Driven Efficiency as Core Advantage: Lemonade’s AI automates 90%+ of claims, underwriting, and onboarding, enabling sub-1-minute policy issuance and cutting costs, positioning it to scale rapidly and outpace legacy insurers.
Lemonade's AI agents and their purposes:
Maya: Handles customer onboarding, personalized quoting, and service via chat. Enables 90-second policy purchases; 90%+ digital processing.
AI Jim: Processes claims, detects fraud, and issues instant payouts. Settles ~50% of claims instantly (e.g., 2-second record).
AI Cooper: Automates internal workflows and data integration for efficiency.
Synthetic Agents: Simulate revenue streams and scale auto insurance distribution.
These agents drive low costs, a 73% loss ratio, and high NPS (>75).
Fully Digital, No Middlemen: Operating entirely online without physical offices or brokers, Lemonade eliminates 10-20% commission fees, offering lower premiums and a frictionless experience that drives viral customer growth.
Europe Expansion: Post-2023 launches in Germany and the Netherlands, Lemonade targets France, Spain, and the UK and others by 2027, tapping a €500B+ market with localized AI for regulatory and cultural alignment.
Path to Profitability by 2026: AI-driven fraud detection and dynamic pricing stabilize loss ratios below 70%, paving the way for positive EBITDA in 2026 and strong cash flow as scale reduces fixed costs.
Record Customer Acquisition speed: Lemonade onboarded its first 1 million customers faster than Netflix, Spotify, or Uber, leveraging its AI-powered model and high NPS (70+) for rapid growth in renters, homeowners, and pet insurance.
High Customer Satisfaction: With a 4.9/5 rating on the App Store, Lemonade’s intuitive, AI-driven app and transparent claims process drive exceptional user loyalty, fueling organic growth and retention rates above 85%.
Future outlook and prediction: I anticipate significant customer growth for Lemonade without requiring additional headcount, driven by new product launches and the successful onboarding of younger, tech-savvy milenials who become loyal lifetime customers. Approximately 30% of first-time insurance buyers aged 18–30 in the US already choose Lemonade—a remarkable share for a startup. I predict that legacy insurers will struggle to compete with Lemonade’s fully digital, AI-native, and agile global model. If Lemonade sustains its momentum, I foresee at least a 10x growth in the next few years, potentially leading to an S&P 500 listing by 2028.
Ai Analysis EURUSD : Price Targets and Bullish MomentumOur AI's analysis, which utilizes real market data, continues to track the bullish momentum on EURUSD. As the price moves in our favor, we have updated our take profit targets to reflect the current market structure.
This trading setup is based on the LSR (Liquidity Sweep & Reversal) strategy, a powerful concept in which a brief price movement is used to clear out a cluster of orders before a strong reversal in the opposite direction. Our AI successfully identified this key reversal point, allowing us to position ourselves to capitalize on the subsequent upward move.
Entry: 1.17950
Stop Loss (SL): 1.17800
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP1: 1.17983
TP2: 1.18035 (At this level, we will move our Stop Loss to the entry price to secure the trade)
TP3: 1.18150
We are now actively tracing this trade, managing it according to our predefined plan to maximize potential gains while protecting our capital.
Adobe (ADBE): Undervalued AI Software Leader Amid #AI Boom? Adobe (ADBE): Undervalued AI Software Leader Amid #AI Boom? $456 in Sight? 📈
Trading at $364.08 (-0.50%), ADBE's P/E of 22.67 undervalues its AI-integrated creative tools, with analysts eyeing $456 (25% upside)—will surging #AI trends propel cloud subscriptions higher? 🚀
**Fundamental Analysis**
EPS (TTM) of $16.06 and revenue (TTM) of $23.18B underscore strong growth, with PEG at 1.04 indicating fair valuation for expansion; fundamentals highlight recurring revenue model, though competition in AI space pressures margins.
- **Positive:** Dominant market share in creative software; AI features like Firefly boost user adoption.
- **Negative:** High valuation multiples vs peers; dependency on subscription renewals.
**SWOT Analysis**
**Strengths:** Innovative AI ecosystem; loyal user base.
**Weaknesses:** Premium pricing limits accessibility; integration risks with new tech.
**Opportunities:** Expanding AI tools in enterprise; partnerships in digital marketing.
**Threats:** Open-source AI alternatives; economic slowdowns hitting ad spends.
**Technical Analysis**
Chart displays upward channel with recent pullback testing support. Price: $364.08, VWAP $365.
Key indicators:
- RSI: 55 (mildly bullish, approaching overbought).
- MACD: Bullish divergence emerging.
- Moving Averages: 50-day at $370 (short-term hurdle), 200-day at $400 (major resistance).
Support/Resistance: Support at $350, resistance at $380. Patterns/Momentum: Bull flag pattern, momentum building on AI news. 📈 Bullish | ⚠️ Bearish.
**Scenarios and Risk Management**
- **Bullish:** Break above $380, DCA on pullbacks to capture AI-driven rally.
- **Bearish:** Fall to $350 on macro fears, reduce exposure.
- **Neutral:** Range-bound until earnings clarity.
Risk Tips: Use trailing stops at 7%, cap risk at 2% per trade, diversify with non-tech, DCA for long-term holds. ⚠️
**Conclusion/Outlook**
Strong bullish potential conditioned on #AI momentum. Watch tech sector flows. Fits growth theme with upside. Take? Comment!
MARA Wave III Underway!Local Analysis / Targets / Elliot Wave
MARA appears to have begun wave III with a rally out of the range and above the daily 200EMA. Wave III has a price target of the High Volume Node resistance at $31 but with the current tailwindsI I expect to overextend.
RSI is overbought and there is looming resistance from the wave 1 high just ahead. Traders should be cautious of this resistance and expect a range below for a while.
Standard Deviation Band Analysis
Standard deviation bands shows price coming into the fair value regression line as resistance. A breakout above this will bring up the SD+2 threshold target of $55. Bands offered a great buy opportunity when price dipped into the green opportunity zone at $3.
Safe trading






















